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More and more economic data manipulation is coming to the fore, none of which as blatantly obvious as the California housing market. Some of it is palatable, but when home sales in San Diego get revised from 89% down to 6.5% due to a "data glitch", it is no wonder that increasingly more Americans realize every single day they are being blatantly lied to by an Administration whose sole purpose in life is to give out 10 pair of rose-colored glasses to every possible voter in the next election. For the most recent take on this the WSJ chimes in:

The California Association of Realtors expects to make sharp downward revisions in its recent monthly reports of soaring home sales in the San Diego area, Robert Kleinhenz, deputy chief economist of the trade group, said in an interview. Those revisions will mean modest downward revisions in statewide sales, he added.

The revisions are likely to be announced in late July, when the Realtor group reports home sales for June. The problem resulted from a glitch in data from a multiple-listing service in San Diego, Mr. Kleinhenz said. He said a change in computer systems used there resulted in incorrect data being sent to the Realtor association over the past year or so.

Thomas Lawler, an independent economist in Leesburg, Va., who tracks home sales nationwide, raised questions about the San Diego data in a report last week. Mr. Lawler noted that the numbers reported by the Realtors vastly exceeded those from MDA DataQuick, a research firm in La Jolla, Calif., and other sources.

The California Realtors have reported that San Diego sales in April were up about 63% from a year earlier. Mr. Kleinhenz said that is expected to be revised downward to a gain of about 20%. For May, the group reported an 89% increase in sales in San Diego; that will be slashed to about 6.5%, the economist said.

As a result, he said, the state-wide sales gain for May -- reported last week as 35% -- also will be revised down, though it probably will remain above 30%, Mr. Kleinhenz said.

Of course, the problem with this is that as more and more instances of blatant data fudging become obvious, only the most naive citizens will believe anything that is released as "certifiable" economic data.

Hat tip to all readers who brought this to my attention.

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  •  
    It might also reflect that Numeracy is a growing problem in the US!
    Jul 01 07:34 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I can say for certain the inflation data is fudged. No way prices have dropped for me 5% in past year. food hasn't gone down, taxes up, (food actually up), portion sizes smaller. Mass transit much more expensive. That was a huge lie!!!

    Just wanted to educate our readers on how well our government continues take care of the very people who vote them, another example of why I wanted nationalization (instead of this unlimited funding, market manipulation, etc). This is what billions of your tax dollars have gotten you. Note they can borrow at NO COST!!!!!
    You have to pay it back in tax dollars at 3.5%. they charge you 15% now!!!!!!! w need to be in the streets saying"we aren't going to take it anymore", because our elected leaders don't appear to listen
    Citi raises card rates on millions

    By Francesco Guerrera and Saskia Scholtes in New... and Tom Braithwaite in Washington

    Published: June 30 2009 23:59 | Last updated: June 30 2009 23:59

    Citigroup has sharply increased interest rates on up to 15m US credit card accounts just months before curbs on such rises come into effect, in a move that could fuel political anger at the treatment of consumers by bailed-out banks.

    People close to the situation said that Citi, which is about to cede a 34 per cent stake to the US government as part of its latest rescue, had upped rates on between 13m and 15m credit cards it co-brands with retailers such as Sears.
    EDITOR’S CHOICE
    Credit card losses hit record 10.4% - Jun-30
    In depth: US banks - May-07
    Tepid offers for BofA asset manager - Jul-01

    Citi’s rate increases emerged on the day the government proposed legislation to create a new regulator with sweeping powers on consumer protection and a week after the bank was attacked by some politicians for raising employees’ salaries.

    Holders of co-branded cards who failed to pay their balance in full at the end of the month saw their rates rise by an average 24 per cent – or nearly 3 percentage points – between January and April, according to a Credit Suisse analysis of data from the consultancy Lightspeed Research.

    After FT.com broke news of the hike, Citi issued a statement saying: ”We have adjusted pricing and card terms for some customers as part of our regular account reviews. This is an ongoing process to ensure we offer terms, interest rates, credit lines and products based on individual needs and risk profiles. These changes also reflect the dramatically higher cost of doing business in our industry as we work to preserve the broad availability of credit.”

