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Rick Newman

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Let me see if I’m getting this right: AIG (AIG), the huge insurance company, has so far gotten $173 billion worth of federal aid, because traders at one small division made bets on exotic securities that were so calamitous they threatened to bring down the whole company. So far, the amount of money the feds have pledged to this one firm equals nearly one-third of the nation’s defense budget.

General Motors (GM), America’s biggest automaker, has asked for a $10 billion federal loan, equal to one-seventeenth of what AIG has gotten – and Congress has said no. There were no rogue traders at GM, and the company’s problems have intensified in plain view, over several months, instead of coming from out of nowhere in a single, cataclysmic episode.

Make sense? Doesn’t to me. So maybe if we look at each company a bit more closely, it will be clearer why the government favors companies like AIG over ones like GM.

Is AIG bigger? No. AIG doesn’t break out its U.S. employment numbers, but it has 116,000 workers worldwide. Perhaps half of those are U.S. jobs.

GM employs 96,000 Americans. Total worldwide employment is 252,000, more than twice AIG’s.

Are AIG executives humbler? Not really. Here’s how CEO pay stacks up:

Former AIG CEO Martin Sullivan earned about $14 million in 2007. Total pay over the last three years: About $53 million (including only 9 months in 2005, the year he became CEO).

GM CEO Rick Wagoner earned $14.4 million in 2007. Total pay over the last three years: About $30 million.

AIG is also offering controversial “retention bonuses,” ranging from $92,500 to $4,000,000, to a select group of execs deemed essential to the company’s turnaround. Congress has asked questions - but so far shown little outrage.

Has AIG had a regime change? Yes. Former Allstate CEO Ed Liddy took over the company in September, replacing Sullivan, who presided over a wipeout in credit-default swaps and other exotic investments. The fresh blood pacified critics somewhat.

GM has had no regime change, although key members of Congress have called for that. Wagoner has been running the company since 2000, and the company continues to aggressively defend him.

[Read a defense of Rick Wagoner.]

Has AIG presented its turnaround plan to Congress? Not formally. There’s only been one Congressional hearing on AIG, and that focused mostly on past practices. No current AIG officials have testified before Congress since the feds got involved.

Wagoner has testified before Congress four times since November. And GM has presented a 38-page “viability plan,” that’s publicly available, showing how it would use government money.

[See how the automakers' bailout plans stack up.]

Does AIG have friends in high places? You could say that. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke both support the AIG bailout, and they’ve steered money to the company without Congressional approval.

GM’s most important friends in Washington have been the Michigan Congressional delegation, which obviously doesn’t have the clout it used to. Paulson has actually argued against using part of the huge $700 billion financial bailout fund to help the automakers, because they can’t pass a “viability” test proving they’ll stay in business long enough to pay back the loans. But AIG hasn’t passed a viability test either, and without federal help there’s little doubt it would be in bankruptcy.

[Read about better ways to handle a multibillion-dollar bailout.]

Does AIG have unionized workers? Few, if any.

GM has a bunch: 64,000. Ah ha! Maybe that explains it. In fact, Senate Republicans who blocked a $10 billion emergency loan for GM and a $4 billion loan for Chrysler said they wouldn’t approve a Detroit bailout unless the United Auto Workers made much deeper concessions than they’ve already offered, essentially giving up any advantages they have over non-unionized workers in other states.

So here’s one lesson: If you want a government bailout, try to have problems that are too complicated for most people to understand. And make sure your employees are the kind who wear a suit to work every day. Once you’ve satisfied those two requirements, ask for as much as you want: The coffers are open.

Disclosure: No positions.

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This article has 74 comments:

  •  
    Agreed- AIG is an absolute disgrace.
    2008 Dec 12 06:03 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I think that GM doesn't get it because AIG got it first. The public is incensed at how AIG was handled, so no seconds to GM.
    2008 Dec 12 06:10 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    AIG's problems are related to the mortgage crisis, and the company will presumably return to profitability once the liquidity crunch passes.

    GM (and the other 2 of the Big 3) have been dying a slow death for decades, not just over the last year, so that profitability is a pipe dream unless the company's are forced into bankruptcy and completely revamp their business model.
    2008 Dec 12 06:14 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Lets see if I get this right... we have devolved to the, "it's not fair he got a cookie and therefore I deserve one too" argument....

    I love the smell of socialism in the morning....
    2008 Dec 12 06:30 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I generally agree with Lee Smith. I'm not going to serve as an apologist for the AIG deal and the oversight is certainly disturbing. But I think one of the points the author put forth can be turned against him -- the "only one division" argument.

    A major reason that the public has little support for bailing out Detroit is that it has a fundamentally flawed business model and cost structure that has been problematic for a very long time -- and they have no good answer for how they're going to fix those issues. There is NO doubt in anyone's mind that they'll be back for more, and multiple times.

    Compare that to AIG which really only had one problem division and the rest of the business is (reputed anyway) to be highly productive and valuable. AIG had the advantage of a (then) appearance of a one-time short-term crisis (but admittedly, with a shockingly large hole). Also, there was a fear that if AIG went down, a lot of others were going down, hard and fast.
    2008 Dec 12 06:35 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    As far as I know those 10 billions won't make them pass this recession, and once they get some money gov will start to pump more and more into this companies. From what I know, at first AIG got like 30 billions.
    Might be smart to let down one of those 3 automakers in case things don't get back on track too soon.
    AIG bailout might not be just for their employs, but would affect probably millions of people who had their money savings at their disposal with much more implications.
    I don't say it was smart to save AIG, but I don't see a solution in helping all automakers either.
    2008 Dec 12 06:36 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Does AIG have massive counterparty exposure? Yes. GM doesn't have a huge derivatives book to which hedge funds and other insurers are attached.
    2008 Dec 12 06:47 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If you look into the details the AIG bailout did more to help foreign banks than anyone. Their failure would have set off a bad dominoe effect, but the exposure to all of those derivatives has not been solved, addressed or ecen understood by congress so nothing was accomplished except pissing away a lot of tax dollars The psychological effect of destroying the automakers will be far worse that the small billions required to keep them alive. Then when congress decides tha they can better mangage an auto cpmpany than the current mangement it is just laughable, since they look like total idiots when pretending to understand AIG and why it needs a $173 bbl bailout.

