Bank Failures, 2009 Edition: Three and Counting 17 comments
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2009 is less than one month old, yet there are already a few banks being closed, picking up what was left from last year. A total of 25 banks were shut down in 2008. So far in 2009, three have gone under already:
- National Bank of Commerce, Berkeley, IL: Closed on January 16, 2009, assets at close $430.9 million, deposits at close $402.1 million. National Bank of Commerce’s deposits were acquired by Republic Bank of Chicago.
- Bank of Clark County, Vancouver, WA: Closed on January 16, 2009, assets at close $466.5 million, deposits at close $366.5 million. Insured deposits were acquired by Umpqua Bank, Roseburg, Oregon.
- 1st Centennial Bank, Redlands, CA: Closed on January 23, 2009, assets at close $803.3 million, deposit at close $676.9 million. Insured deposits were acquired by First California Bank, Westlake Village, California.
During the same period last year, only one bank was closed. If the trend continues, the total number of bank failures this year will surely exceed that of 2008.
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We know that the top 20 banks in this country are either actually insolvent or technically insolvent.
The same is true in England.
Now comes the REGIONALS!
They were pretty much spared the brunt of the toxic mortgage disaster. However, because they couldn't compete effectively with the big banks they decided to jump whole hog into the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) market.
Well....now that we are in the Great Recession and will be into a Depression by the first of 2010, all the corporate bankruptcies, particularly in retail, and all the layoffs will have a devastating effect on corporate and commercial real estate.
Plus here's another fly in the ointment. The Big Banks which we know have marked to market just a FRACTION of their toxic derivatives have another secret.......
GHOST INVENTORY. That's right. They have only just listed a fraction of the houses they own due to foreclosure. You think the housing market is bad now, just wait until transparency rules under Obama come into play during the run-up to nationalization really forces the banks to show just how many empty houses they own.
Talk about equity destruction and housing devaluation!
Just in time for the CRE crash, not to mention the Alt-A tsunami which is coming this year and for the next 2-3 years.
In fact let's look at the *rate* of bank failures. It has actually slowed since the big chill back in October and November when it peaked at about 5 banks per month.
Then 3 Banks in December
and now only 3 Banks in January
I'd say this is a quite calm rate of failure.
With respect to most regionals they are doing just fine... In fact have a close look at the regionals and you will see that they are a quite strong and well capitalized, bunch.
Take a look at these 5 that have just flat out refused TARP funding...
mast-economy.blogspot....
I'd like to transplant their management teams to our top 5 banks.
gne
<Nuclear Explosion Occurs>
Dave: "Well Bob, that certainly was a blinding flash and Whoah Boy look at that mushroom cloud!
Bob: "Yeah Dave, I don't know what all the hullaballoo was about, I didn't even hear the Ka-bo.....
<WWWHHHHHHIOOOOOMMM... >
ARRGGHHHH!!!!! Oh SSHHH!!!!!!!TTTTTT!!!!
What you guys fail to understand (and its a very similar situation to the Twin Towers collapse) is the magnitude of this disaster. It is going to take some time to ripple through the system.
Yeah you see the nuclear explosion from afar......you see the damage in the Twin Towers. But this financial disaster is MUCH more widespread and systemic than the S&L's ever was. That was a grassfire on a small patch of prairie that burned itself out pretty quickly compared to this.
But... go ahead. If you think the Regionals are all that great then dump your money into them......
Should be a great investment. Right?
OneUnited
Omni National
Home Federal
Harbor Bank of Maryland
Texas National
Bank Atlantic
The S&L crisis was bad but could be handled. The financial problems today dwarf that. Sadly, it was largely of their own making and no one is getting punished for it aside from the general public, taxpayers, and shareholders. Where is executive responsibility in all of this and what are the Board of Directors doing?
Some big banks are going to fail, and the nationalization steamroller will roll on.
The disaster we face today dwarfs those of past financial 'crises'. We are in deep doo-doo, and the struggle we all face is daunting.
Be nimble, keep your powder dry, and be prepared for anything! This, too, will one day end!
The regionals will only start to fail once the risks percolate through the system - they'll be indirect casualties of the excesses brought on by commoditized banking. But make no mistake: they will be victims, unless you believe the regionals are MORE decoupled from the national economy than China, India, and the emerging markets have proven to be.
On Jan 25 03:08 AM donzelion wrote:
> Why aren't more banks failing? Mainly because the mega-banks have
> effectively "commoditized" financial services - selling financial
> products rather than offering services to customers and accountholders.
> By commoditizing the financial industry, the mega-banks took on all
> the risk - and hence, the smaller banks weren't even allowed to feed
> at those troughs.
>
> The regionals will only start to fail once the risks percolate through
> the system - they'll be indirect casualties of the excesses brought
> on by commoditized banking. But make no mistake: they will be victims,
> unless you believe the regionals are MORE decoupled from the national
> economy than China, India, and the emerging markets have proven to
> be.
That's a good argument.
I'd add that the mortgage and credit securitization business means that some banks simply served as conduits of credit, but kept very little of it on their own books, eg: a local bank that sold all their car loans and conforming mortgage loans on to the markets to be packaged as CDOs and Agency MBS might end up with very little direct risk on their balance sheet.
many of these banks ran their businesses to create income, rather than to increase their own balance sheets. By this logic, we may have already created our "bad banks" -- they're Citi and Bank of America, Fannie and Freddie, the de facto aggregators of bad risk from everywhere else.
By that logic, local and regional banks are more likely to be hit by declines in income than by massive bad assets.
>The regionals will only start to fail once the risks percolate
>through the system - they'll be indirect casualties of the
>excesses brought on by commoditized banking. But make
>no mistake: they will be victims, unless you believe the
>regionals are MORE decoupled from the national economy
>than China, India, and the emerging markets have proven to be.
The regional banks are not decoupled. But if you examine their balance sheets you'll see that they continue to do "banking," not offer stupid financial service clusters in order to manipulate higher returns.
What specific "risks" do you see percolating into the regionals? I respectfully disagree. They will not touch any of that toxic stuff... especially not now....
gne
goodnewseconomist.com
www.fdic.gov/bank/indi...
At this rate we'll surpass the Savings & Loan shutdown rate sometime next century. There will come a time when the financial doomsayers will simply look ridiculous, and hopefully that time will be by year end, as we end a two-year, hard recession, and gradually make a turn. Hardly worth the media's attention, but I'm sure they will over-react as they always do.
This makes 23 bank fails this year and 48 from start of year 2008.
Cape Fear Bank was the first bank from North Carolina to fail while New Frontier Bank becomes the second bank to fail from Colorado this year.
Nobody know how many more banks are going to fail. Prediction is in hundreds of bank.
I found list of failed banks and the map of where the banks are failing on portalseven.com
The page locations are :
Map of failed banks : portalseven.com/financ...
List of banks failed in 2009 : portalseven.com/Failed...
Do check it.
Pravin