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Paul Carton


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Jim Woods co-wrote this article.

The latest ChangeWave survey on cellular service providers shows the battle between AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) is raging on.

The December 9-15, 2008 survey asked 3,800 respondents to identify their current cellular service provider, and AT&T tops the list with 31% – up 1-pt from the previous survey in September. Verizon (30%) came in a very close second, also up 1% from previously.

Sprint Nextel (S) (10%; down 1-pt) and T-Mobile (10%; unchanged) are still far back at the rear of the pack.

In terms of customer satisfaction, however, the results are quite different. The battle isn’t even close.

As the following chart shows, Verizon (49%) holds a commanding lead over AT&T (30%), in terms of the percentage of its customers who say they are very satisfied with their cellular service provider.

click to enlarge


Once again, T-Mobile (27%) and Sprint Nextel (25%) bring up the rear.

What’s Up For 2009?

To get a sense of where the AT&T vs. Verizon battle is headed in first half 2009, we asked respondents if they planned to switch cellular service providers in the next six months. And among those saying they’re likely to make a change, we asked which cellular service they planned on switching to.


AT&T still tops the list, garnering 27% of potential switchers – but that’s down 4-pts from September. At the same time Verizon (22%) has gained 3-pts since September.

Sprint Nextel (5%; up 2-pts) and T-Mobile (5%; down 2-pts) are tied for third place.

Just Drop It!

The ChangeWave survey also took a look at dropped calls – one of the biggest factors when it comes to cellular service provider satisfaction.

To see how the industry titans measure up in terms of number of dropped calls, we asked our respondents to tell us the percentage of their calls that were dropped over the past 90 days.

The clear winner: Verizon, whose customers reported an average of just 2.2% of their calls dropped over the past 90 days.


Sprint Nextel was second with an average of 3.4% of their calls dropped, followed by AT&T with 3.7%. Reporting the most drops were T-Mobile customers, with 4%.

With the Verizon dropped call rate registering the lowest in the industry, it’s no surprise that their overall customer satisfaction rating is the highest in the industry. But why then does AT&T hold a slim market share lead over Verizon?

There’s a simple three word answer, actually – the Apple (AAPL) iPhone.

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This article has 20 comments:

  •  
    Being in the stock market for many years, I have watched both ATT & Verizon. What folks do not understand is that these two companies are not in direct competition... Yes maybe so when it comes to wireless, but both companies have very different game strategies as they move forward. Verizon is clearly the better choice. ATT went to the horse track and bet billions on one product I.E. the Iphone! That to me spells out stupidity.... plain and simple. VZ has many diofferent options especially when it has not just one smart phone, but potentially hundreds on the back burner. Also VZ's customers are MUCH more satisfied with their wireless service, not to mention the light speed of FIOS, which ATT can't hold a candle to.
    Jan 29 08:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    yes...the iPhone. We switched from Verizon in order to have the iPhone. Would we do it again...in a nanoclick. Would we like AT & T to do better...yes!! but AT & T was smart to make the iPhone deal. they were considered an old time company and the iPhone changed that image. It will be interesting to see if AT & T can hold on to an exclusive contract with Apple after this 3 year period is up. I wouldn't bet the farm on it.
    Jan 29 10:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I'm a current Verizon customer on the edge of switching to AT&T. I've just been stung for running over my pre-paid plan minute count - for the second time in three months. Verizon's lack of a rollover option in their calling plans is a major detriment.
    Jan 29 10:38 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    iPhone makes AT&T the clear winner. Plus, if you go on an international trip, the iPhone with AT&T will work anywhere, no additional charges. Try that with any other service.
    Jan 29 10:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    AT&T is in the early stages of their roll out of true wireless broadband. Make no mistake about it. Once realized the iPhone is and WILL BE "THE DEVICE". The 2.2% vs the 3.7% dropped calls... PEANUTS. VERY rare I have dropped calls. The clarity of the iPhone is stellar. I live in Traverse City MI and talk with my folks in CT and my brother in FLA. The signal and reception are just awsome.

    The key here folks is the astounding growth of Apple's App Store. Take a REAL hard look.... AAPL should be around $130 a share today.... BUT NOOOOOOO all the NAY Sayers beat their drums about their third rate handsets, software and OS... What a joke. Like Zune!!!!
    Jan 29 12:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The Future Buying chart is eye-opening. Ever since iPhone was announced, AT&T has shifted from the 11-17% range to the 22-32% range in % planning to switch to AT&T. That's just about double.

