Prescience Point Research Group is pleased to release the contents of its third research report. The full version can be downloaded here.
We believe shares of InnerWorkings, Inc. (INWK or "IW") are grossly overvalued and poised to collapse by as much as 55%. We believe the company is inflating its revenue in violation of GAAP principles by misapplying gross revenue accounting, placing it in violation of its credit agreement. The SEC has inquired about IW's gross revenue treatment, and we believe management's response was incomplete and/or misleading. We note that Groupon (GRPN) - which has many connections with IW, including a common co-founder, former board members, and the same auditor in Ernst & Young, Chicago - violated GAAP principles in the same way and was forced to restate its revenues. Similarly, we believe IW will be forced to restate its historical financial results. Furthermore, IW shares many of the same bad qualities we profiled in our previous reports on The Active Network (ACTV or "Active") and Boulder Brands (BDBD or "Boulder"). Similar to Active, we note IW was also formed through dozens of questionable acquisitions - but IW structures them with opaque contingent payment terms that artificially boost EBITDA and EPS, even when its deals fail! To be clear, we believe IW is able to inflate its EBITDA and EPS by converting acquisition earn-out payables to earnings. Similar to Boulder, where we spotted prior failures of management and trouble at the Board level with numerous departures, we note that IW had four out of its seven board members either resign or decide not to run for reelection in 2012. IW also appears to be overstating its revenue opportunity: our research shows that IW has penetrated 25% of its North American market opportunity (80% of revenue), while having claimed a penetration rate <1% - a harbinger of waning organic growth. Follow the $$: IW's gross margins and free cash flow have been declining for several years and its CEO is selling stock!
We have pieced together all the red flag clues and will detail why we believe investors should be looking beyond the headline revenue and earnings growth numbers. Our report will scrutinize the following issues:
- IW lures investors with its "huge" opportunity to crack the "$500bn" printing market. We believe IW is both mischaracterizing the market opportunity and its revenues. IW persistently touts its revenue growth, which has largely been achieved through an opaque and aggressive roll-up strategy that uses accounting tricks to defer costs to future periods, while artificially boosting current EBITDA and EPS .
- At the heart of IW's revenue shenanigans are its misapplication of gross vs. net accounting. We have had its customer and supplier documents reviewed by a 3rd party accounting expert, and conclude IW is blatantly violating GAAP. IW has no inventory risk as it never takes title to goods, and makes suppliers provide a full warranty for its products. This directly calls into question if IW is the "primary obligor" in the transaction and carries "inventory risk," which are foundations of their argument for applying gross revenue accounting.
- The SEC is already hot on IW's tail and issued a comment letter in October 2012 which questioned, among other things, the company's use of gross revenue accounting. Our findings will be of interest to both the SEC and IW's creditors. IW has borrowed money from banks on the basis of its financials being stated in accordance with GAAP. Our results imply it is currently violating its credit terms.
- We believe that behind all the charades, IW is clearly struggling, and not growing nearly as fast as it is reporting. IW recently announced the loss of a major source of revenue from SuperValu (SVU), its largest enterprise customer. However, we believe IW's problems are worse than advertised, and likely started years ago. IW's gross margins are continually declining and cash from operations has been stagnant for at least five years. Furthermore, the company has artificially created much of its cash flow by squeezing terms to its suppliers. Adjusting its cash flow for capex and contingent payment requirements, we will illustrate that IW is nothing more than a money losing operation.
- As an additional indication that IW's domestic growth is not as advertised, we note that the company expanded into Europe through the acquisition of Production Graphics in 2011. IW made aggressive use of an earn-out to acquire this terrible business, which has allowed it to keep costs from appearing on its income statement, while booking income as the aggressive earn-out targets are not achieved.
- Investors should have been spooked in 2012 when two directors resigned, while two others decided not to stand for reelection. Three of these directors served on the company's audit committee. However, IW's stock price continued to march higher without much thought behind these departures, or why the company mysteriously increased the size of its credit facility in April 2012 by 50% to $150 million. Abrupt director resignations aren't our only governance concerns. We will illustrate egregious management salaries, and several related-party transactions with other Nasdaq listed companies such as Echo Logistics (ECHO) and Groupon pointing to a web of inaccuracies.
- IW's founders have used the same playbook of over-promising their ability to disrupt a big market opportunity with a proprietary technology. As detailed previously by both Barron's and Fortune articles, IW's founder Eric Lefkofsky (also a co-founder of Groupon) has a history of burning investors with failed expectations. One of his prior ventures, Starbelly.com, promised to transform the apparel industry, but rapidly went into bankruptcy, and incited fraud lawsuits claiming its software never worked as promised. Ironically, IW touted its PP4M technology, which has been quietly swept under the rug. However, a remaining patent lawsuit could cripple IW's financial condition.
- IW has worked hard to convince sell-side analysts that it is a revenue growth machine, worthy of a higher stock price. We note that IW has presented at no less than thirteen different broker-hosted investment conferences in the past few years. Its hard work has paid off, with four brokers claiming IW is a "Buy" with 45% upside from the current price.
Given our grave concerns about the condition of their business, and high degree risk of a financial restatement or SEC enforcement, we believe IW should be valued closer to its commercial printing/diversified business products and services peers at 8-12x 2013 earnings and 5x-7x 2013 EBITDA, which would result in a stock price closer to $5.00 per share.
InnerWorkings' Financials Are Grossly Misleading
Since being founded in 2002, IW has reportedly grown its revenues at a blistering pace, and is now guiding investors to expect nearly $915m of global revenues in 2013, while still having a "huge" global market opportunity of $505bn. Since inception, the company has reported a revenue compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61.3%, which has been achieved through a combination of acquisitions and large enterprise contract wins. The charts below are taken from IW's current investor presentation. The "Revenue Momentum" slide is conveniently and prominently placed at the beginning of the document for investors to see their success growing revenue. The "Revenue Guidance Build" illustrates that a substantial majority of IW's growth in 2013 will come from "New Global Enterprise Growth." We note these slides were made before the company cut its 2013 guidance due to a loss from its largest customer.
In the following sections, we will deconstruct IW's financial model, and expose, what we believe, are significant problems with IW's reported revenue. We will closely scrutinize IW's revenue recognition policies, which the SEC began questioning in October 2012. We believe the company's responses are inadequate, and have provided documentary evidence to suggest that IW has dramatically overstated its revenues. We believe IW has also dramatically inflated its market opportunity, which is nowhere close to $500 billion, and substantially understated its competition. We will illustrate that IW has been built on a shaky foundation of exaggerated market opportunity, overstated revenues, opaque acquisitions and shaky contract wins. We will follow IW's money trail and piece together various clues to suggest holes are being plugged in a sinking ship. IW's management is reaping enormous compensation boosting its revenues and EBITDA while gross margins and cash flow decline. However, IW has had no issues quietly going back to its bankers and asking for more credit. The pressure appears to have gotten too high for its Board to handle. In 2012 four out of seven members either resigned or did not stand for reelection. Three members sat on the Audit Committee. Finally, in early 2013, IW announced an abrupt modification of a contract with its largest customer, yet its CEO started selling stock just after the contract was first announced.
IW's Revenue Recognition Policy Violates GAAP Principles, Overstates Revenues
We are not the only skeptics of IW's reported revenue growth. In October 2012, the SEC issued a comment letter that asked for expanded disclosures, and justification for IW's revenue recognition. In particular, the SEC asked for a detailed analysis of how management evaluated each of the criteria for determining gross versus net revenue reporting under ASC 605-45-45. For a concise summary of relevant gross vs. net revenue conditions, please see Grant Thornton's Revenue Recognition Guide (page 184).
Our readers will recall that Groupon, a company with significant ties to IW's founder and Board, was forced to restate its revenues after it liberally booked gross revenues. The restatement cut their revenues in half! IW uses Ernst & Young (Chicago office) as its auditor, the exact same auditor Groupon used to bless its gross revenue accounting. To illustrate the shenanigans being played, consider the following example where Groupon sells a $10 coupon for $5 to a customer, and has to remit a certain percentage to its merchants. Groupon was booking the full $5 as revenue, even though a certain percentage of that would have to be paid to its merchant partners as a cost of goods sold. The merchants are fully responsible for fulfilling the coupon, not Groupon, so it is not a primary obligor of the transaction and never has title or risks/rewards associated with the underlying product/service that the merchant has sold.
We will demonstrate that the situation faced by Groupon and its merchant partners is 100% analogous to IW and its relationships with its suppliers. Through its network of more than 10,000 global suppliers, IW offers its customers a range of print, fulfillment and logistics services that allows it to procure printed products. At the moment, when a customer order is placed, IW reaches out to its supplier network to fulfill the order, and books the entire purchase order amount as revenue. At the heart of the debate, is whether or not IW is a primary obligor, has title and inventory risk, and bears the risks and rewards of its transactions.
IW's arguments and response to the SEC is here, and shortly after the SEC issued a follow-up response. IW's final response to the SEC is here. We have pasted the company's justification for applying gross revenue accounting below and will present our evidence that suggests that IW has not been transparent about its business practices. We have underlined areas we want to emphasize in our analysis.
