Goldman Sachs Principal Transactions Update: 741 Million Shares 15 comments
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Latest NYSE Program Trading data out. Program trading last week ramped up by 27% from 26.5% the week before, to 33.7% of all NYSE buy+sell volume, and much higher than the 52 week average of 25.3%. The 15 most active member firms traded 1.9 billion shares for principal accounts, compared to 1.6 in the prior week. The top principal trader is and has always been (at least for the past 9 months) Goldman Sachs (GS), with 741.7 million principal trades, virtually nothing in facilitation and 115 million in agency, keeping the principal to non-principal ratio at just under 7x. (click on chart to enlarge)
And if the Goldman Supplemental Liquidity Provider team is patting itself on the back for its tremendous contribution of being the major (and likely only) liquidity provider, maybe they can explain the insane bid/offer spreads on the SPY at close yesterday (and everyday): one could drive a Tengzhong Sichuan-made Hummer/forklift through that spread blindfolded (no, JPM, nobody is interested in your constant SPY machine-gunning with 5k SPY blocks on every single goddamn market dip).
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> The real question is, where is the sheriff?
Surely, that question is rhetorical? ;-)
GS is acting on behalf of the sherriff. A wink is as good as a nod. :-) The financial powers believe that we are in such dire straits that *anything* goes. Their desire to get the escalator going again is beyond desperate and into blind panic. They don't understand that kicking the can down the road only works when energy is abundant and cheap, and with technology increasing thermodynamic productivity, so that when it comes time to pay back the debt you kicked down the road, it is cheaper then than now. We aren't in that environment anymore, we are in the transition to an environment where future payments are *more* expensive than current payments. The death of neo-Keynesianism. But just like flat earthers didn't give up without a severe fight, so the financial powers won't give up until their nose is rubbed in it. Read about major paradigms and when they shift, and the patterns of behavior around that shift.
There is even a chance they will be able to animate the corpse for one more go round, one more positive feedback cycle, but I give that a less than 10% chance despite all their efforts.
We'll see. Whatever else happens, we are watching events of historical importance unfold.
Investing in this environment isn't investing. It is trying to guess the next move of the manipulators, and finding an angle to profit from that manipulation. Is there a way to game the manipulation at the close, knowing that they as manipulators themselves, will be aware of and protecting against being manipulated? Are there any tells? :-)
Still, if GS is making purchases for the FED and the FED is hiding these purchases in its off balance sheet accounts, there is no limit to how long this rally will last.
On Jun 05 12:10 PM mdmrjsds wrote:
> On Jun 05 11:22 AM carey_jim wrote:
So much for US policy directions. Actually, FDIC Bair's position on failure of big banks begs a clarification - if Citi or BofA are allowed to fail, wouldn't that mean more concentration by GS-JPM ?
On Jun 05 12:10 PM mdmrjsds wrote:
> On Jun 05 11:22 AM carey_jim wrote:
> I feel like Bernanke wants to put a gun to his head...<
Being the generous fellow that I am, I volunteer to loan him my revolver as long as he gets it over with quickly. If Paulson and Greenspan are interested in partaking of my generosity I will even throw in the bullets for free.
All figuratively speaking, of course...