    Then for everyone to cry that GM is mismanaged, when all of the supposed foreign automakers that "did everything right" are all asking their govt's for bailouts now says there is a really a much bigger problem in the industry especially when hundreds of thousands of foreign cars are piling up on the docks of Long Beach.

    The human cost of not bailing out the big 3 far exceeds the dollar cost and the same repugs that added $150 bbl in pork to the Wall Street bailout bill to now cry about a few billion to save America;s last manufacturing companies and millions of jobs really smells.
    2008 Dec 12 06:55 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This is silly. AIG poses a systemic risk to the entire financial system. The Big 3 make cars. It is a pretty asymmetric comparison.

    I would also posit that the thesis of this article is exactly backwards. The only reason anyone in Washington (Democrats) gives a second thought to Detroit is precisely because it is so highly unionized. Far from being a detriment to getting help from Washington, it's the only thing they have going for them.
    2008 Dec 12 07:07 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Why do banks and insurance get help, while manufacturing doesn't?

    to quote Dillinger: "because that's where the money is"
    2008 Dec 12 07:15 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Each company poses a systemic risk, but AIG would possibly take down numerous banks and insurance companies as soon as they fail. GM might stay in business if they go bankrupt.


    On Dec 12 07:07 PM A. wrote:

    > This is silly. AIG poses a systemic risk to the entire financial
    > system. The Big 3 make cars. It is a pretty asymmetric comparison.
    >
    >
    > I would also posit that the thesis of this article is exactly backwards.
    > The only reason anyone in Washington (Democrats) gives a second thought
    > to Detroit is precisely because it is so highly unionized. Far from
    > being a detriment to getting help from Washington, it's the only
    > thing they have going for them.
    2008 Dec 12 07:41 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It's all a disgrace. Pathetic.

    But AIG supplied their political buddies $$$$$ in return. They 'managed' their accounts for them if you will.

    GM? D.C. politicians don't want a free Chevy, come on.

    It's all about money, end of story, and the money party in Washington is always in office...
    2008 Dec 12 07:49 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Under the guidance of Billy Durant, a company called General Motors was established on Sept. 16, 1908. Its initial holdings included only Durant's Buick Motor Co. and it went unnoticed in the media. The big news of the day was the planned construction of the world's largest ocean liner, to be called the Titanic

    During the 1910-30 acceleration period, following many acquisitions and product innovations, GM offered more brands and types of vehicles than any other automaker. New assembly plants were also opened in more than a dozen countries

    In 1919, GM bought an unknown company for $100,000 that had built the world's first commercial refrigerator and renamed it Frigidaire.

    Eight years later, Frigidaire was a household name and was contributing more than $15 million to GM's annual net earnings.

    GM's World War II contribution is impressive, having converted all of its production from 1940-45 to the war effort. It delivered more than $12 billion worth of goods, ranging from airplanes to tanks, marine diesel engines, trucks, machine guns and shells. No other manufacturer delivered as much material to the allied forces.

    Some estimate that a total shutdown of the top U.S. automakers would lead to nearly three million lost jobs and costs of about $60 billion in the first year.

    The loss of GM would be the ultimate blow to American prestige around the globe.

    (excerpted from Bill Carrigan's column "Getting Technical" in the Toronto Star Nov 14, 2008)
    2008 Dec 12 08:20 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The UAW manages an estimated $80 billion pension fund. Let them invest in and save GM.
    2008 Dec 12 08:47 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Based on the reasoning offered by E Nuff Said, lets give a bailout to Standard Oil, the Pennsylvania Railroad Company and the entire steamboat industry. We will call it the LTAWDMLP - Lets Take A Walk Down Memory Lane Program.
    2008 Dec 12 09:08 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Just because AIG got money, doesn't mean it's a good idea to give it to GM. I haven't heard the "it isn't fair" argument this often since I was seven. Any money from the government needs to be premised on either the company being orderly wound down or turned into a feasible business. Neither of these two options is really on the table for the automakers. Congress will never have the political will to see through the job losses necessary for either option to work.

    There is only one institution that is equipped to rationalize this type of restructuring, and that is a bankruptcy court. The government could easily step in to make bankruptcy an orderly process. They could guarantee a portion of the DIP financing, a portion of the suppliers receivables, and new warranties until the company is out of Chapter 11. We might even get a functioning auto industry out of the process.

    With Congress calling the shots on a blank check bailout, all you'll get is an endless stream of money thrown at car makers so they can continue to produce cars no one wants to buy.
    2008 Dec 12 11:33 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Charlie don't surf and Senate Republicans hate the auto unions.
    'Apocalypse Now' is upon both the financial and auto sectors.
    2008 Dec 12 11:36 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    So you would rather save ponzi schemes like AIG and Citi - than a company like GM which has contributed immeasurably to our way of life and to defend our country during our time of need?
    2008 Dec 12 11:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    GM cannot be saved.

    Oh the government can pump billions of taxpayers money into the company which will delay it from rotting too fast.

    Sooner or later you have to bury the body and go through chaper-11.
    2008 Dec 12 11:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Financial institutions such as AIG are critical to to functioning of our entire economy. The same cannot be said for auto manufacturers. We could easily import all of our cars from foreign countries (with low wages and equally low standards of living), with only slight ripples in the functioning of our daily lives. The failure of finance would bring down the whole house. Lending, insurance, and reinsurance are vital like the electric company and the telephone company. These lynchpins hold the whole economic structure together.
    2008 Dec 13 12:25 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The Big Three doesn't make cars that we want (high MPG, quality, etc) Guess who killed the electric car? GM! I would have gladly brought the EV1, instead got a Prius.

    The BIGGEST problem is organized labor. the unions' "job bank" is the most stupid thing ever (laid off workers get 95% pay) they're the ones who make the Big Three uncompetive. We can still manufacture cars in the US, all the foreign makers are successful.

