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Always good to keep things in perspective. The most recent Fed Balance Sheet reading of $2.16 trillion is a doozy and is only getting higher, and a couple hundred bucks away from the highest ever recorded of $2.17 trillion a month ago. This is just the beginning: Bernanke and Co. have committed to monetizing $1.75 trillion of securities this year, of which $1.21 trillion remain to be purchased still. This means that the chart will likely pass the $3 trillion mark at some point over the next 3-6 months. As to the yield on these securities once the total is over $3 trillion, if the current trendline of UST pounding is any indication, look for something north of 5%.

Just as a reminder, the total foreign central bank holdings of Treasuries and Agencies is $2.7 trillion.

Very soon America's largest creditor will be... America.



Source: Federal Reserve H.3 and H.4.1 releases.

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  •  
    The Fed stopped reporting the M3 in April 2006.
    May 27 06:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    By 2019...a whopping 82 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) will go to pay down the national debt. This means that in future years, the government could owe its creditors more than the goods and services that the entire economy can produce.
    May 28 02:03 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    “False words are not only evil in themselves, but they infect the soul with evil.” Socrates

    CEO’s of banks and financial institutions going on TV and lying that their firms were strong and viable. (Angelo Mozilo, Jimmy Cayne, Ken Lewis, Robert Steele, Charles Prince, John Thain)

    The President and Vice President of the United States lying to the American people that there were WMD in Iraq and proclaiming that Iraq was involved in the 9/11 attack.

    The Secretary of the Treasury lying to the American people and Congress regarding the banking system in order to ram the TARP bill through Congress.

    The Secretary of the Treasury and Federal Reserve Chairman threatening the CEO of Bank of America and forcing him to lie about the true losses of Merrill Lynch.

    Mortgage brokers lying to their clients regarding the terms of the toxic mortgage products they were peddling.

    Homebuyers who lied about their income and/or assets in order to qualify for a mortgage.

    Alan Greenspan urging Americans to take out an adjustable rate mortgage when rates were at all time lows, while simultaneously saying that home prices on a national basis would never fall.

    Treasury Secretaries and other high officials lying on their tax returns.

    Financial advisors telling their clients to invest in a financial product because it makes the advisor more money, versus being in the best interest of the client.

    Being politically correct in your speech rather than truthful because a constituent might be offended.

    Politicians making promises to voters while trying to be elected which they never intend to keep.

    When the President of the United States commits adultery in the Oval office and then lies to the American public.
    May 28 02:20 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It will all collapse in a heap of burning rubble.

    theburningplatform.com...
    May 28 08:33 AM | Link | Reply
  •  



    On May 26 02:23 PM doubleguns wrote:

    > But we can't pay ourselves back!!!

    Sure you can, called the IRS, "you" will pay it back while the gov't plays footsie with the "fed" reserve and they both "bail out" their fatcat friends with the gov't not acting or even wanting to act on your behalf because they are circled by these "fed" fatcat friends everyday getting "lobbied".

    It's the "good ole boys club" and until people wake up to that fact, that "your" gov't, irrespective of which side of the coin they fall on act on their own behalf first.

    The rest of us peons are just the neverending stone they can squeeze.
    May 28 09:11 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    And they will be coming for you make no doubt about it.

    The banks have already said that they will pay back "as much of the money as they can".

    What exactly does "as much of the money mean" ???

    This is a refreshing look as Alan Grayson outs the inspector general of the "fed" reserve as a lawyered up LIAR.

    www.youtube.com/watch?...
    May 28 09:22 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    9 or 10 trillion of "off balance sheet "transactions".......
    May 28 09:31 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Anybody look at Article 1, Section 10 recently?
    "No state shall enter into any treaty, alliance, or confederation; grant letters of marque and reprisal; coin money; emit bills of credit; MAKE ANYTHING BUT GOLD AND SILVER COIN A TENDER IN PAYMENT OF DEBTS; pass any bill of attainder, ex post facto law, or law impairing the obligation of contracts, or grant any title of nobility."
    Last I checked, this was never amended (activist jurists don't count).
    The Fed is unConstitutional, period. It is the fourth, illegitimate, bastard branch of government, unaccountable to ANYONE besides its stakeholders (Goldman Sachs, et. al.) As are most executive branch organizations, Medicare, Medicaid, and unfunded mandates to states. As long as we keep electing phonies and frauds and appointing "empathetic" jurists to the high courts, we will descend into deeper levels of hell.
    May 28 10:24 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Only Congress can coin money and regulate the value thereof...now when they turned that over to a private central bank in 1913, that was and is illegal. Like Congress granting Lockhead the right to declare war. Our grandfathers were asleep at the switch back then and we are STILL asleep. Ask the guy on the street what the Federal Reserve System is and he thinks it is part of the US government.
    May 28 04:35 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    www.reuters.com/articl...

    Table of M1 and M2 figures.
    May 28 04:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I lurve you, StockCreeker.

    DIAF "cetin".


    On May 26 07:43 PM StockCreeker wrote:

    > The fed is corrupt. Our children will be burdened with this debt,
    > and this will continue till there is nothing left. There is no democracy
    > of the people-only one of the financial elite.
    >
    > Got lost, worthless troll
    >
    >
    May 28 07:59 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It will all fizzle in a fluffless puff of foaming Bubble...


    On May 28 08:33 AM James Quinn wrote:

    > It will all collapse in a heap of burning rubble.
    >
    > theburningplatform.com...
    May 28 10:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    “And 100 per cent inflation would, of course, mean a 100 per cent depreciation of the dollar.”

