My 9 Predictions for 2009

Can't do much worse than last year...

1. Oil again reaches in excess of $100 a barrel from the $40 it sits at today.
2. The U.S. Dollar nosedives in value another 30%.
3. Gold soars past $1100 an ounce and stays there for much of the year.
4. 2009 GDP growth is negative for the year.
5. Steve Jobs leaves Apple (AAPL) for health reasons.
6. Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich takes someone in President Obama's administration down with him... media ignores it.. calls the offender "a renegade staffer" and praises the new administration for not knowing what its staffers are doing.
7. Israel takes military action against Iran (see oil and gold predictions).
8. An anti-trust suit is brought against Google (GOOG).
9. Dow 6/1 7500, 12/31 8300.

Comments

[Roger Knights:]

The fates are fickle enough to smile upon you this year. I agree with every one of your items but #8--and that's only because I'm unfamiliar with Goog. See you in 12 months.

2008 Dec 29 05:05 AM

[Roger Knights:]

PS: I think $100 oil is high, although I expect a big rebound up.

2008 Dec 29 05:07 AM

[punk_ash:]

wow, now that is a level headed guy doing predictions I can live with. Good ones. I could not agree with you more. I mean most of them will not be correct, but these are the best predictions we can make as of now. The whole middle east thing is crazy, Iran should be focusing on building a better country, instead they are doing that Nuclear thingy...

2008 Dec 29 05:56 AM

[punk_ash:]

wow, now that is a level headed guy doing predictions I can live with. Good ones. I could not agree with you more. I mean most of them will not be correct, but these are the best predictions we can make as of now. The whole middle east thing is crazy, Iran should be focusing on building a better country, instead they are doing that Nuclear thingy. Was it not UBS that is predicting $300 on Gold, what crap that is. I easily see Gold at $2000 for good with all countries printing money...

2008 Dec 29 05:58 AM

[CLH:]

Nothing of value in those predictions. They are all wrong except for # 6.

2008 Dec 29 08:01 AM

[SJD:]

Even a stopped clock is right twice per day.

2008 Dec 29 08:27 AM

[{5U}:]

I am surprised this is from the same guy who likes the REITS

I tend to agree with your predicitons

2008 Dec 29 08:34 AM

[petetoth:]

bang on...for an optimist. I fear it will be much worse than that. I pray you're right and I'm wrong. cheers.

2008 Dec 29 09:10 AM

[De Graaf:]

Predictions '09 whoehaha,

What kind of predictions are that?

'2009 GDP growth negative' - tell me something we didn't know already.

'Gold 'soars' past $1100' - Gosh, you really 'soaring' now aren't ya?
We're already there in two clicks. This is not a prediction, its a given with current US policy.

'Oil at $100' - from what demand? War with Israel en Iran!?, haha you must be kiddin'. The world won't let Israel go into that alley. If so, the sovereign state of Israel is history. The entire Middle East will stand on there toes to arrest that move.

I think commenter CLH gets it firmly. There is no value in your prediction. Never was and will be. Again, this is just popular b'sjitt.

Where is the value, Sullivan?

2008 Dec 29 11:01 AM

[momomiester:]

your wasting your time predicting these things. I would appreciated the future powerball numbers

2008 Dec 29 01:14 PM

[sjacks:]

well,everything you are saying looks good.As far as Iran is concerned,I think we should show Iran who is boss and tell them to disarm their nuclear program.We've been too nice to them.The same thing goes for that big mouth in South America-that Chavez guy.I dont like being intimidated.Maybe Obama will develop a strategy to deal with these guys!

2008 Dec 30 09:31 AM