    Bankruptcy is the only way for them to start clean (break all the union contracts, get rid of all the pensions) and doing things the right way.

    2008 Dec 13 01:02 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This is pretty clear class warfare. There is a 9-to-1 bias toward misrepresenting the amount of money an auto worker makes. The average citizen and by proxy the average congressman and senator believes those numbers. They think that an auto worker makes $70-$80 per hour which is insanely stupid. They make between $30-$40 per hour, which is good money, but not anywhere near the reported numbers and also not anywhere near the average AIG employee salary.

    The other idiotic assumption is that the financial sector is basically thriving except for a couple of bad apples. This is based upon the idea that once this crisis is over we can return to the financial business model of the past 20 years. Of course we cannot because massive fraud at all levels was occurring in real estate, credit cards, derivatives, etc. that added to the bloated profit margins of these companies. This fraud has been aided and abetted by the Fed (Greenie encouraged adj. rate mortgages while the fed funds rate was 1.0) Most of these financial firms would have trouble in any other environment.
    2008 Dec 13 01:29 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I still think AIG got bailed out because Governor Paterson of New York had just given the OK for AIG to start tapping the finances of its subsidiaries, which would have put them in a position to start "bridge" loaning (bankrupting) the AIG insurance and annuity contracts of its subsidiaries. This was on Sept 15. The bailout came on Sept 16.

    www.wnyc.org/news/arti...
    2008 Dec 13 01:30 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Dude, you missed the invitation, this is the Bush Going Away Bash! Grab those tax dollars while you can!
    2008 Dec 13 01:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Part of the GM contracts was that GM would provide health care benefits for life. Even as the rest of us get pushed into Medicare at 65, GM continues with gold plated coverage (free, I believe). So bear that in mind. Part of the GM bailout would go to paying for retirees to get health care benefits that you can only dream of.
    2008 Dec 13 01:43 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Please give me an example of a company that any reader of this website would work for that does not give excellent benefits. I have worked for several large companies and the benefits are excellent for average employees. I work in technology by the way and have a pension, full benefits, 401k, decent pay. You are basically saying that an auto worker makes something more than an average professional, that is simply not being honest. At least the auto workers provide a useful service which cannot be said for the vast majority of major financial institutions. The financial sector's business model has been predicated upon a consumer savings rate that over 30 years went from over 10% to -1. That is being reversed as we speak which means that these large financial companies are dead in the water for the current cycle, decades to come.


    On Dec 13 01:43 AM AlexS wrote:

    > Part of the GM contracts was that GM would provide health care benefits
    > for life. Even as the rest of us get pushed into Medicare at 65,
    > GM continues with gold plated coverage (free, I believe). So bear
    > that in mind. Part of the GM bailout would go to paying for retirees
    > to get health care benefits that you can only dream of.
    2008 Dec 13 01:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It's OK, the insurance salesmen will make our defense vehicles when we need them.
    2008 Dec 13 02:04 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    GM can only be saved through Chapter 11 which, in effect, is a government regulated (rather than government hand out) bailout. Of course the UAW would not bargain away their contract rights, but would likely be more willing to accept a bankruptcy court restructuring of the collective bargaining agreement. GM is on the right path in planning for bankruptcy. It is the only way they can make it. If the White House wants to arrange a small bridge loan until the bankruptcy stay on creditors' demands takes place, that makes sense. In the meantime, get should get its bankruptcy papers ready for filing ASAP.
    2008 Dec 13 08:16 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Correction to above comment: GE should get its bankruptcy papers ready to file ASAP.
    2008 Dec 13 08:17 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    clearly the republican senators from southern states (having their own auto assembly plants with nonunion workers & owned by foreign corporations) would like to put detroit out of business.

    a domestically owned industrial base is essential if the u.s.a is going to continue to fight wars all over the world.
    > jack
    2008 Dec 13 08:21 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "GM" should file its bankruptcy petition ASAP.
    2008 Dec 13 08:24 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Americans have always been known to be better at manipulating Asians in money-related businesses. That's why Americans can still live way better and way beyond their means even though they are only good at "moving money around" and continuously inflate the national deficit.

    What's happening over the last decade is Asians like Chinese and Indians have become more educated and smarter to realize that Americans are not as productive in comparison as decades before and they are being pampered by the foreign debt. Decades ago, Americans were a productive country in the real sense until they've become to always way overstress the importance of the businesses of "moving money around".

    That's whay I learned and observed when I had my further studies in the States. This years and years of complacency amongst the Americans especially the young generations led to this financial meltdown in which the world is starting to realize that the businesses of "moving money around" must be analyzed based on the real merit and not analyzed based on the fact that they're businesses of "moving money around".

    Americans are trying to come out of this by ONLY bailing out with TRILLIONS of national deficit and foreign debt on the money-related businesses since they realize that their best way of maintaining the status quo (American is the no. 1 country in the world) is not to let these money-related businesses to go down. The big 3 are not Americans' bread and butter businesses anymore since Asians have become and will become much "better in all sense" at manufacturing businesses.

    As long as the Asians do not fully realize this fundamental fact of life, Asians can only rise slowly against Americans. Of course, these are watershed times where the wealth of Asians are steadily rising due to the complacency of Americans. They think they deserve the current standard of living when most Americans do not even care and understand about the world outside the States. They think the world revolves around them.

    Full economic decoupling between Asians and Americans would not happen since it's an interconnecting world out there. However, Asians are not experiencing full impact from the American-led meltdown since Asians have been steadily shielding themselves from external adverse impacts by developing their domestic markets.

    Believe me, the day will come when the Asians become so fed up with the lofty standard of living that the Americans were having in the past and are still having nowadays are never justified and the Asians will keep on slashing their country financial reserves from the American debt. Of course, there will be economic impact to the Asians themselves but do you think Americans can keep on being complacent and inflating the deficit to trillions and trillions of dollars? In the real sense, countries are like individuals. One cant keep on borrowing money throughout one's life without being "more productive in the true sense". Americans will continue to feel these excruciating pains until they truly realize that the world doesnt revolve around them only.



