Chart of the Week: Gold

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Includes: GDX, GLD
by: Bill Luby

In a week in which most securities drifted lower on uninspired volume, gold was a notable exception, jumping 4.1% as tensions between India and Pakistan increasingly point toward the possibility of a military confrontation while violence in the Gaza Strip between Israel and Hamas is escalating.

Against the backdrop of potential conflict in either Gaza or the India-Pakistan region, gold surged above the critical 840 mark and ended the week at 871. As the uppermost of the two dashed black lines in the chart of the week shows (click on chart to enlarge), resistance from previous November-December 2007 highs was pierced this week. Gold also broke out of a down trending channel (solid black lines) this week and is now setting up for a possible large bullish move. If gold continues to rise, look for Gold Miners (NYSEARCA:GDX) to be even more volatile and likely outperform the commodity or the popular gold bullion ETF, Gold Shares (NYSEARCA:GLD).

Click to enlarge