IW's Response to SEC Question on Gross Revenue Accounting
We recognize revenue on a gross basis upon delivery to the customer within contract terms in accordance with ASC 605-45-45, including transactions where we have arranged for products to be shipped directly from our suppliers to our customers. These arrangements allow us to deliver product to our customers without requiring us to physically hold the inventory at our warehouses, thereby increasing efficiency and reducing costs. In making this decision, we considered various factors and indicators set forth in the guidance provided with the following key indicators supporting a gross revenue reporting treatment:
The Company is the Primary Obligor in the Arrangement
We are directly responsible to the customer for providing the product or service desired by the customer including order fulfillment and incur the risks and rewards as principal in the transaction. Once a customer orders a product, we determine at our discretion the best supplier to fulfill the customer order and contract with the supplier directly. Suppliers do not attend our sales presentations to clients and potential clients, nor do suppliers participate in our general marketing activities. Accordingly, fulfillment obligations are our sole responsibility legally and from our customers' perspective. Our customers and suppliers do not have interaction with each other during the course of a transaction. Upon fulfillment by the supplier, we are responsible for paying the supplier, which is independent of our receipt of payment from our customer. In addition, our contract sales terms further support a gross revenue reporting treatment as they are solely between us and our customer, binding us as the primary obligor in the arrangement. Furthermore, our customer contracts do not specify a print manufacturer to be used.
The Company has General Inventory Risk
We have general inventory risk in our transactions because we are responsible for products which do not meet customer specifications or quality standards. We do not have rights to return unsold products to our suppliers, and we do not receive inventory price protection from our suppliers.
The Company has Latitude in Establishing Price
We have latitude in establishing the sales price directly with the customer based on several economic factors. The supplier does not set the contractual terms with our customers.
The Company has Discretion in Supplier Selection
We have printer vendors for a product and we have discretion over which printer we select, which is typically based on a number of factors including price, service quality, production equipment, capacity and location.
The Company has Credit Risk
We assume 100% of all customer credit risk and must pay the amount owed to the supplier regardless of whether the product is accepted by our customer or our sales price is fully collected from our customer.
The Company is Involved in the Determination of Product Specifications
Our print production managers work closely with our customers to determine their required product specifications. We then select, at our discretion, from our supplier network a printer that will allow us to achieve the best economic value and service that meet the customer's needs.
Our Analysis of IW's Supplier Contracts Indicates that the Suppliers Take All the Risk
A critical assumption underlying gross revenue accounting is that IW is "the primary obligor" of its transactions and "bears the risks and rewards as principal in the transaction." Based on our review of two of IW's supplier agreements from 2008 and 2013, we believe the company has changed its policies to shift a predominance of the risks to suppliers. IW claims that it has general inventory risk, does not have return rights to suppliers, and does not receive inventory price protection from suppliers. However, our review of the contracts indicate new fees imposed on suppliers (an alternative form of price protection), full warranty requirements, and title/risk provisions are in place that put substantially all the inventory risk on suppliers. The company appears to force its suppliers to accept this risk until the customer pays. We have provided complete copies of the contracts in Appendix I and II. Key terms and changes from 2008 to 2013 are summarized in the table below.
Current Supplier Agreement (2013)
Supplier Agreement (2008)
Fees to suppliers
Certification and Technology Fee amounting to 3% of total annual invoice
Increases revenue to INWK and reduces their risk; No disclosure of this practice in company SEC filings
Supplier agrees to permit INWK and its designated agents to audit Supplier's compliance with this Agreement and any PO, including unannounced on-site inspections of manufacturing facilities and employer-provided housing; reviews of books and records including employment files; and private interviews with employees.
New onerous provision placed on suppliers
3.5% 10 days, net 60 days
2% 15 days, net 60 days
INWK benefits by taking a bigger payment discount to suppliers
Title and Risk
Risk of loss and title remain with Supplier until the goods arrive at the shipping point specified in the purchase order
Risk of loss and title remain with Supplier until the goods arrive at the shipping point specified in the purchase order, even if freight is paid by the buyer. Also specifies title may pass if accepted by INWK into storage (whether owned by supplier or not)
Substantially the same language except for the elimination of the storage provision, but makes clear the supplier carries the bulk of the risk throughout the process
Specified allowances for "overs/unders" provided in each purchase order; no changes without INWK's consent; cost of expedited freight expenses borne by supplier
Specified allowances for "overs/unders" provided in each purchase order; no changes without INWK's consent; cost of expedited freight expenses borne by supplier
Substantially the same language. INWK receives protections for cost overruns at the expense of suppliers
Supplier expressly warrants all (i) goods delivered under each PO shall be free from defects in material and workmanship and of the quality, size, and dimensions ordered and (ii) work performed under each PO will be in conformity with all plans, specifications, and other data incorporated as part of the PO.
Supplier expressly warrants all goods delivered under this PO to be free from defects in material and workmanship and to be of the quality, size and dimensions ordered and (ii) work performed under this PO to be in conformity with all plans, specifications and other data incorporated as part of the PO. These express warranties shall not be waived by reason of acceptance or payment by INWK.
Substantially the same language. Full warranty placed on supplier reduces risk to INWK
Supplier agrees to indemnify, defend and hold harmless INWK and its clients from any and all 3rd party claims that may result directly or indirectly from Supplier's production or supply of goods and services pursuant to a PO or Supplier's negligence or breach of this Agreement
From and after the date of this PO, the supplier agrees to indemnify, defend and hold harmless INWK and its clients from any and all claims, regardless or by whom such claim or claims may be asserted, for personal injury, including death, or property damage or otherwise that may result directly or indirectly from the use, possession or ownership of the goods or from the services provided by supplier pursuant to this PO
Substantially the same language. Full indemnification in favor of INWK
Our Analysis of IW's Customer Quote, Terms and Conditions, and Customer Credit Agreement Also Confirms Our Conclusion
In Appendix III we've provided a recent Formal Quotation ("FQ") from a recent customer inquiry. At the bottom of the FQ, there is a reference link to IW's Terms and Conditions ("T&C"). A copy of the T&C document is also provided in Appendix III. Under the "Risk of Loss" section, it states that "risk of loss shall pass to the Customer F.O.B. Printer's printing facility." The "Passage of Title" section states further, "Title to finished goods shall pass to Customer upon the earlier of Printer's delivery to carrier or postal service, or delivery into storage, regardless of whether the transport medium or storage facilities are owned and/or operated by Printer."
Both customer and supplier agreements make clear that IW never takes title to the product and, therefore, has no risk of loss. Since the suppliers are substantially responsible for fulfilling the orders and taking the risks, it appears that IW cannot claim to be the "primary obligor." The primary obligor condition is the most critical in determining the applicability of gross revenue accounting. Without satisfying this condition, IW is in clear violation of GAAP. Lastly, we have provided a copy of the Terms and Conditions listed in the company's Application for Credit in Appendix IV, which can also be accessed via the following link. The company requests that customers sign this document for the extension of credit. We note that this document contains slightly different language that gives the appearance that IW has risk of loss by saying "Unless shipping has been contracted for directly by Customer, title and risk of loss of finished work shall pass to the Customer upon InnerWorkings' delivery of the Work to the delivery location designated by Customer in the Purchase Order." However, at this point, we've clearly illustrated that the suppliers are delivering the work, not IW.
IW Revised its Revenue Recognition Language in its Recent Annual Report: Is it Correct? You be the Judge!
Revenue Recognition Disclosure (Pre-2012)
Revised Revenue Recognition Disclosure (2012 Annual Report)
Revenue is recognized when title transfers, which occurs when the product is shipped either from a third party to the customer or shipped directly from our warehouse to the customer. Unbilled revenue relates to shipments that have been made to customers for which the related account receivable has not yet been billed.
In accordance with Accounting Standards Codification ("ASC") 605-45-45, Revenue Recognition, Principal Agent Considerations and Other Presentation Matters, the Company recognizes revenue on a gross basis, as opposed to a net basis similar to a commission arrangement, because it bears the risks and benefits associated with revenue-generated activities by: (1) acting as a principal in the transaction; (2) establishing prices; (3) being responsible for fulfillment of the order; (4) taking the risk of loss for collection, delivery and returns; and (5) marketing the products, among other things
We recognize revenue upon meeting all of the following revenue recognition criteria, which is typically met upon shipment or delivery of our products to customers: persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists through our customer contracts, (ii) the customer takes title and assumes the risks and rewards of ownership which occurs at shipment, (iii) the sales price charged is fixed or determinable as evidenced by customer contracts, and (iv) collectability is reasonably assured. Unbilled revenue relates to shipments that have been made to customers for which the related account receivable has not yet been billed.
In accordance with ASC 605-45, Revenue Recognition - Principal Agent Considerations, we account for all of our revenue that meet the following criteria on a gross basis: we are the primary obligor in the arrangement, (ii) we have general inventory risk before the customer order is placed and upon customer return, we have latitude in establishing price, (iv) we have discretion in supplier selection from our existing network, and (v) we have credit risk with customer payments. Accordingly, all revenue billed to customers which meets these criteria is classified as revenue and all corresponding supplier payments are classified as cost of goods sold.
We recognize revenue for services provided to our customers which may be delivered in conjunction with the procurement of printed materials at the time when delivery and customer acceptance occur and all other revenue recognition criteria are met. We recognize revenue for services provided on a stand-alone basis upon completion of the service. Service revenue has not been material to our overall revenue to date.
Other Points to Consider
We also note that the SEC comment letter asked IW to separately state revenues and costs of sales for products and services on the face of the income statement in accordance with Rule 5-03(b)(1) of Regulation SX, or explain why it should not be required to do so. In light of the clear evidence that IW is now charging "certification and technology" fees to suppliers, we wonder how and where this is being accounted for? IW's response made no mention of this service fee in their SEC response letter. Lastly, we note that the SEC comment letter also asked for greater disclosure on other critical accounting policies. We observe that IW used this opportunity to expand its discussion of Contingent Purchase Consideration and Allowance for Doubtful Accounts. We will air our concern about IW's Contingent Consideration accounting more completely later in this report.
All Aboard the Hype Train! IW May Be Mischaracterizing and Overstating its Market Opportunity
IW's management is not only exaggerating and inflating its revenues, but also its potential market opportunity. Just as the revenue problem has persisted for years, so has management's claims that it has a "huge" and "once-in-a-life-time" opportunity in the print management industry. The company's mischaracterization of its market opportunity is directly linked to its false-belief that it should be booking revenues as gross, and not on a net basis.
