Seeking Alpha
  • Fiat: Preparing To Strike
    Editors' Pick FIATY Today, 9:10 PM GreenWood Investors 1 Comment
  • Amerco: Moving Higher
    Editors' Pick UHAL Today, 7:47 PM GreenWood Investors Comment!
  • Amerco - An Undervalued Compounding Machine
    UHAL Today, 7:34 PM Bartex Capital Research Comment!
  • Netflix: A Company With Great Potential
    NFLX Today, 7:30 PM Stock Dmitry 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Netflix continues to acquire new members which is a great boost to its profitability.
    • The company decided to increase its service prices which will result in a higher revenue level with no extra cost.
    • The global expansion offers great long-term opportunity.
  • Is It Time To Bottom-Fish For Vale SA?
    Editors' Pick VALE Today, 7:26 PM Stephen Simpson, CFA 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Iron ore prices have tested the $80 level and led to predictions that iron is dead as an attractive commodity.
    • Vale has very low production costs, high-quality ores in its Northern resource base, and ample expansion potential.
    • Just 5.5 times 12-month EBITDA can support a fair value above $14, but further iron ore price declines and a potential new political regime in Brazil loom as risks.
  • After A 40% Sell-Off Following Good News, RXi Pharmaceuticals Is Incredibly Attractive
    RXII Today, 6:52 PM Christopher F. Davis 6 Comments

    Summary

    • RXi Pharmaceuticals is an up-and-coming biotechnology company that has recently caught my eye after losing 40% of its value in four trading sessions.
    • This company works with ribonucleic acid interference technology to create a prophylactic treatment for scar and keloid prevention; currently, there are no FDA approved prophylactics of this nature.
    • Phase 1 results were incredibly strong, and early Phase 2 results were, in my opinion, misinterpreted leading to an opportunity buy in RXi shares.
    • The market potential is massive, as incidence of post-surgical scars occurs in anywhere between 40% to 94% of surgeries.
    • The risks to the company are minimal beyond potential trial failure; the cash burn rate is well-managed, and the company has enough cash until at least until late 2015.
  • Google's Android One Platform: More Than Just Phones
    GOOG, GOOGL Today, 6:47 PM Trefis 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Google One targets the low-end smartphone segment in emerging markets.
    • While newly launched phones are currently available in India, the company plans to roll them out to other developing countries in the coming months.
    • The wide launch strategy signals that competition in the smartphone industry in emerging countries is heating up, albeit at a lower price point.
  • 10 Years Of Google And The Importance Of Long-Term Thinking
    GOOG, GOOGL Today, 6:21 PM John Huber 5 Comments
  • MasterCard: One Of My Favorite Growth Stocks
    MA Today, 6:10 PM Integrator 7 Comments

    Summary

    • MasterCard has strong barriers to entry and deep network advantages which generate strong returns on equity.
    • The company has experienced very strong rates of revenue and free cash flow growth.
    • MasterCard's growth drivers going forward are positive, and the company remains one of my favorite growth stocks.
  • LogMeIn Helping Businesses 'Remote Control' Employees Is A Win For Shareholders
    LOGM Today, 6:05 PM Chris Katje Comment!

    Summary

    • Acquisition of Meldium offers additional services for IT departments.
    • Join.me Enterprise winning large company deals and increasing average size.
    • Other initiatives of AppGuru and Xively offer upside for 2015.
  • Can Netflix Impress The Finicky Europeans?
    NFLX Today, 5:55 PM John McKenna 1 Comment

    Summary

    • NFLX begins expansion into six European countries, including France and Germany.
    • Based in Amsterdam, NFLX will not have to contend with most cultural, business regulations in France despite objections by cultural ministers.
    • Canal+ and Maxdome may provide interesting competition thanks to syndication deals, cheaper prices and national familiarity.
  • 3 Reasons Juniper Networks Could Be Networking's Best Value
    JNPR Today, 5:49 PM Michael Henage 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Juniper's stronger top line revenue growth may not be the single reason to buy the stock, but it's an excellent place to start.
    • The simple truth is more than 90% of Juniper's divisions are growing, something that Alcatel-Lucent and Nokia can't say.
    • When it comes to cash flow growth, Juniper is crushing its peers.
  • Unilever Sees Growth In Emerging Markets
    UN Today, 5:44 PM EST Invest 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Growing emerging markets sales are boosting revenue.
    • The company has increasing brand recognition, but is compromising on R&D.
    • UN is well-positioned compared to competitors.
  • Key Partnerships And Product Innovation Can Take Altera Higher
    ALTR Today, 5:30 PM Harsh Singh Chauhan Comment!

