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  • UBS settles tax probe. UBS (UBS) announced a formal tax probe settlement with the IRS. The bank won't pay a monetary fine and will identify 4,450 clients, turning the names over to the Swiss tax administration who will review the names before passing them on to U.S. authorities. IRS Commissioner Douglas Shulman cautioned other banks and financial advisers that the data received from UBS could lead to a larger probe of tax evasion by banks and lawyers. Separately, the Swiss government announced it would sell its 9% stake in UBS and received lively bids in a Thursday morning sale. The Swiss government will likely net a total of 7.5B Swiss francs from the deal, turning a profit on its initial 6B franc ($5.6B) investment. Shares +5.8% premarket (7:00 ET). (Read the UBS agreement (.pdf) and press release)
  • BBVA tipped to buy Guaranty. BBVA, Spain's second-largest bank by market value, has reportedly been chosen by the FDIC to take over Guaranty Financial Group (GFG). Guaranty has around $16B in assets and $9B in deposits, and a deal will help BBVA expand its U.S. operations after its 2007 acquisition of Alabama-based Compass Bank. If a deal falls through and regulators are forced to seize Guaranty, it will be the ninth-largest lender to fail in U.S. history. The purchase is expected to be announced by the end of the week.
  • AIG unit may lose bidders. A group led by Chinatrust Financial Holding may not move forward with a planned bid for AIG's (AIG) Taiwan unit because of a disagreement over the value of the business. AIG wants to sell the unit for at least $2B, but the group, which includes Bain Capital and Oaktree Capital Management, has been unable to determine how much capital the unit will need in the coming years and are concerned the unit won't post a profit for the next three years. Though sources said the group may submit a "low-ball, non-binding" bid at the end of the month, this could be another case of AIG chasing away bidders by setting its prices too high. Shares +0.6% premarket (7:00 ET).
  • Profits nosedive at Rio Tinto. Rio Tinto (RTP) reported H1 profit fell 65% to $2.45B because of sagging commodity prices. Chairman Jan du Plessis said the company remains cautious about a recent rally in commodity prices, though the outlook is better in the long-term. The company expects improved results going forward, in part because of its decision to cut 16,000 jobs, trim production at its higher cost operations and pay off nearly 40% of its debt. Shares +0.65% premarket (7:00 ET).
  • CFTC pushes tougher derivatives bill. Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, is pushing to "enhance" proposed legislation of over-the-counter derivatives by making sure the law covers "the entire marketplace without exception." In particular, Gensler wants to get rid of exemptions for small derivatives dealers and for foreign exchange swaps, repeal parts of the FDIC Improvement Act, and require money be set aside to back up trades. Separately, the CFTC said yesterday it withdrew a 2006 position-limits exemption given to Deutsche Bank's (DB) commodity-services unit that allowed the unit to exceed speculative limits on corn and wheat futures.
  • Adjusted deficit still highest in decades. The White House will update its projections for the fiscal 2009 federal budget deficit next week and sources said the number will come in at around $1.58T, slightly less than the $1.84T previously predicted. The reduction stems from improvements in the financial sector that are expected to lessen the government's bailout commitments, but as a percentage of the economy, the deficit will still be larger than any since World War II.
  • Northrop may sell advisory unit. Northrop Grumman (NOC) reportedly plans to sell its Tasc consulting unit, which advises military and intelligence agencies, as the government prepares to tighten scrutiny of firms that both advise and sell equipment to the government. Goldman Sachs (GS) and Credit Suisse (CS) have been hired to handle the bidding process, which could see the unit sold for $1-2B.
  • Clunkers headed for an end. The White House plans to wind down the cash-for-clunkers program, possibly by early September. The exact end-date is still up in the air, as the administration expects a surge of last-minute trade-ins once the program's expiry is announced but wants to avoid having dealers agree to sales after the program's funds have already been committed. The popularity of cash-for-clunkers has left many dealers concerned that the $3B of funding set aside for the program will run out before they are fully reimbursed. For those who don't have a clunker to trade in, a similar rebate program will soon be available for fridges, washing machines and dishwashers.
  • YouTube, Time Warner ink distribution deal. YouTube (GOOG) and Time Warner (TWX) reached a deal to distribute movie clips and TV shows online and will split the advertising revenue. Time Warner CEO Jeff Bewkes said he expects the deal to "improve our ability to monetize this short-form content through new and creative advertising initiatives." The deal is part of Google's recent efforts to ramp up deals with media companies for the video site and to push new forms of advertising. Premarket: GOOG +1.8% (7:00 ET).
  • MySpace likes new music purchase. MySpace (NWS.A) confirmed it bought music service iLike as the struggling website tries to remake itself as the go-to location for music, videos, games and other entertainment content. Terms of the deal weren't disclosed, but MySpace is rumored to have paid around $20M.