IW's management has told investors that its eligible market opportunity is defined by the size of the commercial print markets of the geographies in which it operates. So, for example, on IW's Nov 7, 2007 earnings call - when IW operated exclusively in the US - former CEO Steven E. Zuccarini stated, "Our target market opportunity in this $170 billion U.S. printing industry is roughly a $130 to $140 billion (downward adjustment presumably due to IW's limited product offering at the time)." More recently, at a company conference presentation on March 11, 2013 - with IW now operating globally - CEO Eric Belcher stated, "We believe our eligible market opportunity is about $0.5 trillion," the amount of revenue generated by the global commercial print markets according to IW's recently filed 10-K.
We believe IW is patently wrong - and that management is potentially misleading - in claiming its market opportunity is equivalent to the size of the entire print market. IW is a broker of print services, not a printer; >75% of the revenue IW generates is pocketed by outside affiliates, primarily its suppliers. IW's egregious misstatements would be tantamount to a securities brokerage firm like Goldman Sachs claiming its total market opportunity in equities is the daily value of all stocks that traded in the world, or in the multi-trillions of dollars. Clearly, this cannot be true because it only collects pennies on each transaction and cannot have a competitive edge in every single market around the world.
Based on the slide in Figure 1 below, IW claims the size of the market opportunity for its North America segment is $150bn. If we were to agree with management that IW's market opportunity is indeed related to the size of the North American commercial print markets and that IW, as a broker, keeps 25% of the price of each transaction, then its market opportunity is only 25% of the size of the print market, or $37.5bn (25% of $150bn). But we believe that even this figure vastly overstates IW's market opportunity.
Based on the slide in Figure 2 below, only "~2% of all print in North America is currently run through a print management channel," which we understand to mean that only 2% of North American commercial print market revenues are directed toward brokers like IW. This requires a further reduction of our estimate of IW's true market potential, as follows: If the entire North American print industry generates $150bn, and (based on Figure 2) we assume that only 2% of those revenues goes to brokers, IW's available North American market opportunity is only $3bn (2% of $150bn), on a gross basis. Further, if we assume, as we did in the preceding paragraph, that brokers as an industry keep 25% of the gross revenues they generate, then IW's available North American market opportunity is only $750m, on a net basis.
IW management has guided for $915m in 2013 gross revenue. If we assume that 80% is generated in North America, IW will generate $732m in gross and ~$183m in net North American revenue, implying it has already penetrated ~25% of its $750m North American market opportunity and is likely faced with rapidly waning organic growth in its primary end market (80% of revenue). In spite of management continually claiming having penetrated <1% of an enormous North American market opportunity, the truth is between the lines of the company's aggressive expansion into Europe in the middle of that continent's economic depression.
Figure 1: Misguiding Investors by Exaggerating
Figure 2: Claimed "Huge" Market Opportunity
Figure 3: Latest Slide Touts
(click to enlarge)Source: InnerWorkings Investor Presentation, 2013
We dug through the company's conference call transcripts to see if any investors had previously questioned management about potentially misunderstanding its own market opportunity. Specifically, we searched for words related to 'market opportunity,' and have displayed the results below. We should note that in general, management adores the word 'opportunity' (which is said so many times on this company's calls that we chose to ignore it in most instances), and CEO Eric Belcher has a strong tendency to use the word 'massive' or say the phrase 'once-in-a-lifetime' prior to saying 'market opportunity.'
We found that the topic had been brought up on most of the company's calls, but seemingly always by IW management, in conjunction with the making of some bold proclamation. They pushed IW's definition of market opportunity so many times that we wondered if there were some concerted effort by management to control that conversation, potentially misguiding investor perceptions about the company's growth prospects. As a matter of fact, they have a tendency to emphasize the enormity of this market opportunity ("$500bn global opportunity"), to remind investors that IW has barely begun to penetrate this mammoth opportunity ("We're actually less than 1% of what we consider to be just our eligible domestic market opportunity"), that IW is the pioneer in its field with a track record of success and undeniable prospects. Below are some recent promotional quotes by management. In Appendix VI, we have a complete record of quotes from management tracing back to 2007.
Company Conference Presentation: 3/11/2013
- Eric Belcher: Now, we believe we are just getting started. I showed earlier that we delivered almost $800 million in revenue last year. And that is just the drop in the bucket versus what we believe is our eligible market opportunity of about $0.5 trillion. So, what I would like to do is spend a few minutes on our growth engines, how we see ourselves penetrating that $500 billion market opportunity going forward, and then a little bit about our financial performance… So, what gets us out of bed in the morning is we all truly believe that we are on top of the once in the lifetime opportunity in our careers. A market of this size with a solution this novel, and now a track record as substantial as ours, doesn't come around every day and we intend to capitalize on it. We think we are just getting started. We have grown up a little bit. We have gotten a little bit bigger, but we are still a very, very small company in relation to our aspirations and in relation to what we believe the market will allow… the way we look at that $500 billion opportunity is the market opportunity in front of us mirrors the business that we currently have. Meaning we don't look at it as though we need to expand into any new product categories beyond the ones that we are in. And now that we are in every major economy, we believe that's an eligible $500 billion eligible market opportunity for us. We are not looking at growth from the industry overall.
Analyst/Investor Day: 2/22/2013
- Eric Belcher: As we march toward -- if we were to add 2013 on our way to and through a $1 billion and yet stack that chart up, that bar up against what we think our eligible market opportunity is, of at least $500 billion a year globally, we wouldn't even see this year's chart, we wouldn't see the bar… Now one of the main reasons, aside from the size of the market opportunity and the fact that we've got, we believe, the solution for the future in our space, one of the main reasons why we're so confident in where the business is headed is that we've got a very clear and very simple, elegant, I believe, growth strategy. There are 3 pillars to our growth strategy, none of which are untested or have any sort of doubt in our minds, create any sort of doubt in our minds, as to whether or not we can successfully implement it… So my last comments before your questions. We are thinking big. We view ourselves as a very small company with a huge opportunity in front of us and it's inevitable that the industry is going to transform and adopt a solution like ours. What's not obvious or what's not been determined at this stage is who is going to capitalize on that. Is it going to be some of the print manufacturers that Andy interacts with? Is it going to be a massive corporation that decides to enter our market in a meaningful way or maybe an advertising agency or a BPO consulting firm? Or is it going to be us? And we think, we are right now, with the clear leadership in this space, undeniable at this stage, that InnerWorkings is the pioneer. It is the company with the track record, with the momentum. It's undeniable at this stage. We need to fight for that every day, but we think this is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity, for us as a leadership team, and we feel that all the way through the company and through our geographies, that we really have found ourselves in a very fortunate space and we don't intend to give up on that.
Because InnerWorkings is a print broker, and not a printer, we believe that any discussion of market opportunity is irrelevant absent a focus on excess industry capacity, the primary driver of its profitability. According to IW's own words, it is in the business of capitalizing, "on imbalances between supply and demand in the print industry by obtaining favorable pricing terms from suppliers in our network with excess capacity."  According to IW's 10-K, the primary driver of its profitability are the rates its suppliers charge it, not the levels of customer spend: "Our profit margin and profitability are largely a function of the rates that our suppliers charge us compared to the rates that we charge our clients. If our suppliers increase the price of our print orders, and we are not able to find suitable or alternative suppliers, our profit margin may decline."
It stands to reason that a direct relationship exists between a supplier's levels of unused capacity and the prices it charges IW. In its 10-K, IW states, "We believe that the most competitive prices we obtain from our suppliers are offered by the suppliers with the most unused capacity." Clearly, for InnerWorkings, the more the better: The company's 2012 10-K states clearly, "Reduced excess capacity in the print industry generally, and in our supplier network specifically, could have an adverse impact on our ability to execute our business strategy and on our business results and growth prospects."
As such, IW's business strategy, results, and growth prospects are all dependent on the existence of excess capacity in the commercial print industry, and more specifically, on changes in levels of that excess capacity. IW's market opportunity is primarily a function of capacity utilization in the commercial printing industry, NOT how much money is SPENT in the print industry. If industry capacity utilization begins to turn, we can imagine a scenario where IW's market opportunity begins to shrink in unison with improving levels of print spend: To focus on geographic industry sales levels - which management pushes investors to do - is likely to leave investors in the dust. We guess that from management's perspective, it's sexier to sell people on a $100bn+ print market than the company's dependency on a struggling industry that will eventually land on its feet. For the past several years the U.S. commercial print industry has experienced significant levels of excess capacity. One must wonder what consequences a post-rationalization industry recovery will have bear on this company.
Print Market Sales in Secular Decline
Number of Companies and Employees in Secular Decline
Questionable Roll-up Strategy and Potential Problems with Contingent Payment Accounting
Time and time again, we've found problems with companies that tout their "superior" M&A abilities and a "large fragmented market" as justification for undertaking a roll-up strategy. We've previously written about The Active Network (ACTV) and Student Transportation (STB), as examples of companies that have failed to achieve any synergies or valuation creation to shareholders after completing 40 and 47 acquisitions, respectively. We believe that both of these companies have gone through great length to obscure their acquisition failures through opaque disclosures and murky accounting.
IW shares many of the same hallmarks of a poorly constructed roll-up. Collectively, they appear to have succeeded in quickly building revenue and rewarding management's bonuses, but have done nothing to accrete free cash flow to shareholders. According to the company's latest investor presentation (slide 20) entitled "Track Record of Success," IW has completed 29 acquisitions from 2006 to 2012 with a purchase price > $1 million. The company has paid an average EBITDA of 5.7x, but a realized multiple of 3.9x. IW does not define what it considers to be a realized EBITDA multiple. Overall IW touts a number of impressive sounding statistics and baits investors with comments that they have a pipeline of deals consisting of "over 5,000 companies in total" and "over 2,000 that we have had a dialogue with in the past."
