Dollar to Lose Reserve Status - But Is There an Alternative Currency?

Includes: GLD, UDN, UUP
by: Toro

From Bloomberg:

Pacific Investment Management Co., which runs the world’s biggest bond fund, said the dollar will probably fall as it loses its status as a reserve currency.

The dollar will especially drop against emerging-market counterparts, Curtis A. Mewbourne , a Pimco portfolio manager, wrote in a report on the company’s Web site. Investors should consider cutting their holdings of the U.S. currency, he said.

“While we have not yet reached the point where a new global reserve currency will arise, we are clearly seeing a loss of status for the U.S. dollar as a store of value even in the absence of a single viable alternative,” Mewbourne wrote.

Though I agree that the US dollar is losing status and will continue to fall against currencies of fast-growing emerging nations, it is difficult to see any alternative to the dollar as a reserve currency in the foreseeable future.

Having said that, I am long gold, and expect to see gold hit new highs as all fiat currencies lose value relative to real assets.