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  • Auto aid on the way. Lawmakers are working to reach an agreement on automaker aid as early as this week, and are debating the finer details, including whether they should appoint a "car czar" and whether to replace current executives. The deal would provide at least $15B in short-term loans to General Motors (GM), Chrysler and Ford (F) to tide them over until March 31, 2009, though most of the funds will go to GM and Chrysler. (Ford had asked for a line of credit to be used if the recession turns out to be longer and deeper than expected.) Senator Chris Dodd, head of the Senate Banking Committee, called for GM CEO Rick Wagoner to be replaced as part of any aid deal, and Big Three automakers may have to trim their payrolls to secure the funds, which could further deepen the country's recession. GM +24%, F +22% pre-market.
  • Bourses back down. Deutsche Borse and NYSE Euronext (NYX) held exploratory talks about heightened cooperation and a possible merger, but sources say the talks have ended unsuccessfully. The same sources added that while talks on cooperation could resume, any efforts at a merger or takeover would be extremely difficult as the exchange operators face tough financial-market conditions and sharply differing valuations. Deutsche Borse said it 'constantly evaluates many options' to improve its business, and that if talks were indeed held with 'potential partner' NYSE, they 'ended without any result.' NYSE declined to comment. A merger would have created the world's biggest securities trading and clearing group, and been the most dramatic consolidation to date among the big exchange operators as they try to fend off fast-growing alternative trading platforms.
  • Insurer proposals move forward. A group working for the National Association of Insurance Commissioners [NAIC], a state insurance regulator, has green-lighted several proposals recently submitted by the life-insurance industry aimed at lowering insurers' capital and reserve requirements. Many of the proposals will eliminate redundant reserves, potentially freeing up as much as $22B-$28B industrywide. 'We recognize the economic situation' and the need to act urgently, said the head of the group which will makes its recommendations to the NAIC this week. Shares of life insurers have taken a beating in recent weeks on concerns they would have to raise capital on unfavorable terms, though Hartford Financial Services (HIG) and Prudential Financial (PRU) led a sector rally on Friday, in part on expectations of regulatory relief.
  • Thain wants on the money train. Merrill Lynch (MER) has suffered net losses of $11.7B this year, but CEO John Thain is pushing for a 2008 bonus of as much as $10M, saying he helped avert what could have been a much larger crisis for the firm. No decision has been reached yet, but sources say the compensation committee is leaning towards denying executive bonuses this year. Bank of America (BAC), with a reputation for thrift, said only that "we have no comment. They are still an independent company." On Friday, shareholders of both companies approved Bank of America's takeover of Merrill Lynch. Bank of America will surpass JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Citigroup (C) as the largest U.S. bank with $2.7T of assets.
  • Tough times for newspapers, I. Facing tighter credit, falling advertising revenue and shrinking profits, The New York Times Company (NYT) plans to borrow up to $225M against its mid-Manhattan headquarters building to ease a potential cash flow squeeze. The company has over $1B in debt and one of its two revolving lines of credit, each with a ceiling of $400 million, is set to expire in May. S&P recently lowered its credit rating on the Times Company to below investment grade, and Moody's is considering a similar move.
  • Tough times for newspapers, II. The Tribune Company, the newspaper chain that owns The Chicago Tribune and The Los Angeles Times, could file for Chapter 11 as early as this week. With nearly $1B in interest payments due this year and a $512M debt payment due in June, the company has been in continued talks with lenders to restructure its debt, but sources say law firm Sidley Austin has been hired to advise the company on a possible bankruptcy while investment bank Lazard Ltd. has been hired as a financial adviser. Battered by dwindling advertising sales and unmanageable debt loads, the Tribune's deepening distress is reflective of industrywide problems.
  • Falling payrolls. The government released disheartening employment data on Friday. Non-farm payrolls fell by 533,000 in November, far worse than the 350,000 drop economists expected, and the biggest one-month drop since 1974. The loss was broad-based, spanning manufacturing, construction and most service industries. Excluding a small rise in government payrolls, private-sector employment plummeted even further. Unemployment jumped to 6.7% vs. 6.8% consensus, its highest since 1993. It was the 11th consecutive month of job losses, bringing the number of jobs eliminated this year to 1.91M.

Today's Markets

  • Asia markets closed heavily up. Nikkei +5.2% to 8,329. Hang Seng +8.7% to 15,045. Shanghai +3.6% to 2,091. BSE +2.2% to 9,163.
  • In Europe at midday, London +4.7%. Paris +6.7%. Frankfurt +6.3%.
  • U.S. futures: Dow +2.6%. S&P +3.1%. Nasdaq +2.5%. Crude +5.0% to $42.85. Gold +2.2% to $768.80.