    With that locked up, AT&T just needs to work on improving their 3G network.
    Jan 29 01:51 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Drop call data confirms Sprint is not getting the recognition they deserve. Look for them to be a dark horse in 2009!
    Jan 29 06:18 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    brewer I do a lot of traveling outside the U.S. and own 7 AT&T iPhones (don't ask). But I am curious how you make international calls on yours at "no additional charges". A $5.99 monthly fee for international roaming and $1.99 a minute to make or even receive a call from offshore... all while getting charged airtime... doesn't equate to additional charges? I need your secret ;-)
    Jan 30 02:22 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    What is the first thing that any financial advisor tells anyone?.... Diversify! The iPhone is not going to cut it for AT&T. All stock and investment analysts are guiding their customers away from at&t because they bought their iPhone customers. Verizon earns their customers. At&t took a $400 hit on every customer that buys the 3G iPhone. That is over a billion $$. Verizon was approached first by Apple for exclusivity for the iPhone but it was not a smart financial decision for them so they turned it down; Apple wanted entirely too much revenue share. Take out the iPhone and At&T is struggling. What happens when the next trendy phone comes along and another carrier has it. Those iPhone users will switch again in a heartbeat. They may not say so know, but wait until it comes down the pike and knocks their socks off.

    Bottom line, when you measure balance sheet to balance sheet, network to network, Verizon is Paul Bunyan and At&T is Giminee cricket.
    Jan 30 09:27 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I have been a T-Mobile customer for 10 years, and their service has always been good. My family and friends are also T-Mobile. I am awaiting their new faster data network, which is currently the fastest network measured in Chicago (faster that Verizon, AT&T, and Sprint).
    Jan 30 10:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    T-Mobile's 3G network belongs on Saturday Night Live. By the time they have 3g coverage in the top 200 markets, all the other carriers will have completed their 4G rollouts. Sprint needs to sell off Nextel and get back to their old basics with the red diamond logo. Their network is lightning fast and reliable. With Sprint and T-Mobile churning millions of customers, it's no wonder the big two are doing so well. Interesting how T-Mobile used to lead the industry in customer satisfaction and now their in the basement. With no real 3G play, no wonder they are churning ar over 3% becasue their youth crowd can't stream anything but a drinking fountain if your lucky....
    Jan 30 09:39 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Dark horse....pretty much sums up Sprint's chances at even surviving 2009! What a joke!


    On Jan 29 06:18 PM Nextel Accessories wrote:

    > Drop call data confirms Sprint is not getting the recognition they
    > deserve. Look for them to be a dark horse in 2009!
    Jan 31 06:18 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Verizon has the best service, period. Hurricanes, inaugurations, terrorist attacks. It's always the service that works. iphone, cool but it won't work when you really need it if your carrier's network stinks.
    Feb 03 08:30 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I was a Verizon customer for many years - in fact, since the early '90s when they were Airtouch in our area. Great service, great staff - but they finally made one big mistake - turning down the iPhone.

    I recently (reluctantly) switched to AT&T, and now have 2 of my 4 lines of service with them. I will soon be switching the remaining lines as the other contracts roll off. Why? Because of the iPhone, mainly, but the service and reception are excellent - in fact, locally better than Verizon. Dropped calls? So far, none.

    Stockwatchah and RDiddy are wrong on several major counts.

    First, iPhone is hardly AT&T's only choice - they have a large inventory of other phones - including the vaunted Blackberry - although iPhone is outselling them all by 25% or better... however, for those with slender budgets, or those who don't need or want much in a device, there are plenty of choices.

    AT&T doesn't take a "$400 hit" on every iPhone - they subsidize about half the cost - we pay the rest. My 16 GB cost me $199 - plus a two year contract. Over the term of that contract, they make approx. $1400 per phone for the basic package, plus extra charges for features like texting. That is pretty good ROI.

    More importantly, they have also gained MANY new customers they wouldn't have seen otherwise - like me and my entire family - my stepson was the first to get one of the first gen, then I did (after waiting a LONG time for various reasons), and I also got one for my stepdaughter. My wife is next. Meantime, my brother has bought one, and his company (Carhartt) supports them, so he is using it for his main phone and e-mail system when traveling.

    As far as running out and buying something else - I didn't buy it because it was the latest "fad" - I have been asking Apple for a PDA / phone for years. Now they have exceeded even my expectations and their own usual brilliant design and execution, with the world's first true hand-held MID (Mobile Internet Device). It is as amazing as it looks, running a modified mobile version of the great OS X, instead of the Windows Mobile or one of those other laughably poor so-called "platforms." (Stockwatchah, like many others who obviously don't understand the device, seems unaware of the difference between a "smartphone" and a MID.)

