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If Chrysler does come to some kind of agreement with its banks — which is by no means a foregone conclusion — then why would it still want to declare bankrutpcy next week? The WSJ gets half of the story when it says that bankruptcy “would let Fiat pick and choose which operations it wants”, but then goes and confuses matters by saying that Fiat is interested in Chrysler “in its totality.”

The answer is that it’s all about the dealers — which are the reason why I said GM should declare bankruptcy as long ago as last July. Detroit is hobbled greatly by its legacy contracts with its dealers, and bankruptcy is the only way of getting out of those contracts. In many ways, I suspect that the dealers have the most to lose from bankruptcy proceedings. Lucky they don’t have a particularly strong and unified lobby, I guess.

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  •  
    real world salary + benefits ==> competition on a global scale against korea, china....it is a 50%+ wage cut that is going to impact the entire us economy....just saying.


    On Apr 24 02:24 PM jack kreg wrote:

    > I so look forward to a severe BK that re-sets union wages to reality,
    > that is max'ed out at low 40's including benefits, like is comparable
    > to the real world salary's paid in the mainstream economy.
    > Then, with the Chrysler unions in line, the rest of Detroit will
    > have to buckle, and union workers will discover the real (zero) value
    > of their unions and thoughts of how the "bought and paid for" Omaba
    > presidency will take care of them.
    Apr 24 11:06 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Just color me stupid, but I don't see the dealers as a liability. They invest their own money to open a business dedicated to the mfrs products. Skip the floor plans and other arguments. The dealers are a significant company asset. Without them they would have no distribution of product. What do you replace them with? The internet? Walmart? Amazon? Good luck. The auto debacle was easy to forecast years ago. It only took a weak economy to bring it down and here it is. Run the companies through bankruptcy and move on. It's a good cleansing process and will probably be necessary for the whole country.
    Apr 25 01:24 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    This is true. At the same time the dealers are loathe to cut their losses and switch strategies due to the amount of capital they put into their facilities and agreements. To be conservative and cling to means of doing business because it works is all well and good. Now, however, the consumer has moved on, and the dealers would do well to find out what they really want.

    Huge car makers are not going to sway the market pretending that they are making what the end user "really wants." There is just too much surplus capacity for that mindset now. The dealers, too, will have to make what they are seeing available to the supplier, in this case Chrysler. I'm sorry it's too late.


    On Apr 24 10:57 AM Jed J wrote:

    > Easy for you to say. Dealers, regardless of your personal opinion
    > of them, have millions of their own dollars tied up in facilities
    > and other assets based on promises the manufacturer has made to them
    > over the years.
    Apr 25 04:08 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I'd like to quote an anonymous interpretation of the meaning of conservative government of our Founding Fathers:

    **** Being a conservative means that government shall fulfill the needs of the people as stated in the Constitution. We will have a fair governing body, protection from harm both foreign and domestic and the pursuit of happiness.

    **** We will not belong to a national church and will have the right to worship or not.

    **** Government will be run at the least cost and will not interfere with our lives and monies collected will be respected as belonging to the taxpayers and should not be either squandered or used to support non citizens or ideals that we object to that do not suit the majority.

    (Quote)
    **** It is important to keep government small so there is less chance of abuse of funds as well as abuse of power.

    **** It was decided for the public good that education would be supported for children and that would come out of our taxes, Social Security is a fact of life however if money was put aside for each child born, say $10,000 at birth, repayable when the child earned money as a teen or paid back by twenty six or so Social Security as we know it may be unnecessary. We would each have an investment in the Government that we could live from when we are sixty five. (Unquote)

    If you subscribe to these principles of our Founding Fathers, and, based on the above comments submitted so far that the pending Chrysler bailout is clearly speculative at best, you would arrive at the conclusion that any action of the Obama administration to do so would be contrary to the wishes of our Founding Fathers.
    Apr 25 12:05 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I don't think we need all of our automakers out of business. I believe they all have the capabilities of producing military vehicles which we might need in the near future. GM built the HumVee, and although I don't care for the Hummers on the road, the HumVee is quite a help when we're in a battle. I don't think we want China building our military hardware!
    Apr 25 09:49 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Here some scary stuff about pandemics I don't think there could be a worse way to die then this sounds horrible maby we could infect some AIG executives with this stuff.

