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Editor's notes: CLUB has built up a strong moat and trades cheaply compared to free cash flow. As the market recognizes its true earning muscle, the shares could bulk up 45%.

Founded 1973, Town Sports International Holdings (CLUB) owns and operates 160 health and fitness clubs with 512,000 members. With a current market capitalization of $300 million and TTM earnings of $12.3 million, the stock only offers an earnings yield of 4.1%. But there are reasons to think that GAAP net income number is not representative of cash earning power, primarily because of the difference between depreciation and actual cash spent on PP&E. To illustrate, in 2012, depreciation and amortization came in at about $49 million, while capital expenditures have averaged $25 million over the past three years -- a difference of $24 million. We should, therefore, use a measure of cash earnings or free-cash-flow to estimate intrinsic earning...

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