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Investors Are Voting with Their Wallets

On Wall Street, the Barack Obama honeymoon has already finished before it even started. The Dow Jones Industrial Average short term high of 9625 was established on November 4, 2008 – Election Day. The stock market has collapsed towards 6800 through spirit-breaking headlines of Citigroup’s (C) imminent collapse, foreclosures, and yet another round of billions of dollars in bailout money for American International Group (AIG). Still, we already knew that.

Partisan wrangling and the New Administration’s failure to communicate have highlighted the downdraft. The surreal happenings are made ever more cryptic by a glad handling media and financial regime reluctant to outwardly present anything short of otherworldly praise for Barack Obama's "Change" at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. The players have been smiling on camera, while liquidating behind the scenes – in typical Wall Street fashion.

A recent Business Week poll of anonymous voters indicates that 42% of respondents blame Obama for mismanagement of the economy. Personally, I would offer that the economy has not been mismanaged; it is the mismanaged expectations that were allowed to dominate reality. Objectively, the first 100 days have been a public relations fiasco that nobody has the audacious gall to admit.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner should have been the very first appointment to the cabinet. While Bill and Hillary Clinton were being appeased with a Secretary of State parting gift – the Dow Jones Industrial Average was crumbling by 1500 points during the two weeks that we were operating in fiscal policy limbo. Traders were held hostage by a lame duck loose cannon Hank Paulson until this Invisible Man Treasury Secretary emerged from behind the veil.

The stock market stabilized through Inauguration Day on the strength of Geithner’s alleged financial wizardry and the fawn fest reserved for our latest savior, Barack Obama. Our President’s bold proclamation of "Change" and his complete refusal to steal his Treasury Secretary’s thunder effectively captivated Wall Street. We didn’t know what it was, but whatever it was – it was certain to be big. On February 10, 2009, Timothy Geithner delivered his pitch:

Without credit, economies cannot grow at their potential, and right now, critical parts of our financial system are damaged. Unless we restore the flow of credit, the recession will be deeper.

We already knew that. The smoke and mirrors, dog and pony show degenerated into a fiasco of general rhetoric, tired clichés, and no details. The PR debacle hammered stocks and must be acknowledged as the most significant gaffe of the new Obama Administration.

The happenings opened up the controlling Democratic Party to attack on all flanks. Moderates have broken rank, House Republicans ripped the stimulus package en masse, Rick Santelli is threatening to dump monitors into Lake Michigan, and Rush Limbaugh is actually relevant again.

The Wall Street voting bloc is alarmed by the prospect of higher taxes used to finance a populist agenda of alternative energy, housing bailouts to unqualified homeowners, and health care reform. Ironically, blue blood Wall Street rallied around Barack Obama throughout election season. We must speculate that a crushing bear market and real estate bust have destroyed the goodwill of this group. The wealthy have little incentive to bankroll another round of tasty cake pork barrel spending.

Wall Street is voting with its wallet.

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  •  
    Who you calling socialist?


    On Mar 06 10:43 AM patio wrote:

    > plumstupid, did you choose your handle because moronicsocialistidiot
    > was taken?
    Mar 06 11:11 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Bravo, well played.


    On Mar 06 11:11 AM moronicsocialistidiot wrote:

    > Who you calling socialist?
    Mar 06 11:28 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Obama is the greatest and smoothest communicator that most of us have ever seen. Trouble is, he doesn't really have any great solutions to communicate. While the Democratic elites and the great masses of have nots that elected him are still enthralled with their Messiah, Main Streeters and the middle class haves are becoming disillusioned used-to-haves and are taking it out on the markets.
    Mar 06 01:09 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    ..."...recent Business Week poll of anonymous voters indicates that 42% of respondents blame Obama for mismanagement of the economy."...uhhh, the guy's been in office hardly a month and they're doing polls on how his management?...let's see, if I put you in a rowboat and dropped you in the middle of a tsunami, how well do you think you would do?..."The Wall Street voting bloc is alarmed by the prospect of higher taxes..."...that's where you should have stopped...if all those expenditures you mentioned served to enrich Wall Streeters at the expense of Main Street, no doubt their roar of approval would be deafening...and WTF is this from your website:

    "...Do you pine for me - the way I pine for you? Please. Please, say Yes...
    No.
    You are a ho.
    I hear the stories - but I don't believe them. Nope. Not my Green Eyes. Not, Miss Precious. How could my sweet, delicate flower do this to me? How could she treat me..."

    ...ooooookaaay -- I hope you'll pardon me if I don't seek your investment advice.
    Mar 06 01:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    attention all fearful, fat, white, petty stock speculating, FOX watching, 60-something, arterial sclerotic piggies. You have nothing to fear from the new regime of the great unwashed; so long as you take your tax hike with a smile, keep your petulant cake-holes shut, and fade quietly into political and economic irrelevance. That is your future. I enjoy the fact that you will spend the waning years of your life gnashing your teeth and crying bitter piggy tears. Squeal piggies, squeal louder, SQUEAL.
    Mar 06 03:34 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Sooie sooie sooie sooooooieeeee!