    Summary

    • Altera is doing well in the FPGA market, while rival Xilinx is seeing a drop in sales of its 28-nm chips, indicating loss of market share.
    • Altera has partnered with Intel to create a cutting-edge chip platform that has a smaller die size than its rival.
    • Altera is gaining traction in the cloud, and its recent deal with Microsoft can be another catalyst.
  • More Underwhelming Web-TV Services, This Time From Sony, DISH And Verizon
    DISH, VZ, SNE Today, 5:30 PM Gary Bourgeault 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Content providers still hold the upper hand with Web TV, and that will continue to slow down the process.
    • Sony looks like it may be the short-term winner in content, although others are in negotiations with studios as well.
    • DISH looks like the most unique Web TV option as it's moving more toward an a la carte model rather than the traditional model Sony is incorporating.
  • Rosetta Stone Should Move Out Of Your Portfolio
    RST Today, 5:30 PM InvestAlike Comment!

    Summary

    • Rosetta Stone’s latest quarter brought a decline of 6% in the revenue.
    • Cheaper mobile apps are taking over the company’s business. Internet piracy is also an additional concern.
    • The industry has been performing well, indicating Rosetta Stone’s own failure to deliver optimum returns.
  • Doing The Math Again On Apple Pay
    AAPL Today, 5:05 PM Ryan Jones 34 Comments

    Summary

    • Individuals privy to the Apple Pay deal report that Apple will take $0.15 on every $100 credit card transaction conducted via Apple Pay.
    • Around $4 trillion worth of credit card transactions are conducted around the world per year and is expected to grow notably over the next several years.
    • If this data is correct, every percentage point Apple can switch from normal credit card transactions to Apple Pay is worth around $60,000,000 to Apple's revenue.
  • Is Johnson Controls Back On The Right Track?
    JCI Today, 5:04 PM Apex Financial Consultants 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Johnson Controls is diversifying its portfolio and turning itself into a multi-faceted company.
    • The company has made several strategic changes to reduce its exposure to the cyclical automotive industry while gaining a foothold in the building efficiency business.
    • Johnson Controls is also changing its geographic mix and expanding into the high-growth Chinese market, where it is projected to generate revenues at a CAGR of 11.66%.
  • The Current Dip Makes BCE, Inc. Attractive For A Buy Rating
    BCE Today, 5:04 PM Chronic Bull 3 Comments

    Summary

    • Company is on track to meet its yearly guidance for 2014.
    • The current dip can be attributable to the complete privatization of Bell Aliant.
    • Pressure on liquidity could adversely impact stock price in the short run.
    • Strong fundamentals give the company a buy rating for the longer term.
  • Seadrill: Looks Good At A 1-Year Time Horizon
    SDRL Today, 4:59 PM Vladimir Zernov 8 Comments

    Summary

    • Seadrill's shares suffered a sell-off on possible impact of sanctions in Russia and fears about the sustainability of the dividend.
    • Seadrill makes a big bet on the health of the drilling market in 2016.
    • Until then, the company is in a good position to raise funds and support its newbuild program and the dividend.
  • VirnetX Is Worth Well Under $1 Per Share
    VHC Today, 4:33 PM Alpha Exposure 52 Comments

    Summary

    • VirnetX stock is nearly worthless.
    • VirnetX has little hope of generating free cash flow.
    • VirnetX faces high likelihood of losing new FaceTime infringement suit.
  • Rackspace's Sale Speculation Can Still Drive The Stock Higher
    RAX Today, 4:32 PM Guido Giacalone 1 Comment

    Summary

    • If a sale does not take place, management would buy back the company’s stock.
    • Talks about a potential takeover might not be priced in the current stock price.
    • Focus on managed hosting distances Rackspace from the price-competitive public cloud market.
  • 'The Sound Of Cannons' Boosts General Dynamics
    GD Today, 4:25 PM Alpha Now at Thomson Reuters 2 Comments

