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If someone has been paying rent month after month, year after year, and has a good credit record, it seems to me there ought to be some way for them to buy a house.

We are about to start passing rules and regulations to try to prevent another financial crisis from happening, and I don't want to see people excluded from home ownership unnecessarily. I know it's unfashionable to stick up for the poor right now, to advocate for increased home ownership, and in particular to say that it was not a mistake to try to increase home ownership rates at lower income levels, but (1) poor households didn't cause the financial crisis, though in many cases they were victims of it, and (2) it's the right thing to do in any case.

One thing I hear is that lower income households should just rent, as though that's equivalent to owning a home except for the financial arrangement. But renting is not the same as owning a home. I'm not saying one is better than the other, though I have a preference, but they are different. Each has advantages and disadvantages that suit different preferences, and those who prefer ownership shouldn't be needlessly excluded.

I would be willing to pay quite a bit not to have to ask if I can paint a bedroom the color that I want, change the landscaping, hang a picture securely on the wall, have a dog or a cat, not to even have to think about whether something is okay or not with the owner if I want to change it. I don't want to have to let someone in with 24 hours notice. If I want a  basketball hoop above the garage, that's my choice. As an owner, I don't have to worry about my rent going up over time - I can lock into a fixed payment - or not having the lease renewed because the landlord has decided to do something else with the property.

However, if the roof leaks, the hot water heater stops working, a pipe breaks, anything like that, then it's my responsibility to pay for it. If I want to move it's a lot harder, I can't just give notice, pack up and go once the lease ends. Instead I have to worry about selling my house, and maybe losing money on it.

But there's something about owning I can't quite explain - it's different, at least to me. I don't like that, when I rent, I'm only able to live somewhere so long as someone else gives me permission to do so. As long as I make my house payment every month, I have a place to live. Always. I don't know why that is comforting, but it is.

If we, say, require a 10% or 20% down payment for all buyers, that will impose a substantial barrier to purchasing a home. Many people can get access to a down payment somehow - real estate agents will fill you in on tricks such as how to borrow the money from family and have it look like a gift - but many others don't have access to those resources, and saving money when you are living close to the edge is not easy at all.

But what about all the lower income households who have never missed a rent payment, that have decent credit, but cannot possibly meet even, say, a 10% down payment hurdle, how do we ensure that they have a path to home ownership? They have shown themselves to be able to reliably pay a particular amount, and there ought to be a house they could buy with a similar payment profile.

I don't know the data well enough to conclude this for sure, but if my impression is correct, many of these households weren't sold houses they could afford, houses with payments, say, equivalent to the rent they had been paying. Instead, they were sold houses far above that rate, and probably sold a plan along with it for how they could meet the payments, and how they could escape if things didn't work out (since prices would, of course, continue rising). I don't know whose fault it is that the households ended up in highly risky positions that would, in many cases, lead to default - the homeowner surely wanted a dream house and to join in the money-making, the real estate agent certainly wanted a large sale since they earn more when the sales price is higher, the broker incentives were to get the deal done, and so on. But something went wrong and these households did not end up in the right houses, or with the right financial arrangements.

So let's fix that instead of excluding them from ownership. Households with a verifiable, reliable payment history and with decent credit need a way to buy a house if that's what they have their heart set on doing. But it has to be a house they can afford, the payments have to match their income and their rental history. The process has to ensure that this happens.

[Sketching something out quickly without intending to get every detail correct, perhaps something like the following would work: First, you only get one shot at this program. If you walk away or default, that's it, you can't ever use this program again. That probably means not buying a house again for a long, long time, if ever. The program would involve mortgage loans with minimal down payment requirements.

Second, if your household income is in the qualifying range, the government will grant you an equity stake in the house of, say, $5,000 (or pick an amount you like better). If you stay in the house for seven years or more, then the $5,000 is yours if you ever sell the house (perhaps as a tax credit).  There could be some payback mechanism if the homeowner makes an excessive amount on the sale, or not. Also, I don't like that there is an incentive to sell the house after seven years, so perhaps the $5,000 could go into an IRA or something similar if it is not used to purchase a new house, that way the cash would not be immediately available if the household went back to renting.

Third, a big problem would be repairs - roofs, plumbing, that sort of thing. Big expenditures like that could cause problems and lead to default. Some sort of insurance against this could be made available and required as part of the house payment - along with co-pays to create better incentives but still keep the cost reasonable.

And so on. Someone else can take the time to get all the details and incentives right - feel free to offer your own - but the main thing is to find a way to allow households with lower incomes to purchase a house with little or no down payment, yet still give the buyers some equity stake in the purchase so that they have something at risk giving them less incentive to walk away or default (hence the restriction on only using the program once). There ought to be a way to get this done].

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This article has 18 comments:

  •  
    I have one way. It's guaranteed to work.

    It's not the way that anyone in power or anyone with a vested interest in RE wants to hear.

    Lower home prices.

