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Always good to keep things in perspective. The most recent Fed Balance Sheet reading of $2.16 trillion is a doozy and is only getting higher, and a couple hundred bucks away from the highest ever recorded of $2.17 trillion a month ago. This is just the beginning: Bernanke and Co. have committed to monetizing $1.75 trillion of securities this year, of which $1.21 trillion remain to be purchased still. This means that the chart will likely pass the $3 trillion mark at some point over the next 3-6 months. As to the yield on these securities once the total is over $3 trillion, if the current trendline of UST pounding is any indication, look for something north of 5%.

Just as a reminder, the total foreign central bank holdings of Treasuries and Agencies is $2.7 trillion.

Very soon America's largest creditor will be... America.



Source: Federal Reserve H.3 and H.4.1 releases.

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This article has 54 comments:

  •  
    I know it sounds like a daft question, but why do they call it a Balance Sheet?
    May 26 02:23 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    But we can't pay ourselves back!!!
    May 26 02:23 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    its called balance sheet because it works like a balance (ie that little weight scale you see lady justice holding at the court house).

    the balance sheet balances the asset on left side which is offset by liability and equity (or net asset/reserve)


    On May 26 02:23 PM Dave Wrixon wrote:

    > I know it sounds like a daft question, but why do they call it a
    > Balance Sheet?
    May 26 02:32 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    We'll be paying ourselves back through inflation. That is afterall, the idea of this exercise correct?
    May 26 02:35 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Can't we just forgive the debt we owe ourselves? Oh right. Privately owned central bank. Nevermind.
    May 26 02:38 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    duh


    On May 26 02:32 PM dybydx wrote:

    > its called balance sheet because it works like a balance (ie that
    > little weight scale you see lady justice holding at the court house).
    >
    >
    > the balance sheet balances the asset on left side which is offset
    > by liability and equity (or net asset/reserve)
    May 26 02:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Would I invest in this organization? Would you? Because of taxes we do not have a choice. Probably one of the worst investments we will ever have to make.
    May 26 02:52 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    So what happened to the assets?


    On May 26 02:32 PM dybydx wrote:

    > its called balance sheet because it works like a balance (ie that
    > little weight scale you see lady justice holding at the court house).
    >
    >
    > the balance sheet balances the asset on left side which is offset
    > by liability and equity (or net asset/reserve)
    May 26 03:02 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Did we skip "sublime" on our way to "ridiculous"?
    May 26 03:21 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Here's a thought. The question of how much low quality debt the Fed owns is irrelevant. The question of whether the risk-adjusted yeild on that low quality debt is lower than the Fed's borrowing costs is all that matters. If so, we're in trouble. If not, the Fed is running the best risk/arb fund in the history of global finance. This will end in disaster or feast, and for my part, I have no forecast on which outcome is most likely because I cannot put my finger on any data suggesting the Fed is more adept at pricing stuff than the market is. Generally, I'd say "nuts" to the argument that the Fed can succeed in outpricing risk, but during a credit crisis, there may have been, and continue to be, attractive risk/ return scenarios that the Fed is capable of trading.
    May 26 03:27 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Wondering if they would take a post dated check for the 3 trillion and we could call it all even. There was a time when a billion was considered pretty big bucks. I guess trillion is the new billion, hope we can avoid ever reaching quadrillion level debt ceilings.
    May 26 03:30 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Ding! Ding! Ding! We have a winner.


    On May 26 02:35 PM FE812 wrote:

    > We'll be paying ourselves back through inflation. That is afterall,
    > the idea of this exercise correct?
    May 26 03:36 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Interesting point. But the real question is .....Does the Fed have a clue about its own balance sheet?

    Watch Rep. Grayson ask the question several different ways to discover that Elizabeth Coleman, the Fed's Inspector General, really has no idea what lurks within its balance sheet.

    www.youtube.com/watch?...
    May 26 03:39 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Linenoise, you bring up an important point which is rarely mentioned.

    Instead of the U.S. government simply printing money, unencumbered by anything, the Treasury Department creates new bonds, GIVES THEM to the PRIVATE BANKERS of the Fed, and then the Fed SELLS those bonds to the American people indebting Americans (to those odious private bankers) for every dollar of money printed!!!!!!!!

    Also, when we're talking about "IOU"s, no one should forget the $3 TRILLION stolen from the Social Security "trust fund" (lol) - that will NEVER be repaid. Bye-bye "Social Security" for anyone under 50.