    Summary

    • While the geopolitical turmoil in Ukraine, Gaza, Iraq and Syria has so far been nearly ignored by the markets, one industry – aerospace and defense - is a clear beneficiary.
    • That 1980s bogeyman, the Russian bear, has returned and U.S. military intervention against ISIS may be looming.
    • General Dynamics, one of the world’s largest defense contractors, has been on a recent tear, with its stock price having surged 33% YTD.
    • "Buy on the sound of cannons," indeed.
  • AT&T: Does Buying America Movil's Assets Make Sense?
    T Today, 4:19 PM Alex Cho 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Buying America Movil's assets would require AT&T to further leverage its balance sheet.
    • There are competing firms that can buy AMX's assets with limited financial impact.
    • However, Latin America is in AT&T's cross-hairs, and adding more subscribers in Latin America may give AT&T a strong base for further expansion.
    • On the downside, AMX's Mexican mobile subscribers generate low ARPUs and it will be a while before those figures improve considerably.
    • Therefore gaining subscribers in Mexico would have no obvious benefit to AT&T over the short-term, but would support the long-term growth story much further out into the future.
  • 3 Stocks With Massive Insider Buying
    WMS, ACW, SGM Today, 4:13 PM American Business News Comment!

    Summary

    • Insider Mark Haney bought 20,000 shares last year at $23 a share just in time to watch the price triple. Now he's at it again at Advanced Drainage Systems.
    • Trading on 5.4 times 2015 forecast earnings, Stonegate Mortgage is a financial services company focused on the US residential mortgage market with massive insider buying.
    • Accuride is a leading supplier to many of the world’s largest truck and bus manufacturers with massive insider buying and 30% EPS growth forecast.
  • What Is Alibaba's Growth Potential? eBay's Path Offers A Glimpse
    BABA Today, 3:59 PM Triton Research 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Alibaba’s disclosure doesn't provide enough detail to model the company accurately. In order to understand the company’s growth potential, it helps to compare Alibaba to eBay.
    • Alibaba is the largest online and mobile commerce company in the world in terms of Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), but only monetizes a very small portion of its transaction volume.
    • Alibaba's growth potential is massive if the company can increase its revenue as a percentage of GMV like eBay has done since 1999.
  • Boeing: The Airbus A330neo A Real Competitor For The Boeing 787? (Part 4)
    BA Today, 3:55 PM Dhierin Bechai Comment!

    Summary

    • New calculations show minor advantage for the Dreamliner.
    • The 7% advantage claimed by Airbus seems to be high.
    • The 13% advantage claimed by Boeing seems to be high.
  • L Brands: Why Biggest Is Usually Best
    LB Today, 3:48 PM Marshall Hargrave Comment!

    Summary

    • Being the biggest in an industry has its advantages and that's the case with L Brands.
    • But this company has its own issues, including debt, but it's key to put it in perspective.
    • In the end the stock is attractively priced.
  • GT Advanced Technologies: How The Bulls Got It So Wrong
    Editors' Pick GTAT Today, 3:47 PM Mark Hibben 46 Comments

    Summary

    • Analysts and tech writers inflated the importance of the Apple/GTAT agreement by shifting focus to iPhone, a more important product than Apple Watch.
    • In order to support the iPhone sapphire screen theory, projections of sapphire production capacity were grossly overstated.
    • The letdown following the iPhone 6 event shouldn't blind investors to the future potential for sapphire in iPhone, but should make them more cautious.
  • E-Commerce Darling Zulily Grows Furiously Fast
    ZU Today, 3:38 PM Sramana Mitra 1 Comment
  • GameStop's Used And New Game Sales Are Under Assault
    GME Today, 3:35 PM Gloves Off Investing 8 Comments

