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The five largest dividend ETFs by total assets are (listed in order from highest to lowest assets):

VIGVanguard/Mergent Dividend Achievers
DVYDow Jones Select Dividend
SDYS&P 1500 High Yield Dividend Aristocrats
VYMFTSE High Dividend Yield
HDVMorningstar Dividend Yield Focus

DVY has the highest mean "Street" analyst price change projection for the next 12 months. DVY also has the highest trailing yield.

Without discussing any risk or volatility issues, DVY has the highest expected total return of the group.

This table shows the projections, along with the percentage of projected total return that comes from dividends (using trailing yield), and also the forward P/E and P/CF from Morningstar, and the short-term technical rating from BarChart.com

(click to enlarge)

The mean analyst price change forecast for each ETF was developed by identifying the mean analyst price change forecast for each stock in each ETF, and then weighting each stock's price change projection by the stock's weight in the ETF.

See our prior article from yesterday that presented price change projections for the S&P 500, S&P 500 High Quality, S&P 500 Low Volatility, S&P 500 Sectors, and the FTSE Equity REIT index and the Alerian Infrastructure MLP index.

Disclosure: QVM has positions in VIG, SDY and VYM as of the creation date of this article (June 3, 2013). We certify that except as cited herein, this is our work product. We received no compensation or other inducement from any party to produce this article, but are compensated retroactively by Seeking Alpha based on readership of this specific article.

General Disclaimer: This article provides opinions and information, but does not contain recommendations or personal investment advice to any specific person for any particular purpose. Do your own research or obtain suitable personal advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions. This article is presented subject to our full disclaimer found on the QVM site available here.

Source: DVY Has Highest Expected Total Return Among 5 Largest Dividend ETFs