    Citi’s move came as the economic downturn caused record defaults among US card users and prompted many issuers to raise rates, both to cushion their losses and pre-empt the new restrictions set to come into effect in February.

    However, Citi’s increases have been larger than those of its main rivals, according to Lightspeed, which tracks about 12,000 US credit card accounts.

    Carolyn Maloney, Democratic representative for New York, the author of the new rules that will sharply constrain lenders’ ability to raise rates for risky borrowers, criticised Citi’s move. “It’s hard to tell if rate hikes on existing balances being put in place now are the result of prior bad business decisions or getting in under the wire of the new law,” Ms Maloney told the Financial Times.

    Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2009
    Jul 01 08:06 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If anyone wants the link for the house financial services committe to complain about what citi is doing here is the link
    Jul 01 08:22 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    sorry:
    financialservices.hous...
    Jul 01 08:23 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Amazing. Truly amazing. There's no longer ANY reality in this mofo mkt. And if there is, its over-shadowed by this crap. I imagine how many people jumped into buying a home in SD after seeing the initial report! I'm usually not the type to promote law suits right & left, but that realty org needs to get sued if its false/manipulated data convinced some to jump into the mkt ... too early.
    Jul 01 08:30 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Barney Frank will be happy to hear your thoughts.


    On Jul 01 08:22 AM dcb wrote:

    > If anyone wants the link for the house financial services committe
    > to complain about what citi is doing here is the link
    Jul 01 08:59 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Liars figure and figures lie.

    The "data" has been corrupted and full of crap for a lonnnnggg time.

    In 2006 the realtors' mouthpiece was on tv talking about a drop in home sales & prices, it was called a "glitch."

    And yes, the average American can't figure out that a Big Mac meal is full of calories and fat, why would we think that they can figure out financial stuff without being told what it means.

    Mommy & Daddy gubment need to get busy telling us how great our empty bank accounts and rising taxes are.
    Jul 01 09:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    San Diego is a strong republicrat area thus proving that BOTH sides are working hard against us to support their corrupt form of financially enslaving the taxpayers. They have been shearing the sheeple for so long they think it will continue indefinitely.

    I pray they are wrong. Dead wrong!!!! Time to clean the house out next election. Let the people speak.
    Jul 01 09:54 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    there are so many people hoping for something tht isn't there.Since I have been pelted daily with predictions that residential real estate has bottomed for the last 18 months, like hail in a Midwestern summer thunderstorm, I feel a public duty to tell you that is just not the case. Now that the state and federal moratoriums are off, foreclosures are accelerating. There are over a million Option ARM and Alt-A loan resets about to hit the fan. Since many owners will not see positive equity in their homes in their lifetimes, banks are seeing more walk always. The run up in mortgage rates from 4.5% to 5.5% has yet to hit the market. Some 18 million homeowners divert 50% of their incomes to pay for housing, double the 25% that is considered healthy, and many of them are losing jobs. While the volume of units sold has rebounded, the action is dominated by speculators, flippers, and bottom feeders bidding for properties at 10-40 cents on the dollar, not exactly a sign of health. Call me when Ozzie & Harriet Nelson come back to the market. I listen to industry insiders call the bottom of the Japanese real estate market for 15 years, until they finally died, and the market is still a fraction of its 1990 high. I thing we are closer to the bottom than the top in terms of price, but closer to the top than the bottom in terms of time. You can take that to the bank.
    Jul 01 10:12 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Does lack of Numeracy lead to Idiocracy?


    On Jul 01 07:34 AM Dave Wrixon wrote:

    > It might also reflect that Numeracy is a growing problem in the US!
    Jul 01 10:20 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Bad numbers from the CA Assoc of Realtors is evidence that , "every single day [we] are being blatantly lied to by an Administration . . ."
    WTF????????????????? Go back to your crack.
    Jul 01 11:32 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    A local title company has been distributing monthly statistics showing the number of notices of default and trustees' sales to banks, realtors, mortgage companies and others for nearly 2 years, with data going back to 2005. Recently they sent notices to all their clients that the numbers have been low by 150-200/month for months. In this county, that's a discrepancy of 20%.