    Summary

    • 2014 sales at GameStop are supported by sales of PlayStation 4 and Xbox One, but its other major profit centers, new software and used sales, are under assault from digital.
    • The shift to digital continues to accelerate with Activision’s CEO noting last week that digital sales of its game Destiny were exceeding expectations.
    • EA Access and similar subscription services that provide access to older games will erode used game sales at GameStop - used sales account for ~50% of profits.
    • We estimate it has a market share under 10% in digital software sales versus ~30% in physical. The shift to digital presents a significant headwind for GameStop.
    • The upside surprise in the current cycle has pushed the shares higher. However, this is temporary, and the long-term concerns will return and put downward pressure on the stock.
  • Update: Sandstorm Gold Provides Investor Updates At The Denver Gold Forum
    SAND Today, 3:16 PM Hard Asset Investments 9 Comments

    Summary

    • Sandstorm Gold recently presented at the Denver Gold Forum, which is the world's single largest gathering of precious metal companies and investors.
    • The company's CEO Nolan Watson gave an update on Sandstorm's recent developments, including the new Karma Gold Stream and the company's balance sheet.
    • Sandstorm has more cash and debt and equity investment currently than I anticipated.
    • I think shares are a buy as the presentation confirms my beliefs that Sandstorm has solid assets and a strong balance sheet.
  • Adobe Systems: Earnings Weren't That Bad
    ADBE Today, 3:15 PM Alex Cho 1 Comment

    Summary

    • Adobe reported a top line miss, and guidance for next quarter wasn't that great.
    • The investment thesis still holds, as the results didn't negate the long-term growth trajectory of earnings by much.
    • Investors should be opportunistic buyers following the 4.64% pull-back in the after hours.
  • Update: Sable Mining Releases General Update
    SBGGF Today, 3:11 PM The Investment Doctor Comment!

    Summary

    • Sable Mining has released a general update on its feasibility-stage project.
    • I’m surprised the company continues to count on being in production in 2016 which is highly unlikely to me.
    • The investment thesis remains unchanged. It’s an interesting project, but a triple-digit iron ore price will be needed to get it going.
  • Singapore: Bullish Or Bearish?
    EWS Today, 2:59 PM Nicholas Pardini Comment!

    Summary

    • Singapore historically has one of the world's best track records in terms of growth and economic policy.
    • Social tensions and slowing growth of neighbors may bring on a slowdown.
    • Technicals also bearish with stiff $14.00 resistance on EWS.
  • GT Advanced Technologies: An Opportunity To Buy?
    GTAT Today, 2:32 PM IAEResearch 22 Comments

    Summary

    • The recent sell-off has created a great opportunity for GTAT shareholders to add to their positions.
    • Too much focus on the short term is affecting the stock price when the long-term growth prospects of the company remain intact.
    • The potential of the PV business is massive as the company brings Hyperion and Merlin to the market over the next two years.
    • The massive revenue potential of Hyperion will result in strengthening the fundamentals of the company and the current forward P/E estimates might become conservative.
  • Zacks' Bull Of The Day: Tyler Tech
    TYL Today, 2:21 PM Zacks Investment Research Comment!
  • Update: Netflix Started Expansion In Europe
    NFLX Today, 2:16 PM BB Research Comment!

    Summary

    • Netflix started its expansion program in Europe on Monday when it launched its services in France.
    • In our original article we opined that the company’s global expansion strategy will open tremendous opportunities in Europe, Asia and Africa.
    • We reiterate our bullish stance on Netflix since the expansion program in Europe has been started.
  • Zacks' Bear Of The Day: Randgold
    GOLD Today, 1:53 PM Zacks Investment Research 3 Comments
  • How Will Microsoft Monetize Minecraft?
    MSFT Today, 1:46 PM Alex Cho 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Microsoft will not ruin Minecraft's game play mechanics.
    • Microsoft can monetize Minecraft by selling access to private servers, which may grow into a $500 million/year business.
    • Selling access to private servers may lead to other cross-sell opportunities, which indicates that this deal offers reasonable upside.
    • Beyond selling access to private servers, on-going licensing revenue will turn this segment into a pretty significant cash cow going forward.
  • Update: Sears Holdings' Cash Infusion From CEO Scares Market
    SHLD Today, 1:45 PM Stone Fox Capital 14 Comments

    Summary

    • Sears Holdings borrows $400 million at below market rates from the CEO for the holiday retail season.
    • The stock remains a solid buy especially on historical dips below $30.
    • Previous research backed the theory that the company has plenty of assets and the ability to obtain cash to fund operations.
  • Update: FedEx Plans Shipping Rate Hike From January
    FDX Today, 1:42 PM BB Research 1 Comment

