Seeking Alpha

Michael Steinberg

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Watch out Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve now has competition in the currency game. California is planning to create its own money in the form of IOUs, just like the Fed. What is the California IOU – currency or an interest bearing note?

Officially the IUOs will be called “registered warrants”. State Controller John Chiang planned to issue $3.4 billion, maturing on Oct. 1 to replace state payments. The interest rate is set to be determined on Thursday, but cannot exceed the statutory limit of 5%.

The San Jose Business Journal “California banks ponder their stance on state IOUs” reports that banks are equally perplexed about whether to accept the IOUs and how to process them. But the banks are loath to upset the state with the largest economy in the nation; the state capable of generating the largest investment banking fees.

Bank of America (BAC) issued a statement saying they will honor the IOUs through July 10. Wells Fargo (WFC) and JP Morgan (JPM) have not decided. The smaller banks were mixed.

California’s ingenuity poses an interesting dilemma for the Fed. The IOUs would be structured as short-term tax-free bills, but trade like cash. Banks are being asked to accept the IOUs and advance customers interest. Should the Fed sanction alternate forms of money?

Disclosures: Author is long BAC and WFC.

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This article has 20 comments:

  •  
    Where will this end/take us? How many different currencies will we have to negotiate,before we end up like Europe, and go BACK to a single currency?
    Jul 02 05:00 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The ability to print one own currency is the prerogative only of sovereign nations. Watch this space!
    Jul 02 05:31 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The only difference I see between Registered Warrants and Federal Reserve Notes is that the Warrants pay a smidgeon of interest. It will be interesting to see if they start trading below par value.... wonder if the banks will redeem at par? Or if the local grocery store will take them at par?
    Jul 02 06:11 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    If you look at old Confederate Money, it promised to pay in gold 2 years after a peace treaty was signed with the United States.
    Jul 02 06:12 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Whose image will be on these warrants? Alfred E. Neuman?
    Jul 03 12:49 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Like all governments, you only embrace fiat when you're broke. California qualifies for that catagory 100% plus interest.
    Jul 03 01:02 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The Fed and Treasury only bail out banksters. California has to bail out itself. Go Arnie!
    Jul 03 01:12 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    California is going to have to layoff workers, reduce their pension programs, reduce paid leave, etc... You can't spend more than you have forever. The fact that the CA can't balance a budget and now has to resort to IOU's is pathetic. Their governments live in lala land and can't function. Why can't they just sell more bonds? Is it because no one will lend to them?

    If the Federal government moves to bail them out we really could see a revolt in this country. I've already seen AP articles (communist press) suggesting the CA is too big to fail. I've read articles blaming taxpayers and govt leaders for failing to raise taxes. May the public in CA doesn't want to pay more taxes. Maybe they want less government. How come the politicians won't do what the public clearly wants? They want to spend the money for themselves and they want less government service. Its time to vote for a third party folks. Its time for both parties to be decimated.

    One final thought. I live in Gainesville, FL which is like a little CA inside the state of Florida. Our city owns and runs a money losing golf course. They sink like 2-300,000 a year into that money loser. They canceled fireworks this year due to budget constraints yet somehow running a golf course is a primary service for the city. We have plenty of public courses too here so it not like we have a shortage of golf courses. Gainesville also flies the United Nations Flag. Our leaders wish they were in another country. I wish I could send them to California.
    Jul 03 02:50 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    THE "DREAM" ENDS. TOO MANY PEOPLE TAKING AND TOO FEW WORKING AND PRODUCING. WHO CAN WAIT UNTIL OCT. 1 TO PAY THEIR OWN BILLS? BACK TO WORK..ALL CALIFORNIAIANS!
    Jul 03 09:31 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    There is actually a precedent for this, as IOUs were issued in 1992. The 5% interest rate is alot higher than many deposit rates are currently, so there may be an opportunity here to cash in, as long as interest rates remain low.

    Here's a New York Times article on the situation in 1992:

    nytimes.com/1992/0...
    Jul 03 04:01 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The "Registered Warrants" are not currency. People may choose to treat them in lieu of currency, as I may choose to accept, say a deed as payment on a debt-- but no one has any obligation to do so.

    That's the distinction that makes "money".

    There's a term of art that should be added to this discussion "Legal tender". "Legal tender" means an instrument which by law CANNOT be refused as payment of a debt.

    Banks and others might _choose_ to accept the registered warrants, but they have no obligation to-- and hence they are not "legal tender" or "money".
    Jul 03 06:02 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Does anybody know if I can get a template for the CA
    warrants? I have my property taxes coming up in the
    Fall...
    Jul 03 08:27 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    What happens if California doesn't honor these warrants? Or, should I say when they fail to honor them?
    Jul 04 11:58 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Is this competition for the dollar? Already a few of the states are debating Gold Money bills. Is this the beginning of THE END for the dollar (in its present form)?
    Jul 04 02:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Arnold Schwarzenger on the front of the warrant ad daffy duck on the back....dat..dat..dat.... all folks!!!!!
    Jul 04 03:00 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Maybe the state workers can earn some stopgap income cutting lawns in Mexico.
    Jul 04 06:52 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Too bad so many people are unhappy with the California warrants. I'll help you out and take them off your hands for 90 cents US for each one dollar warrant tendered. Any takers? No? I wonder why.
    Jul 04 10:18 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Too bad so many people are unhappy with the California warrants. I'll help you out and take them off your hands for 90 cents US for each one dollar warrant tendered. Any takers? No? I wonder why.
    Jul 04 10:18 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Deport all the illegals, they suck up schools and services and jobs from those who are legally here. And yes, gold plated pensions, retiree medical (WHY? That is what Medicare is for) and union greed caused the budget mess as well.
    Jul 06 07:57 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    On Jul 03 02:50 AM johngonole wrote:
    > Why can't they just sell more bonds? Is
    > it because no one will lend to them?

    The California State Constitution forbids the selling of long-term bonds to fund deficits on current account - infrastructure bonds of any appeaciable size must be approved by a state wide ballot. The issue is not lack of bond buyers since no one is being asked or can be asked to buy a long term bond to close this budget deficit.

    The State has Revenue of something like $90b this year down something like $20b from last year. Since a legal balanced budget has not yet been passed a good deal of that $90b cannot be spent. So until someone (the House or the Governor) "gives in" on spending or tax increases or a compromise is reached the $90b can only be paid to groups speciefied by law, which includes bond holders who will get (from revenue) the approximately $5b-$7b owed to them, regardless of whether the budget is passed yet.

    This is a "crises" which is inevitable in a fluctuating economy when there is a legal requirement for a budget which is balanced on "current account" - just the sort of thing SA people should approve of - no Keynesian spending during recessions, but sackings or tax increases to add to the immediate depth of the recession (and thus decrease tax revenue even more).

    But the State's voters might go Keynesian and bravely/foolishly/wisely approve new capital works or go ahead with already approved items (cuurently on hold) in an attempt to aleviate the recession.

    It might take an outside agency to knock heads together to make the necessary compromise, like calling in a consultant to take the heat when you know hard decisions must be made.
    Jul 13 12:57 AM | Link | Reply