    It's the panacea that solves all that you said and more.

    If Rent Vs Own ratio isn't so out of whack, that owning is indeed equivalent to renting plus a small premium, then you will see people buying homes.

    We're probably 40% away in terms of home prices right now to that goal in many areas of the country.

    I bet this is not something you wanted to hear.
    2008 Oct 24 12:08 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    To sum up your argument you want the government to further subsidize home ownership. You want someone living paycheck to paycheck to be able to buy a house without any savings... this is the same stupid idea which got us into this mess. What you are advocating is leverage, not a reasonable solution.
    2008 Oct 24 12:20 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I agree with Consider This. Home prices were fake, based on leveraged speculation, and had nothing to do with the ability of the average family to service the debt. In fact, home ownership was unworkable for the average American family and there is no better evidence than the foreclosure problem (remember, it didn't start because of an economic down-turn).

    If you want greater home ownership for average Americans, the math has to work for the average family, meaning all-in payments of about $1,500, which is 25% of a family income of $70,000. Including taxes and insurance, this means that prices should be around $200,000, assuming a $20k down payment. When this happens, housing will be affordable.
    2008 Oct 24 12:55 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    In many areas of the country, this is the case, but you'll see we still have a ways to go in the sand states and coastal areas.
    2008 Oct 24 12:56 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Mark, I appreciate your heart in wanting to advocate for poorer families, and I think your intentions are noble. But, I agree with several other posters here that really, the REAL solution, is not some sort of fancy program but allowing home prices to seriously fall back to levels that are affordable.

    It seems we are working very hard to ignore the reality that our home assets have become way over valued and until we deal with that every "solutution" will only incite further problems.
    2008 Oct 24 03:22 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    i would like to see more equitable home ownership and I agree with Consider_This' that one way in which this could happen is a considerable drop in real estate prices.

    I believe that this is imminent. The gov't has no responsibility to keep home prices high, in fact it is irresponsible to try and keep prices high. Current, past, and future policies to subsidizing mortgages or the mortgage industry or facilitating loans, etc. only puts off the inevitable, home prices are not sustainable. The current real estate bubble was sustained by overborrowing and almost everybody was doing it. This in turn inflated prices. But what if so many people were not willing to borrow to pay for a house? What if so many people were not willing to borrow to pay for college, a car, etc? Don't you think that prices would be lower?
    2008 Oct 24 03:47 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Encouraging home ownership as a matter of course contributed to this mess. Bankers; mortgage and otherwise didn't use solid criteria in determining credit worthiness or amount of credit granted. What about lease to own with a portion of the rent being held for a down payment at a predetermined price. What about getting owners of property to finance the sale and being responsible to do the research in determining risk of the loan. On the other hand renting is not all bad. It is only since the end of WWII that homeownership has become so common place. The cost of housing to income has been way out of wack for many years now. Tax policy coupled with easy money fueled this bubble. Though your desire to make home ownership available to many is admirable it is tuff to get your head around how to this with out causing negative consequences.
    2008 Oct 24 04:59 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Once again, I agree with the above comments. Home prices simply have to come down to reasonable, even cheap levels. Once they are there, we can worry about how low-end buyers will be able to finance them and perhaps offer temporary tax credits that would have to be be repaid in order to spur the market's recovery.

    Remember, we are coming off of record hight home ownership rates, and I simply don't see the need to offer further subsidies at this stage of the game, since we would just be propping up a market that has further to fall. It would be folly to try to get low income families into houses that will be worth less in a few years rather than simply waiting until these families can make their own determination of what they can afford.
    2008 Oct 24 05:09 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    [saving money when you are living close to the edge is not easy at all.]

    If you are living "close to the edge," then helping you to buy a home is not doing you a favor- even if the mortgage payment is equlvalent to your rent payment.

    The reason people "weren't sold houses they could afford" is because they didn't WANT the kind of house that they could afford.

    [They have shown themselves to be able to reliably pay a particular amount, and there ought to be a house they could buy with a similar payment profile.]

    Your proposed program would help to artificially boost house prices, which would make that house less affordable.

    Why do we always need a "crutch" in this country? We, as a people, are better than this. I wish that we could get away from the concept that every seemingly good idea has to be institutionalized.

    If ideas such as this are so great, then experiment with them on a small scale. If you truly feel that this is important, then start up an organization to administer this program.

    Raise the funds, find and screen the candidates, educate them, and then track them over the course of 2 or 3 years to see if it's really helping, or if it increases the risk of default, like most DPA programs do.