    It is simply the best phone I have ever used, bar none - and I will NEVER use another - unless Apple comes out with an even more amazing one. Everyone I know who owns one feels the same way - even my brother, who was a big Motorola and Windows user until last year. (He now has a desktop iMac as well.)

    It also seems to be repeating the "halo effect" of the iPod - that is, it is drawing a lot of new users to Apple from Windows.

    So I am rather dubious that their assumptions (most of which seem to be based on lack of knowledge of the product and / or the market) are useful in gauging either the iPhone or AT&T's market share. The ONLY area where AT&T is actually shining now is in wireless (where everything is headed anyway) - and that is driven primarily by iPhone sales.

    (BTW, Verizon is still kicking itself over their remarkably stupid decision to turn down the iPhone, according to some insiders I know... Speaking just for myself, I am very sorry to have been forced from the Verizon fold - but they made the wrong move - and I have told them so.)

    I imagine that if and when Apple opens up the opportunity, there will be a rush of other service providers to jump on. Apple has succeeded in not only producing the first true MID, and making it wildly successful, but in breaking the mold of the wireless service provider business model - where the SPs are calling the shots. Apple will probably provide the iPhone in future to those companies who agree to Apple's terms - a share of the proceeds - instead of joining Motorola and the rest in a race to the bottom to build cheaper and crappier throw-away handsets.

















    Feb 03 08:38 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    We all have our opinions on this subject but let's look at the facts:

    Yes, AT&T added 2 million customers this past quarter-however, 1.9 million were iPhone customer...so much for other offerings customer are interested in. Did Verizon make a mistake not accepting the Apple offer (remember, they were offered the iPhone first but turned it down)? Don't thing so based on yet again, fact of data earnings minus the fee they payed Apple to be exlusive. Your ROI doesn't account for the fee AT&T paid Apple...they actually lose money on each iPhone customer.

    As far as customer satisfaction between the carriers, proof is in the pudding so to speak. Every major publication (Wireless Week, Consumer Reports, RCR, JD, etc.) all suggest Verizon is the best in every category. Hey, I work for MetroPCS so part of the competition but let's face it, we all have something to strive for.


    On Feb 03 08:38 PM F. J. Taylor wrote:

    > I was a Verizon customer for many years - in fact, since the early
    > '90s when they were Airtouch in our area. Great service, great staff
    > - but they finally made one big mistake - turning down the iPhone.
    >
    >
    > I recently (reluctantly) switched to AT&T, and now have 2 of
    > my 4 lines of service with them. I will soon be switching the remaining
    > lines as the other contracts roll off. Why? Because of the iPhone,
    > mainly, but the service and reception are excellent - in fact, locally
    > better than Verizon. Dropped calls? So far, none.
    >
    > Stockwatchah and RDiddy are wrong on several major counts.
    >
    > First, iPhone is hardly AT&T's only choice - they have a large
    > inventory of other phones - including the vaunted Blackberry - although
    > iPhone is outselling them all by 25% or better... however, for those
    > with slender budgets, or those who don't need or want much in a device,
    > there are plenty of choices.
    >
    > AT&T doesn't take a "$400 hit" on every iPhone - they subsidize
    > about half the cost - we pay the rest. My 16 GB cost me $199 - plus
    > a two year contract. Over the term of that contract, they make approx.
    > $1400 per phone for the basic package, plus extra charges for features
    > like texting. That is pretty good ROI.
    >
    > More importantly, they have also gained MANY new customers they wouldn't
    > have seen otherwise - like me and my entire family - my stepson was
    > the first to get one of the first gen, then I did (after waiting
    > a LONG time for various reasons), and I also got one for my stepdaughter.
    > My wife is next. Meantime, my brother has bought one, and his company
    > (Carhartt) supports them, so he is using it for his main phone and
    > e-mail system when traveling.
    >
    > As far as running out and buying something else - I didn't buy it
    > because it was the latest "fad" - I have been asking Apple for a
    > PDA / phone for years. Now they have exceeded even my expectations
    > and their own usual brilliant design and execution, with the world's
    > first true hand-held MID (Mobile Internet Device). It is as amazing
    > as it looks, running a modified mobile version of the great OS X,
    > instead of the Windows Mobile or one of those other laughably poor
    > so-called "platforms." (Stockwatchah, like many others who obviously
    > don't understand the device, seems unaware of the difference between
    > a "smartphone" and a MID.)
    >
    > It is simply the best phone I have ever used, bar none - and I will
    > NEVER use another - unless Apple comes out with an even more amazing
    > one. Everyone I know who owns one feels the same way - even my brother,
    > who was a big Motorola and Windows user until last year. (He now
    > has a desktop iMac as well.)
    >
    > It also seems to be repeating the "halo effect" of the iPod - that
    > is, it is drawing a lot of new users to Apple from Windows.
    >
    > So I am rather dubious that their assumptions (most of which seem
    > to be based on lack of knowledge of the product and / or the market)
    > are useful in gauging either the iPhone or AT&T's market share.
    > The ONLY area where AT&T is actually shining now is in wireless
    > (where everything is headed anyway) - and that is driven primarily
    > by iPhone sales.
    >
    > (BTW, Verizon is still kicking itself over their remarkably stupid
    > decision to turn down the iPhone, according to some insiders I know...
    > Speaking just for myself, I am very sorry to have been forced from
    > the Verizon fold - but they made the wrong move - and I have told
    > them so.)
    >
    > I imagine that if and when Apple opens up the opportunity, there
    > will be a rush of other service providers to jump on. Apple has succeeded
    > in not only producing the first true MID, and making it wildly successful,
    > but in breaking the mold of the wireless service provider business
    > model - where the SPs are calling the shots. Apple will probably
    > provide the iPhone in future to those companies who agree to Apple's
    > terms - a share of the proceeds - instead of joining Motorola and
    > the rest in a race to the bottom to build cheaper and crappier throw-away
    > handsets.
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    Feb 03 09:27 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The iPhone was surely a great move on the part of ATT, however the Palm Pre is going to be the next standard and Sprint will be the sole and exclusive carrier. Unless you have seen the Pre in action I don't expect you to agree, however once you see it and use it then it will be very, and I emphasize very, difficult for ATT to not lose many of its so called loyal customers, including those that are using the iPhone. This phone is leaps and bounds better than the iPhone. Palm made a good choice in picking Sprint that according to a recent study by JD Powers has the most reliable and fasted data network in the wireless industry.
    Feb 04 04:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Gizmodo, a well-respected technology blog with more than 80 million page views a month in traffic, recently announced that consistent testing of Sprint’s 3G network in eight cities selected by the blog showed Sprint unequivocally beating both AT&T and Verizon in download performance speeds. For more details on the Gizmodo study and results, see gizmodo.com/5111989/th....

