Seeking Alpha
About this author:

In a new filing moments ago, Sirius XM (SIRI) has further reduced their Feb 09 debt obligation by another 6 million dollars. In my opinion, this is not something a company that plans to restructure would consistently be doing, and the spike at Monday's close may offer similar sentiment from the street.

Item 3.02 Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities:

We have agreed to issue an aggregate of 45,200,000 shares of our common stock, par value $0.001 per share, in exchange for $6,000,000 principal amount of our 2½% Convertible Notes due 2009 (the “2½% Notes”) beneficially owned by institutional holders. After giving effect to these exchanges, $187,588,000 aggregate principal amount of the 2½% Notes remain outstanding.

We will not receive any cash proceeds as a result of the exchange of our common stock for the 2½% Notes, which notes will be retired and canceled. We executed these transactions to reduce our debt and interest cost, increase our equity, and improve our balance sheet. We may engage in additional exchanges in respect of our outstanding indebtedness if and as favorable opportunities arise.

The issuance of the shares of our common stock will be made pursuant to the exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, contained in Section 3(a)(9) of such Act.

[via Filing]

Disclosure: Long SIRI

Print this article with comments

This article has 45 comments:

  •  
    What Spike???
    Jan 06 09:36 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It was a spike,if you consider someone who bought under .14 cents. lol
    Yes, its still all very bullish. Ive been bullish since .11 cents and I havent changed my opinion.
    Jan 06 09:46 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    As I stated, if .13 held we would challenge 13.5 today, and we cleared that. Support seems to be just above .13 cents now. If we can close over 13.5 today, I am bullish again for tomorrow.
    Jan 06 09:48 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I bought my last bundle at .128. Lets hope to continue seeing small upticks for the next 44 days until the debt restructure is final
    Jan 06 09:52 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Mel Karmazin must go!!
    Jan 06 09:55 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The Fcc Caused these problems, F the FCC.
    Jan 06 10:23 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    so how are they refinancing their debt and how are they generating enough cash to pay it overtime on top of any profits? now that the car industry is adjusting and no a great of a sale on new cars are happening?
    Jan 06 10:31 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Killer - You got about 6 weeks to get the dog ready. Im talking lean, mean, fighting machine. Get him a new spiked collar and file down his nails.....he's heading into a huge street fight
    Jan 06 10:32 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Get Siri..................... ..he's ready...... ..NO FEAR. ..killer.
    Jan 06 11:48 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    .14 cents has a 1.2 million share block to hurdle.
    Jan 06 11:48 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Its gone now...Ill keep you posted...Possiblity now it might hold at .14...If it does I might get excited in my pants...
    Jan 06 11:50 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Brandon, you raise a good point. Companies about to undergoe a Chapter 11 restructure are not the ones who can get debt holders to take shares for equity. They would simply take their chances in BK as bondholders rather than risk it all here as a common shareholder about to get wiped out. We now have Bond Investors agreeing to take shares accounting for roughly $112M of the $300M due in Feb. GS holds $127M of what is left, leaving $60M by others.

    IMHO, and it is simply that, I am very pleased with the SP holding its own here since the Annual Mtg. and dilution for equity so far. Maybe the worst is over. Some good news on the 4Q will help establish this bottom and getting investors taking another look.

    Well I got to go..... the newest addition to the clan is calling for a bottle and a story before his, and my, afternoon nap........ There once was a Blue Dog.....
    Jan 06 11:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    People have no patience, I swear....Sellers gave in....
    Jan 06 11:54 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Not sure if you all were aware of this, but the main markets are tettering right now, fighting for control. This is a huge trend line. It needs to break 9065 and hold for a DOW break out. Another test might come tomorrow, especially if it close up today. If it does break, there is a gap at 9700 on the DOW that has to be filled. After that, its anybodies guess again. Or we could retrace from here and test 8300 again. We shall see....testing .14 cents again...Lets see if people are little more patient this time...
    Jan 06 12:20 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    We have liftoff....People were less willing to risk losing out on .14 cents, than people worried about getting out at .14 cents...This bodes well for a close over .14 cents today if the main market can hold...Dont stress if it doesnt however...Anything close is good...
    Jan 06 12:22 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I know this might sound funny, but a close over .15 cents would consitute a breakout on the charts. It could then test .20 cents, the next resistance point...Im not talking today of course, but for the future.
    Jan 06 12:26 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Remember our tote board people?
    Our original Goal for 2009 was 1.05B!
    Well, as it stands today we have:


    $937,588,000

    currently the breakdown is:
    187,588,000 February
    350,000,000 May
    400,000,000 December


    Jan 06 12:33 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Its working both sides of .14 cents....Still doesnt look too bad...Optomistic..
    Jan 06 12:49 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Hi, And of course the higher the SP the easier it will be to trade shares for debt in future. I'm feeling good about the future today. Goldman Sachs has said they are bullish on 2009 market.
    Jan 06 12:53 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    •  • Website: http://www.yahoo.com
    Dilution, RS. Seems like the effort to refinance has gone away to giving away shares at bargain basement prices. Only problem is that it will be at the expense of Long commons. I guess its better than Bankruptcy and turning the company over to the bondholders. hopefully my 50000 shares wont turn into 1000 shares of penny stock.
    Jan 06 12:58 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Common longs are already dead...If your playing Sirius, your playing for pops, and from these levels or you are just not getting it. Im not mentioning anyone, Im just reiterating that the game for this stock is can you stomach going lower than .11 cents...If you can, then buy here..If you cant, then dont. Its that simple really. If you have already bought higher than 2 dollars and you havent sold yet, then its too late now. Games ending and you might as well see who was bluffing. Stocks only chance is now till marchish...If your waiting till after that, it might be under .05 cents by then, I dont care if they pay back every penny of the debt...Thats where all stocks are going after spring...A lot lot lower than they are right now...Next wave down is not an opportunity, as Ive said before, it will be ownership changing...Whoever has the most cash at the bottom wins!!!
    Jan 06 04:14 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    When do you think investors like Warren Buffet do there most secret, under the table buying...At or near bottoms, they look for indicators that havent happened yet...Right now with cash on hand, Buffet could own all three car makers, and every airline in the country...But who would want them...Hell buy Gum companies and Light bulb companies, and toothpaste companies that have hit rock bottom for no reason other than the equity holders had to sell. When people are forced to sell good stocks into the 5 p/e ration area, and their future looks decent, thats where millionairs are made. If you have 100000 cash at the bottom, you should have 5 times your money if you invest correctly a year later...Thats IF IF IF the boom bust has one more cycle left it its clanky gears...Im not saying it does or doesnt, in fact, im leaning towards it doesnt...Thats why boom or bust, people will still need gum, light bulbs, and toothpaste...Maybe thats why Buffet never invests speculatively and is considered "boring"...Ill take his boring anyday...Geez, you can own 8 satellites in the air broadcasting radio to the entire continent for under 500 million dollars right now.. Thats literally ridiculous...
    Jan 06 04:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If your really greedy youll only buy stocks when they hit a 2 or 3 p/e ratio...Just make sure their product is long term...Gold...coal...e... bulbs..gum...coke..you get it...oil...guns...ammo...
    Jan 06 04:22 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Hi, I've kept on buying as SP went down. My first buys at the higher price were so small compared to buys at .11 that my avg is now only .17
    Of course there has been a price for this. I only have two positions in market because I am 5x as much into Sirius as I ever planned on going. (I closed my other positions to buy Sirius at .11xx)
    So I do not feel too bad about situation today.
    Jan 06 04:23 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    relmor...