We believe IW has been particularly opaque with its M&A strategy, and may be using aggressive accounting for contingent payment (earn-outs) to artificially boost its earnings. In the table below, we've analyzed every announced and SEC reported deal by IW. We observe that the company has discussed 16 deals since 2006, acquired ~$315m in revenue, and paid ~35% of its total deal values in upfront cash payments (note: The investor presentation says average down payment of 50%). In other words, of the $260m of announced deals, $170m or ~65% have been structured as contingent payments to be made in future periods (up to four years), and subject to the acquired company reaching certain milestones.
We believe there are numerous problems here that investors should consider. First, the company does not disclose the exact formulas or milestones that drive the contingent payments. In certain instances, the company has disclosed that the target will be EBITDA, revenues, or gross profits, but in general we do not know how aggressive or conservative IW is setting the financial targets to be achieved. Secondly, investors are not being given a clear picture as to who is receiving the payments (owners, sales reps, or both). Earn-outs are typically structured to align and reduce risks between the buyers of a business and the target company's selling shareholders. The Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") defines contingent consideration as "an obligation of the acquirer to transfer additional assets or equity interests to the former owners of an acquiree as part of the exchange for control of the acquiree if specified future events occur or conditions are met." We believe that many of these smaller companies are being acquired predominately for their owners, sales reps and relationships, and not for their technology, proprietary processes, or hard assets. IW obscures its discussion of employee retention by claiming in its investor presentation that "82% of Entrepreneurs Are Retained." Are entrepreneurs owners or salesmen?
IW's current accounting method for earn-outs may be artificially boosting its earnings. Under ASC 805, the company is currently estimating the future liability from earn-out payments based on the present value of the potential contingent purchase price, and accruing a liability on the balance sheet. Changes in the fair value estimate are recorded through the income statement, and ultimate payments go through the cash flow statement. If the owner/salesmen are being retained and paid strictly on an earn-out basis, we believe this method serves to remove ordinary operating expenses from the income statement and boost current earnings.
A recent study conducted by Duff & Phelps in 2012 on Contingent Consideration gives some instructive guidance for us to consider. They note that determining whether contingent payments to the selling shareholders should be classified as contingent consideration or post-combination compensation expense depends on a number of factors and can sometimes be a challenging exercise. However, they say authoritatively that, "contingent payments made to shareholders who will continue as employees post-acquisition and that are tied to retention of those employees are often considered payments for future performance and classified as compensation expense."
We have one prime example to illustrate IW's aggressive accounting. In October 2011 IW acquired Productions Graphics ("PG") in Europe for $94.5m with an enormous 92% of the deal value, or $86.9m, coming in the form of an earn-out structure. The company's deal announcement and Share Purchase Agreement noted that "As part of the acquisition, CEO Christophe Delaune has agreed to a long term contract to remain with InnerWorkings."
So there you have it in black and white: PG was IW's largest M&A deal ever, the company locked-up its owner with a retention contract, structured an enormous earn-out, and saw none of the cost go through the income statement!
The PG deal appears to be a particularly bad deal for IW's shareholders, and symptomatic of the problems the company is facing, which we'll explore more completely in the coming sections. IW has repeatedly told investors they have a $150 billion market opportunity in North America, yet the company moved aggressively into Europe in the middle of the continent's economic depression. The financial filings of PG, quietly filed as an amended 8-K a few months after the deal was announced, illustrates a company of questionable financial quality. PG's income statement indicates they were producing an annualized run-rate EBITDA of ~$500,000. If we consider that IW paid EUR 5.8m (US$7.6m) upfront in cash/stock and assumed US$5.1m of debt, then the implied Enterprise Value to EBITDA multiple equates to 25.6x, which is dramatically higher than what IW claims to pay for its acquisitions at 5.7x EBITDA.
Productions Graphics Minimal EBITDA or Net Income
Book Value of Just $70,000
The PG deal is perhaps the only deal where IW has filed a Share Purchase Agreement with details about the earn-out mechanics. The earn-out structure also illustrates the incentives IW has for setting high financial targets, and the resulting consequences for failing to attain them. To illustrate, consider that by the fifth year measurement period, there are mechanisms to pay the seller if EBITDA exceeds EUR 7.2m or is between EUR 5.7m and EUR 7.2m. These are aggressive EBITDA targets relative to PG's 2011 performance of approximately EUR $0.5m (1,052% - 1,340% growth). If PG fails to obtain these lofty targets, then IW can write down the value of its contingent payment liability and book income from the resulting fair value change.
We already have indications that the PG deal is a big bust. We note that the company mentioned in its 2012 earnings results that, "Due to the softness in Europe, some of the applicable performance measures were not met in the fourth quarter of 2012, and as a result, the Company recorded a net benefit to release a portion of its contingent consideration obligations." IW does not specify where on its income statement this non-cash gain rests, but we suspect it is being included in the large SG&A account. The cash flow statement correctly removes this non-cash accounting gain. We'll explore IW's low quality net income and divergence between net income and cash flow later in this report.
Income Statement Overstates Earnings By Including Gains from Change in Contingent Consideration
Cash Flow Statement Removes Non-Cash Effect
Many Other Red Flag Clues That IW's Revenues Don't Add-Up
Pure Play Global Competitor's Revenues Show Abysmal Organic Growth
Williams Lea, owned by Deutsche Post (DPSGY.PK), is perhaps the closest pure-play competitor to IW. As illustrated in the chart below, Williams Lea operates a global business in Europe, Asia, North and South America, and Australia, and according to their website, is a BPO with 10,000 employees. Fortunately, Deutsche Post breaks out Williams Lea's revenue results in its annual reports. In the second quarter of 2008, Deutsche Post increased its stake in Williams Lea from 66 % to 96%, so we can analyze fully consolidated financial results from 2009 onward. The chart below illustrates the company's increasing revenues in the past four years, but rapidly declining growth rate. We note that Williams Lea's organic revenue growth rate in 2012, adjusted for the acquisition of Tag and currency effects, was a dismal -4.3%. To be perfectly fair, we do not know what percentage of their revenue comes from Europe, which is clearly struggling. However, we note that IW currently has 20% of its revenues from international markets including Europe, Latin America and Asia.
Other Peer Comparisons Call Into Question IW's Reported Revenue
In the charts below, we have benchmarked IW's revenue against a set of industry peers. Broadly speaking, IW's business is a combination of printing, marketing and business process outsourcing services. On the left, we have measured, by industry group, the revenue productivity per full time and contractor employees. IW appears as a dramatic outlier in this analysis. On the right, we have charted, by industry group, the annual reported revenue growth in the past five years. We also note that IW has consistently grown its revenues at a rate much faster than industry peers. In light of our previous concerns, and discussion later in this report about IW's use of gross revenue accounting, we believe IW's reported revenue growth is highly suspicious.
IW's Career Website Shows Limited Employee Growth to Support Ambitious Objectives
IW's revised guidance is to grow 2013 revenues to between $900m and $930m (13% - 17% yoy) and 2013 EPS from $0.41c to $0.45-$0.50c (10.0% - 22.0%). At the company's February 2013 Investor Day, IW guided investors to assume that same customer spending growth will be zero, to assume no new acquisitions, and that inside sales is going to drive a majority of the growth. Therefore, we've decided to put these assumptions to the test with some of our own stress tests! From the company's career website, we observe that just 34 job openings currently appear. Overall, the company ended 2012 with 1,379 employees (including 400 account managers). Assuming no employee churn, IW appears to believe it can grow its revenue by ~15% with its total employee count growing by just 2.3%.
Just 34 Job Opening on IW's Career Website - 4/22/13
The relationship between IW's reported revenue growth and total employee growth is remarkably high with a statistical correlation close to 98%. We've highlighted the relationship in the table below. The notion that IW is going to dramatically grow revenues and earnings in 2013 without a material investment in new sales people, account executives, and production managers should be viewed as a "prove it to me" story. Assuming the historical employee/revenue relationship held, IW would need to hire over 200 people to hit its revenue growth target.
Simply stated, IW is a sales driven business. To illustrate further, we note that IW used to state in 10-K filings prior to 2008 that:
"Commissions paid to our account executives are a significant component of our operating expenses. The commissions we pay to our account executives are based on the gross profit we collect from the clients."
However, post-2007, IW completely stopped disclosing its sales commissions. Even worse, in 2011 the company stopped providing detail on enterprise and middle market clients. We believe this is a clear sign of an attempt to cover-up slowing growth. In Appendix V we have provided a list of all announced enterprise customer wins, and the historical disclosures which point to increasing obfuscation.
With no ability to follow trends in sales commissions, or client counts in its main businesses, IW's revenues have become harder to reconcile. The combination of these material omissions cast further doubt on the reliability of the company's reported revenues.
Glassdoor Internal Reviews Indicate Limited Inside Sales Opportunities
As additional evidence that IW's growth story may not be as advertised, we visited Glassdoor.com for an insider's view. There are currently 40 reviews, with approximately 70% of the ratings between "Neutral" to "Very Dissatisfied." Ironically, the most recent posts from April 2013 are from members of the inside sales team warning about a lack of sales opportunities. The employees' views contrast markedly with management's claim that inside sales is going to drive the bulk of 2013 revenue and earnings performance. Other recent posts from insider sales personnel echo a recurring theme that IW does not have a blue sky sales career potential.