    Now envision using the Palm Pre, which is to be released shortly with this net work speed. The Palm Pre outdoes the iPhone in hardware, OS, ergonomics, functionality, flexibility and customer satisfaction. ATT and Apple have a lot of rethinking to do.
    Feb 04 05:11 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    TheStreet.com’s Gary Krakow tested Sprint’s new 3G/4G U300 modem in New York and Baltimore and concluded that Sprint’s 3G EVDO network is fast, in fact, compares favorably to using a similar USB modem on AT&T’s 3G/HSDPA network (the same one that the Apple iPhone 3G uses).

    This is true without using the Palm Pre's OS and new TI processor. I have no doubt that Apple and ATT are sweating the impending iPhone killer. The Pre is leaps and bounds ahead of the iPhone, which can be corroborated by the likes of Wired Magazine, PC Magazine etc. I just can't wait to replace
    Feb 04 05:22 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The AT&T iPhone works in most international locations because it is a GSM phone. T-Mobile offers the same capability with most of their phones, and has worked for me in Hong Kong, and everywhere in Europe. And one can buy a local SIM card for use in most places in Europe and save the roaming charges, which cannot be done with the iPhone (the equivalent is built in). Only in Nepal did my T-Mobile phone not work.


    On Jan 29 10:49 AM brewer wrote:

    > iPhone makes AT&T the clear winner. Plus, if you go on an international
    > trip, the iPhone with AT&T will work anywhere, no additional
    > charges. Try that with any other service.
    Feb 05 03:17 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Bottom line: Verizon Wireless has poured over $50 Billion into its own network since 2000 - $50 with a B! AT&T, Sprint and T-Mobile are all public companies - Verizon Wireless is not. 1st commitment is customers, NOT shareholders - this is a reason they have the strongest and fastest network. The Test Man Cometh, and he taketh market share!


    On Jan 29 08:42 AM StockWatchah wrote:

    > Being in the stock market for many years, I have watched both ATT
    > & Verizon. What folks do not understand is that these two companies
    > are not in direct competition... Yes maybe so when it comes to wireless,
    > but both companies have very different game strategies as they move
    > forward. Verizon is clearly the better choice. ATT went to the horse
    > track and bet billions on one product I.E. the Iphone! That to me
    > spells out stupidity.... plain and simple. VZ has many diofferent
    > options especially when it has not just one smart phone, but potentially
    > hundreds on the back burner. Also VZ's customers are MUCH more satisfied
    > with their wireless service, not to mention the light speed of FIOS,
    > which ATT can't hold a candle to.
    Feb 09 03:43 PM | Link | Reply