    surprised to hear your comments on longer term. can you please elaborate a little more? i agree...siri not coming back to 2-3 dollars anytime soon. but you make is sound like pop to .25 or .30 on good q4 numbers or debt resolution is best case scenario. i'm much more bullish than that. current price level has nothing to do with performance and everything to do with risk of BK. assuming the debt issue was more manageable, this company would be a shining star in this environment...growing revenue, reducing costs, hitting numbers (for the most part), overcoming tremendous challenges, incredible potential etc. what do you think this company is worth if debt was not considered "life threatening"? Many companies carry enormous debt loads, but ideally they don't put the existence of the company (as we know it today) at risk like we have with siri. lets not forget that sometime this year siri begins generating positive cash flow. I guess I'm saying I'm bullish beyond a .10 or .20 pop here or there. my feeling is decent q4...reasonable debt strategy...and much closer to a buck by summertime....
    Jan 06 04:33 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Hi, At merger combined company was valued at 13 bil. So with 4 bil shares each share would be 3.25 Have to wonder where 12.5bil went to in 6 months
    Jan 06 04:41 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    woo whoo .1385!!!!
    Jan 06 05:03 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Got to ramp up marketing to the younger crowd. I take that back. Sirius Xm (more SIRIUS than XM)never started to go after the 14 to 35 year old crowd. Sirius Xm needs to work on their percieved perception of Sat Radio. It's missing the mark altogether when it comes to this age group. We can't fix the economy but they need to do the basics right. With the new youth movement going on right now in this country it's time to respect them and show them what Sirius Xm can offer. If they would start a new advert. campaign geared to this younger crowd I do believe they would be surprised at not only factory intalls, but the aftermarket sales. With the new $6.95 program why wouldn't take advantage of this secret offering. Ask the younger people around you, what do you think of or know about Sat. Radio. I think you'll see what I'm talking about. Even most young sales people at Best Buy or Circuit City are not even sure! So do all the number crunching you people want. It doesn't matter if the company doesn't even know who all their market is and how to reach them. Beg borrow or steal you still have to spend on marketing. This is still a new product and we take for granted that everyone knows about it. THAT IS SIRIUS XM's BIGGEST MISTAKE AT THIS POINT & TIME!
    Jan 06 05:16 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Neal,
    Completely agree with your assessment. Too many people out there think this is just a means of Automobile entertainment. If they can get their marketing and advertising together this company will truly be amazing when the BIG 2......I'm not counting on Chrysler to survive at this point get their collective acts together.
    Jan 06 05:47 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Neal-
    Good Point! My 28 year old son & 21 year old Daughter don't have the service but are more than happy to tune in, once in my car. My son has borrowed my car for the last couple of days and is extremely please with the programming provided by Sirius.

    Although my 16 year old still thinks that limewire is the way to go.

    I guess we all get lazier as we gey older.
    Jan 06 05:48 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Remlor you sound like a sports caster. She's up. She's down. Why isn't Mel and other officers buying crap loads of there own company stock if it is going to go sky high? They would know if it is poised to go up. Mel could drop ten million and retire in a year or so. Why would they try to pay off debt if they were going to go BK? Because they legally need to do everything possible to not go BK or they will get sued for not taking appropriate action to save the company. Besides even if it goes up some all the real longs got screwed and lost 100's of thousands of dollars. Who give's a F if it goes to .20 cents. If you are fishing with 100,000 you will get burned.
    Jan 06 06:40 PM | Link | Reply
  •  

    ONCE AGAIN
    for the benefit of those that do not look at the 10k statements: After this year Sirius still has 2.261B in debt (strung out over 5 years). The Origin of the Debt is located next to the amount.

    There's nothing in 2010!

    3 1 / 4 % Convertible Notes due 2011 SIRI 230,000,000
    Senior Secured Term Loan due 2012 SIRI 247,500,000
    9 5 / 8 % Senior Notes due 2013 SIRI 500,000,000

    and Finally in 2014!
    13% Senior Notes due 2014 XM 778,500,000
    Less: discount on 13% XM -76,328,000
    9.75% Senior Notes due 2014 XM 5,260,000
    7% Exch Sr Sub Notes due 2014 XM 550,000,000
    leases XM 25,821,000
    TOTALS 1,283,253,000
    Jan 06 06:52 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This is good news indeed for Sirius. Soon the Feb debt will be resolved and it will be on to May and then December. Sirius will get through all of these hurdles, one by one. It will be interesting to see how it moves from here.