Earnings: Thursday Before Open

  • Buckle (BKE): Q2 EPS of $0.54 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $193M (+14%) in-line. (PR)
  • Children's Place Retail Stores (PLCE): Q2 EPS of -$0.42 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $316M (-7%) vs. $315M. (PR)
  • China Mobile (CHL): Q2 net income of 30.1B yuan ($4.4B), down from 30.6B a year ago and short of consensus of 31.1B. Sales of 111.6B yuan (+8.9%). Average monthly phone bills declined 11%. Added 15.96M customers (vs. 22.5M last year) to 493M. (PR)
  • Patterson Companies (PDCO): FQ1 EPS of $0.38 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $790M (+6%) vs. $756M. (PR)
  • Regis (RGS): FQ4 EPS of $0.59 beats by $0.13. Revenue of $625M (-2.5%) vs. $615M. (PR)
  • Rio Tinto (RTP): H1 underlying earnings of $2.57B (-65%) vs. consensus of $2.73B. Says it may pay a final dividend, subject to “satisfactory trading results, progress on divestments and prevailing market conditions." (PR)
  • Sears (SHLD): Q2 EPS of -$0.17 misses by $0.52. Revenue of $10.5B (-10%) vs. $10.7B. (PR)
  • Suntech Power (STP): Q2 EPS of $0.06 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $321M (+2%) vs. $343M. (PR)

Earnings: Wednesday After Close

  • Gymboree (GYMB): Q2 EPS of $0.41 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $215M (+5%) in-line. Sees Q3 EPS of $0.95-1.03 vs. $1.05. (PR)
  • Hot Topic (HOTT): Q2 EPS of -$0.07 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $158M (-5%) vs. $159M. Sees Q3 EPS of $0.11-0.13 vs. $0.15. (PR)
  • JDS Uniphase (JDSU): FQ4 EPS of -$0.01 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $276M (-29%) vs. $279M. (PR)
  • Limited Brands (LTD): Q2 EPS of $0.19 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $2.1B (-10%) in-line. Same-store sales down 9%. (PR)
  • NetApp (NTAP): FQ1 EPS of $0.22 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $838M (-4%) vs. $828M. Not providing Q2 guidance due to "reduced visibility" caused by macro environment. Names Tom Georgens new CEO. (PR)
  • PetSmart (PETM): Q2 EPS of $0.31 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.3B (+5%) in-line. Sees Q3 EPS of $0.20-0.24 vs. $0.26. Sees full-year EPS of $1.37-1.45 vs. $1.52. (PR)
  • Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH): Q2 EPS of $0.60 beats by $0.16. Revenue of $529M (-1%) vs. $515M. Sees Q3 EPS of $0.80-0.85 vs. $0.90 and revenue of $655M-665M vs. $675M. Raises full-year EPS guidance to $2.30-2.40 from $2.05-2.30. (PR)
  • Synopsys (SNPS): FQ3 EPS of $0.47 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $345M (flat) in-line. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.29-0.33 vs. $0.34 and revenue of $335M-343M vs. $348M. Sees full-year EPS of $1.71-1.75 vs. $1.70. (PR)

Today's Markets

Asian markets posted solid gains. European markets and U.S. futures are rising.

  • In Asia, Nikkei +1.8% to 10,383. Hang Seng +1.9% to 20,329. Shanghai +4.5% to 2,912. BSE +1.4% to 15,012.
  • In Europe at midday, London +1.3%. Paris +1.4%. Frankfurt +1.3%.
  • Futures: Dow +0.3%. S&P +0.3%. Nasdaq +0.3%. Crude -0.2% to $72.28. Gold +0.05% to $945.30.

Thursday's Economic Calendar

Seeking Alpha editor Eli Hoffmann contributed to this post.


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This article has 18 comments:

  •  
    It's good to have other rebate program like " cash for clunkers". Now American are saving more, so with the programs like that, it will helpful.
    Aug 20 07:55 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    In today market, I can see that we are in the right direction to recovery.
    Aug 20 07:57 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Last time I was in Sears was last Christmas at my local mall and I swear i saw tumble weeds blowing through there.
    Aug 20 08:38 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    C4C is doing so well that NY state dealers have pulled out because they aren't being payed in a timely manner, citing government ineficiency. Who could have seen that coming? UBS settels and the Swiss government sells it off. Dosen't bode well for the future of UBS. Without the secrecy aspect of their operations they are just another bank.
    Aug 20 08:45 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Re: UBS/IRS...this is just the beginning. Saw the IRS commissioner on Bloomberg TV last night, and they're going after other banks, both Swiss and in other nations kmown as being "tax havens".
    Aug 20 08:53 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    C4C makes sense if a 12 mpg gas guzzler is traded in for a 30+mpg vehicle. But that's not what's happening in the real world. Here in Florida most of the new vehicles being sold are pickups, vans and SUV's that get half the mandated mpg of the next federal CAFE. C4C only requires a 2mpg improvement to qualify - what a joke. Another bad joke out of Washington, DC.
    Aug 20 08:58 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "a similar rebate program will soon be available for fridges, washing machines and dishwashers."