Follow the Money: Deteriorating Margins, No Cash Flow, Increased Borrowing and Insider Sales
IW touts its stellar revenue growth, while conveniently ignoring any discussion about its free cash flow. The charts below profile the true picture of the company's fragile financial state. Declining gross margins indicate that the company is acquiring lower margin business to keep revenues growing. Cash from operations is struggling to grow, so in 2011 the company appears to have extended its payables to suppliers in order to generate a majority of its cash flow. IW has not been able to compensate by shrinking its days sales outstanding (DSO) in the past few years. As a result, the company has steadily increased its borrowing facility, most recently in April 2012 to $150m at the same time directors were leaving the company (sound similar to Active and Boulder?). Debt is increasing too, and when factoring in the maximum cash liability associated with deal earn-outs, IW's gross leverage is deceptively higher than advertised. Lastly, we note IW's CEO just instituted a 10b5-1 trading plan on Nov. 14, 2012 just weeks after IW announced its expanded relationship with SuperValu!
Misaligned Incentives: Egregious Management Awards tied to Revenue and EBITDA Inflation
"Senior Management worries more about lining their pockets rather than helping you earn money" - Glassdoor, April 14, 2013
We have gone through great length to illustrate how management likes to portray its strong revenue growth, and make aggressive use of gross revenue accounting. We don't believe this is by accident, but rather by design, and to compensate management heavily for their efforts. Below we have included management's "Target Award Opportunities" from the 2011 Proxy Statement.
"The 2011 target opportunities under the Annual Incentive Plan were approved by the Compensation Committee on February 17, 2011. The 2011 management bonus award opportunities were based on the following criteria: 40% on adjusted EBITDA performance (100% pay-out based on reaching an EBITDA, less stock based compensation, of $35.8MM), 40% on revenue growth (100% pay-out on reaching $600MM of revenue) and 20% based on non-financial performance, which includes goals such as client retention rate of 98% or higher, growing the middle market segment, international expansion and improved ROIC results)."
So there it is in black and white: management gets paid the most for worrying about revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA. We also observe that management is paid 20% based on non-financial performance metrics that are loosely defined, and are never disclosed to shareholders in the company's financial reporting. Therefore, investors have no way of tracking how management is being evaluating and performing against these criteria.
How much compensation does management have at stake for achieving their goals? The answer is an incredibly material amount to shareholders! In the table below, we illustrate management's total compensation in relation to GAAP net income and cash from operations. For 2011, management's all-in compensation amounted to a staggering 45% of cash provided from operations. What's even more egregious is that total compensation has grown 285% from 2009 to 2011, while cash from operations has grown just 26% over the same time period.
We do not place too much faith in the Company's Compensation Committee to look after shareholders' best interests. We note that, for competitive benchmarking purposes, the committee has chosen a peer group that reflects nothing of IW's current business. The peer group includes many unrelated companies such as: Accretive Health (AH), IHS Inc. (IHS), Corporate Executive Board (CEB), Huron Consulting (HURN), Navigant Consulting (NCI), and Resources Connection (RECN). We observe that almost 60% of IW's supposed peers are actually consulting/professional service firms, which has nothing to do with print management or marketing services! The compensation consultants could have at least considered Xerox (XRX), Pitney Bowes (PBI), Canon (CAJ) and other low growth business service providers.
The Inner Workings of InnerWorkings: All Guts, No Glory
InnerWorkings ("IW" or "the company") provides outsourced print procurement solutions for corporate clients. The company acts as a broker, matching the 10,000 printers and their equipment profiles (IW owns no printing equipment) in its database with customer orders; by leveraging buying power, workflows and pricing records into operating efficiencies, IW says it is able to pass along print savings of 10%-25% to clients.
Since its IPO in 2006, the company has grown its revenue from ~$160m in 2006 to ~$800m in 2012. It generates 80% and 20% of revenue from its North American (US and Canada) and International segments (United Kingdom, continental Europe, the Middle East, Latin America and Asia), respectively; the company has pushed in the last couple of years to expand from a national to a global focus with acquisitions in Latin America and Europe. IW's largest customer accounted for 8% and its top ten clients accounted for 32% of 2012 revenue.
IW serves both enterprise and middle market customers. It enters into contracts with enterprise clients to provide some or all of their printed products, typically on a recurring basis. Contracts with enterprise clients are generally for a 3-5 year term with a termination right ranging from 90 days to 12 months. Enterprise clients accounted for 75% of 2012 revenue. Middle market clients account for the remaining 25%. IW provides products to these clients on transactional basis.
IW was founded in 2001 by Bill Heinsle and Eric Lefkofsky, who is perhaps better known for also co-founding Groupon. Based on their public history together, they appear to be shrewd businessmen who have rolled-up mature, low-margin businesses and used highly effective spin to cast them as fast-growing, high margin technology companies with leverageable, "proprietary" technology. InnerWorkings fits this mold.
The company is a consolidator of print brokers and, having completed 29 acquisitions from 2006 to 2012, shares many of the same hallmarks of a poorly constructed roll-up: While the company has succeeded in quickly building revenue and issuing rewarding management bonuses, it has performed poorly in accreting free cash flow to shareholders. Yet the company positions itself as a technology company. Investor materials imply having designed a "killer app" for efficient print procurement and claim the development of a "game-changing technology" that is disrupting the print market, "for the benefit of its customers and shareholders" of course.
InnerWorkings Investor Day Presentation, Feb 2010
We believe IW offers a commodity service, operating in an industry with very low barriers to entry in spite of the company's claims. Today, it is capitalizing on excess capacity left by a deteriorating print market. Over time, that capacity is being rationalized as printers exit the market or consolidate. Numerous larger, and better funded companies have also entered the market, and are eroding IW's early mover advantages.
Furthermore, in light of having researched the backgrounds of IW's founders, having identified potential shareholder misdirection emanating from IW's promotional management team, and conducted a thorough analysis of IW's accounts, we feel we know how this story is set to unfold. Who's holding the bag?
Chasing "Huge Opportunities" With Allegedly Misleading Claims of "Proprietary Technology"
Lets start having fun... lets get funky... let's announce everything... let's be WILDLY positive in our forecasts... lets take this thing to the extreme... if we get wacked on the ride down-who gives a s**t... THE TIME TO GET RADICAL IS NOW... WE HAVE NOTHING TO LOSE...
--Lefkofsky's email to employees while COO of a failing public company Ha-Lo Industries
To better understand IW and the choices management has made as a public company, we sought to identify behavioral trends in its key personnel - in this case, the man behind the company and who by some accounts has controlled all aspects of the business, co-founder Eric Lefkofsky. [2,3] Our background search resulted in many articles that praise Lefkofsky for his admirable successes and charitable doings, and many others that allude to his failures as a leader and knack for self-serving decision-making. Based on our research, Lefkofsky's career has consisted of chasing the hot trend of the moment and betting the house - other people's money - in hopes of riches.
Lefkofsky has left behind two bankrupt companies and a managerial track record that appears to bear certain hallmarks: promises of "proprietary" technologies that will transform brick and mortar businesses, rapid revenue growth accompanied by big losses, aggressive accounting, a penchant to sell stock early on, and lawsuits filed by investors, lenders or customers who feel they have been wronged. 
His first venture, right out of law school, was the takeover of sports apparel manufacturer Brandon Apparel in 1994. The city of Columbus, WI backed him in this endeavor, loaning the company $750,000, allegedly on promises he would create jobs using "proprietary software".  The company rapidly grew its revenue from $2 million to $20 million, but failed to grow fast enough to support the weight of its debts. "We over-leveraged the company and it eventually crumbled under the weight of that debt," Lefkofsky wrote. Columbus was forced to write off the loan. "They basically bailed out of Columbus, and that seems to be their ongoing tactic," Columbus's city attorney said at the time. Brandon Apparel's downfall resulted in a series of lawsuits. The former owner of Brandon reportedly sued the company, as did National Football League Properties and Major League Baseball Properties. Its lender, Johnson Bank, sued Lefkofsky and won a default judgment of $11 million; the bank also alleged that Lefkofsky and his partner used Brandon's resources to nurture their next venture, Starbelly. 
In 1999, at the height of the dot-com craze, Lefkofsky co-founded Starbelly.com, a B2B procurement website. There, again, Lefkofsky allegedly promised investors he had "proprietary software" that would revolutionize the way the marketplace worked.  A little over a year later, Starbelly was acquired by Ha-Lo Industries for $240m. Lefkofsky and other Starbelly officers assumed key executive positions within Ha-Lo. But a little more than a year later, the business flopped; Ha-Lo wrote off Starbelly entirely and filed for bankruptcy protection in July 2001.
Securities fraud and bankruptcy litigation against Lefkofsky and Ha-Lo quickly followed. One class action suit alleged that Ha-Lo's top officers and directors "knowingly, or at least recklessly, made grossly inaccurate statements concerning its agreement to acquire Starbelly.com" and they, "repeatedly highlighted the extraordinary benefits of the acquisition," although it led, at least in part, to Ha-Lo's bankruptcy.
Discovery in those cases exposed reckless emails Lefkofsky had sent to his employees (one of which has been pasted as the introduction to this section), in which he appears to be encouraging employees to be deceptive in communications with his shareholders and/or creditors. According to Ha-Lo documents discovered in subsequent shareholder suits, a due diligence investigation by Ernst & Young had even warned Ha-Lo that Starbelly's software was not as proprietary -- or even as functional -- as Starbelly claimed. [8,9]
Lefkofsky's next venture would be InnerWorkings. Barron's writer Bill Alpert wrote a scathing article about InnerWorkings and Lefkofsky in 2007 that almost prefigured the concerns surrounding Groupon's IPO (a subsequent Lefkofsky venture). He called InnerWorkings "a glorified broker of print jobs," and argued that Lefkofsky "has a history of busting investors after promising to radically transform bricks-and-mortar industries." He also called to question InnerWorkings' "proprietary" software, known as PPM4:
Eerily like Starbelly, there's less than meets the eye to the company's touted "PPM4" software, say some InnerWorkings ex-employees. In the weeks before Morgan Stanley's eagle-eyed due diligence team toured InnerWorkings for its August 2006 initial underwriting, workers stayed late padding the company's off-the-shelf FileMaker Pro database with an impressive-looking list of suppliers. Then they dummied up some screen-shots of the software for the inside cover of the prospectus (pictured below)… Numerous ex-employees of InnerWorkings told me that its vaunted software also doesn't work as claimed. 