Monday's Economic Calendar

Seeking Alpha editor Eli Hoffmann contributed to this post.


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This article has 22 comments:

  •  
    What I don't understand is why the government whats to be so involved in the auto industry now - yet 10 years ago when the auto companies indicated there was a major problem with the number of Japanese & Korean cars coming into the country and the numbers that their governments were taking in return - Free Trade agreement unfortunatley should have read EQUAL trade agreement - then all car companies would have had enough cash flow to weather the storm instead - the Asian car companies have the bulk and it's mostly North American money.
    2008 Dec 08 08:14 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    AUTO BAILOUT: Ommissions in the draft legislation show just how inept a governmental oversight board will be in driving necessary changes now!
    [1] JOBS BANK "must end" by 3-31-09;
    [2] UAW 2010 AGREEMENT " must" be FAST FORWARDED to 3/31-09;
    [3] GM dealership agreements need to be rewritten;
    [4] Work Rules "known" to be non-productive eliminated -- NOW!!!!!!!
    [5] All management salaries "reduced" 25% -- NO BONUS' -- HIRING FREEZE;
    [6] Engineering & Quality Control REVAMPED;
    [7] Reinstitute FLEET LEASING & RENTAL CAR dist to move units;
    [8] Eliminate all sponsorship events --NOW!!!!!!!!
    [9] Replace all travel with Video Conferencing -- Conference calls -- tech;
    [10] Get rid of "at least" one level of VP's & Managements;
    [11] Cancel all corporate sponsored employee rewards events;
    ****** B-O-D's must be supplemented by Jack Welsh types!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Replace POLITICS with GOOD BUSINESS PRACTICES ---- NOW!!!!!!!

    IMHO
    2008 Dec 08 08:25 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    eddie64 YES, YOU ARE RIGHT ON THE MONEY!!! This is a perfect plan!
    2008 Dec 08 08:36 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The only way for all these good suggestions to happen is Chapter 11


    On Dec 08 08:25 AM eddie64 wrote:

    > AUTO BAILOUT: Ommissions in the draft legislation show just how inept
    > a governmental oversight board will be in driving necessary changes
    > now!
    > [1] JOBS BANK "must end" by 3-31-09;
    > [2] UAW 2010 AGREEMENT " must" be FAST FORWARDED to 3/31-09;
    > [3] GM dealership agreements need to be rewritten;
    > [4] Work Rules "known" to be non-productive eliminated -- NOW!!!!!!!

    >
    > [5] All management salaries "reduced" 25% -- NO BONUS' -- HIRING
    > FREEZE;
    > [6] Engineering & Quality Control REVAMPED;
    > [7] Reinstitute FLEET LEASING & RENTAL CAR dist to move units;

    >
    > [8] Eliminate all sponsorship events --NOW!!!!!!!!
    > [9] Replace all travel with Video Conferencing -- Conference calls
    > -- tech;
    > [10] Get rid of "at least" one level of VP's & Managements;

    >
    > [11] Cancel all corporate sponsored employee rewards events;
    > ****** B-O-D's must be supplemented by Jack Welsh types!!!!!!!!!!!!

    >
    > Replace POLITICS with GOOD BUSINESS PRACTICES ---- NOW!!!!!!!

    >
    >
    > IMHO
    2008 Dec 08 08:37 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    eddie64, you got horse sense!
    2008 Dec 08 08:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    With Consumer spending in freefall, credit card debt spiralling upwards along with unemployment, who is GM going to sell cars to even if they survive long enough to retool and reorganise ? If they get their bailout and eliminate all unnecessary costs, reduce workers wages, pensions etc. and make it , still standing, to end of 2009, the last thing on consumers' minds will be an overexpensive hybrid like a Torus lookalike.
    2008 Dec 08 08:53 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Eddie64, You forgot a UAW salary/entitlement revamp. I am NOT talking about new hires. I am talking about present hires. Just like managements 25% pay cut.

    They should also do something about job descriptions for uaw. It should not take a designated person to change a light bulb or sweep the floor that should be in everyones job description. Stopping the factory line to wait till someone comes and changes the light bulb or sweeps up a mess is foolishness.
    2008 Dec 08 09:44 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Add to the list
    Bring back the electric car . It was deliberately killed yes killed by GM around 2001-2003. See the documentary movie 'Who killed the Electric Car?' for evidence of their bad decision making.
    2008 Dec 08 09:56 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Thain of Merrill could have said, "what I did cost Merrill a ton of money but it could have been even worse if I wasn't gone so much on expensive, lavish world trips, so I deserve a bonus for not being around more and losing Merrill even more money than I did".