    "According to" Wikipedia - about the 1918 Influenza Flu:

    People without symptoms could be stricken suddenly and within hours be too weak to walk; many died the next day. Symptoms included a blue tint to the face and coughing up blood caused by severe obstruction of the lungs. In some cases, the virus caused an uncontrollable hemorrhaging that filled the lungs, and patients drowned in their body fluids (pneumonia). In others, the flu caused frequent loss of bowel control and the victim would die from losing critical intestinal lining and blood loss.
    Apr 25 11:02 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Felix, you are right on. While it is true that there is a strong association of dealers:

    On Apr 24 02:22 PM Car Guy 1999 wrote:

    > Ever heard of NADA? The automotive dealer's trade association is
    > one of the oldest and strongest of all. Please reseach your subject
    > before making blanket statements.

    The problem is, that unlike the union, NADA can't enforce an agreement on its members, and unlike the bondholders, each dealer has wildly differently situated, and protected by one of 50 different sets of state franchise laws.

    To those who wonder why this is a problem, there are two main reasons. The first is that closing down a whole model line requires payouts to dealers.... making the elimination of unprofitable brands prohibitively expensive. Further, excess numbers of marginal dealers hurts the amount of dealer-financed promotion, investments in service, and requires more inventory financing, all of which ultimately hurt the automakers.



    Apr 26 04:37 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Uh, don't auto workers may taxes too? I guess you forgot that.


    On Apr 24 03:07 PM altaman wrote:

    > The Obama administration is "managing" this "bankruptcy" so that
    > its union supports are protected and the taxpayers are the bagholders.
    > Chrysler will not be reinvigorated but will just become another captive
    > ward of the state. Get used to it folks - it is called fascism economics.
    Apr 26 06:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Where do you work - Chucky Cheese? I hope one day you have a job with a decent salary. A salary on which you pay taxes that and allows you to contribute to the national economy. See how smirky you are then, when someone, out of ignorance and spite, wants it taken away.

    On Apr 24 11:06 PM osiso wrote:

    > real world salary + benefits ==> competition on a global scale against
    > korea, china....it is a 50%+ wage cut that is going to impact the
    > entire us economy....just saying.
    Apr 26 06:59 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Who owns the media? Big Business. That's why they don't report on the true cost of labor and the productivity of the US auto worker. If they can help drive labor costs down in one sector, it'll go down in others.


    On Apr 24 08:22 PM User 401751 wrote:

    > The biggest problem here is the double standard, the Fed. gives 185
    > billion to AIG with no accountability, same goes for all the Banks,
    > but when it comes to the Auto Industry is a different ball game,
    > they the Media and most of all the Politicians always blame Labor,
    > why do they not check out and see how much Labor cost is tied up
    > in a vehcle it is minimal, also the CEO's and the Executives keep
    > raking in millions while they drive the Companys down the tube, remember
    > the Unions do not make the decisions on what vehicle to build and
    > the design and style, neither does the Labor force, it is done at
    > the top and that is were the real blame lies, even before the Economy
    > took a powder these Exec's. were allready driving these company's
    > down the tube and this downturn made it worse. The biggest difference
    > between the Japanese Auto makers and the Big Three is that the Asians
    > and Japanese do not rake all the millions by the Exc's and they are
    > not so top heavy at the top. What is killing America, the Big three
    > and Governmetnt is one word (seekingalpha.com/symbo...)
    > and with that word comes a lot of undisarable baggage, why you the
    > Press and the Politicians put the blame were it really lies, but
    > of course you have the Politicians and the Banks were they take care
    > of one another, with no Accountability for their selfish actions
    > and the Media just cuddles up to them. You should all be ashamed
    > of yourselves, but were there is Greed there is inaccuracy also and
    > Greed has no shame it just has an appetite for more. Let us get the
    > facts straight and stop dietorting them.
    Apr 26 07:04 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    willow49

    I hear what you say - and I am all for you making a great wage - just don't ask me - the taxpayer - to subsidize it or your health care, retirement, etc...
    Apr 26 09:21 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Willow - I hear what you say - and I am all for you making a great wage - just don't ask me - the taxpayer - to subsidize it or your health care, retirement, etc...

