Results from the services sector tallied as of market closing prices June 28 compared with analyst mean target gain results one year hence featured World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), a Stamford, CT firm from the entertainment- diversified industry, brandishing a 35.79% price upside.
The chart above used one year mean target price set by brokerage analysts matched against June 28 closing price to compare ten sector stocks showing the highest upside price potential into 2014 out of 20 selected by yield. The number of analysts providing price estimates was noted after the name for each stock. Three to nine analysts were considered optimal for a valid mean target price estimate.
This report series started applying dog dividend methodology in the fall of 2011 to reveal possible buy opportunities in each of eight major market sectors listed by Yahoo Finance: basic materials (BasMats), consumer goods (ConGo), financials (Fins), healthcare (Heal), industrial goods (IndiGo), services (Svcs), technology (Tec), and utilities (Utes).
Note my selections for May/June as follows:
Dog Metrics Selected Ten Top Services Sector Stocks
The top ten services sector stocks showing the biggest dividend yields June 28 per Yahoo represented four industries. Top services stock by dividend yield was Navios Maritime Partners (NMM), one of seven stocks representing the shipping industry. Other shippers were Ship Finance International (SFL) in second place, Capital Product Partners (CPLP) in third, Knightsbridge Tankers (VLCCF) in fourth, Nordic American Tankers (NAT) in sixth, Teekay Offshore Partners (TOO) in ninth, and Teekay LNG Partners (TGP) in tenth. StoneMor Partners represented personal services in fifth place. Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) represented staffing and outsourcing services in seventh position. Business services took the eighth slot represented by R.R. Donnelley & Sons (RRD) to complete the services sector top ten dogs.
Dividend vs. Price Results Compared to Dow Dogs
Below is a graph of the relative strengths of the top ten services dogs by yield as of market close 6/28/2013 compared to those of the Dow. Historic projected annual dividend history from $1000 invested in each of the ten highest yielding stocks and the total single share prices of those ten stocks created the data points shown in green for price and blue for dividends.
Actionable Conclusion (1): Services Dogs and Dow Both Bullish
The May/June services collection of dividend payers continued a bullish price course set since December, 2012. Aggregate dividend from $10k invested in each of the top ten industrial stocks, dropped at a rate of 39% since the first of the year while total single share price popped up 95% in that period. Since April services dividend dropped 0.34% while price rose 2%.
For the Dow dogs, meanwhile, projected annual dividend from $1k invested in each of the top ten dropped over 2.2% since April, while aggregate single share price popped up over 13.6%. The Dow dogs bull run increased their overbought condition as aggregate single share price of the ten exceeded projected annual dividend from $1k invested in each of the ten by over $198 or 53%.
Since sector dogs are not the blue chip high quality equivalents of the Dow list, an additional gauge of upside potential was added to the simple high yield metric used to dig out bargains.
Actionable Conclusion Two (2): Wall Street Wizard Wisdom Was Weighed to Compute 12.2% Net Gain from Top 20 Dogs Come 2014
Top twenty dogs for the services sector were graphed below to show relative strengths by dividend and price as of July 28, 2013 and those projected by analyst mean price target estimates to the same date in 2014.
A hypothetical $1000 investment in each equity was divided by the current share price to find the number of shares purchased. The shares number was then multiplied by projected annual per share dividend amounts to find the dividend return. Thereafter the analyst mean target price was used to gauge the stock upsides to 2014.
Historic prices and actual dividends paid from $1000 invested in the ten highest yielding stocks and the aggregate single share prices of those twenty stocks divided by 2 created the data points for 2013. Projections based on estimated increases in dividend amounts from $1000 invested in the twenty highest yielding stocks and aggregate one year analyst target share prices from Yahoo Finance divided by 2 created the 2014 data points green for price and blue for dividends.
Yahoo projected a 2.6% lower dividend from $10K invested in this group while aggregate single share price was projected to increase by 4.1% in the coming year. The number of analysts contributing to the mean target price estimate for each stock was noted in the last column on the charts. Three to nine analysts was considered optimal for a valid projection estimate. Estimates provided by one analyst were not applied (n/a).
Actionable Conclusion (3): Analysts Forecast 2014 Services DiviDog Stock Net Gains of 3.36% to 38.44%
Nine probable profit generating trades revealed by Yahoo Finance for 2014 were:
- World Wrestling Entertainment netted $384.46 based on dividends plus mean target price estimate from four analysts less broker fees;
- Ship Finance International netted $306.15 based on estimates from six analysts plus dividends less broker fees;
- Stonemor Partners LP (STON) netted $266.96, based on dividend plus mean target price estimates from two analysts less broker fees;
- Nordic American Tankers netted $164.94 based on target estimates from six analysts plus dividends less broker fees;
- Cedar Fair, LP (FUN) netted $151.50 based on estimates from five analysts plus dividends less broker fees;
- United Online, Inc. (UNTD) netted $119.84, based on dividends plus mean target estimates from three analysts less broker fees;
- R.R. Donnelley & Sons Co. netted $110.62 based on a mean target price estimate from five analysts combined with projected annual dividend less broker fees;
- Regal Entertainment (RGC) netted $81.12, based on dividends plus mean target price estimate from twenty analysts less broker fees
- Teekay Tankers (TNK) netted $63.65 based on dividends plus estimates from seven analysts less broker fees.
The average net gain in dividend and price was 18.32% on $1k invested in each of these nine dogs less broker fees.
These net gains do not factor-in any tax problems resulting from distributions (not dividends and K-1s) from MLPs and any possible re-capture tax problems/rates that may suck projected gains out of some of these estimates at the regular tax bracket rate and not capital gain rates. Consult your tax advisor regarding the source of "dividends" from any investment.
The stocks listed above are suggested only as decent starting points for your sector dividend stock purchase research process. These are not recommendations.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to constitute investment advice. Nothing contained herein shall constitute a solicitation, recommendation or endorsement to buy or sell any security. Prices and returns on equities in this article except as noted are listed without consideration of fees, commissions, taxes, penalties, or interest payable due to purchasing, holding, or selling same.