    2008 Dec 13 08:45 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    AIG apparently endangered banks which in turn would have endangered businesses which had nothing to do with either insurance or banking. This is in addition to loans being placed in default by reason of the loss of insurance. Any depositor of a bank could have been at risk, at least pending FDIC action which might be too late to stop cascading defaults. Those at risk besides shareholders if GM or Chrysler file some form of bankruptcy such as suppliers have had opportunity to foresee the danger for years. This is both a moral and practical distinction. The main issue is the magnitude of collateral damage.
    2008 Dec 13 09:30 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    So a few overpaid executives at the top with AIG should motivate us to support the UAW for Billions instead of Millions to gain some sort of balance.
    2008 Dec 13 09:53 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Bush and Paulson took care of their friends who make more than $250,000 plus bonuses , so they say screw the masses. if you make less than $ 250,000 you are on your own.he took care of the top 5% who are his base.
    2008 Dec 13 10:52 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    AIG got around the "no bonus" pledge by using retention benefits!! The only way this country can curtail corporate executive greed, and restore a more equitable distribution of wealth, is through personal income tax rates. In the l950s, income taxes had many many tax brackets. As income grew, the brackets slowly rose to 90% for the multimillion incomes. And these high top brackets recaptured this excessive income....and did not discourage initiative, and best of all the economy thrived. We need to go back to a more progressive tax system.
    2008 Dec 13 11:01 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    With a college degree and 4 years of experience I interviewed for a production and inventory control position in California. I asked the interviewer about the retirement program. He got red in the face and said "Hell yes, we have a retirement plan here. When you are 65, you get out". I got the job. No benefits except for a sketchy health insurance plan with really high deductables (the plan stopped if you retired, of course).


    On Dec 13 01:51 AM User 318684 wrote:

    > Please give me an example of a company that any reader of this website
    > would work for that does not give excellent benefits. I have worked
    > for several large companies and the benefits are excellent for average
    > employees. I work in technology by the way and have a pension, full
    > benefits, 401k, decent pay. You are basically saying that an auto
    > worker makes something more than an average professional, that is
    > simply not being honest. At least the auto workers provide a useful
    > service which cannot be said for the vast majority of major financial
    > institutions. The financial sector's business model has been predicated
    > upon a consumer savings rate that over 30 years went from over 10%
    > to -1. That is being reversed as we speak which means that these
    > large financial companies are dead in the water for the current cycle,
    > decades to come.
    2008 Dec 13 11:04 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    What a load of crap. Sure, we need a transparent financial system without abuse to "lubricate the engine of the economy", but to claim that companies like AIG are critical to our entire economy is ridiculous.

    AIG, Citi, BofA, etc are parasites that suck wealth from the wealth-creating sector.

    Go back to Econ 101. There are only a few ways to create wealth, and all involve adding value to more basic goods. Converting mined materials into usable materials for manufacturing, converting materials into manufactured goods, lumbering, fishing, etc.

    All together - bankers and insurers don't create wealth; they manage and redistribute wealth. If the wealth-creating sector dries up, we won't need bankers, lawyers, or insurance salesmen.


    On Dec 13 12:25 AM mediocris wrote:

    > Financial institutions such as AIG are critical to to functioning
    > of our entire economy. The same cannot be said for auto manufacturers.
    > We could easily import all of our cars from foreign countries (with
    > low wages and equally low standards of living), with only slight
    > ripples in the functioning of our daily lives. The failure of finance
    > would bring down the whole house. Lending, insurance, and reinsurance
    > are vital like the electric company and the telephone company. These
    > lynchpins hold the whole economic structure together.
    2008 Dec 13 11:06 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Open a small business without a line of credit or run a bank without mortgage insurance. It could be done if we sink to the level of Cuba or Saudi Arabia.
    One of the reasons that GM is failing is that they cannot continue to get a line of credit (from companies like Bank of America or Citi) unless they get an infusion of capital, a bridge loan. Multiply that over the entire economy, no credit for anyone. Our modern, prosperous, economy would collapse and even the Treasury Dept.could not save it. The "wise men" in Washington correctly called that one.

    On Dec 13 11:06 AM User 173545 wrote:

    > What a load of crap. Sure, we need a transparent financial system
    > without abuse to "lubricate the engine of the economy", but to claim
    > that companies like AIG are critical to our entire economy is ridiculous.
    >
    >
    > AIG, Citi, BofA, etc are parasites that suck wealth from the wealth-creating
    > sector.
    >
    > Go back to Econ 101. There are only a few ways to create wealth,
    > and all involve adding value to more basic goods. Converting mined
    > materials into usable materials for manufacturing, converting materials
    > into manufactured goods, lumbering, fishing, etc.
    >
    > All together - bankers and insurers don't create wealth; they manage
    > and redistribute wealth. If the wealth-creating sector dries up,
    > we won't need bankers, lawyers, or insurance salesmen.
    2008 Dec 13 11:32 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The entire financial system has become corrupted. Everyone knew someone who made $18,000 and qualified for a $700,000 loan or something similar. Everyone nkew mortgage brokers winked and nodded nd falsified papers. This went all the way to the top of the $1/2-1 QAUDRILLION derivatives ponzi scheme.

    Now the corrupt financial regulators are going to stry and ave the corrupt financial system. They cannot. Instead they will destroy America.
    2008 Dec 13 11:41 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    To add to the point. The big three, unlike AIG, actually produced something- automobiles. I know alot of people are sqwauking about them not producing fuel efficient cars, and there is some truth to that, but the truth is most people were not buying fuel efficient cars until gas started going up this year! People were buying SUVs, and that is what was being produced.

    We are going to save the virtual world of fake money, but throw out the productive economy.

    2008 Dec 13 11:48 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The idea the AIG & Citicorp are 'vital' while GM & Ford are not says all that needs to be known about the US economy.

    We're so far gone it's not even funny.
    2008 Dec 13 11:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    @ Asians:


    Indeed!

