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I received a letter in the mail this weekend from Sirius (SIRI) indicating that my bill would increase by over 15% from here on out due to a "U.S. Music Royalty Fee". This is an increase of $1.98/month on top of the $12.95 per month I had been paying. While the extra $24 per year won't break the bank, it's just one of many small nickel and dime increases that seem to pop up over and over - from fuel surcharges that popped up last summer (which took a surprisingly long time to elapse after oil retreated to $30/barrel) to food price increases (which again, did not subside when the price of corn declined again) to fees and taxes that are blatantly hidden from plain view...like today's oil change at Meineke that had a hidden couple bucks in "environmental waste" fees that were tacked on to the $19.99 oil change advertised on a huge sign in front of the garage. Somehow, even though I received no extra services, $19.99 turned into $24.50.

Sirius claims that the additional monthly fee will be used to "directly offset" payments to the recording industry. First of all, I'm confused why they owe the recording industry anything. If it weren't for radio stations playing the crappy music that the record executives push and "payola anyone?", it wouldn't translate into sales. What ever happened to musicians earning money from live shows and promoting their CDs at concerts? Oh, I forgot, most of today's pop "musicians" are now lip-syncing and don't even write or play their own music - or sing for that matter...but I digress (old guitarist reminiscing about Metallica, Pantera and 311 shows that blow away most of the garbage out there today).

What Sirius offers as a mea culpa I guess (even though this offer seems familiar, perhaps it's nothing new, but just a reminder) is that if you prepay, you can receive the following discounts:

1 year = 1 free month
2 years = 5 free months
3 years = 9 free months

Obviously, even if you're using a high discount rate for your Net Present Value model (which I recommend everyone ALWAYS uses when confronted with financial "options" to evaluate), each deal has a positive NPV and you should take advantage of it. But wait. There is a solvency risk here. If you assume that Sirius-XM stays in business and will be able to honor these commitments, then it's a great deal. If they go out of business, it's akin to when we had our gift card bankruptcy experience and found that paying up front doesn't always pay off when a company goes bankrupt.

Personally, I think with the cash for clunkers incentive (as misguided and pandering as it was) and a partially recovering economy, Sirius will stick around. So, I'll probably just take them up on the 3 year deal to optimize my NPV.

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  •  
    I never blame a man for taking his profits. Congratulations.
    Aug 05 12:12 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Bid: 0.5521 x 300
    Ask: 0.5544 x 1000
    Volume: 106,873,061

    All computer pump... Who trades at .0001 ????

    It will go up when Mel wants it.... No sooner...
    Aug 05 02:29 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Sirius-Deuchbag missed out on a nice profit on this stock. Poor guy.

    Atlease he still gets to take home his commission for bashing the stock at this forum though.
    Aug 05 03:33 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Well, I am always wrong.

    But since July 15th I have made $6,231.00 buying and selling SIRI. I work with 160,000 set shares traded in blocks as needed.

    It is called day trading and working the GS computer spread.

    How wrong have you been?
    Aug 05 03:41 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Get ready tomorrow will be a bottomless pit / did you all bring your parachutes? if today is any indication of what will be tomorrow lol .60 back down to .54 (yeah thats real investing magic) ala Kazam hocus pocus see just conjoured up 4500.00 today now thats the magic of this stock making dreams come true


    On Aug 05 03:41 PM SIRI-Doom wrote:

    > Well, I am always wrong.
    >
    > But since July 15th I have made $6,231.00 buying and selling SIRI.
    > I work with 160,000 set shares traded in blocks as needed.
    >
    > It is called day trading and working the GS computer spread.
    >
    > How wrong have you been?
    Aug 05 04:07 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    lol this is already down by .02 post trade oh yeah this will be a going up tomorrow lol
    Aug 05 04:13 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It's counterintuitive trying to make money by contuiously bashing the same stock you're trying to make money from.


    On Aug 05 03:41 PM SIRI-Doom wrote:

    > Well, I am always wrong.
    >
    > But since July 15th I have made $6,231.00 buying and selling SIRI.
    > I work with 160,000 set shares traded in blocks as needed.
    >
    > It is called day trading and working the GS computer spread.
    >
    > How wrong have you been?
    Aug 05 04:33 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    It's called a springback. We would all love for stocks we invest in to go up forever, but unfortunately that's just not possible.