    Long Sirius
    Jan 06 07:24 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    When a stock is moving round and hard, its good to look closely at the action. Its at short term chart break out levels, so it needs to be watched closely to see what is going on. Holding .14 cents would be significant(percentage wise) and is worth talking about.
    Long term view....
    China/India/etc.. are adapting to the modern business world. They are adapting at everything....Have you read the Time Machine by HG Wells. A must read....I think you will see who is the US and who is CHINA and whats going on in the world.
    Our economy...
    Try asking your neighbor to take "Smith Notes)'' Last name smith...
    He tell you dont worry, everyone around town uses them....Its just toilet paper...When your neighbor gets to the store, they say, oooo, we dont think Steve can pay his bills in the furture, hes looking bad, losing his job, Im going to need something else for these groceries....
    We are "Smith". The world is done with our toilet paper...Backed by literally nothing...Thats why the next leg down in the market will be global changing, nation changing, society changing...etc...
    Jan 06 07:25 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    You say we dont need the world? Your right we actually dont, just Canada/Alaska and control over Mexico is about it. All the resources we need on this side of the map...If a few sheeple have to not get heat in the winter, o well....
    But more importantly, they dont need us anymore...Cause other than technology(hard to keep that from paying hands..) we have nothing to offer...
    We cant make anything anymore, so we need foreign products, but foreign countries dont want dollars for products anymore...They can soon sell them to themselves or other markets, and not take a currency that is not handled responsibly(attached with debt).. Hes some debt notes China. But hey USA, we dont owe you any money!!!! US: O, wow ok...well too bad!!!na!!!!!
    Jan 06 07:30 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    China used to buy treasuries with the extra money(trade surplus) but thats a losing bet, they wont anymore...They want real assets in these trying times, oil...gold..silver...c...
    Jan 06 07:32 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    cos 1000. After a long rest and sleep the slim blue dog has stand up, looking here and there actively, shaking his ear and tail, ready to first jump and run.
    Jan 06 09:37 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    mogami: You have redefined the meaning of the term "all in"!
    Jan 06 11:31 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    relmor: Then why is the dollar rising not falling against foreign currencies? Where will the world park it's money, in the ruble? Do not expect gold to rise significantly except if recession turns to world war or disorder. You will have a resonably long notice when inlfation starts to take over. Gold will not rise because the nations in the world that will enter the most economicdifficulty, such as Russia, also have the largest gold stocks that will require paring down.
    Jan 06 11:41 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Hi, .145 in premarket. Lets see if the dog can go three days in a row.
    Jan 07 08:41 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The dollar is falling vs. forgein currencies. The YEN is in a huge power move right now vs. the dollar as the YEN carry trade becomes unwond..
    The dollar will lose value vs. other currencies, because last time I checked Europe wasnt running a trillion dollar deficit budget nor was China...The dollar had a run because when you sell stocks you need cash...When it invests out the dollar tanks...When the dollar goes back to work, its not going back to work in our stock market or in real estate...It will go into buying commoditites and commodity companies... Infrastructure...They will spend at home rather than hold our debt for us...We are 100 percent reliant on countries holding our debt, that CANT last for ever. Simple math...
    Jan 07 09:21 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Why sell to a country who only gives your toilet paper back in return...Id rather sell to a country who uses responsible currency policy...When the dollar index is back under 70 look me up im not jim cramer...
    Jan 07 09:22 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I just cancelled my two Sirius radios after three years of service. I got Sirius for Stern and I developed Stern fatigue. now I have a car with a jack for an ipod. I have my entire library of music on my ipod and I download a lot of cool podcasts for free. with the economy how it is and car sales where they are, I wouldn't be too bullish on SiriusXM.
    Jan 07 12:30 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Why would they need to get over $5?????
    Jan 07 04:41 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    relmor. You are correct, but forever is a long time. The recession has fractured the unity of the euro. That will take years to repair. The Japanese are too xenophobic to allow a enormous Chinese investment in the yen. No Russian oligarch will invest in Russia with their own money. Investing in $50 a barrel oil, in an attempt to drive it to $80 a barrel oil, only to have the Venezuelans and Russians flood the market with oil to reignite their economies? Doesn't make sense to me!
    Jan 08 01:01 AM | Link | Reply