    As you are too polite to say it, I will suggest a phrase to be applied to the Americans that I learned on the docks in Hong Kong . Perhaps you are familiar with it?

    Do lay lo mo! Quite fitting I think.






    On Dec 13 08:45 AM Asians wrote:

    > Americans have always been known to be better at manipulating Asians
    > in money-related businesses. That's why Americans can still live
    > way better and way beyond their means even though they are only good
    > at "moving money around" and continuously inflate the national deficit.
    >
    >
    > What's happening over the last decade is Asians like Chinese and
    > Indians have become more educated and smarter to realize that Americans
    > are not as productive in comparison as decades before and they are
    > being pampered by the foreign debt. Decades ago, Americans were a
    > productive country in the real sense until they've become to always
    > way overstress the importance of the businesses of "moving money
    > around".
    >
    > That's whay I learned and observed when I had my further studies
    > in the States. This years and years of complacency amongst the Americans
    > especially the young generations led to this financial meltdown in
    > which the world is starting to realize that the businesses of "moving
    > money around" must be analyzed based on the real merit and not analyzed
    > based on the fact that they're businesses of "moving money around".
    >
    >
    > Americans are trying to come out of this by ONLY bailing out with
    > TRILLIONS of national deficit and foreign debt on the money-related
    > businesses since they realize that their best way of maintaining
    > the status quo (American is the no. 1 country in the world) is not
    > to let these money-related businesses to go down. The big 3 are not
    > Americans' bread and butter businesses anymore since Asians have
    > become and will become much "better in all sense" at manufacturing
    > businesses.
    >
    > As long as the Asians do not fully realize this fundamental fact
    > of life, Asians can only rise slowly against Americans. Of course,
    > these are watershed times where the wealth of Asians are steadily
    > rising due to the complacency of Americans. They think they deserve
    > the current standard of living when most Americans do not even care
    > and understand about the world outside the States. They think the
    > world revolves around them.
    >
    > Full economic decoupling between Asians and Americans would not happen
    > since it's an interconnecting world out there. However, Asians are
    > not experiencing full impact from the American-led meltdown since
    > Asians have been steadily shielding themselves from external adverse
    > impacts by developing their domestic markets.
    >
    > Believe me, the day will come when the Asians become so fed up with
    > the lofty standard of living that the Americans were having in the
    > past and are still having nowadays are never justified and the Asians
    > will keep on slashing their country financial reserves from the American
    > debt. Of course, there will be economic impact to the Asians themselves
    > but do you think Americans can keep on being complacent and inflating
    > the deficit to trillions and trillions of dollars? In the real sense,
    > countries are like individuals. One cant keep on borrowing money
    > throughout one's life without being "more productive in the true
    > sense". Americans will continue to feel these excruciating pains
    > until they truly realize that the world doesnt revolve around them
    > only.
    >
    >
    >
    2008 Dec 13 12:03 PM | Link | Reply
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    The government took care of the rich at AIG and told the middle class on the assembly lines to drop dead. Isn't this what America is all about?
    2008 Dec 13 12:10 PM | Link | Reply
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    hey, didn't the failure of AIG to put up funding by a certain date trigger a conversion to equity, and doesn't that mean that the U.S. now owns a large marjority of AIG? if we own it and we're putting money in, that is money we are paying to ourselves, perhaps simply buying GM is the way to go
    2008 Dec 13 12:21 PM | Link | Reply
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    The bailout requested by GM and Chrysler to keep operating is chump change compared to the pension obligations the PBGC will have to pick up when they go down. Defeating the assistance is penny wise and pound foolish.
    2008 Dec 13 12:51 PM | Link | Reply
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    I think the Asians post is dead on. All the bailouts were a waste of money. Paulson sold Congress on a plan to buy distressed assets and then went back on his word. To think that the team at Treasury didn't see that coming after handing a 3 page proposal to Congress is the height of stupidity. So lets review - we bailed out the New York financiers without any conditions to make sure they don't repeat their mistake, we are rewarding failure in Michigan, Ohio and the rust belt states even though Congress tied their hands with the CAFE standards, and meanwhile, the autoworkers in the south get a gob of spit right in the face. Am I missing something?
    2008 Dec 13 12:57 PM | Link | Reply
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    Yes, I did miss something - the UAW has an 80 billion dollar pension that they could lend to the employers.