    On May 26 02:38 PM linenoise wrote:

    > Can't we just forgive the debt we owe ourselves? Oh right. Privately
    > owned central bank. Nevermind.
    May 26 03:40 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "Balance" sheet? What "balance" sheet? The Fed creates "money" out of thin air! And the Fed has NEVER been audited, for good reason. Their lame attempt at modern alchemy would be exposed. All dollars and digital dollar equivalents are created out of DEBT. We do not have any "dollars" in circulation. We have Monetized Debt Units (MDUs). There is a reason for the legend appearing on ALL MDUs...This note is legal tender for all debts public and private..such a recitation MUST appear on fiat. Why? If I owe you $100 and tender a Ben Franklin for the debt and you refuse my tender (you might want a hub cap or my cigarette lighter instead), you have just CANCELLED the debt! You MUST accept my tender!
    May 26 06:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The simple fact is we do not live in a free trade state. We have ran full speed into the wall of enslavement. Like I have said before step by step little by little the Power Elite are implementing thier plan for ultimate control. Too many sheep, too many blind followers, too many mistakes. Freedom is a right that comes from within and there we can find freedom from all external forces and eliminate them with the power of knowledge.
    The Federal Reserve needs to be abolished and a National State of Credit to monotize real productivity for the economy is needed to save us from ourselves.
    And since we wont come to our senses any time soon roll with the punches.
    May 26 06:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If there is a balance sheet, then there is also the "Equity" after subtracting the Liabilities from the Assets.

    Now, how does the Fed increase or decrease its "Equity", and what would happen if the Fed's Equity goes below zero?
    May 26 07:13 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Democracies don't last because the people always vote themselves the fisc. The only question now is whether cold fusion or some other miracle will save us from dictatorship.
    May 26 09:29 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Lame.

    A single entry does not make a balance sheet.

    I suspect the author means the assets total. So, copied straight from Wikipedia and out of date already --

    "Gold certificate account 11,037
    Special drawing rights certificate acct. 2,200
    Coin 1,870
    Securities, repurchase agreements, term auction credit, and other loans 1,525,857
    Securities held outright 967,070
    U.S. Treasury 534,969
    Bills 18,423
    Notes and bonds 516,546
    Federal agency debt securities 64,511
    Mortgage-backed securities 367,590
    Repurchase agreements 0
    Term auction credit 455,799
    Other loans 102,988
    Net portfolio holdings of Commercial Paper Funding Facility LLC 242,431
    Net portfolio holdings of LLCs funded through the Money Market Investor Funding Facility 0
    Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC 26,481
    Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC II 18,253
    Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC III 27,429
    Items in process of collection 1,147
    Bank premises 2,191
    Central bank liquidity swaps 282,863
    Other assets 56,855
    Total Assets 2,198,613"

    Its not that hard to find.
    May 26 09:47 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Here is a quote from Ludwig von Mises - "There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crises should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved." This gentleman is a founding member of the 'Austrian School of Economics'. Keynes and those that follow his teachings have led us down the garden path to sure folly!

    When will some common sense prevail? When heavily in debt - you don't go farther into debt to solve your debt problem! Come on! Get real! Stop this silliness before there is irreparable damage done. Its not to late. However the clock is ticking.
    May 26 10:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    That was the point - most of the "assets" listed are govt paper - or worse junk we took from failing institutions that the banks didn't want. Only thing real asset is a little gold.


    On May 26 09:47 PM shrike wrote:

    > Lame.
    >
    > A single entry does not make a balance sheet.
    >
    > I suspect the author means the assets total. So, copied straight
    > from Wikipedia and out of date already --
    >
    > "Gold certificate account 11,037
    > Special drawing rights certificate acct. 2,200
    > Coin 1,870
    > Securities, repurchase agreements, term auction credit, and other
    > loans 1,525,857
    > Securities held outright 967,070
    > U.S. Treasury 534,969
    > Bills 18,423
    > Notes and bonds 516,546
    > Federal agency debt securities 64,511
    > Mortgage-backed securities 367,590
    > Repurchase agreements 0
    > Term auction credit 455,799
    > Other loans 102,988
    > Net portfolio holdings of Commercial Paper Funding Facility LLC 242,431
    >
    > Net portfolio holdings of LLCs funded through the Money Market Investor
    > Funding Facility 0
    > Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC 26,481
    > Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC II 18,253
    > Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC III 27,429
    > Items in process of collection 1,147
    > Bank premises 2,191
    > Central bank liquidity swaps 282,863
    > Other assets 56,855
    > Total Assets 2,198,613"
    >
    > Its not that hard to find.
    May 27 01:02 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I think my point was that because the Fed is manipulating the market so obviously, the underlying assets just are not what they Fed has paid for them. How can anyone even the Fed keep buying Treasuries above their real worth to try to bring down the rates of interest the Government pays to a level that is sustainable? If this policy succeeds then they will be the only ones in the market for US debt, which will pretty much all be monetized and the dollar will go to hell. If they fail then US interest rates rise, all the dodgy securities they are holding will prove worthless and taxes will go through the roof whilst public services are cut, and the entire economy will go to hell, where it probably belongs anyway. The Federal problem is actually much worse than California's but just so much bigger and Obama is making it worse by the day.