    JUST IN TIME FOR CHRISTMAS!!!! Looks like we need another artist to depict Obama as "Santa Clause".

    I am sure that this is to support GE which has also taken TARP money. I think we are seeing the common denominator here.

    Still no stimulus to save the average american Joe's job however. Just money for the big companies that helped BO get elected.

    Maybe that artist needs to do a "scrooge" instead?

    Aug 20 09:13 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    The IRS had sued UBS to disclose 52,000 US clients suspected of tax evasion. They got 8.5% of what they asked for. How is that the raging victory as the IRS claims? Who paid who to keep the other 91% secret?
    Aug 20 09:16 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Maybe that artist needs to do a "scrooge" instead?

    What's that supose to mean?
    Aug 20 09:33 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Can anybody explain why banks such as UBS are allowed to do business in the United States. We may not have much leverage in Switzerland, but here?
    Aug 20 09:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    ummm, eer, no insult meant. hahaha. Damn size 11.5's taste like crap.


    On Aug 20 09:33 AM ScroogeMcduck wrote:

    > Maybe that artist needs to do a "scrooge" instead?
    >
    > What's that supose to mean?
    Aug 20 09:44 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    ..."Can anybody explain why banks such as UBS are allowed to do business in the United States"...

    Ownership. A foreign corporation can own a subsidiary in any country which operates by the laws of that country, not of the foreign country. The IRS is using its bully power to make corporations in other countries follow US law.

    It is time to scrap the income tax and go to 100% sales tax funding of our government. Being able to bank anywhere in the world would be just one of dozens of advantages. Another HUGE advatange would be the IRS being made superflous. We maintain the tax collecting machinery of government at HUGE expense to everyone - individuals, and businesses.
    Aug 20 09:51 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    "The White House will update its projections for the fiscal 2009 federal budget deficit next week and sources said the number will come in at around $1.58T, slightly less than the $1.84T previously predicted."

    The newly revised number would have been even lower had not expenditures for smoke and mirrors increased apace...
    Aug 20 11:06 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    no matter what kind of tax the rich will find the lawyers who will find the loopholes left by congress for this purpose.its a money world & only a money world.truth,ethics,tra... will are gone.its me,me,me,& mine,mine,mine.it will all crash eventually.
    Aug 20 11:06 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Man! Do you really want to put the US into a permanent economic depression with a fixed rate regressive tax? Look, I don't like the present tax code and it's ridiculous rules and complexities either, but a sales tax will, as the power to tax does, "kill" sales. The progressive tax is still the best and fairest "form" of tax so far yet invented (and yes, I know Marx favored it, so what!), however it is Congress that needs reform. The socialist in there could raise hell with the US economy using a sales tax, flat or no. And they will.


    On Aug 20 09:51 AM axelrod608 wrote:
    > It is time to scrap the income tax and go to 100% sales tax funding
    > of our government.
    Aug 20 12:27 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I said yesterday that we could have a run-up up to the weekend, and that is currently looking very possible, but I've taken advantage of today's run to unload my leveraged long financial and S&P 500 ETF, FAS and SSO, and I sold XLF for good measure too.

    I may have left some in there, but my nerve went: the charts said stay with a limit order, but hits from leveraged shorts (and I know how to trade 'em) earlier this year made me cautious, and I got out whilst the going was good.

    I like a gamble, but I like to relax after work too!
    Aug 20 01:05 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Well, the markets closed now, and I'm happy. The top on the financials held and the S&P top went a little higher, and now is falling back; so my sell decisions were good.

    There's still a lot of hype about, and tomorrow is another day, but for me, we are now close to the much needed correction to form the base that's required for a real bull market to come in the future.

    I think that will be some time ahead, but at least we'll not be worried about more big losses once the base has come about: which means, you can invest without so much worry about losing even more than you have already.
    Aug 20 04:17 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    YouTube, Time Warner ink distribution deal - Could this become a model for future deals? Soon we may see YouTube brokering news and the news networks clamoring for the privilege to have their work on YouTube.
    Aug 20 09:36 PM | Link | Reply