    Makes perfect sense using typical Wall Street logic.
    2008 Dec 08 10:39 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Why use taxpayer money for the automaker bailout ? Put the retirees on Social Security and Medicare and use the pension plan dollars.

    Also, Boards of Directors are "responsible" ( I use that term loosely here ) for company direction. Based on the direction US automakers have been on for decades, Congress would be insane to give them a penny without clearing the board room completely. The folks who got them here ain't bright enough to get out of the way of an oncoming bus. Let them play golf.
    2008 Dec 08 10:45 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Does this mean the extinction of the endangered Hummer?
    We will lose the beautiful morning cry of 'Filler-up'
    GM loves those grandiose cars, OPEC loves them too.
    What are we to do?
    2008 Dec 08 11:02 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    As Detroit has failed in the most basic, fundamental area of company management, and that is, "do we have a viable product and can we profitably make that product to out-compete?" The answer for over 30 years has been absolutely NOT. How long did it take to potty train your one/two year old? So, using that evidence, which is smarter, your two year old or Detroit? No doubt in my mind. Take a bow.
    2008 Dec 08 11:38 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    You want to know how complete the opposition is to an automaker bailout ? My sister sent me an article from Michael Moore - michaelmoore.com. Even Michael Moore is against a bailout !!!

    Given Mike's batting average, I'd say that makes a bailout absolutely certain...
    2008 Dec 08 11:57 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Automaker bail-out or no bail-out, it makes no difference. OPEC loves $100 dollar a barrel for crude oil. As soon as this recession is over, it going back up. So what can we do? Glad you asked, America can out smart them by raising the gas tax till it reflects $100 per Barrel or about $4.00 a gallon. We are going to get $4.00 a gallon no mater what. We have been given a great opportunity with our cut in usage caused by the economic melt down. With $4.00 a gallon gas people will drive less and more fuel efficient cars which will save even more oil. With the tax money, mass transits and high speed trains can be built. Or we can let OPEC have the money. The choice is ours.
    2008 Dec 08 12:21 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    There is no politician in existence with the guts or the common sense to propose a gas tax increase. Tax increases in recessionary times are bad economics and tax increases in non recessionary time are worse economics don't you know?
    2008 Dec 08 01:14 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    There should be NO bailout money for Chrysler!!!!

    There should be NO bailout money for Chrysler!!!!

    Cerberus is a vulture fund that had every intention of stripping Chrysler of every penny and then bringing it back to the market and walking off with their fat billions and beating their chests while laughing there heads off at how they took the suckers money.
    WELL, to bad boys, it did not work out so well for you this time, you where not as smart as you thought you where. EAT YOUR LOSSES, NO GOVERNMENT (TAXPAYER) MONEY FOR YOU!!
    No money to slosh around in your fund to cover up all of your other mistakes and keep your sorry butts solvent and your pay checks fat.
    Sell out or fold, your done, and I for one am going to write Dodd's office to make sure he hears it loud and clear, as we should all do.

    Taxpayer dollars should not be being used to support PRIVATE VULTURE FUNDS business mistakes.
    Ggillin - 12-08-2008
    2008 Dec 08 01:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    no bailout for chrysler.contact your congress person( if you know who he is, as the sheeples arent too smart these days) & let them know you are against it. also drive less & less if you can manage it. drive opec out of business. i know its hard but every effort helps.
    2008 Dec 08 02:31 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Also I will add the attritional "not so golden" handshake. Cannot be gold or copper right now. It could be a molybdenum handshake.. nice and slick, barely able to hold on( metaphorically). Maybe an education incentive to just for retrain/educate beyond current job and positions.
    2008 Dec 08 03:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    TARP for the New York Times. Or maybe a shroud.
    2008 Dec 08 04:03 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Will the Car Czar, and US govt, be responsible if the auto industry does not become profitable? Will we have to keep bailing them out until the economy picks up and they can stand on their own? This seems like the beginning of a long series of bailouts.
    2008 Dec 08 04:06 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    One of the conditions for auto makers bailout should be-----
    Bring their manufactoring and other outsourseing back to the USA
    2008 Dec 09 05:59 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    So far, UAW is giving nothing. Just saying," when the Labor Agreement is next open for negotiation....."
    2008 Dec 09 10:25 AM | Link | Reply