    On May 26 09:47 PM shrike wrote:

    > Lame.
    >
    > A single entry does not make a balance sheet.
    >
    > I suspect the author means the assets total. So, copied straight
    > from Wikipedia and out of date already --
    >
    > "Gold certificate account 11,037
    > Special drawing rights certificate acct. 2,200
    > Coin 1,870
    > Securities, repurchase agreements, term auction credit, and other
    > loans 1,525,857
    > Securities held outright 967,070
    > U.S. Treasury 534,969
    > Bills 18,423
    > Notes and bonds 516,546
    > Federal agency debt securities 64,511
    > Mortgage-backed securities 367,590
    > Repurchase agreements 0
    > Term auction credit 455,799
    > Other loans 102,988
    > Net portfolio holdings of Commercial Paper Funding Facility LLC 242,431
    >
    > Net portfolio holdings of LLCs funded through the Money Market Investor
    > Funding Facility 0
    > Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC 26,481
    > Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC II 18,253
    > Net portfolio holdings of Maiden Lane LLC III 27,429
    > Items in process of collection 1,147
    > Bank premises 2,191
    > Central bank liquidity swaps 282,863
    > Other assets 56,855
    > Total Assets 2,198,613"
    >
    > Its not that hard to find.
    May 27 01:15 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Tyler, I will assume this is based on M1, but could you confirm that?

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Also, it would seem to me that the true picture is far worse. Makes me wonder why M3 reporting was stopped a few months ago.
    May 27 01:45 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    BUBBLES ARE GOING UP ALL THE TIME AND BURSTING ALL THE TIME...we started out with the dot.com bubble and went to the housing bubble and went to the poisoned bond bubble and NOW WE ARE IN THE TREASURY BUBBLE PHASE which will pop soon. Notice how we just transferred our economy from one bubble to another and all of us believing the the next bubble will be real...I think we finally are going to burst our last bubble soon and now that we have been discovered there will be hell to pay...get out of US dollars into something--anything is my sage advice...MarvinMBA
    May 27 01:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    We are heading to become a banana republic. Fed has lost all semblance of risk aversion - it is indulging in populist political agendas - working with treasury to monetize the debt, buying any junk that no one else would buy.

    The end is not too far.
    May 27 02:22 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I'm glad it's privately owned. I wish we use that excuse when they ask to be bailed out. After all that's their excuse everytime we say they are messing things up and we can't stop them. They are now at like 42x leveraged. That makes them about as bad as the worst US bank.

    They should look at themselves when they talk about taking inappropriate risk and who should be regulated.
    May 27 02:56 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    'Very soon America's largest creditor will be... America.'

    That would be really funny - if it weren't that serious.

    Of course, one part of America will be the paying part - and the other one the receiving. Ironically, the taxpayer-bailed out banks will collect all the money while those hard working people who still have a job or a business will pay them the ever rising interest.

    Abolish the FED and nationalize Goldman and JPM!

    'If the American people ever allow PRIVATE banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks will deprive The People of all property until their children wake-up HOMELESS on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to The People, to whom it properly belongs.' --- Thomas Jefferson
    May 27 04:16 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Why is that mean old Congressman harassing that poor little housewife like that?

    Oh, also... why was a poor little housewife appointed FEDERAL RESERVE INSPECTOR GENERAL???

    On May 26 03:39 PM square to the shooter wrote:

    > Watch Rep. Grayson ask the question several different ways to discover
    > that Elizabeth Coleman, the Fed's Inspector General, really has no
    > idea what lurks within its balance sheet.
    >
    > www.youtube.com/watch?...
    May 27 04:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Those of us under 50 aren't going to get Social Security anyway. I want to sue the Federal gov. for the money i'm paying in cause i'm never going to see it back.


