Consider the Company Tax Rate Before Investing

As we've discussed before, it is much easier to predict a company's operating earnings than it is its net income, due to changes in debt levels, interest rates, non-operating earnings, and one-time tax items which all affect the latter but not the former. When attempting to value a company using these estimates of operating earnings, however, care must be taken to avoid blanketing each company with the same general tax rate.

Since most North American companies face a tax rate of around 35%, it is tempting to apply this estimate blindly when running a back-of-the-envelope valuation of a company under consideration. However, due to certain credits, tax treaties, and subsidiary jurisdictions, companies can have very different tax rates. This can wildly throw off a valuation.

Consider Dorel (DIIB.PK), a diversified manufacturer of juvenile products and furniture. Because its foreign subsidiaries operate in low-tax jurisdictions, its effective tax rate is only around 15%! Dorel's 2008 income before tax was $132 million, but thanks to its low tax rate this is equivalent to income before tax of $170 million (for a company with a 35% tax rate to have the same after tax earnings as Dorel)...a massive difference!

For an even more extreme example of how a company's tax rate can affect its valuation, read what we wrote about Gildan Activewear (GIL), a company that has managed to reduce its tax rate to practically zero!

For a more detailed discussion of Dorel as a possible value investment, see this article.

Disclosure: Author has a long position in shares of DII.B

Comments

[nobull:]

what about the govts new laws about taxing foreign profts?

May 28 09:01 AM

[Saj Karsan:]

Hi nobull,

That would certainly be a concern for the future for US based companies, but this is not one of them.

May 28 06:04 PM