Seeking Alpha

Greg Feirman


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The operating environment for our first two quarters in fiscal 2010 is expected to be extremely difficult.

- Alan Graf Jr., CFO, Federal Express

Federal Express (FDX) reported fiscal 4th quarter earnings this morning. Revenue in their core US Express unit was off 21% year over year. They forecast EPS of 30-45 cents for the current quarter - well below analyst estimates for 68 cents.

FDX earned $3.76 last year. Taking into account today’s 1st quarter guidance, it’s looking like about $3 this year. At $51, that’s a 17 forward multiple. Not cheap.

FedEx also provides a window into the economy as shipping volumes and revenues correlate to overall economic activity. Still rough going out there.

Click to enlarge:

fdx-6-month-chart

Disclosure: Top Gun has no position in Federal Express (FDX) shares.

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  •  
    At least DHL is out of the picture, what a nightmare they were.
    Jun 20 07:45 AM | Link | Reply