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Old Gas Pumps

With the record-breaking spikes in gas prices last summer, followed by the economic downturn, it's not surprising that people aren't driving as much.

A new report from the Seattle-based Sightline Institute verifies that per capita gasoline use is falling nationally, but focuses on how and why that the downward trend is most remarkable in Northwest states (Washington, Oregon, and Idaho). In the Northwest, the amount of gasoline used per person in 2008 was at its lowest level since 1965, with the biggest drop in total gasoline consumption since 1980.

Some of undoubtedly is due to increased unemployment and the loss of commuter miles traveled, and there's evidence that the spike in gas prices last summer left a lasting impression on drivers. But Sightline notes that it's also part of a long-term trend that's been underway for a decade, also mentioning skyrocketing mass-transit figures in Seattle and Portland.

Americans nationwide consumed about 8.2 gallons of gasoline per week, down from 8.6 gallons in 2007. In the Northwest, per capita consumption went down five percent from 2007 to 2008, to 7.4 gallons--and that's down 15 percent from 1999 levels, when Northwest per capita use fell below the national average.

According to the federal government's Energy Information Administration, total U.S. gasoline consumption fell by more than three percent from 2007 to 2008, after a very slight drop from 2006 to 2007. Vehicle miles traveled (VMT) levels are now where they were in 2004, and overall U.S. gasoline consumption was down in 2008 to pre-2004 levels.

It's likely that we'll see a continued slide in overall gas consumption this year--some of it due to the incremental advances in fuel economy we've been seing recently in new vehicles that we've reported on, including the 2010 Kia Forte, 2010 Subaru Legacy, and of course the new 2010 Toyota Prius (TM). Then look for it all to kick into overdrive in 2012, as new 2016 federal fuel economy rules start to phase in.

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This article has 6 comments:

  •  
    Good article, people with out jobs have no money, they buy no gas.
    Jul 05 02:53 PM | Link | Reply
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    If gas consumption in the northwest is sagging, it isn't because granola-munching twerps in Portland and Seattle have taken to enlightened mass-transit travel.

    Gas consumption in the northwest occurs because distances are enormous out there, and for everybody who doesn't live right next to one of the astonishingly rare mass-transit resources the only way to go anywhere and get anything is to drive a heck of a long way. If northwest gas consumption is sagging, it's because people just wized up and stopped making trips to go places and buy stuff. They are, in other words, hunkering down to survive the lean times they recognize are upon them. And that means the consumer economy out there is pretty much doomed.

    It is time to tell our elected respresentatives to stop basing our foreign policy on trying to bribe people who hate us into going along with our agenda, pull the fences in, put America first (like the Chinese put China first, and Indians puts India first, ect.,), and rebuild our national economy on services instead of continuing to base it on Americans consuming shoddy foreign-made stuff nobody needs.

    The one service nobody can live without is healthcare, so all we have to do is protect healthcare from trial attorneys and government idiots who want to regulate everything, and make sure doctors get paid more than lawyers so our brightest and best students become doctors instead of lawyers.
    Jul 05 03:28 PM | Link | Reply
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    My most recent understanding of the gasoline tax situation in Oregon was that they still had higher gasoline taxes than down here in California. They are considering a mileage tax on the miles driven so that they would have to increase the tax on gasoline some more. The Portland MAX light rail system is currently being expanded to the suburbs of Clackamas and Milwaukie. They are investigating the practicality of extending the commuter rail line from Wilsonville to Salem. Oregon's unemployment rate zoomed five percentage points in about a five month period. It all adds up to less gasoline used up there.

    Jul 05 06:42 PM | Link | Reply
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    Wait until all the baby boomers move down to one car only when they retire. And they are as of Jan 2008, and will be for the next 20 years. This will decrease consumption and increase taxes.
    Jul 05 11:46 PM | Link | Reply
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    It could also be part of the gas shock pricing in the summer of 08 and its lasting effects today. The world can not stand another round of un-regulated energy pricing like last summer. Speculation must be taken out of the energy markets so that pricing like in 08 are more even, rather then run away.
    Jul 06 10:18 AM | Link | Reply
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    Further, the spike in oil pricing last week is being blamed on Rogue Trading, I suggest that the same thing was applied in the summer of 08.
    Jul 06 10:32 AM | Link | Reply