    I have also seen a lot of posts about the defense industry. So far, in the two conflicts we've had in Iraq, we never lost ONE tank, and those tanks were manufactured by General Dynamics. And in case you haven't noticed, the Big 3, outside of trucks and Cadillacs, have not survived through the dealerships but the bond markets. Its the same business model as Amway, but Amway isn't asking for a bailout.
    2008 Dec 13 01:01 PM | Link | Reply
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    Frankly, I don't believe any of them should be bailed out. I believe in the free market capitalist system. I believe the approach we are currently pursuing is fraught with a lot of morale hazard. I also don't believe we ought to be bailing out homeowners. Let the chips fall where they may. But that's my idealist beliefs.
    The truth is that no bailouts come with a very large near term cost to the economy, to jobs, to the world. What I believe would be ideal in the long run, doesn't work at all in the short run. Ideally, we would have already had a system in place that would make the cost borne only on those who made such disastrous decisions. Now we have to work around it, and later make the changes necessary so that stupidity is not rewarded and/or supported.
    Now in addressing Ricky's blog, I have to present the evidence as he failed miserably. His blog is one for political posturing only and has business on "Seeking Alpha".
    AIG is turning out to be ridiculously costly. The company would tell us that they taxpayers will see a return of principal plus interest but I'm a little skeptical about that. However, what is most important is understanding why we've sent them so much of taxpayer dollars. AIG is about as deeply involved in Credit default swaps as any other American company. The risk isn't just to AIG, for if it were, I say bye, bye AIG. The risk is to virtually every large bank on Earth. The risk is counter party risk of the worse kind. The world's largest banks are so deep in credit default swaps and counter party risk that a player like AIG could send the entire world financial system into a freefall that would make what we've seen in this financial crisis so far seem like a tea party. This totally unacceptable. Our risk isn't the 170B we've used, its trillions to the entire network of banks.
    Now what about the big 3? What risk does the economy face if one or more should see bankruptcy? it depends on whether the government is willing to back these companies with loans after a managed bankruptcy solution is hatched. This talk of them going to total liquidation would only occur if the government chooses not to loan them anything under any circumstance. What's the chance of that after Obama is in power and the new Congress is seated? Zero! This is actually the best opportunity the Auto industry has ever had to get a clean start. Under bankruptcy they have the power to renegotiate contracts as they see fit for the industry going forward. If things are done in what I would call properly managed with government loans, the risk to the economy is much less than if we start loaning them money now without bankruptcy. The assumption from guys like Rick Newman is that the auto industry only needs some short term loans to get over the hump and will function thereafter in a profitable environment. But the evidence is all around that won't be happening. Their business model is broken. Their legacy costs are killing them. The UAW says they'll cover legacy costs after 2010 but only if the big 3 cough up $50 billion. Wait a minute. The money discussed right now is a bridge loan to last till March. Then all agree they will seek at least the remainder of the 34 billion they had last calculated. Then they will need at the very least another $25 billion that the congress had already promised them for retooling. If they are in need of this money, where does the other $50 billion come from? That's right! The taxpayer will fund this too. So now, we're in the tank for a little over $100 billion at the least. Because there isn't any bankruptcy, the government can't demand that our $100 billion+ is senior to other loans that have already been designated senior debts. We can't break contract laws without bankruptcy. So we wait in line. In the meantime, the American auto manufacturers are attempting to build small economical cars as instructed by Congress which they decided against in prior years due to the fact that they can't make a profit on these same small cars in this country. These are their words, from just a couple of years ago.
    So, its not about 15B, and its likely not just about 100B. This is going to be an intravenous drip for as long as the American taxpayer is gullible enough to keep throwing good money after bad.
    2008 Dec 13 01:57 PM | Link | Reply
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    I think as far as total employment of those 2 companies, AIG & GM, the numbers are bigger at GM. The far reaching numbers will be if GM has to declare bankruptcy in all those other companies affected by it. Is Big Oil listening to any of this??
    On Dec 12 06:03 PM EMS wrote:

    > Agreed- AIG is an absolute disgrace.
    2008 Dec 13 02:32 PM | Link | Reply
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    Bailouts are flat wrong. They bring out all the liars, crooks and creeps that will try to game the system. Failure is not all bad. It forces new innovation. Bailouts just prolong the agony and slow innovation.
    2008 Dec 13 03:42 PM | Link | Reply
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    AIG was given the money because of China. China now owns a good percentage of the US debt...China also has a large investment in AIG.
    These are the facts and the real truth but it won't be mentioned or discussed becasue China.more and more........can influence US actions..........becau... of the money..........didn't you ever hear "follow the money".......and it will lead you..........
    2008 Dec 13 05:33 PM | Link | Reply
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    Dear Mr. Newman, the reason why AIG gets $173 billion in funny money (a.k.a. FED notes) while GM gets none is simple. GM is a manufacturing operation, while AIG is a "service" operation.

    It is one of the tenets of the architects of "globalization" to kill US industry. The idea is simple. Get rid of US manufacturing, the US won't be able to make anything, including weaponry. This will t hen make the US totally dependent on the "international community." The US will then be more comfortably merged into "North American Union" and eventually, "Global Governance" if the US is unable to exist independently.
    2008 Dec 13 07:21 PM | Link | Reply
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    And the critical part is fulfilled by doing what? By giving millions in bonuses to their executives, while others are out of job? That is a very good use of our tax dollars!!
    This is all double standard which unfortunately very few are able to see.

    On Dec 13 12:25 AM mediocris wrote:

    > Financial institutions such as AIG are critical to to functioning
    > of our entire economy. The same cannot be said for auto manufacturers.
    > We could easily import all of our cars from foreign countries (with
    > low wages and equally low standards of living), with only slight
    > ripples in the functioning of our daily lives. The failure of finance
    > would bring down the whole house. Lending, insurance, and reinsurance
    > are vital like the electric company and the telephone company. These
    > lynchpins hold the whole economic structure together.
    2008 Dec 13 07:33 PM | Link | Reply
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    Just because we've already taken out a mortgage on our children's futures does not mean we should take out a second one as well.
    2008 Dec 13 08:22 PM | Link | Reply
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    the author is clueless comparing AIG to GM. agree with Lee Smith and Tricky.
    2008 Dec 13 09:44 PM | Link | Reply
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    LET'S SEE, we dont spend say,15 billion, to keep two million jobs going and how much will we spend next year to get two and a half million new jobs going? 600 billion?
    Well Hell yeah sure we should not spend the fifteen. We may not be smart but we are ideologically pure.
    2008 Dec 14 02:18 AM | Link | Reply
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    I just heard that AIG manages the Federal Govt's pension fund. If this is correct, that would EXPLAIN alot. They ( Corker, Shelby, etc) would not want their pension lost, but are willing to throw out a tax payers pension ( ie retired UAW workers) for self serving reasons ( ie states like theirs with transplants). Whom, by the way, are given tax breaks to stay and operate in their states. I hear Shelby had even given $250 million of state owned land to one transplant and also used tax payers dollars to train workers for this transplant, without tax payers consent. Billions in tax dollars are forgiven for these transplants as "incentives". How can that be? What happened to look out fro home first? Oh by the way, Japan pays for the research and devoptment done by Toyota and Honda, so they actually have 2 goverments subsidizing them, no wonder they can continually show a profit.
    And after the 9/11 attacks, I did not see any help offered by Toyota or Honda. Ford and GM together gave $40 million + in cash and also fleets of replacement vehicles to the cause. Chrysler also gave millions as did Harley Davidson, who also gave new motorcyles to NYPD. Food for thought.
    2008 Dec 14 04:37 AM | Link | Reply
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    True, this article is going to be emailed far & wide by me. This article Needed to be written. Your comment is the God's Truth. "The Human Cost far exceeds the dollar cost..." People need to understand this.