    On Mar 06 03:34 PM sether wrote:

    > attention all fearful, fat, white, petty stock speculating, FOX watching,
    > 60-something, arterial sclerotic piggies. You have nothing to fear
    > from the new regime of the great unwashed; so long as you take your
    > tax hike with a smile, keep your petulant cake-holes shut, and fade
    > quietly into political and economic irrelevance. That is your future.
    > I enjoy the fact that you will spend the waning years of your life
    > gnashing your teeth and crying bitter piggy tears. Squeal piggies,
    > squeal louder, SQUEAL.
    Mar 06 03:36 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "Partisan wrangling and the New Administration’s failure to communicate have highlighted the downdraft."

    I beg to differ...STRONGLY. The *lowlights* have been attempts to usher in total Marxism, and the more-than-attempts...t... actuality...of bringing in utterly corrupt, tax-dodging appointees to help run the show!!! Failure to communicate has very little to do with it -- WHAT was communicated is the problem!!! WHAT is being done is the problem.
    Mar 06 03:36 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    These problems were with us before the election, as everybody knows. Obama got in because [your reason here], but he nor his administration knows how to solve the problem. Politics these days seems to be all a matter of saying what we want to hear with a smile but no substance behind any of it. Whatever the business, money rules, and our financial businesses are bankrupt of both money and ideas. Where's the bottom? A lot further down yet. I've lost a lot by being long recently, because I want things to improve. Now I'm sticking with shorts as the only way to get back even, and maybe make a dollar or two. Shame.
    Mar 06 03:49 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    sether
    come take your free lunch. it's free. hope you like lead. come on little piglet. come take your lunch. hope you got a taste for the lean meat of a predater. oops i mean succulent pork. i guess i'll use you for fertilizer. think you'll mix well with manure.
    pretty sure i made my gains by my own labor but just for fun let's say i took it from weaklings like you. bleat his name obahahahamahahaha.
    usually i like reasonable conversation but there are exceptions. come take your free lunch little piggy. i'm weak and helpless. easy prey for you. come on over. i'll give you exactly what you deserve.
    Mar 06 03:58 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Things are getting a bit overdone here. It now takes only four shares of Citigroup (C) to buy a cup of coffee at Starbucks. The stock market has hit twelve year lows only three times in the last 109 years. Remember, bottoms are made when things look terrible and are getting worse. I am not a big market timer, but this certainly qualifies as one of those times. If you assume that we are seeing the worst economic conditions this quarter since the Depression, then we are setting up for improving conditions in Q2, and the market will start to discount that. Today we hit 35% below the 200 day moving average in the S&P 500, which if you are a technical analyst, occurs about as frequently as Haley’s comet.The short interest out there is enormous, and the trade is getting too easy. Even my cleaning lady is running a leveraged short on the S&P 500. Could the short bubble be the next one to pop? Watch for another furious 10%-20% bear market rally ensue in the next few days or weeks
    Mar 06 03:58 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "Even my cleaning lady is running a leveraged short on the S&P 500."

    Good humor!
    Mar 06 04:01 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I read today that the full moon of next Tuesday-Thursday might be big. Short squeeze?

    I liked the part about "otherworldly praise" Obama receives from the media and Wall St., while it quietly liquidates. To me, all praise for him must be otherworldly at this point.

    Not just due to mismanaged expectations. Hello, most of us are screwed or getting to it thanks to actual ongoing longterm mismanagement of reality. And Obama officially has his own personal bear market in just 5 weeks.

    How come someone who lives/breathes government can't find enough qualified hacks for open positions and have policies ready once they're in office? I read Treasury is still minus 50 top positions which leaves Geitner overexposed. I also disagree that he wasn't appointed soon enough. We might be down another 10% if he were.

    It's not all about the dog and pony show. And maybe partisanship against Obama has something to do with elevating Summers and backbenching Volcker. And the token Republicans who were to be Commerce Secretary, I forget how many tries there.

    I think anybody with real life common sense knows we're in enough trouble that it won't be easy. But, this idea that image is reality has played itself out. If Obama were as klutzy as Gerald Ford but had solutions without such obvious fealty to DC and to banksters a lot of us would have been very relieved and grateful.
    Mar 06 04:55 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    While Bush was an empty suit, Obama is all empty talk. Great speeches, lofty ideals, but no practical ideas/solutions. His only solution seems to be tax those that produce so I can give it to those who do not. It has been tried all over the world, and it does not work. They all ended up killing the golden goose.
    Mar 06 05:43 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    You are referencing a poem I wrote comparing Money to a Woman.

