Seeking Alpha

Charles Morand


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As I've discussed previously, things haven't been easy of late for alt energy stocks, especially those of the pure-play kind. A few days ago, I was asked which, if any, alt energy stocks I could recommend in this environment. My answer was: none.

While people continue to go on television claiming that alt energy's problem has to do with falling oil prices, in my view the real risk at the moment has do with financing - particularly for the companies producing the technologies and financing for their customers. The two business models are simultaneously under attack: for technology firms, the model whereby a company burns through loads of cash in the hopes of eventually commercializing a homerun application is dead, and for power producers and households installing solar panels and wind turbines current credit costs don't permit the necessary high degrees of leverage. As I've argued before, a temporary (i.e. 12 to 18 months) drop in oil prices will not phase policy-makers, and most of the demand right now is policy-driven.

So, for now, I would stay away from most pure-play alt energy stocks, at least until capital markets settle down and credit markets really normalize. However, as we've pointed out on many occasions, there are a wealth of companies out there with diversified revenue streams and appreciable market capitalizations that are moving into alt energy and cleantech.

The dramatic drop in equity markets over the past few months has made the dividend yield on some of those firms look quite attractive. For long-term investors, the advantage of purchasing a stock with a high dividend yield is that, provided the company can continue paying the dividend, you lock in an attractive yield on your security and you get to benefit from capital appreciation once markets recover.

The table below lists a few diversified stocks with exposure to alt energy that currently have an attractive dividend yield (>4%). The next step would be to look into the ability of the firm to maintain this yield throughout the bad economy.

Name (ticker)

Div. Yield (%)

Main Alt Energy Areas
General Electric (GE)7.20Wind turbine manufacturing; wind park ownership
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR)6.30Power generation; wind turbine components [DMI]
Portland General Electric Co. (POR)5.40Power generation with strong exposure to wind
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL)5.10Power generation with strong exposure to wind
The Timken Company (TKR)5.00Bearings for wind turbines
Koppers Holdings (KOP)4.10Railways ties and utility poles (treated wood)

Besides Otter Tail, the names in this table are not typically labelled "green energy" or "alternative energy" stocks. Most of the pure-plays pay no dividend. As stated above, a necessary next step would be to look into these firms to see if they will be able to maintain this dividend.

DISCLOSURE: Charles Morand does not have a position in any of the securities discussed here.

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    I was under the impression that Timken's exposure to the wind sector was sub 5% of their annual revenues. It is a key area of expansion for them, but currently more exposed, revenue wise, to industrial lubricants than wind.
    2008 Dec 03 10:20 AM | Link | Reply
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