    On Aug 05 04:13 PM jmsithy wrote:

    > lol this is already down by .02 post trade oh yeah this will be a
    > going up tomorrow lol
    Aug 05 04:39 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Oh, how wrong have I been? I made over 40K trading 10K on MNI(Mcclatchy) stock in two weeks time.

    Real profit is made AFTER earnings time on a beat down stock with sirius upside potential.

    And if you really were trading 160K of Sirius you would have made a whole lot more than that.

    But then again we could both be lying.

    On Aug 05 03:41 PM SIRI-Doom wrote:

    > Well, I am always wrong.
    >
    > But since July 15th I have made $6,231.00 buying and selling SIRI.
    > I work with 160,000 set shares traded in blocks as needed.
    >
    > It is called day trading and working the GS computer spread.
    >
    > How wrong have you been?
    Aug 05 04:45 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Very glad you made some too.

    This would be fun if it was not so much work. Also, knowing I am only getting back small parts of what was lost in the “Quick and Dirty” scam takes away all the enjoyment.

    Maybe one day SIRI will start going up. I agree forward looks is now better than backward. SIRI has a long way to go before it reaches the $1 mark without a rev-split. I will be sad if that happens.

    We can always make money to pay the bills with SIRI as a penny. Just never get locked on a high sp because of greed.

    Keep your working capitol in your pocket during higher risk events. A 2Q report with no clue or news is a high risk event in my book…



    On Aug 05 04:07 PM jmsithy wrote:

    > Get ready tomorrow will be a bottomless pit / did you all bring your
    > parachutes? if today is any indication of what will be tomorrow lol
    > .60 back down to .54 (yeah thats real investing magic) ala Kazam
    > hocus pocus see just conjoured up 4500.00 today now thats the magic
    > of this stock making dreams come true
    Aug 05 04:51 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The risk for reward is well worth the risk for loss on Sirius.


    On Aug 05 04:51 PM SIRI-Doom wrote:

    > Very glad you made some too.
    >
    > This would be fun if it was not so much work. Also, knowing I am
    > only getting back small parts of what was lost in the “Quick and
    > Dirty” scam takes away all the enjoyment.
    >
    > Maybe one day SIRI will start going up. I agree forward looks is
    > now better than backward. SIRI has a long way to go before it reaches
    > the $1 mark without a rev-split. I will be sad if that happens.<br/>
    >
    > We can always make money to pay the bills with SIRI as a penny. Just
    > never get locked on a high sp because of greed.
    >
    > Keep your working capitol in your pocket during higher risk events.
    > A 2Q report with no clue or news is a high risk event in my book…
    >
    >
    Aug 05 05:13 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    jmsithy: Glad to hear that you are profiting because I have a long position, but you may be missing the big move. The problem with your parachute comment is that it is hurricane season. Your parachute may be filled with a sudden burst of upward tornadic air due to this hurricane the shorts are about to experience. Breaking news word for word from Auto News:Auto production is ramping up as dealers clamor to refill inventory thinned out by the unexpected success of the federal cash-for-clunkers program. Toyota, General Motors, Ford and others are hastily boosting -- or considering doing so -- their third-quarter production schedules within days of a late-month surge that pushed the July U.S. auto sales rate to its highest point so far this year.

    Read more: www.autonews.com/#ixzz...
    Aug 05 05:26 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Sir,
    You are speaking with someone who was personally deceived by Mel KarmaCrook. I quite SIRI soon after Mel said the words “Quick and Dirty”. I invested my retirement on the trust and words of my Boss, a multi-millionaire. So, you can see my reason for negative bios.

    Since that tragedy, I have been forced to pay bills by trading the remaining SIRI crumbs. I make what I need each month without taking extra risk. In and out, I maintain the original avg share count as of the time of loses. I have hope of recovery some day.

    I trade SIRI because I know the stock inside and out. I can see the patterns of corruption now making the news. I have been “outspoken” on the curuption. I have made every effort to expose Mel KarmaCrook and his collusion with Goldman Sachs.

    Trading in SIRI and still being able to speak the truth about the stock and management is more truth than your going to get from the people here who have been selling SIRI all the way down to 10 cents. I have no reason to lie.

    Posting here is more of a personal amusement. Our comments here have zero or less impact on the Goldman Sachs computer.