    On May 26 03:40 PM Jeff Nielson wrote:

    > Linenoise, you bring up an important point which is rarely mentioned.
    >
    >
    > Instead of the U.S. government simply printing money, unencumbered
    > by anything, the Treasury Department creates new bonds, GIVES THEM
    > to the PRIVATE BANKERS of the Fed, and then the Fed SELLS those bonds
    > to the American people indebting Americans (to those odious private
    > bankers) for every dollar of money printed!!!!!!!!
    >
    > Also, when we're talking about "IOU"s, no one should forget the $3
    > TRILLION stolen from the Social Security "trust fund" (lol) - that
    > will NEVER be repaid. Bye-bye "Social Security" for anyone under
    > 50.
    May 27 11:39 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Did you get all this from the Fed's website?........(im just curious)


    On May 27 01:15 AM Dave Wrixon wrote:

    > I think my point was that because the Fed is manipulating the market
    > so obviously, the underlying assets just are not what they Fed has
    > paid for them. How can anyone even the Fed keep buying Treasuries
    > above their real worth to try to bring down the rates of interest
    > the Government pays to a level that is sustainable? If this policy
    > succeeds then they will be the only ones in the market for US debt,
    > which will pretty much all be monetized and the dollar will go to
    > hell. If they fail then US interest rates rise, all the dodgy securities
    > they are holding will prove worthless and taxes will go through the
    > roof whilst public services are cut, and the entire economy will
    > go to hell, where it probably belongs anyway. The Federal problem
    > is actually much worse than California's but just so much bigger
    > and Obama is making it worse by the day.
    May 27 11:40 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    See generalfusion.com, and look at Sandia National Labs. They're working on mechanical fusion.

    Won't be ready for a pilot for 5 years, but the prototype works.

    If we can avoid disaster for 10 years, we're set for an incredible energy revolution.


    On May 26 09:29 PM The Geoffster wrote:

    > Democracies don't last because the people always vote themselves
    > the fisc. The only question now is whether cold fusion or some other
    > miracle will save us from dictatorship.
    May 27 11:54 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Unfortunately, we have no standing to sue. This was tried about 50 years ago and the Supreme Court decided in 1960 that Congress can do anything it wants with the Social Security tax revenue and change the benefits in any way it cares to -- you are guaranteed nothing. The Social Security Administration is kind enough to explain it here: www.ssa.gov/history/ne...


    On May 27 11:39 AM Christopher Hossli wrote:

    > Those of us under 50 aren't going to get Social Security anyway.
    > I want to sue the Federal gov. for the money i'm paying in cause
    > i'm never going to see it back.
    May 27 12:21 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Dave - - -

    It is an archaic term still in use.


    On May 26 02:23 PM Dave Wrixon wrote:

    > I know it sounds like a daft question, but why do they call it a
    > Balance Sheet?
    May 27 01:50 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If we still have a country in 2010, we had damn well better get ourselves to the polls. My fear is that there may be no elections after that date. Hitler was elected in 1932 and re-elected in 1934. After that, there were no elections in the Third Reich.
    May 27 04:02 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The Fed stopped reporting the M3 in April 2006.
    May 27 06:54 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    By 2019...a whopping 82 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) will go to pay down the national debt. This means that in future years, the government could owe its creditors more than the goods and services that the entire economy can produce.
    May 28 02:03 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    “False words are not only evil in themselves, but they infect the soul with evil.” Socrates

    CEO’s of banks and financial institutions going on TV and lying that their firms were strong and viable. (Angelo Mozilo, Jimmy Cayne, Ken Lewis, Robert Steele, Charles Prince, John Thain)

    The President and Vice President of the United States lying to the American people that there were WMD in Iraq and proclaiming that Iraq was involved in the 9/11 attack.

    The Secretary of the Treasury lying to the American people and Congress regarding the banking system in order to ram the TARP bill through Congress.

    The Secretary of the Treasury and Federal Reserve Chairman threatening the CEO of Bank of America and forcing him to lie about the true losses of Merrill Lynch.

    Mortgage brokers lying to their clients regarding the terms of the toxic mortgage products they were peddling.

    Homebuyers who lied about their income and/or assets in order to qualify for a mortgage.

    Alan Greenspan urging Americans to take out an adjustable rate mortgage when rates were at all time lows, while simultaneously saying that home prices on a national basis would never fall.

    Treasury Secretaries and other high officials lying on their tax returns.

    Financial advisors telling their clients to invest in a financial product because it makes the advisor more money, versus being in the best interest of the client.