Sexy Pre-IPO Look of PPM4 from Prospectus
PPM4 2 Years Later, 2008 Investor Presentation
(click to enlarge)
After founding InnerWorkings, Lefkofsky co-founded two other firms which are now public, Echo Global Logistics and Groupon. When ECHO went public in 2009, its management - as one would expect - touted its "proprietary" Web-based platform that manages a network of thousands of transportation providers. Groupon encountered major issues in going public and subsequent to its IPO - mainly related to Lefkofky & Co. being over-promotional during its pre-IPO quiet period, violations of GAAP accounting standards, and being forced to restate its revenue. Later in the report, we will profile the web of related dealing among ECHO, GRPN, and IW, and our evidence that IW is also at high risk of having to restate its revenue.
What Happened to IW's Proprietary, Industry-Changing PPM4 Technology?
During its IPO process, in almost every investor presentation, and in every 10-K filing since coming public, management has touted its reliance on the company's 'proprietary' software program, PPM4. The technology was pushed as a "killer app" and a "revolutionary," "game-changing" technology. More importantly, the patent-protected software was said to give the company a leg up on the competition, was an essential component of IW's competitive advantage, and it was said to have created significant barriers to entry.
Patent-Protected PPM4 Creates Barriers to Entry
PPM4 Described as a "Killer App", Game Changer
Strangely, aside from a paragraph devoted to discussing a legal proceeding brought against the company, PPM4 has been dropped from mention in the company's 2012 10-K. Furthermore, we have noticed interesting changes in language in comparing previous 10-Ks with the 2012 filing, specifically in reference to the company's patents.
Every 10-K filed since IW IPOed contained an Intellectual Property disclosure with language resembling the following, excerpted from the 2011 filing: "As of December 31, 2011, we have been issued one US Patent and have seven patent applications pending related to our proprietary sourcing methods. We expect to apply for additional patents in the future." This language was completely dropped from the 2012 filing.
Similarly, we noted the subtle removal of the word 'patent' in one of the company's risk disclosures:
- 2011 Risk Disclosure: "If we fail to protect our intellectual property rights adequately, our competitors could replicate our proprietary technology in order to offer similar services and harm our competitive position. We rely on a combination of patent, trademark and trade secret laws and confidentiality and nondisclosure agreements to protect our proprietary technology."
2012 Risk Disclosure: "If we fail to protect our intellectual property rights adequately, our competitors could replicate our proprietary technology and offer similar services, which would harm our competitive position. We rely primarily on a combination of trademark and trade secret laws and confidentiality and nondisclosure agreements to protect our proprietary technology."
And as stated, the only mention of PPM4 was found in the following disclosure of a new patent infringement suit brought against the company:
In December 2010, e-Lynxx Corporation filed a complaint against the Company and numerous other defendants for patent infringement in the United States District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania. As to the Company, the complaint alleges, among other things, that certain aspects of the Company's PPM4TM technology infringe on two patents owned by e-Lynxx purporting to cover a system and method for competitive pricing and procurement of customized goods and services, and seeks monetary damages, interest, costs, attorneys' fees, punitive damages and a permanent injunction. In February 2013, e-Lynxx asserted that the monetary damages it seeks from the Company are in the range of $22 million to $56 million for the period from May 2009 through December 2011; e-Lynxx has not yet specified damages sought for 2012 and future periods. The Company disputes the allegations contained in e-Lynxx's complaint and intends to vigorously defend this matter. Specifically, the Company contends that the patents at issue are invalid and not infringed, and, therefore, e-Lynxx is not entitled to any relief and the complaint should be dismissed. Further, even if e-Lynxx could establish liability, the Company contends that e-Lynxx is not entitled to the excessive monetary relief it seeks. A trial of this matter is currently scheduled in July 2013. The Company believes that an unfavorable outcome is reasonably possible but not probable, and therefore, no reserve has been recorded for a potential loss. The loss that is reasonably possible cannot be estimated.
Frankly, we are baffled as to why a company that intends to defend itself vigorously in a patent infringement suit appears to have dropped claim of the patent in question. We find it alarming that no announcement was made pertaining to the potential loss of a technology platform thought to be an integral part of IW's business. In light of these peculiarities, and the size of the asserted monetary damages, we wonder whether the escalation of this suit led to the company increasing the size of its credit facility in April 2012 by $50m.
Competition Stiffening Just as Barriers to Entry… Disappear?
For the time being, while excess capacity remains high in the commercial printing industry, many will see a potential profit opportunity to be had for building scale and full service solutions. As previously discussed, we believe there is nothing special about how IW operates, and that print brokerage is a commodity business with low barriers to entry. That said, the competitive landscape has already begun to worsen and, with time, attractive broker spreads are likely to be competed away.
In reading through IW's SEC filings, we get the sense that management has dramatically understated the competitive landscape. The company cited only Williams Lea, Logicsource, Cirqit, Noosh, R.R. Donnelley (RRD) and Quad/Graphics (QUAD) as competitors. However, we believe IW also competes against several other, better-capitalized industry heavyweights such as Xerox , Pitney Bowes , Canon, HP (HPQ), DST Systems (DST), Consolidated Graphics (CGX), ADP (ADP), and Merrill Corp. The table below, copied from a March 2013 R.R. Donnelley presentation, demonstrates how an incumbent leader views IW from a competitive threat standpoint...dead last at the very bottom!
As a final thought, we observe that even IW's CEO recognizes the competitive landscape has intensified. Commenting in a recent article on the increasing competition, he said, "It's inevitable. I'm a little surprised it hasn't happened faster." This might explain IW's rationale for announcing the acquisition of DB Studios at the same time it lost a significant portion of business from its largest customer SuperValu. DB Studios is a California-based distributor of permanent POP displays and retail fixtures, whose clients include major retail and consumer package goods brands. The acquisition provides IW with creative, design, engineering, and prototyping capabilities, which are critical in the permanent display world.
DB Studios appears to be in a totally unrelated area to IW's core business, and we don't expect IW to break ground on dominating this market any time soon. Just months earlier, industry heavyweight Quad/Graphics announced it would acquire all the assets of Vertis out of bankruptcy. The combination of Quad/Graphics and Vertis appears to be a natural and strategic fit. The complementary capabilities of the two businesses in retail advertising inserts, direct marketing and in-store marketing will further strengthen and expand its offerings, and will allow it to better serve its clients
Management Churn and Rapid Director Departures in 2012 Should Be a Concern For Investors
In our previous report on Boulder Brands, we noted how the abrupt resignations of three directors and the CFO after the acquisition of Glutino should have been a serious red flag to investors. In similar fashion, IW's shareholders appear to have completely ignored the major changes with management and at the Board level in 2012. Moreover, we note that a majority of the Board turnover in March 2012 came not long after IW acquired Productions Graphics in late 2011 and expanded its credit facility.
In light of all our concerns about the IWs revenue recognition, technology, increasing competition, and over-promotion, we think investors should see the disturbing pattern of turnover at the management ranks in the past few years. We observe that every major role at IW has turned over since the IPO. Management's actions speak much louder than their words.
Date of Resignation
Individual / Title
Scott Risoni / EVP of Sales
Steven Zuccarini / Chief Executive Officer
Nicholas J. Galassi / Chief Financial Officer
Neil P. Graver / Chief Technology Officer (demotion to VP Technology)
Jan J. Sevcick / Chief Information Officer
Jonathan Shean / SVP of Operations
The Board level changes are even more disturbing. According to the 2012 proxy statement filed on April 30, 2012, both Mr. Sharyar Baradaran and Mr. Peter Barris decided not to stand for reelection. We note that both individuals served on the company's Audit Committee in 2011. Mr. Barris's decision not to stand for reelection is particularly troublesome considering that he represented a 9.4% ownership position of New Enterprise Associates ("NEA"), which at the time was one of the largest shareholders. However, according to a recent SEC 13G filing, NEA has completely exited its investment after Mr. Barris's departure. Mr. Baradaran, a board member since 2006, was also a 1% shareholder at the time of his resignation. Both individuals also served on the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committees.
Perhaps a more mysterious resignation was John Walter's departure on March 2, 2012. Instead of filing a typical 8-K with the SEC, IW quietly slipped his resignation notice into item 9B of its 2011 10-K filing. Mr. Walter had served as the non-executive Chairman of the Board since 2004 and was also on the Audit Committee and Chairman of the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committees.
So there you have three board departures, with all members having served on the Audit and Corporate Governance committees. Can there be any clearer signs of a potential cover-up at IW? Adding insult to injury, later in October 2012 co-founder Eric Lefkofsky also resigned from the Board. He had served on the Board since 2008 and sat on the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committees. According to the latest filings, Mr. Lefkofsky owns 6.4% of the company.
Related Party Dealings and Other Governance Concerns
The executives and Board members of IW also have ties to other public companies such as Groupon and Echo Logistics. Each company also has Ernest & Young (Chicago Office) as its auditor. Moreover, Mr. Joseph Del Preto has served as the financial controller for each company at some point in time. This can be easily seen from his public LinkedIn profile page. We observe that all of the related individuals have distanced themselves from InnerWorkings at the current time.
Co-Founder, former CEO
Mr. Mason worked as a computer programmer with InnerWorkings
Co-Founder, Executive Chairman
Co-Founder, former Board Member (resigned in Oct 12)
Peter J. Barris
Board member since 2008
Former Board member, does not run for re-election in 2012
Board member since 2009
Joseph M. Del Preto II
Chief Accounting Officer since April 2011
From January 2006 to March 2009, Mr. Del Preto served as Controller of InnerWorkings
Controller and Vice President, Finance of Echo Global Logistics, Inc from April 2009 to December 2010.