    I must say, I get a kick out of posting the awful truth about Mel, GS, and SIRI just to upset the SIRI blogging sales crew that is camped here…



    On Aug 05 04:45 PM holmesnmanny wrote:

    > Oh, how wrong have I been? I made over 40K trading 10K on MNI(Mcclatchy)
    > stock in two weeks time.
    >
    > Real profit is made AFTER earnings time on a beat down stock with
    > sirius upside potential.
    >
    > And if you really were trading 160K of Sirius you would have made
    > a whole lot more than that.
    >
    > But then again we could both be lying.
    >
    > On Aug 05 03:41 PM SIRI-Doom wrote:
    Aug 05 05:31 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Then Siri Doo Doom. It really is going to irk the crap out of you when Mel cashes in on those right to sell at 43 cent options. He is up HUGE already and the move is merely in the beginning stages.
    Aug 05 05:35 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    well I think this is still going to sink because this was still sinking after trading hours / I am glad you all believe that this qrt will be different for this stock. until I see it on Thursday I will not believe different and what I saw today when it reached .60 then back down to .53 that is not investing but sure fire trading / I pretty much have been right so far with these few days where it was going and where it is heading. Everything that has been mentioned with all the positives you would think would come to pass / but guess what the 1.00 pipe dream is a long ways away / I believed in that as well for 8 months since Feb, but have seen nothing but short selling of this stock so I say WTH sell with everyone else then reinvest as long as you know where the peeks and valleys are for this stock you will always be rich and wont have to wait for that so called 1.00 price / Dont you all think this would of been here by now look at Citi how they almost became bankrupt as well and they emerged with dollars from the ashes of cents. Sorry this stock is unreal when it comes to trading and investing.


    On Aug 05 05:26 PM between the hedges wrote:

    > jmsithy: Glad to hear that you are profiting because I have a long
    > position, but you may be missing the big move. The problem with your
    > parachute comment is that it is hurricane season. Your parachute
    > may be filled with a sudden burst of upward tornadic air due to this
    > hurricane the shorts are about to experience. Breaking news word
    > for word from Auto News:Auto production is ramping up as dealers
    > clamor to refill inventory thinned out by the unexpected success
    > of the federal cash-for-clunkers program. Toyota, General Motors,
    > Ford and others are hastily boosting -- or considering doing so --
    > their third-quarter production schedules within days of a late-month
    > surge that pushed the July U.S. auto sales rate to its highest point
    > so far this year.
    >
    > Read more: www.autonews.com/#ixzz...
    Aug 05 08:38 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Siri Doom, the way you consistently mis-spell could tell one that (a) one should doubt that you're who you portray yourself to us as and (b) Man, I have seen 10 year olds spell better. While spelling correctly doesn't indicate intelligence, it does raise questions as to whether or not you've been in any kind of big business or merely someone who faces a computer screen all day long...

    Either way, like it or not you seem harmless and entertaining. Not like anyone here would take your rants seriously. No cred babe.
    Aug 05 10:08 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Siri Doom, the way you consistently mis-spell could tell one that (a) one should doubt that you're who you portray yourself to us as and (b) Man, I have seen 10 year olds spell better. While spelling correctly doesn't indicate intelligence, it does raise questions as to whether or not you've been in any kind of big business or merely someone who faces a computer screen all day long...

    Either way, like it or not you seem harmless and entertaining. Not like anyone here would take your rants seriously. No cred babe.
    Aug 05 10:08 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    well it looks like i am back in at mid 40s seeing where it is heading even after the qtr reports
    Aug 06 09:54 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Wrong. Looks like the old northern wind hit your shoot about .48. The quarterly report doesn't reflect July or Aug sales. I'm serious. You need to look at the inventory levels. They are depleted. Folks are buying some autos.
    Aug 06 02:22 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I project shorts shedding their positions and then the big boys moving this one very soon. Fall and early winter to Christmas has been excellent in the past for SIRI. In 03, it moved from .40 in Mar to 3.85 by Dec 31. In the meantime, you'll have some erratic behavior as there are some folks out there like Siri Chicken that have had their tail feathers burnt. And as for Jim Cramer. Man, has he been wrong on this on. Told us to buy at top and no longer hold at bottom. The more that I watch him the more I'm skeptical of him. His books are excellent, but I think that he needs to return to the fundies in the books.
    Aug 06 02:34 PM | Link | Reply
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