    Being politically correct in your speech rather than truthful because a constituent might be offended.

    Politicians making promises to voters while trying to be elected which they never intend to keep.

    When the President of the United States commits adultery in the Oval office and then lies to the American public.
    May 28 02:20 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It will all collapse in a heap of burning rubble.

    theburningplatform.com...
    May 28 08:33 AM | Link | Reply
  •  



    On May 26 02:23 PM doubleguns wrote:

    > But we can't pay ourselves back!!!

    Sure you can, called the IRS, "you" will pay it back while the gov't plays footsie with the "fed" reserve and they both "bail out" their fatcat friends with the gov't not acting or even wanting to act on your behalf because they are circled by these "fed" fatcat friends everyday getting "lobbied".

    It's the "good ole boys club" and until people wake up to that fact, that "your" gov't, irrespective of which side of the coin they fall on act on their own behalf first.

    The rest of us peons are just the neverending stone they can squeeze.
    May 28 09:11 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    And they will be coming for you make no doubt about it.

    The banks have already said that they will pay back "as much of the money as they can".

    What exactly does "as much of the money mean" ???

    This is a refreshing look as Alan Grayson outs the inspector general of the "fed" reserve as a lawyered up LIAR.

    www.youtube.com/watch?...
    May 28 09:22 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    9 or 10 trillion of "off balance sheet "transactions".......
    May 28 09:31 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Anybody look at Article 1, Section 10 recently?
    "No state shall enter into any treaty, alliance, or confederation; grant letters of marque and reprisal; coin money; emit bills of credit; MAKE ANYTHING BUT GOLD AND SILVER COIN A TENDER IN PAYMENT OF DEBTS; pass any bill of attainder, ex post facto law, or law impairing the obligation of contracts, or grant any title of nobility."
    Last I checked, this was never amended (activist jurists don't count).
    The Fed is unConstitutional, period. It is the fourth, illegitimate, bastard branch of government, unaccountable to ANYONE besides its stakeholders (Goldman Sachs, et. al.) As are most executive branch organizations, Medicare, Medicaid, and unfunded mandates to states. As long as we keep electing phonies and frauds and appointing "empathetic" jurists to the high courts, we will descend into deeper levels of hell.
    May 28 10:24 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Only Congress can coin money and regulate the value thereof...now when they turned that over to a private central bank in 1913, that was and is illegal. Like Congress granting Lockhead the right to declare war. Our grandfathers were asleep at the switch back then and we are STILL asleep. Ask the guy on the street what the Federal Reserve System is and he thinks it is part of the US government.
    May 28 04:35 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    www.reuters.com/articl...

    Table of M1 and M2 figures.
    May 28 04:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I lurve you, StockCreeker.

    DIAF "cetin".


    On May 26 07:43 PM StockCreeker wrote:

    > The fed is corrupt. Our children will be burdened with this debt,
    > and this will continue till there is nothing left. There is no democracy
    > of the people-only one of the financial elite.
    >
    > Got lost, worthless troll
    >
    >
    May 28 07:59 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It will all fizzle in a fluffless puff of foaming Bubble...


    On May 28 08:33 AM James Quinn wrote:

    > It will all collapse in a heap of burning rubble.
    >
    > theburningplatform.com...
    May 28 10:44 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    “And 100 per cent inflation would, of course, mean a 100 per cent depreciation of the dollar.”

    Actually, that would be a 50% devaluation.

    Case in point: it took 800 Korean won to buy a dollar a few years ago. When the value of the Korean won fell to the point where it took 1600 won to buy a dollar, its value fell by half.
    May 28 11:24 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Wow, basic math seems to really pass by some people. A 100% depreciation of the dollar isn't possible. Even Zimbabwe's dollar hasn't depreciated 100%.

    You could eliminate the entire US debt by devaluing the currency by around 50% and raising taxes by around 20 points (meaning the top bracket would go to 55%).

    Ultimately, that's probably what we will do. If we don't see substantial inflation over the next few years, a LOT of people are going to lose their homes, which will make for a prolonged depression. During long periods of economic trouble, people tend to turn against whoever is in power. The people in power won't let that happen.

    The Fed's balance sheet is largely irrelevant. They have the ability to inject as much capital as they want. The only reason to restrain themselves is so that inflation can be controlled tightly. If they go too fast, people would get angry and that would mean politicians wouldn't get re elected. I would bet that they have a real inflation target of around 5-10% annually, despite their claimed 'ideal' of 1-2%. 5-10% would be just enough to erase the debt over a decade or two, while not being so rapid as to cause a panic.