    Summary

    • FedEx said that it will implement rate hike for its Express, Ground and Freight services from January 5 next year.
    • The company reported impressive earnings for the first quarter ended August 31 despite increasing competition.
    • In our original article, we said that the company has lots of weapons in its arsenal to counter rising fuel price.
    • Forthcoming shipping rate hike coupled with an impressive financial result makes us feel more bullish on the stock.
  • My Contrarian Play On Housing Is Starting To Pay Off
    BZH, LEN, TPH Today, 1:40 PM Bret Jensen 5 Comments

    Summary

    • My contrarian view on homebuilding stocks is starting to play out as major homebuilders are starting to report much better than expected results.
    • In addition, Homebuilder confidence is at its highest levels since late in 2005. These data points are boosting homebuilding stocks considerably in trading today.
    • I believe we are in the early innings of a big move in this sector for myriad reasons. Highlighted below is how I am playing this contrarian thesis.
  • Tesla Dip A Buying Opportunity?
    TSLA Today, 1:31 PM Douglas Ehrman 24 Comments

    Summary

    • Tesla recently saw a big dip in shares after a Morgan Stanley piece.
    • Tesla recently won its Massachusetts court battle.
    • Long term, the stock looks strong and this is a buying opportunity.
  • IBM And Intel: The End Game For IBM Semiconductor
    IBM Today, 1:16 PM Russ Fischer 69 Comments

    Summary

    • IBM is "selling" its semiconductor operation.
    • GlobalFoundries is the likely catcher of this boat anchor.
    • Intel is now the clear leader in semiconductor technology.
  • Update: Osisko Gold Royalties Secures $100 Million Credit Facility, Updates Website
    OKSKF Today, 1:07 PM Hard Asset Investments Comment!

    Summary

    • Osisko Gold Royalties recently announced that it has secured a $100 million revolving credit facility which it can use to complete streams or royalty deals.
    • I did not anticipate this news in my first article on the company.
    • The news is positive as it means Osisko will likely complete another deal or two in the not too distant future.
    • I'm holding off on buying shares at current levels as I want to see which direction the company goes on its next few deals.
  • Heineken Looking Strong In Saga With SABMiller
    SBMRF Today, 12:48 PM Don Dion Comment!

    Summary

    • Heineken turned done a potential takeover offer by its larger rival SABMiller; shares were up 1.6% on the news.
    • Heineken’s strong overall performance is attributed to sustained brand promotion, wide geographic distribution, a focus on cost control, and strong commercial execution.
    • Its recent spike in revenue (4.6%) was largely due to a strategic global growth initiative, notably in the Asia Pacific rim.
    • With favorable investor reactions to a potentially consolidating beer industry, we are increasingly optimistic on Heineken, moving forward in 2014.
  • Update: Apple Xiaomi Problems Grow
    AAPL Today, 12:42 PM Stone Fox Capital 57 Comments

    Summary

    • China government has yet to approve the sale of iPhone 6s in the country.
    • Stock remains a tentative buy due to attractive valuation and strong balance sheet.
    • This move by the government further enhances the previous theory that the growing prominence of Xiaomi would reduce the upside for Apple.
  • 3 Reasons Amazon Should Buy RadioShack
    AMZN, RSH Today, 12:39 PM Renee Butler 29 Comments

    Summary

    • Amazon has been inching towards physical locations for years - introducing package pickup locations within brick-and-mortar stores - but the push has been met with some setbacks.
    • Right now, RadioShack, with its 4,400-plus stores, is on the brink of bankruptcy and trading at only $1 per share.
    • Amazon could buy the struggling retail chain and introduce physical locations, which would expand delivery options and showcase popular items.
  • Sony Impairment Charge Does Not Affect Turnaround Thesis
    SNE Today, 12:07 PM Kristian Kolding 2 Comments

    Summary

    • Today, Sony announced a major impairment charge to goodwill in its Mobile Communications segment.
    • The impairment charge does not change my overall thesis of a successful turnaround in 2015.
    • The impairment charge was somewhat expected, but momentary weakness in Sony's stock price offers a buying opportunity.