    Trust government statistics at your peril.
    Jul 01 11:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Talk about green shoots whithering? An error like this is more like using a machette than allowing a plant to whither.
    Jul 01 12:06 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    As I intend to buy my first house...one day...I've been tracking sales between $0-$190K in the major Phoenix area since October 2008. These are single family homes (Short Sales, Foreclosure, Std Sales, Estate/Probate).

    According to the sales listed, yes, we were up in May. Most of that increase was cash sales.

    Current sales as of June 30th have dropped back to March/April levels (they were nearly identical).

    Everything I've seen is pointing to stagnation for a while. I'll have to wait until the end of July to see if my guess is on track.
    Jul 01 12:46 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    That is, unless folks get really excited about the extra cash sales for May and start another brief buying frenzy because of it.

    On Jul 01 12:46 PM Rix wrote:

    Everything I've seen is pointing to stagnation for a while. I'll have to wait until the end of July to see if my guess is on track.
    Jul 01 01:12 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I live most of the year in San Diego, and know many people involved in real estate. Even that 6.5% increase is wildly optimistic. There are so many unclaimed (by lenders) ready to foreclose, or already foreclosed, properties that it will soon create a glut on the market. Some here estimate a further 19% drop in home prices, once many of these properties flood the market.

    Add to that one big condo development just returning 300 deposits, effectively leaving that building idle. There is still the blue protective covering on some of the windows, and yet not a worker has been seen there in over a month. Many here doubt this is unique, and expect more of the overpriced condos downtown to fail.

    Several places now have HOA fees rocketing out of control, due to a lack of owners. A few high rises have already become insolvent. It is very tough to see where this is going.

    Quite simply, all the development was self fueling. There was little in the way of jobs creation that could sustain these propertied that were being built. Now with many people working shorter work weeks, and lots of former real estate agents looking for other work, there is little hope of the local economic conditions improving anytime soon. If a few companies relocate here to boost better paying employment, then maybe the housing market here can recover. Unfortunately, with California in deep sh*t financially, and the possibility of increased utilities costs and taxes, it would take someone wildly optimistic to see a recovery.
    Jul 01 04:39 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    What?? Clean the house out next election? And who will you get to vote for other than the "republicrats"? I just don't get it.


    On Jul 01 09:54 AM doubleguns wrote:

    > San Diego is a strong republicrat area thus proving that BOTH sides
    > are working hard against us to support their corrupt form of financially
    > enslaving the taxpayers. They have been shearing the sheeple for
    > so long they think it will continue indefinitely.
    >
    > I pray they are wrong. Dead wrong!!!! Time to clean the house out
    > next election. Let the people speak.
    Jul 01 06:49 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Rix,
    Patience. Housing will not reach a long term bottom for YEARS.
    Jul 03 11:17 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    There seems to be some confusion here.

    The "California Association of Realtors" expects to make sharp downward revisions in its recent monthly reports of soaring home sales in the San Diego area. The problem "resulted from a glitch in data from a multiple-listing service in San Diego". In this case, neither the government nor the current Administration seemed to be involved.

    There seems to be a faulty but generally accepted leap in logic here that this is an example of how we are lied to by the "Administration" that wants to put rose colored glasses on our eyes. The comments endorse this and suggest this is an example of the "Government" lying to us.

    While I understand that many of you are Ron Paul supporters who believe the government is at fault for all of our problems, I don't think this is the example you are looking for.

    Clearly this is a situation where the data was fudged by free market individuals with a vested economic interest in having data come out a different way. This is a different issue that many of you who believe there is an invisible hand that will make everything turn out well ought to consider.

    The article was a good one but, in my view, the conclusions missed the mark this time.
    Jul 09 10:58 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I also hope that the author will continue to point out these flaws by BOTH "government" and "individuals with vested economic interests" to give a clearer picture of the gravity of the problems we are facing.

    In my opinion, unless we address both these problems, we are in danger of merely electing a reactionary government next time that will merely give free reign for someone else to lie to us.
    Jul 09 11:04 AM | Link | Reply
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