Bradley A. Keywell
Co-Founder, Current Director
Co-Founder and Board member
Former Board member
Former Board member, resigned in Mar 12
Board member since 2006
We have also scoured each company's financial disclosures, and have found a web of insider dealing and inconsistencies that would make any prudent investor think twice about owning shares of IW. First (1), consider that in 2011 IW said it billed Groupon $1.6m, and in the next year's filing changed the figure to $2.46m. Secondly (2), we observe that IW abruptly terminated an agreement with Groupon for corporate procurement cards in March 2012. This was right around the time IW's three board members departed. Furthermore, Groupon never disclosed this procurement relationship. There is not enough detail to understand what exactly corporate procurement cards are for in the context of IW's business. Thirdly (3), we observe inconsistencies between the amounts billed, and revenue reported between IW and ECHO (i.e. 2010 IW said the amount was $5.7m vs. ECHO reporting $6.82m). Lastly (4), we note that ECHO has disclosed a "rebate program" that was in place through Q4 2010 with IW, however, IW did not disclose this to its shareholders. Interestingly enough, this rebate program was terminated shortly after ECHO's COO resigned, and its controller, Mr. Del Preto, left the firm in December 2010.
2011 10K Disclosure
2012 10K Disclosure
During 2011, we provided promotional product procurement services to Groupon. The total amount billed for such services during the year ended December 31, 2011 was approximately $1.6 million
During Q2 2010, we entered into an agreement with Groupon related to corporate procurement cards. The agreement allows Groupon to obtain corporate procurement cards under our existing credit arrangement. Under the agreement, we billed Groupon $64,000 and $88,000 during the years ended Dec. 31, 2010 and 2011.
We provide print procurement services to Echo. The total amount billed for such print procurement services during the years ended December 31, 2009, 2010 and 2011 were ~$68,000, $60,000 and $83,000, respectively. In addition, Echo has provided transportation services to us. As consideration for these services, Echo billed us ~$3.6m, $5.7m and $8.7m for the yrs ended Dec. 31, 2009, 2010, 2011
During Q2 2010, the Company entered into an agreement with Groupon related to corporate procurement cards. The agreement allows Groupon to obtain corporate procurement cards under the Company's existing credit arrangement. Under the agreement, the Company billed Groupon $64,000, $88,000 and $32,000 during the years ended Dec. 31, 2010, 2011 and 2012. This agreement was terminated on March 31, 2012
We provide print procurement services to Echo. The total amount billed for such print procurement services during the years ended December 31, 2010, 2011 and 2012 were ~$60,000, $83,000 and $102,482, respectively. In addition, Echo has provided transportation services to the Company. As consideration for these services, Echo billed the Company ~$5.7m, $8.7m and $10.8m for the yrs ended Dec. 31, 2010, 2011, 2012.
During 2011, the Company transacted with InnerWorkings, Inc. a company co-founded by the Company's co-founder and Executive Chairman of the Board, for promotional services. Amounts paid in advance to InnerWorkings for services which had not yet been expensed totaled $1.3 million, which was recorded in "Prepaid expenses and other current assets" on the consolidated balance sheet.
During 2011, the Company engaged InnerWorkings, Inc. to provide marketing services. The Company's Executive Chairman, Eric Lefkofsky, is a former director and significant stockholder of InnerWorkings. The Company recognized $1.1 million of expense under its agreement with InnerWorkings for the year ended December 31, 2012. The Company also paid InnerWorkings $1.3 million during 2011 for gift cards that the Company sells to customers.
The Company provides transportation and logistics services to InnerWorkings. The Company recognized revenue of $4.19m, $6.82m and $8.76m for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2010 and 2011, respectively, from InnerWorkings. In 2009 and 2010, the Company also had a rebate program in place with InnerWorkings in association with the transportation and logistics services provided. The rebate agreement was terminated in the fourth quarter of 2010. InnerWorkings also provides print and procurement services to the Company.
As of Dec. 31, 2010 and Dec. 31, 2011, the Company had a net receivable due from INWK $941,669 and $1,800,181, respectively. The Company had accounts payable of $184,803 and $148,443 due to InnerWorkings as of Dec. 31, 2010 and Dec. 31, 2011, respectively, as a result of the rebate agreement in 2010 as well as the print and procurement services.
The Company provides transportation and logistics services to InnerWorkings. The Company recognized revenue of $10.46m, $8.76m and $6.82m for the years ended December 31, 2012, 2011 and 2010, respectively, from InnerWorkings. In 2010, the Company also had a rebate program in place with InnerWorkings in association with the transportation and logistics services provided. The rebate agreement was terminated in the fourth quarter of 2010. InnerWorkings also provides an immaterial amount of print procurement services to the Company.
As of December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, the Company had a net receivable due from InnerWorkings of $2,583,949 and $1,800,181, respectively. The Company had accounts payable of$53,347 and $148,443 due to InnerWorkings as of December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively, as a result of the print procurement services provided by InnerWorkings.
InnerWorkings Has Fooled Analysts Into Thinking There's 45% Upside in the Stock
IW Has Canvassed the Street to Find Some Supporting Analysts
IW has worked hard to convince sell-side analysts that it is a growth machine, worthy of a higher stock price. We note that IW has presented at thirteen different broker-hosted investment conferences in the past few years. Its hard work has paid off, with four brokers claiming IW is a "Buy" with 40% upside from the current price.
Our Valuation Incorporates a Realistic View of IW's Business Model
Analysts seem to be justifying inflated stock price targets with the assumption that management's projections will come to fruition, and IW is the fastest growing company in business services. We believe IW is nothing more than a provider of print brokering services, and should be viewed closer to its commercial printing, marketing and business process outsourcing (BPO) peers. IW's financial profile is so weak that its EBITDA and Free Cash Flow margins are at the very bottom of its peers.
We've benchmarked IW's valuation next to a wide variety of commercial printing, marketing service, business process outsourcing , and diversified business service companies. Many of these companies are dramatically larger with dominant global footprints, and are better capitalized. See Appendix VII for a complete list of comparable companies.
In the top left chart, we observe that IW's estimated revenue growth is the highest amongst all its peers. IW's valuation premium, therefore, appears to be a direct result of the false belief that its revenue growth is properly accounted for and that its targets will be achieved.
Price Target and Conclusion
IW's revenues are being incorrectly accounted for, and its market opportunity is dramatically less than advertised. These problems are causing the market to assign an irrationally high growth rate to the company's revenues and premium valuation to IW's stock price.
We believe IW should trade at the low range of its peers for the following reasons:
- Revenues stated on a gross basis are in violation of GAAP, which place the company in current violation of its credit agreement and at above average risk of the SEC opening a formal investigation, and compelling a restatement
- Declining financial disclosures surrounding enterprise/middle market client counts and sales commissions that make reconciling reported revenue growth challenging
- Potential global market opportunity of "$500bn" dramatically lower than advertised, rendering IW's growth opportunities much lower than they appear
- Business features more closely aligned with a slow growth commercial printing/business process outsourcing firm, in a highly competitive space crowded with better-capitalized players such as HP, Xerox, Pitney Bowes, Williams Lea and others
- Increased risk exposure to foreign markets; notably Europe where the company committed significant resources through an aggressively structured deal
- Weakening financial model that indicates declining gross and free cash flow margins and increased reliance on borrowing
- Corporate governance concerns as illustrated by related-party dealings, unexplained director departures, unusually high management compensation, and recent insider sales shortly before a large enterprise contract failure
Given our grave concerns about the condition of its business, and high degree risk of a financial restatement or SEC enforcement, we believe IW should be valued closer to its commercial printing/diversified business products and services peers at 8x-12x 2013 earnings and 5x-7x 2013 EBITDA, which would result in a stock price closer to $5.00 per share (~55% downside)
 InnerWorkings 2012 10-K.
 Sports Publishing v. Lefkofsky et al. US District Court Central District of Illinois. 2008.Court House News. Web. 31 Mar. 2008.
 Alpert, Bill, "The Inner Workings of InnerWorkings," Barron's, 2007 January 15.
 Kelleher, Kevin, "The Checkered Past of Groupon's Chairman," Fortune Magazine, 2011 June 10.
 Sports Publishing v. Lefkofsky et al. US District Court Central District of Illinois. 2008.Court House News. Web. 31 Mar. 2008.
 Kelleher, Kevin, "The Checkered Past of Groupon's Chairman," Fortune Magazine, 2011 June 10.
 Sports Publishing v. Lefkofsky et al. US District Court Central District of Illinois. 2008.Court House News. Web. 31 Mar. 2008.
 Sports Publishing v. Lefkofsky et al. US District Court Central District of Illinois. 2008.Court House News. Web. 31 Mar. 2008.
 Alpert, Bill, "The Inner Workings of InnerWorkings," Barron's, 2007 January 15.
Appendix I: IW's 2008 Supplier Contract
Appendix II: IW's 2013 Supplier Contract
Appendix III: IW's Recent Customer Quotation and Terms and Conditions
This recent job quote contains a link to IW's key Terms and Conditions. The Terms and Conditions document further illustrates passage of title from printer to customer, and the warranty being provided by the printer
(click to enlarge)
Appendix V: IW's New Enterprise Client Press Releases and Disclosures
New enterprise client press releases have slowed in 2012 and 2013, while disclosures of new clients ceased after 2010.