    For the Love of Money:

    onyxinvestments.blogsp...

    www.associatedcontent....

    Cool...
    On Mar 06 01:19 PM raytayzmd wrote:

    > ..."...recent Business Week poll of anonymous voters indicates that
    > 42% of respondents blame Obama for mismanagement of the economy."...uhhh,
    > the guy's been in office hardly a month and they're doing polls on
    > how his management?...let's see, if I put you in a rowboat and dropped
    > you in the middle of a tsunami, how well do you think you would do?..."The
    > Wall Street voting bloc is alarmed by the prospect of higher taxes..."...that's
    > where you should have stopped...if all those expenditures you mentioned
    > served to enrich Wall Streeters at the expense of Main Street, no
    > doubt their roar of approval would be deafening...and WTF is this
    > from your website:
    >
    > "...Do you pine for me - the way I pine for you? Please. Please,
    > say Yes...
    > No.
    > You are a ho.
    > I hear the stories - but I don't believe them. Nope. Not my Green
    > Eyes. Not, Miss Precious. How could my sweet, delicate flower do
    > this to me? How could she treat me..."
    >
    > ...ooooookaaay -- I hope you'll pardon me if I don't seek your investment
    > advice.
    Mar 06 06:24 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The socialism thing is a straw man. It's still distracting people like you from the great unwinding of everything. The socialists aren't coming to take what you (and I) have worked for. That is already long, long gone. This fact is more apparent to some than others. You'll get there. When the sh*t really comes down you'll be on our side. You got moxie I can tell.


    On Mar 06 03:58 PM fireball wrote:

    > sether
    > come take your free lunch. it's free. hope you like lead. come on
    > little piglet. come take your lunch. hope you got a taste for the
    > lean meat of a predater. oops i mean succulent pork. i guess i'll
    > use you for fertilizer. think you'll mix well with manure.
    > pretty sure i made my gains by my own labor but just for fun let's
    > say i took it from weaklings like you. bleat his name obahahahamahahaha.
    >
    > usually i like reasonable conversation but there are exceptions.
    > come take your free lunch little piggy. i'm weak and helpless. easy
    > prey for you. come on over. i'll give you exactly what you deserve.
    Mar 07 03:08 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Market fetishist. He wrote that and actually made it public. WTF. No perspective. This guy must have serious E.D. by now.

    On Mar 06 01:19 PM raytayzmd wrote:

    > ..."...recent Business Week poll of anonymous voters indicates that
    > 42% of respondents blame Obama for mismanagement of the economy."...uhhh,
    > the guy's been in office hardly a month and they're doing polls on
    > how his management?...let's see, if I put you in a rowboat and dropped
    > you in the middle of a tsunami, how well do you think you would do?..."The
    > Wall Street voting bloc is alarmed by the prospect of higher taxes..."...that's
    > where you should have stopped...if all those expenditures you mentioned
    > served to enrich Wall Streeters at the expense of Main Street, no
    > doubt their roar of approval would be deafening...and WTF is this
    > from your website:
    >
    > "...Do you pine for me - the way I pine for you? Please. Please,
    > say Yes...
    > No.
    > You are a ho.
    > I hear the stories - but I don't believe them. Nope. Not my Green
    > Eyes. Not, Miss Precious. How could my sweet, delicate flower do
    > this to me? How could she treat me..."
    >
    > ...ooooookaaay -- I hope you'll pardon me if I don't seek your investment
    > advice.
    Mar 07 03:15 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Leftfield asks:
    How come someone who lives/breathes government can't find enough qualified hacks for open positions and have policies ready once they're in office?

    Because the man has never managed so much as a shoe store. How the hell can he be expected to figure this out so quickly? Give him a few years will ya. He doesn't have that much political experience. He just arrived in the Senate recently.

    Mar 07 06:38 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Another lame attempt to pin the consequences of the Bush presidency on Obama. Since his election, a core media question has been - when will it become the "Obama economy". Even before the election, FOX was attributing every down day in the market to expectations that the Democrats were going to win.
    Even an Economics 101 student would realize the momentum that is carrying the market now is the consequence of inaction last fall.
    Nothing that Obama and the Democrats have done since the election will even manifest itself untill late this summer at best. ... about when many economists (including Bernake) are looking to see improvement. Too bad Bush took a powder the last six months in office!
    Mar 07 11:07 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    SgtSally
    No one is trying to pin anything on Obama. This disaster is simply not his fault. The whole point is that he is sounding and behaving like a socialist and that is driving the markets down further. Wake up and pay attention. Blind adulation of anyone is dangerous.
    Mar 07 06:29 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    GO PHILLIES!
    Mar 19 01:22 PM | Link | Reply
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