    You'll get more personal satisfaction from this, and it won't force everyone else to participate. If it can't make it out of the "bootstrap" phase, then let it go.
    2008 Oct 25 08:37 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Buying the home is just the beginning of the costs.Homes cost a lot to properly maintain. Put an equal amount of income floor under everybody (so there is no redistribution) and run laissez faire on top of that. Look up my HOW TO FIX THE ECONOMY plan in my SA comments for details.
    2008 Oct 25 09:21 AM | Link | Reply
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    This basic principle is sound. I am a believer in tax credits to get this economy moving. Maybe including a principal wherein the government lends you 20k as a down payment with no interest and then you pay it back with tax credits over several years that the treasury allocates the tax credit against the loan each year until paid. This promotes home ownership to those who cannot afford the down and maximizes the advantages of the tax credit.
    2008 Oct 25 09:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Home ownership and maintenance is expensive. You are not living in reality. If a person cannot save up a 20% down payment for a home, how would that same person ever save a 6 month emergency cash fund? The first time that person is unemployed for even 3 months, there will be a foreclosure. The bank is then guaranteed to lose at least 20% due to no money down and that would be the smallest possible loss if home prices were stable or rising slowly. If you want socialism, please move to a socialist country. I believe that Russia and China have already proved that socialism doesn't work.
    2008 Oct 25 10:18 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Mark, "The Right Way to Encourage Home Ownership" is to forget about the gimmiks and platitudes and go back to the basics of "supply & demand". The average american cant afford to buy the average home! In the long run, the only useful thing to do is to have government do what they are supposed to do 1) control our borders to prevent illegal immigration (the largest cause of population increase) to stabalize populatoin and 2) find a way to coordinate the places where creation of jobs occurs with the availability of homes. Its simple, balance the supply of homes with the demand for them.

    All you propose are simply a lame attempts at the "social engineering" that has been tried for 100 years without much success. At this point, we have too many people chasing too few homes. That is the issue. The solution is not tax credits and subsidies.
    2008 Oct 25 10:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    There are no mkts outside of Manhatten where there does not exist affordable housing curently. Every mkt I have looked at even mkts like Maui there exists adequate affordable housing . The American Dream may be 3000 sq. feet in a nice neighbourhood with granite counters and a 3 car garage but this is just a dream for most Americans. The mkt prices that seem out of whack currently in the real estate mkts are those m kts that have been relatively immune to the foreclosure crises. IE the very homes that most of the readers of this blog have soooo much of their net worth currently invested
    2008 Oct 25 10:45 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Some simple solutions:
    1) Live within or below your means.
    2) Understand the resposibility you incur when purchasing a home and
    taking out a mortgage.
    3) Treat your home as "shelter" not investement,cashcow,AT... etc. etc.
    You treat your car as: transportation ! no?
    2008 Oct 25 11:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "But what about all the lower income households who have never missed a rent payment, that have decent credit, but cannot possibly meet even, say, a 10% down payment hurdle, how do we ensure that they have a path to home ownership? "

    appreciate the sentiment. there are other substantial financial benefits to home ownership (tax savings). however, modifying the path to ownership to make it easier is a risky bit of social engineering. Sometimes it helps e.g eliminating callable mortgages.

    the main issue here seems to be a downpayment. very simply, a downpayment gives the owner a vested interest in the property. without it, the interest is more like an apartment. at the first adversity, the owner will walk (without even waiting for a lease to run out). the tradeoff is losing the downpayment or losing a credit score.

    If a family can't save enough in an apartment for a downpayment, they have no business committing to a mortgage. This same family in all likelihood doesn't have enough savings to carry them thru a financial hit. To a limited and risky extent, the emergency savings and downpayment could be considered interchangeable.

    Unless rents come down with house prices (is this a given?), deflating home prices won't help, except by decreasing the amount of downpayment, not the ability to save.

    My own opinion is home ownership is over-rated. The govt and lobbyists have put enormous incentives in place to promote it. In many areas, homebuilding (aka growth) is/was the predominant industry. The reason of course is that homes are the largest tangible assets around. But they still go up and down; and mortgage leverage, like any leverage, makes them more risky. The peace of mind of a paid off dwelling can't be beat, but even then, people will say you're a fool for not putting the equity to work. The perspective of the home as an investment asset needs to be separated from the home as a personal security need.
    2008 Oct 25 04:25 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Home ownership is a privilege, not a right. It shows that you saved money for a downpayment as well as laid in enough savings to get you started on the responsibilities of owning your new home. Myself, I would like to see a savings rate that even comes close to 5% let alone anything else.
    First do the savings, then calculate all the bills therefrom in buying the house then think downpayment+25% of that downpayment/year for maintenence costs etc. Then you might be on a more secure footing.
    2008 Oct 26 06:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Today I read an article saying you can get a 3 bedroom house in Pittsburgh for $150K. That is below cost for a new construction house. The price of serviced lots puts a floor under the lower limit of any new house price. Is anyone selling lots for under $100K?

    When you have fairly rapid population growth, either homegrown or from immigration, developable land close to population centers will be expensive and even very modest new houses will not be affordable to low income people. Older houses in depressed markets, e.g. areas that have already suffered economic declines with population losses and may be on their way back up, will be the only kind of houses that are affordable.
    2008 Oct 27 02:28 AM | Link | Reply