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I'm sure most of you still remember well the near-crisis recently experienced in the US - with regard to oil/gas prices. From early 2007 through mid 2008, oil skyrocketed in price and eventually peaked out at ~ $147bbl in July 2008 - then it fell off a cliff -- due to a myriad of issues: (1) Oil Market Manipulation (2) A significant drop in global demand and (3) A stronger US Dollar.

Crude Price Chart (click to enlarge)


During that swift run-up in crude, gasoline here in Las Vegas correspondingly (and swiftly) rose in price - eventually peaking out at $4.26 a gallon. It then took a while after the collapse in oil price for gasoline prices to drop, and then there always seemed to be a significant lag between the two on the way down - eventually however, gas fell and bottomed at a low of ~ $1.70 a Gallon.

Vegas Gas Price Chart (click to enlarge)

What is disconcerting of late is the recent $.50 rise in gas prices over the last month, while oil prices have remained relatively steady and are still dragging along the bottom at ~ $38bbl.

Stated differently: Oil prices are currently 26% of what they were at the peak ($147/38 = 25.8%), yet gas prices (what I'm paying today) remain at 52% of the peak price ($2.21/$4.26 = 51.8%). It just doesn't make sense and I believe somebody here is getting gouged - YOU & ME!

So what's going on here - why the disparity?

According to AAA’s Windy VanCuren:

The reason gas prices have been increasing in the past few weeks is "because gasoline refiners have been severely cutting back their output of gasoline either by design or due to 'maintenance and operational issues'.“ VanCuren adds: “Industry watchers who trade gasoline trade futures seem to be persuaded the industry will eventually be able to cut the nation’s gasoline inventories enough to keep retail prices at an elevated level.“ Basically meaning they expect the law of supply and demand to swing prices higher as supplies of gas shrink.

Whatever! Sounds to me like a cheap way for the gas/oil refineries/companies to increase their profit margins - once again at the expense of the little guys who are losing their jobs, homes, cars and can barely afford to put food on the table for their kids.

Absolutely disgusting! This corporate bloodsucking (with governmentt backing I'm sure) has got to end! Need to wake up Sheeple!

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  •  
    The whole oil pricing is a scam, they are manipulated by big business banks and people in the speculation hedge fund markets. They basically push the price up with future buying. Truth be known we have never had so much crude oil in world reserves as we do today. Pure greed and manipulated market that has put the whole worlds economics system into the toilet.
    Feb 19 08:33 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    You're basically all jealous. If you had decided to work in that field, you would want the best price - it's just like cars, and union jobs! It's all the same. When oil prices are high enough, people will reduce their usage. When people reduce the usage, or drive less, there will be a glut of pig cars and trucks (no, I didn't mean Big, I meant PIG), and no one will drive them. When we run out of oil, we will use something else, but we don't usually do much to avoid that catastrophe. There is NO efficient affordable replacement for oil. Battery cars won't go far enough for most of us. Sockets aren't available for apartments, places of employment, stadiums, arenas, sport parks, etc. so you can forget about bringing in out of area travelers. Taxi and bus travel will be out.

    So until we find the best, financially efficient replacement, oil is it. Live with it.
    Feb 19 09:05 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Don't forget about the government VIG ! The total taxes collected on a gallon of gas can be over 50 cents per gallon. Consequently gasoline prices will never decline proportionate to the price of oil.

    However, ploiticians will likely come to the rescue by raising taxes on gasoline with the opportunty of blaming oil companies for price increases !
    Feb 19 09:30 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    GREED - GREED - GREED! When do I get MY share???
    Feb 19 10:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Maybe we should try and introduce some FACTS and basic math into this emotional outburst:

    In the 2nd Qtr of 2008, gasoline prices were $3.98 per gallon. This breaks out to the following:

    $ 2.94 Cost of Crude Oil 74%
    $ 0.47 Federal and State Taxes 12%
    $ 0.22 Distribution and Marketing 5%
    $ 0.35 Refining Costs and PROFIT 9% (yeah, that EVIL PROFIT)

    Now, assume oil prices were $147/bbl then and they are $38 now, that's a 75% reduction in the cost of crude oil. So reduce that $2.94 cost of crude oil to $0.74. That leaves your cost of a gallon of gasoline at $1.78 per gallon. That assumes the profit and refining costs stay the same.

    So you see, you can't just juse the proportional reduction of crude oil and expect the EXACT SAME proportional reduction in gasoline prices. That's a foolish assumption for someone who has the least amount of economics education! There are costs built into the price of gasoline that do not fall as a result of the fall in crude oil prices.

    Also note that our governments make much more on a gallon of gasoline than the evil oil companies!!! Note that the 9% for oil companies includes the cost of refining the product and the profit and I can tell you, the cost to refine is quite high so the profit is in the mid to low single digits.

    You want to complain? Complain to the government hogs that are sucking your dry.

    Also note with today's labor costs and taxes, even if the crude oil is free, the cost of a gallon of gas is $1.04. Again, almost half of that is taxes!
    Feb 19 10:56 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Gasoline is cheap and no one has ever made any real profit from gasoline.
    It's like green stamps or coupons. Its purpose is to get you into a store to buy products with a good profit margin. There is more profit in a six pack than a tankful of gasoline.
    If gasoline wasn't cheap, the average driver would not be wasting 25-40% of it with their bad driving habits.
    Feb 19 11:06 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The author yearns for the appointment of an oil commissar.
    Feb 19 11:19 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    When Oil prices rise gasoline prices rise immediately at the pump. Maniplutation? Analysts said no. Oil prices dive and gasoline prices stay or rise. Maniplutation? Analysts still say no. When are the consumers going to wake up and protest to the highest office?
    Feb 19 12:25 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    When oil prices rise, gasoline prices rise as there is a fear that continuing increases in oil will force refiners to continue to buy higher priced oil in the future. So, they are increasing the cost of the product in anticipation of higher raw materials.

