8 Reasons ETF Investors Go for the Gold 39 comments
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People have been holding gold for ages. Why, after centuries, do exchange traded fund investors still find gold attractive today?
Gold is a valuable component of an investment portfolio, writes Tony Daltorio for Investopedia. It has been shown that gold has held its value over the long term. The precious metal has hedged against inflation and devaluations of major currencies. Daltorio provides these attributes that make gold a prudent investment:
- Value. Gold has held its value over the years and people still use gold as a way to preserve wealth for their progeny.
- U.S. dollar. As the dollar devalues, investors put their wealth into gold, which typically results in higher prices for gold. The weakening dollar can be attributed to large budgets, trade deficits and an increase in the money supply.
- Inflation. We have all heard of gold’s ability to hedge against inflation. In times of U.S. inflation, the average real return of gold was considerably higher than the stock markets.
- Deflation. There has been a slowing business activity, a drop in prices and excessive debt not seen since the Great Depression. It was also during this deflationary period that the relative purchasing power of gold climbed.
- Global Uncertainty. Gold, or the “crisis commodity,” has been bought up after a rise in world tensions. This doomsday outlook provides a rise in gold prices resulting from low confidence in a government.
- Supply. The selling of gold bullion from global central banks have slowed and production of new gold from mines have also been diminishing. A basic economic rule of supply and demand would show that reduced supply should result in increased prices.
- Demand. Emerging market countries have also been buying up gold. Such areas include India, one of the largest gold-consuming nations in the world, and in China. A growing interest in commodities as an investment class has also been driving up demand for investors.
- Portfolios. To diversify a portfolio, an investor would find investments that are not closely correlated to one another. Gold tends to have a negative correlation to stocks and other financial investment tools. A combination of gold with stocks and bonds may balance volatility and risk.
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): up 0.1% year-to-date
PowerShares DB Gold (DGL): down 0.3% year-to-date
Disclosure: some of Tom Lydon’s clients own shares of GLD.
Max Chen contributed to this article.
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On Apr 10 12:04 AM bcncv wrote:
> I can think of another asset that holds its value over the long term.
> It rises in value with inflation, but unlike gold, it actually serves
> a useful purpose.
>
> That asset is housing. Home values have tracked and increased along
> with inflation as long as there has been a price put on them. In
> addition, being a levered investment, it provides much better protection
> from inflation.
>
> Just don't forget, like gold, it is subject to occasional massive
> price corrections. I'm not saying gold is a bad investment. Just
> realize it holds the same downside risks as any other asset before
> you buy it.
The question is: will it go up much from the current bubble it is in compared to more undervalued commodities?
And is inflation already being priced in to gold (since everybody agrees it will happen)?
I have some bullish GLD spreads (where my downside is protected), but investing in gold straight up could cost you dearly (as buying anything during the peak of a bubble usually leads to losses).
On Apr 09 02:58 PM ibejack wrote:
> The Anti-gold crowd hates the fact that they cannot get rid of gold.
> It has performed beautifully during this most recent crisis. Go
> ahead and continue to try and convince yourself that gold is irrelevent
> while the price of gold continues to say the opposite. Fiat currencies
> come and go, there is but one constant providing a store of value
> over thousands of years.
>
> Ask the world's most wealthiest families how they have perserved
> their family wealth and power through the generations. Ask the banks
> of the world why the hold almost 15% of the worlds gold reserves
> if it's so irrelevent. The truth is, gold is not back because it
> never went anywhere. It was a store of value 1000 years ago, today,
> and it will continue for the next 1000 years.
Which one will they pay more for?
The point: gold's value relies on economic recovery just as much as any other investment.
On Apr 10 01:19 PM Jolly_Rancher wrote:
> Yes but how much will your GLD shares be worth when the all the fiat
> currencies are worthless and governments are brought to their knees?
>
If these rumours are true, why are prices not moving steadily higher?
What are you going to get when you sell? That worthless currency, can you sell an oddlot? I don't know, doubtful.
Physical bullion or scrap? At least with scrap, I know it will appreciate as much, but I don't have to sell an oz. to get just what is needed.
And, currently I can get really great deals for these worthless dollars. Instead of a markup of 150%, markups of less than 20% can be had. (starting with 40 to 60% off, adding senior discount, Day discount, Bonus coupons, getting a store card etc)
Obama wouldn't dare confiscate SnoopDogs chains.
Gold is money
big gold bubble right now even if i am bearish
people should stick with petrol....that is value for the time being
in 50 years might be something else
This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard."
Ironically enough, that was written by Alan Greenspan before the banksters gave him a full frontal lobotomy.
Physical gold is the simplest non-paper insurance policy against hyperinflation. For those of you who say it's not money- you had better invest in lead instead- you're going to need it.
On Apr 10 02:12 PM Paul H. M. wrote:
> Gold is worthless without experts to judge the quality. If society
> breaks down, will people want gold or ammo?
>
> Which one will they pay more for?
>
> The point: gold's value relies on economic recovery just as much
> as any other investment.
Now the real question that comes is how this deficit will be paid for. One way is to shrink it via monetization. The way to hedge against that is to buy real assets of which gold is a good one. But this doesn't cover the other hidden deficit spending is financed. So while avoiding keeping wealth in fiat currency is a good step, it is not a complete protection against deficit spending.
Whether or not
On Apr 10 11:00 PM Whippet wrote:
> "In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect
> savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store
> of value. If there were, the government would have to make its holding
> illegal, as was done in the case of gold. If everyone decided, for
> example, to convert all his bank deposits to silver or copper or
> any other good, and thereafter declined to accept checks as payment
> for goods, bank deposits would lose their purchasing power and government-created
> bank credit would be worthless as a claim on goods. The financial
> policy of the welfare state requires that there be no way for the
> owners of wealth to protect themselves.
>
> This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against
> gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the confiscation of
> wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands
> as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no
> difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold
> standard."
>
> Ironically enough, that was written by Alan Greenspan before the
> banksters gave him a full frontal lobotomy.
>
> Physical gold is the simplest non-paper insurance policy against
> hyperinflation. For those of you who say it's not money- you had
> better invest in lead instead- you're going to need it.
What are you going to do then?
And finally, I'd bet almost anything that the anti-gold crowd also hated history, along with Austrian, free market economics if they were even exposed to it in school. No wonder there's such ignorance about gold in our country. It was planned that way....
I dont hate the fact i cannot get rid of gold, i get rid of it by selling it. I dont see any reason why you would own an asset going down when you can buy stocks that rally 50 to 100% in a few weeks.
On Apr 09 02:58 PM ibejack wrote:
> The Anti-gold crowd hates the fact that they cannot get rid of gold.
> It has performed beautifully during this most recent crisis. Go ahead
> and continue to try and convince yourself that gold is irrelevent
> while the price of gold continues to say the opposite. Fiat currencies
> come and go, there is but one constant providing a store of value
> over thousands of years.
>
> Ask the world's most wealthiest families how they have perserved
> their family wealth and power through the generations. Ask the banks
> of the world why the hold almost 15% of the worlds gold reserves
> if it's so irrelevent. The truth is, gold is not back because it
> never went anywhere. It was a store of value 1000 years ago, today,
> and it will continue for the next 1000 years.
You said "Inflation. We have all heard of gold’s ability to hedge against inflation." without presenting any proof. Can you show, for example, gold price vs. CPI and SPX? Without such basic data support, the assertions appear crap.
On Apr 09 09:53 PM jambo wrote:
> Agreed jack, with the exception that; with all the ETF action we
> might well see fiat gold. Sooo, what of platinum? has a nice ring
> to it, no?
www.etftrends.com/2009...