    Our fearless leaders have gotten US into this, & it will take All of US to get out of it. Many yrs...Look @ Japan! Did their Govt's help their Auto Industry when their entire economy went down the shute? I didn't notice any of them Bankrupting. Nissan was in Big Trouble as I recall.


    On Dec 12 06:55 PM market ace wrote:

    > If you look into the details the AIG bailout did more to help foreign
    > banks than anyone. Their failure would have set off a bad dominoe
    > effect, but the exposure to all of those derivatives has not been
    > solved, addressed or ecen understood by congress so nothing was accomplished
    > except pissing away a lot of tax dollars The psychological effect
    > of destroying the automakers will be far worse that the small billions
    > required to keep them alive. Then when congress decides tha they
    > can better mangage an auto cpmpany than the current mangement it
    > is just laughable, since they look like total idiots when pretending
    > to understand AIG and why it needs a $173 bbl bailout.
    >
    > Then for everyone to cry that GM is mismanaged, when all of the supposed
    > foreign automakers that "did everything right" are all asking their
    > govt's for bailouts now says there is a really a much bigger problem
    > in the industry especially when hundreds of thousands of foreign
    > cars are piling up on the docks of Long Beach.
    >
    > The human cost of not bailing out the big 3 far exceeds the dollar
    > cost and the same repugs that added $150 bbl in pork to the Wall
    > Street bailout bill to now cry about a few billion to save America;s
    > last manufacturing companies and millions of jobs really smells.
    2008 Dec 14 05:24 AM | Link | Reply
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    Who here would loan money to any company that has such little control over their workforce costs as the Big Three enjoys.

    Who here would loan money to any company that has such little control regarding unproductive workers and their firings.

    Labor unions need to be a dead horse. Neither they nor the USA can survive in this new world trade market unless we become competitive. What more proof do we need to see this and please, don't try and compare the financials to the manufacturing companies. They are two completely different animals.
    2008 Dec 14 07:41 AM | Link | Reply
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    On Dec 13 01:02 AM edtheincomeinvestor wrote:

    > The Big Three doesn't make cars that we want (high MPG, quality,
    > etc) Guess who killed the electric car? GM! I would have gladly brought
    > the EV1, instead got a Prius.
    >
    > The BIGGEST problem is organized labor. the unions' "job bank" is
    > the most stupid thing ever (laid off workers get 95% pay) they're
    > the ones who make the Big Three uncompetive. We can still manufacture
    > cars in the US, all the foreign makers are successful.
    >
    > Bankruptcy is the only way for them to start clean (break all the
    > union contracts, get rid of all the pensions) and doing things the
    > right way.
    >

    Who killed the electric car? The real question should be what and not who killed the electric car. When GM had the EV-1 on the roads in Calif both Toyota and Honda had their versions out and running too. All three companies killed their programs and destroyed almost every electric cars that they had in the programs because of management decisions that the cars weren't economically feasable at the time but most importantly the battery technology wasn't good enough.

    All three companies, GM, Toyota and Honda made the decision to kill their electric car programs but you and others only seem to blame GM while not even mentioning Toyota or Honda. If you feel the need to blame GM then you should also blame Toyota and Honda. I'm sure that the reasons that the three companies made their decisions were all pretty much the same.

    I do agree with you about the Jobs Bank being a stupid thing but I do have to inform you that you are wrong about the percentage of pay that the people in the bank actually get. I'll give you a hint, it's not 95% of their wages. I really do wish that people would stop relying and believing the numbers that are put out by the media and actually do some checking for themselves.

    It's true that the foreign manufacturers that have plants here are successful but it's really not a level playing field. They are all located in states where the state labor and employment laws are to put it mildly very favorable to the employer and not to the employees. Very few of them have been here long enough for any of their employees to be close to retiring with Honda in Marysville, Ohio and Nissan in Tennessee being two that come to mind. They all have retirement programs but very few of them for whatever the reason have had any of their employees getting close to being able to retire. I seriously doubt that they ever will either. GM has been here for 100 years, Ford just about that long and both have had generations of employees working their whole lives and retiring while Toyota, Honda, Nissan, VW, BMW, Mazda and Mercedes have only been here for 30 years at the most with the majority of them being here less then 15 or 20 years. They have no "legacy" costs and will not have any for another 10 years.

    They do have a good business plan though. Set up shop in states that really don't care about the welfare of it's workers. Hire young workers that will take a long time to see retirement and use the state's lax worker's protection laws to do your best to push those workers out of the door before they can even think about retiring. As an added bonus you can set up shop in states that have terminate for no cause laws on the books like most of the southern states so that you can get rid of those pesky employees who are getting a little old or the one's who made the mistake of being injured on the job.



    2008 Dec 14 07:43 AM | Link | Reply
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    GM, Ford and Chrysler provide health care benefits until Medicare kicks in and then the benefits are gone. It's not for life unless you die before you are Medicare eligible. Also the health care benefits aren't free, the retirees have to pay premiums.

    Retirement pay is also reduced when you become SSI eligible.




    On Dec 13 01:43 AM AlexS wrote:

    > Part of the GM contracts was that GM would provide health care benefits
    > for life. Even as the rest of us get pushed into Medicare at 65,
    > GM continues with gold plated coverage (free, I believe). So bear
    > that in mind. Part of the GM bailout would go to paying for retirees
    > to get health care benefits that you can only dream of.
    2008 Dec 14 07:57 AM | Link | Reply
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    Rick Newman is correct, that this is more about politics than economics. Without addressing the merits of extending a bridge loan to Detroit, I'm certain that if the auto manufacturers who have settled in the southern states had said that with out a loan they would shutter their plants and lay off hundreds of thousands of employees, with associated regional layoffs extending to a million plus, we would have witnessed a stampede of southern republican senators rushing to the podium to endorse aid for foreign auto makers. We also would have seen northern republican senators, who now favor aid to Detroit, either being indifferent or denouncing aid to foreign companies.
    2008 Dec 14 08:16 AM | Link | Reply
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    nicely put, nicely clarifying article of much of what i've felt - thanks!
    2008 Dec 14 12:50 PM | Link | Reply
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    Ultimately it shows how the priorities of those at the helm are skewed. Not that GM deserved it more than AIG, both were pitiful and it shows the lack of disconnect politics and big corporations have with reality. This is something I fear has really turned off many people. Giving tax payer's cash for companies hasn't don't much. Ah, but as long as we vote for these people.
    2008 Dec 14 05:45 PM | Link | Reply
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    Working in the auto industry sure has been interesting the last month.