    When prices fall, the refiners have high priced inventory that was purchased in the previous month(s) and so they must work off that higher priced inventory. Once that inventory is replaced with lower priced crude oil, then prices go down.

    Not really that different from how a grocery store runs its operation.

    The biggest and quickest way for consumers to impact prices is to STOP USING THE PRODUCT! That decrease in demand will lead to a decrease in prices. That's exactly what is happening today. You control your expenditures!
    Feb 19 01:36 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    IMO when crude oil was high majors used the crude oil profits to subsidize the refining side almost driving the independents to bankruptcy. Now with lower crude prices the majors must make money on the refining side to subsidize their lower crude oil prices thereby benefiting the independent refiners. Buy TSO, VLO, WNR, HOC, FTO as they've been depressed way too long now and are just now returning to profitability.
    Feb 19 02:12 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The only real way to protest is to not drive your car or use a different source of power for it...


    On Feb 19 12:25 PM Sheepman wrote:

    > When Oil prices rise gasoline prices rise immediately at the pump.
    > Maniplutation? Analysts said no. Oil prices dive and gasoline prices
    > stay or rise. Maniplutation? Analysts still say no. When are the
    > consumers going to wake up and protest to the highest office?
    Feb 19 03:31 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    nano49: When will you get your share? Never, if you're just going to wait for someone to deliver it to you while you sit around and whine. Get out and earn it!
    Feb 19 03:38 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Remember something: The U.S. government taxes oil refiners on profits. In addition, government gasoline tax on a State and Federal level. There is a disincentive for government to do anything about this. Just like in the banking system between 2001-2008. Calling or writing your House of Reps will be a waste of your time. But I do agree with the frustration of the public and commenters here. Government's job is a policemen to enforce free market principles and have a strong military, intelligence agencies to prevent attack. That's it and all. Government duo mandating itself into the biggest market sectors (energy, agriculture and housing) have all hurt the consumer. Another major problem is House of Reps legislating into there own personal pocketbooks.

    You get the government you elect. Next election seasons of 2010 and 2012, conduct your due dilligence in addition to micro-managing the diminishing returns of your porfolio.
    Feb 19 03:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The government gets over half of the cost of a gallon of gasoline in taxes.
    A lot of gasoline is sold in the US.
    Why would the government stop a good thing?
    Feb 19 04:09 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The reason why the refiners can jack up the price of fuel is because there are so few of them.

    There are so few of them because it is prohibitively expensive to make a new refinery.

    This is because of the same reason it is prohibitively expensive to make a new nuclear power plant: the myriad of "environmental laws" which must be overcome, and the fees which need to be paid.

    These environmental laws were enacted by politicians you voted for.

    Look in the mirror, the enemy is you.
    Feb 19 04:33 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I am always amazed by how people irrationally explain oil prices. Go back to school and do Econ 101, especially elasticity. It really isn't difficult.
    Feb 19 05:21 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    All of the existing refineries are new and more efficient. They had to be upgraded just to handle the poorer quality crude available now. They have been rebuilt on the same piece of property. XOM is spending billions of dollars in the next few years for upgrades. Wait, that is for diesel and they have/are selling all of their retail gas stations. Maybe, they are tired of losing money on gasoline. I thought their gas stations started making money when they introduced Tiger-brand coffee.
    Feb 19 06:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    WOW "The Greatest Rip Off of our Tim"...
    You were really unloading some frustration there. Do I sense you drive alot? Do you live FAR from work? In the next town?
    Maybe you need to think about moving closer to work? Or get another job? Or ride a bike to work more often? Or take public transportation?

    I mean, besides empty venting, there are solutions aplenty.
    Feb 20 03:00 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    For one thing you are paying huge taxes on gasoline. If you live in California or other regulated gas states they have given oligopoly status to their favorite refiners so no one else can sell the stuff there leading to complete inelasticity in prices.

    So oil companies are only a part of the equation as to why you are getting ripped off. The best solution is to cut back on demand and call your elected officials. That or vote to pass some sort of anti-lobbying and election finance reform. You also may wish to allow your region to let more refineries be built. So bar NIBY (not in my backyard) action has prevented building a single new refinery in most every state for decades.

    The problem is persistent and endemic structural barriers to competition and decent pricing.

    PS: I do not own any oil stock and don't work for the oil companies. I just am trying to let people know the rational problems of making the gasoline price more competitive. I still get infuriated that oil is $35-140 a barrel and you get more than $140 gallons of gas from one yet look at the price. And that doesn't even include the jet fuel and petrochemical value of that barrel. As is, the price has little to do with the cost of barrel of oil.
    Feb 20 03:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It's a gouge. RBOB Gas futures tell you what the price should be. It's that simple. It's at $1.07. Add 20% to that and you get an average price at the pump. That formula worked until this past month and especially this past 10 days. The index was at $1.30 on the 9th. So prices should have dropped and they have not. The mark up above the index has been 40-50% over the last month or so as apposed to 20%. Supply and demand do not apply because that is factored into the RBOB index. It is simply higher mark up.
    Feb 20 05:50 PM | Link | Reply
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