Comparison of years ended December 31, 2010, 2011 and 2012 (2012 10-k, page 21)
2012 compared to 2011. Our revenue increased by $163.9 million, or 25.9%, from $633.8 million in 2011 to $797.7 million in 2012. North America revenue increased by $108.4 million, or 20.0%, from $540.7 million in 2011 to $649.1 million in 2012. This increase in revenue is driven primarily by organic new enterprise and middle market account growth. International revenue increased by $56.8 million, or 60.7%, from $93.5 million in 2011 to $150.3 million in 2012. This increase is primarily due to a full year of revenue in 2012 after our expansion into Latin America and continental Europe through the acquisitions of CPRO and Productions Graphics, respectively, during 2011, in addition to various European tuck-in acquisitions of independent brokers.
2011 compared to 2010. Our revenue increased by $151.6 million, or 31.4%, from $482.2 million in 2010 to $633.8 million in 2011. North America revenue increased by $96.1 million, or 21.6%, from $444.6 million in 2010 to $540.7 million in 2011. This increase in revenue is driven primarily by organic new enterprise and middle market account growth, as well as several tuck-in acquisitions of independent brokers. International revenue increased by $55.8 million, or 147.9%, from $37.7 million in 2010 to $93.5 million in 2011. This increase is primarily due to our expansion into Latin America and continental Europe through the acquisitions of CPRO and Productions Graphics, respectively, during 2011.
Comparison of years ended December 31, 2010 and 2009 (2010 10-k, page 20)
Our revenue increased by $81.8 million, or 20.4%, from $400.4 million in 2009 to $482.2 million in 2010. The increase in revenue reflects an increase in both our enterprise and transactional business. Our revenue from enterprise clients increased by $75.8 million, or 28.6%, from $265.4 million in 2009 to $341.2 million in 2010. This increase in revenue is due to the addition of 23 new enterprise clients under contract as of December 31, 2010. Our revenue from transactional clients increased by $6.0 million, or 4.4%, from $135.0 million in 2009 to $141.0 million in 2010. This increase in revenue is largely the result of our growth initiatives in the areas of an outbound call center and internet sales and efforts to hire or acquire experienced sales executives with existing books of business, which helped, in turn, drive this transactional business growth.
Comparison of years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 (2019 10-k, page 23)
Our revenue decreased by $18.6 million, or 4.4%, from $419.0 million in 2008 to $400.4 million in 2009. The decrease in revenue reflects a decrease in both our enterprise and transactional business. Our revenue from enterprise clients decreased by $2.3 million, or 0.9%, from $267.7 million in 2008 to $265.4 million in 2009. As of December 31, 2009, we had 172 enterprise clients under contract compared to 143 enterprise clients under contract as of December 31, 2008. The decline in enterprise revenue is comprised of $51.6 million of new account revenue offset by same customer declines due to poor macroeconomic conditions in 2009. Our revenue from transactional clients decreased by $16.2 million, or 10.7%, from $151.3 million in 2008 to $135.0 million in 2009. The decline in transactional revenue is due to poor macroeconomic conditions in 2009.
Appendix VI: IW's Quotes on "Huge" Market Opportunity
Earnings call: 9/8/2012
- Joe Busky: We're nowhere near to having -- tapping out on what the market opportunity in this space is. I mean there are billions and billions and billions of dollars being spent just in the U.S. alone every day -- I mean not every day, every year in this segment.
Earnings call: 8/10/2012
- Eric Belcher: I'm really pleased with our start to the year, and more importantly, the way in which the business is capitalizing on the bigger picture We have now generated record revenue for the seventh quarter in a row and our operating profitability continues to grow even while we are making a number of meaningful investments designed to capitalize on the huge market opportunity in front of us… But we aren't doing so at the expense of the bigger picture massive growth opportunity we find in front of us today… So wrap up, as you might imagine, I am pleased with the results for the first half of the year, and more importantly the way in which the business is capitalizing on the bigger picture opportunity in front of us. The chance to revolutionize one of the oldest and largest supply chains in the world is once in a lifetime and we're not going to let this opportunity pass us by.
Earnings call: 5/3/2012
- Eric Belcher: I'm really pleased with our start to the year, and more importantly, the way in which the business is capitalizing on the bigger picture opportunity in front of us… I do think that the company's doing a very good job of not shortchanging this massive market opportunity we have in front of us by cutting back on investments in the near term, but yet also being responsible with the way in which we utilize our shareholders' money in the short term. It's a nice balance. It's a nice blend.
Earnings call: 9/3/2011
- Eric Belcher: Kevin, there was an extensive sale cycle involved and as of right now everything is progressing exactly as we had planned with the implementation as the client had planned and there will be meaningful savings for this client next year and in the years ahead and so we said all along that we're quite confident that there is a large market opportunity for us with our BPO solution as we've grown and therefore have become more qualified to handle increasingly larger amounts of spend and this is just one step along the path of signing increasingly larger contracts.
Earnings call: 8/4/2011
- Eric Belcher: We InnerWorkings generated record revenue for the third consecutive quarter and the operating profitability of the business continues to grow even while we are investing to take advantage of the immense opportunity offered by the global print supply chain… We believe it's the right thing to do to capitalize on this large market opportunity.
Earnings call: 5/5/2011
- Joe Busky: This year our forecast calls for 45% to 60% increases in EPS and we expect to see meaningful growth in EPS in 2012 and beyond too, all the while taking advantage of a massive once in a lifetime global market opportunity.
Earnings call: 2/15/2011
- Eric Belcher: Looking forward, we're well positioned to capitalize on the massive market opportunity that is out there for the taking… We're actually less than 1% of what we consider to be just our eligible domestic market opportunity… In other words, we don't see ourselves spending any less energy focusing on growing our business in the United States, which of course is a wide open green field market opportunity for us still today.
Earnings call: 8/5/2010
- Eric Belcher: We could if we chose, remove 10% to 20% of our workforce tomorrow and significantly increase our near-term earnings, but that's not the investment thesis, that's not the value maximizing share strategy we believe and so we are keeping our focus on ensuring that we capitalize on the market opportunity in front of us.
Earnings call: 5/6/2010
- Steven E. Zuccarini: As we have outlined on past calls, we see tremendous opportunity in this 170 billion and growing US printing industry. In terms of market share, our penetration remains less than 1%.
- Eric Belcher: We'll most likely grow around the globe over time and with existing clients, where the relationship began in North America, but we are primarily focused in the U.S. and the UK marketplace where we have a reputation established and a very large market opportunity in front of us.
Earnings call: 8/11/2008
- Steven E. Zuccarini: So, these are expenses that we believe are necessary for the long term maximization of shareholder value and we will continue to make investments as we see fit, as most important for us is to take advantage of this massive market opportunity that we have in front of us right now.
Earnings call: 5/8/2008
- Steven E. Zuccarini: As we have outlined on past calls, we see tremendous opportunity in this 170 billion and growing US printing industry. In terms of market share, our penetration remains less than 1%.
- Eric Belcher: These seasoned new additions bring with them exceptional sales backgrounds and experience navigating the executive hallways of corporate America. In some cases, we have been pursuing these talented individuals for some time, but only recently secured their services as they came to fully appreciate our massive market opportunity, the benefits of our compensation structure, and the established credibility of our brand.
Earnings call: 2/21/2008
- Steven E. Zuccarini: The good news for our shareholders is we have barely scratched the surface of our opportunity. As we've talked about on our past calls and at our recent Analyst Day, we see our target market opportunity of $130 to $140 billion and this $170 billion in growing US print industry. Thus, in terms of market share, our penetration still remains less than 1%.
- Eric Belcher: It's important to note that this talent comes to us under a variable compensation plan and in most cases these executives left positions where they were highly compensated to join us. What they see in InnerWorkings is what we see, a massive market opportunity in front of us and a great place to build the career.
Earnings call: 11/7/2007
- Steven E. Zuccarini: I want to remind all of you that despite our outstanding track record of success, we still capture less than 20% of the available print universe within our existing client base. And furthermore, our target market opportunity in this $170 billion U.S. printing industry is roughly a $130 billion to $140 billion, with the company's penetration of this market well under 1% market share.
Appendix VII: IW's Trading Comparables
This research report expresses our research opinions, which we have based upon certain facts, all of which are based upon publicly available information, and all of which are set out in this research report. Any investment involves substantial risks, including complete loss of capital. Any forecasts or estimates are for illustrative purpose only and should not be taken as limitations of the maximum possible loss or gain. Any information contained in this report may include forward looking statements, expectations, and projections. You should assume these types of statements, expectations, and projections may turn out to be incorrect for reasons beyond Prescience Point LLC's control. This is not investment advice nor should it be construed as such. Use of Prescience Point LLC's research is at your own risk. You should do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decision with respect to securities covered herein.
You should assume that as of the publication date of any report or letter, Prescience Point LLC (possibly along with or through our members, partners, affiliates, employees, and/or consultants) along with our clients and/or investors has a short position in all stocks (and/or are long puts/short call options of the stock) covered herein, including without limitation InnerWorkings Inc. ("IW" or "IWNK"), and therefore stands to realize significant gains in the event that the price of its stock declines. Following publication of any report or letter, we intend to continue transacting in the securities covered therein, and we may be long, short, or neutral at any time hereafter regardless of our initial recommendation.
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To the best of our ability and belief, as of the date hereof, all information contained herein is accurate and reliable and does not omit to state material facts necessary to make the statements herein not misleading, and all information has been obtained from public sources we believe to be accurate and reliable, and who are not insiders or connected persons of the stock covered herein or who may otherwise owe any fiduciary duty or duty of confidentiality to the issuer, or to any other person or entity that was breached by the transmission of information to Prescience Point LLC. However, Prescience Point LLC recognizes that there may be non-public information in the possession of InnerWorkings, Inc. or other insiders of InnerWorkings, Inc. that has not been publicly disclosed by InnerWorkings, Inc. Therefore, such information contained herein is presented "as is," without warranty of any kind - whether express or implied. Prescience Point LLC makes no other representations, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any such information or with regard to the results to be obtained from its use.