    If you don't think the Fed is under the control of 'the government', you're crazy. The fed will do whatever the people in power at the time want (bearing in mind that 'the people in power' include the people running the show at the fed).

    The worst case for wealthy countries is really not 'that' bad. We have infrastructure, educated people, and huge amounts of natural resources. Sure, our savings might get shot to hell, but we'll survive.

    Is the whole system rigged? Absolutely. But remember that wealthy people can ONLY stay wealthy if there is relative prosperity for everyone. If things get too bad, civil unrest will ensue and life will be substantially worse for everyone, including the very wealthy. Time and time again, we've seen what happens when people with too much power don't keep the people happy. It usually ends with heads being removed from bodies.

    If you're really that convinced that everything is going to hell, why not go to the place that you think is doing something better? As near as I can tell, every wealthy country on the planet is in the same boat, and the rest of the countries are places you probably wouldn't want to live anyway.
    May 29 01:55 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Most everything heading south, but the weather forecast for for the coming week looks good so at least there's something for the stock markets to rise on....................a clear blue as far as the eye can see, it's over, thank God !
    May 29 02:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Probably another daft question - how do you resolve this balance sheet liability of 2.7 trillion with the total us govt debt of 10 trillion ? (as of sep'08, refer to this post seekingalpha.com/artic... )
    May 29 11:56 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    LOL sure "The Fed's balance sheet is largely irrelevant"


    On May 29 01:55 AM User 421764 wrote:

    > Wow, basic math seems to really pass by some people. A 100% depreciation
    > of the dollar isn't possible. Even Zimbabwe's dollar hasn't depreciated
    > 100%.
    >
    > You could eliminate the entire US debt by devaluing the currency
    > by around 50% and raising taxes by around 20 points (meaning the
    > top bracket would go to 55%).
    >
    > Ultimately, that's probably what we will do. If we don't see substantial
    > inflation over the next few years, a LOT of people are going to lose
    > their homes, which will make for a prolonged depression. During long
    > periods of economic trouble, people tend to turn against whoever
    > is in power. The people in power won't let that happen.
    >
    > The Fed's balance sheet is largely irrelevant. They have the ability
    > to inject as much capital as they want. The only reason to restrain
    > themselves is so that inflation can be controlled tightly. If they
    > go too fast, people would get angry and that would mean politicians
    > wouldn't get re elected. I would bet that they have a real inflation
    > target of around 5-10% annually, despite their claimed 'ideal' of
    > 1-2%. 5-10% would be just enough to erase the debt over a decade
    > or two, while not being so rapid as to cause a panic.
    >
    > If you don't think the Fed is under the control of 'the government',
    > you're crazy. The fed will do whatever the people in power at the
    > time want (bearing in mind that 'the people in power' include the
    > people running the show at the fed).
    >
    > The worst case for wealthy countries is really not 'that' bad. We
    > have infrastructure, educated people, and huge amounts of natural
    > resources. Sure, our savings might get shot to hell, but we'll survive.
    >
    >
    > Is the whole system rigged? Absolutely. But remember that wealthy
    > people can ONLY stay wealthy if there is relative prosperity for
    > everyone. If things get too bad, civil unrest will ensue and life
    > will be substantially worse for everyone, including the very wealthy.
    > Time and time again, we've seen what happens when people with too
    > much power don't keep the people happy. It usually ends with heads
    > being removed from bodies.
    >
    > If you're really that convinced that everything is going to hell,
    > why not go to the place that you think is doing something better?
    > As near as I can tell, every wealthy country on the planet is in
    > the same boat, and the rest of the countries are places you probably
    > wouldn't want to live anyway.
    May 30 11:49 AM | Link | Reply
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    If I am not mistaken, I heard some one say on CNBC of all places that the U.S. Govt will be rolling over 43% of its debt this year as well. It was approximated to be another 2+ trillion (on the almost 2 trillion they need to pimp for this years budget). I have not heard any futher debate further on this which is very interesting. I just wonder how much longer until the revolution? ( I guess when all markets go to zero).
    May 30 12:10 PM | Link | Reply
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    What good is a chart where I can't read the captions? Worthless!
    May 31 08:42 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Try clicking on it


    On May 31 08:42 AM F. Bradeen wrote:

    > What good is a chart where I can't read the captions? Worthless!
    Jun 07 10:22 AM | Link | Reply