    On Apr 26 06:59 PM willow49 wrote:

    > Where do you work - Chucky Cheese? I hope one day you have a job
    > with a decent salary. A salary on which you pay taxes that and allows
    > you to contribute to the national economy. See how smirky you are
    > then, when someone, out of ignorance and spite, wants it taken away.
    >
    >
    > On Apr 24 11:06 PM osiso wrote:
    Apr 26 09:22 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    And the union just blinked.
    Will Fiat actually take the bait?
    Counting down . . . .


    Apr 27 01:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Actually GM only licenses the name "HUMMER" from AM General which is owed by Ira Rennert, a billionaire investor from New York. AM General builds the vehicles used for the military, not GM. GM only builds the H2, H2T and H3 civilian vehicles on GM frames (the H2 is a disguised Tahoe SUV and the H3 is a disguised Caynon truck). GM, Ford and Chrysler build no military vehicles. The last competiton for a new military vehicle was between Navistar (International) and AM General.


    On Apr 25 09:49 PM a. palmer jr. wrote:

    > I don't think we need all of our automakers out of business. I believe
    > they all have the capabilities of producing military vehicles which
    > we might need in the near future. GM built the HumVee, and although
    > I don't care for the Hummers on the road, the HumVee is quite a help
    > when we're in a battle. I don't think we want China building our
    > military hardware!
    Apr 28 04:23 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    A better topic would be, Why Chrysler Should Stop Building Cars. Bankruptcy or no bankruptcy this is a company with little appeal. Their Dodge truck brand and the Jeep brand are all that has any value here.
    Apr 28 10:08 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    GM is getting rid of its weak dealers by withholding financing. They do not need to break contracts.
    - AM
    Apr 30 06:59 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I honestly do not get the electric car movement. We barely have enough electricity to make it through the summer. Where will we get the juice to power this new type of transportation. On the positive side, if we figure out the power issue, electric cars are much simpler to make as things like transmissions are not needed.
    As usual, politics blocks the only real way to do this by preventing nuclear power.

    _ AM

    On Apr 24 01:24 PM James Rickman wrote:

    > Electric Car Manufacturers Inspire New Paradigms (article) -- Think
    > Global, a Norwegian based company funded by Rockport Capital Partners,
    > Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Biers (early successful investors
    > in Google (seekingalpha.com/symbo...), AOL (seekingalpha.com/symbo...)
    > and Amazon.com (seekingalpha.com/symbo...) to name a few)
    > and General Electric (seekingalpha.com/symbo...), is planning
    > to introduce its partnership: Think electric cars in the U.S. market
    > by the end of 2009. Price tag: about $25,000, made from 95% recyclable
    > materials with a top speed of 65 miles per hour and range of 110
    > miles per charge.
    Apr 30 07:07 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    LOL, you really slept soundly last night if you had that dream. No chance in hell Obama will let that happen as it would end his chances for a second term.
    -AM


    On Apr 24 02:24 PM jack kreg wrote:

    > I so look forward to a severe BK that re-sets union wages to reality,
    > that is max'ed out at low 40's including benefits, like is comparable
    > to the real world salary's paid in the mainstream economy.
    > Then, with the Chrysler unions in line, the rest of Detroit will
    > have to buckle, and union workers will discover the real (zero) value
    > of their unions and thoughts of how the "bought and paid for" Omaba
    > presidency will take care of them.
    Apr 30 07:11 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I am hoping a BK will severly cut the price of a used Viper.


    On Apr 28 10:08 PM Ames Tiedeman wrote:

    > A better topic would be, Why Chrysler Should Stop Building Cars.
    > Bankruptcy or no bankruptcy this is a company with little appeal.
    > Their Dodge truck brand and the Jeep brand are all that has any value
    > here.
    Apr 30 07:12 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Unfortunately this is beyond a zero sum game, it is a negative sum game for all involved, it is just a matter of who feels the pain more intensely. The creditors, dealers, workers, etc. are all going to get a haircut. You can blame Chrysler all you want for not having been in touch with reality or being able to make better cars but this is going to spread a lot of hurt all up and down the food chain.

    As for why the car companies are not getting the same juicy deals the banks did, I'm with Jasper M. The Treasury department is riddled with ex investment bankers and they are taking care of their own and throwing everybody else under the bus. What a crock!
    Apr 30 10:49 AM | Link | Reply
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