    Actually, that would be a 50% devaluation.

    Case in point: it took 800 Korean won to buy a dollar a few years ago. When the value of the Korean won fell to the point where it took 1600 won to buy a dollar, its value fell by half.
    May 28 11:24 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Wow, basic math seems to really pass by some people. A 100% depreciation of the dollar isn't possible. Even Zimbabwe's dollar hasn't depreciated 100%.

    You could eliminate the entire US debt by devaluing the currency by around 50% and raising taxes by around 20 points (meaning the top bracket would go to 55%).

    Ultimately, that's probably what we will do. If we don't see substantial inflation over the next few years, a LOT of people are going to lose their homes, which will make for a prolonged depression. During long periods of economic trouble, people tend to turn against whoever is in power. The people in power won't let that happen.

    The Fed's balance sheet is largely irrelevant. They have the ability to inject as much capital as they want. The only reason to restrain themselves is so that inflation can be controlled tightly. If they go too fast, people would get angry and that would mean politicians wouldn't get re elected. I would bet that they have a real inflation target of around 5-10% annually, despite their claimed 'ideal' of 1-2%. 5-10% would be just enough to erase the debt over a decade or two, while not being so rapid as to cause a panic.

    If you don't think the Fed is under the control of 'the government', you're crazy. The fed will do whatever the people in power at the time want (bearing in mind that 'the people in power' include the people running the show at the fed).

    The worst case for wealthy countries is really not 'that' bad. We have infrastructure, educated people, and huge amounts of natural resources. Sure, our savings might get shot to hell, but we'll survive.

    Is the whole system rigged? Absolutely. But remember that wealthy people can ONLY stay wealthy if there is relative prosperity for everyone. If things get too bad, civil unrest will ensue and life will be substantially worse for everyone, including the very wealthy. Time and time again, we've seen what happens when people with too much power don't keep the people happy. It usually ends with heads being removed from bodies.

    If you're really that convinced that everything is going to hell, why not go to the place that you think is doing something better? As near as I can tell, every wealthy country on the planet is in the same boat, and the rest of the countries are places you probably wouldn't want to live anyway.
    May 29 01:55 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Most everything heading south, but the weather forecast for for the coming week looks good so at least there's something for the stock markets to rise on....................a clear blue as far as the eye can see, it's over, thank God !
    May 29 02:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Probably another daft question - how do you resolve this balance sheet liability of 2.7 trillion with the total us govt debt of 10 trillion ? (as of sep'08, refer to this post seekingalpha.com/artic... )
    May 29 11:56 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    LOL sure "The Fed's balance sheet is largely irrelevant"


    On May 29 01:55 AM User 421764 wrote:

    > Wow, basic math seems to really pass by some people. A 100% depreciation
    > of the dollar isn't possible. Even Zimbabwe's dollar hasn't depreciated
    > 100%.
    >
    > You could eliminate the entire US debt by devaluing the currency
    > by around 50% and raising taxes by around 20 points (meaning the
    > top bracket would go to 55%).
    >
    > Ultimately, that's probably what we will do. If we don't see substantial
    > inflation over the next few years, a LOT of people are going to lose
    > their homes, which will make for a prolonged depression. During long
    > periods of economic trouble, people tend to turn against whoever
    > is in power. The people in power won't let that happen.
    >
    > The Fed's balance sheet is largely irrelevant. They have the ability
    > to inject as much capital as they want. The only reason to restrain
    > themselves is so that inflation can be controlled tightly. If they
    > go too fast, people would get angry and that would mean politicians
    > wouldn't get re elected. I would bet that they have a real inflation
    > target of around 5-10% annually, despite their claimed 'ideal' of
    > 1-2%. 5-10% would be just enough to erase the debt over a decade
    > or two, while not being so rapid as to cause a panic.
    >
    > If you don't think the Fed is under the control of 'the government',
    > you're crazy. The fed will do whatever the people in power at the
    > time want (bearing in mind that 'the people in power' include the
    > people running the show at the fed).
    >
    > The worst case for wealthy countries is really not 'that' bad. We
    > have infrastructure, educated people, and huge amounts of natural
    > resources. Sure, our savings might get shot to hell, but we'll survive.
    >
    >
    > Is the whole system rigged? Absolutely. But remember that wealthy
    > people can ONLY stay wealthy if there is relative prosperity for
    > everyone. If things get too bad, civil unrest will ensue and life
    > will be substantially worse for everyone, including the very wealthy.
    > Time and time again, we've seen what happens when people with too
    > much power don't keep the people happy. It usually ends with heads
    > being removed from bodies.
    >
    > If you're really that convinced that everything is going to hell,
    > why not go to the place that you think is doing something better?
    > As near as I can tell, every wealthy country on the planet is in
    > the same boat, and the rest of the countries are places you probably
    > wouldn't want to live anyway.
    May 30 11:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If I am not mistaken, I heard some one say on CNBC of all places that the U.S. Govt will be rolling over 43% of its debt this year as well. It was approximated to be another 2+ trillion (on the almost 2 trillion they need to pimp for this years budget). I have not heard any futher debate further on this which is very interesting. I just wonder how much longer until the revolution? ( I guess when all markets go to zero).
    May 30 12:10 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    What good is a chart where I can't read the captions? Worthless!
    May 31 08:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Try clicking on it


    On May 31 08:42 AM F. Bradeen wrote:

    > What good is a chart where I can't read the captions? Worthless!
    Jun 07 10:22 AM | Link | Reply
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