    Many conservative white-collar workers, who otherwise would never support "bailouts" or bridge loans are saying "well, since AIG got one, we should get one too." Most blame the unions, comparing the Detroit Three to Honda and Toyota. Ron Gettlefinger hasn't helped matters since he refused to work with Congress during a time where *everyone* needs to compromise.

    Most of the liberal white-collar workers I know are pretty quiet. They'll lash out at executives from time to time.

    Then there are the unionized blue-collar workers who lash out against the executives, taking no blame on themselves. I don't disagree with them that the unions are not the only cause of this problem but most of them act like the unions have absolutely nothing to do with this problem. Bull.

    Straight out of college, as an engineer, I worked with unionized plant workers who were making two to three times what I was making. That wouldn't have been a problem if they were actually worth that. Many of them slept on the job. Some drank. Some were fired but the union always managed to get them rehired.

    For years, I commented that I could not believe that we could even afford to buy cars- because of the wasted money on labor alone. Much of the plant work is hardly more sophisticated than the work performed in a McDonald's restaurant yet the wages are astronomical.

    Then there are the retired workers who defend the union even more.

    "Well, these guys were always accustomed to making that much money." Sure, that's a great excuse to keep paying them that.

    I suppose I would defend an organization which helped me get paid much more than I was worth for years and then handed me a handsome retirement with health-care benefits as well.

    Unfortunately for me, I get to be on the losing side of that equation.
    2008 Dec 14 06:16 PM | Link | Reply
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    AIG and many other finianical companys have operated in an unethical manner. This is the reason that our economy is near a depression. It seems to me that the best way to get money from the feds is by making huge mistakes that will hert everyone. GM problems donot reach those proportions and that is too bad. I believe they should be bailed out for security reasons (who will build our tanks Russia!).
    2008 Dec 15 08:31 AM | Link | Reply
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    On Dec 13 01:02 AM edtheincomeinvestor wrote:

    > The Big Three doesn't make cars that we want (high MPG, quality,
    > etc) Guess who killed the electric car? GM! I would have gladly brought
    > the EV1, instead got a Prius.

    We want big vehicles with bright headlights. Go past a Toyota dealership and all you see are SUV's and pickups. My first car a 1960 American-made car got over 30 mpg and lasted 300,00 miles. I get a new American-made car every ten years or so.
    2008 Dec 15 02:11 PM | Link | Reply
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    Don't shoot the messenger. ONE of the differences between the smile on the AIG bailout and the scorn on the Big 3 also has to do with race.

    Detroit is one of many underdeveloped places in the US where it is still not popular, profitable or self-advancing for politicians to to help blue-collar, middle-class peoples -- and many of these people are Black (think Bush vs. New Orleans).

    Politicians and financiers have gotten used to getting kick-backs for doing the -- now proverbial -- middle-class' "honest day's work." If the rust belt has nothing to offer them and their expensive tastes, they're not interested.

    This is still about America needing to grow up sociologically. Someone's got to think of a way to make fair play a valued asset in America.
    2008 Dec 15 04:59 PM | Link | Reply
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    I sure hope the Big3 gets Chapter 11.. it is their only chance for survival. And, when it happens, I sure hope the personnel folks at GM, F, have been keeping score of all the UAW slackers, so they do NOT get rehired when the unions are out of there. Those laggards can move down to Arkansas and clean out trailer park trash for minimum wages. hahaha

    techn0: I would have given you a +10 for your commentary, but only 1 vote per person here.

    WayneS: If "we" (you and the frog in your pocket, I guess) want BIG cars with BIG headlights, then go to any used car lot and take your pick.. there is no shortage of them.
    2008 Dec 16 01:03 AM | Link | Reply
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    The reason these morons are treated like we actually need them is Buffet is loaded up on their junk----Big Warren influences the minions in DC---Bigtime!
    2008 Dec 16 09:14 AM | Link | Reply
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    I'm disgusted and very angry about the whole AIG, et. al. thing. I like my Chevy and I want to buy another one. I don't need AIG or Goldman Sachs or any of those other jerks. MY 401K is down 25% already. They're not doing me any good.
    2008 Dec 16 11:16 AM | Link | Reply
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    HomerII - what I was saying is that people say that they want high quality and mpg, then buy a Lexus that goes 176 mph (at least that's what their ad says). GM has high quality, high mpg vehicles. So do the rice-burners. They aren't selling that well. Most people are buying large or fast vehicles, drive them fast and hard and then cry about the cost of the vehicle and fuel. Then they blame everyone else.
    I, myself, drive a Buick LeSabre. I get over 30 mpg. I am retired now. When I was working and computing to work, I got over 75 mpg. I carpooled.
    2008 Dec 16 01:29 PM | Link | Reply
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    The key issue with GM is the companies failure to alter their business model to realign with present and future consumer demand. The executive's failure to control costs and revise initiatives has put the business in the current place, near bankruptcy and with minimal capital reserves. GM has received bailout funds and most likely will only be able to retain that cash for another quarter or two.
    Please do not get me wrong I believe that GM, Ford, Chrysler, and the other American Auto companies are important for the strength of the American Economy. However, if the American Auto companies do not begin to align their initiatives to more extensive technology and produce more efficient vehicles than their fate may be difficult to avoid. Chapter 11 or not.

    On Dec 12 06:03 PM EMS wrote:

    > Agreed- AIG is an absolute disgrace.
    2008 Dec 22 01:37 PM | Link | Reply