When constructing a growth or income portfolio I always start with core positions that are the foundation for a diversified and balanced strategy. Core positions typically track established indices such as the S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average because they give you diversified correlation to the broader market. Then you can layer in some sector, industry or special situation funds to enhance the characteristics of your portfolio given the amount of risk you are willing to take.
Another way to juice the returns of your portfolio is to look for core positions that are outperforming their peers. This is exactly what equal weight ETFs have been doing for some time now.
ETFs that follow a market cap weighted index allocate the majority of their assets to the largest stocks in their portfolio. The largest stocks will therefore have an outsized pull on the performance of the ETF over time because of their higher concentration. These market cap weightings are typically rebalanced on a quarterly basis based on the size of the stocks in the index at the end of the quarter. For example, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is the largest holding in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) with 2.80% of the total assets, while AutoNation Inc (NYSE:AN) is the smallest holding with only a 0.01% share.
By contrast, equal weight ETFs allocate their portfolios equally across every stock in the index no matter what their fundamental characteristics may be. The Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (NYSEARCA:RSP) has the same number of stocks as SPY but every stock in the ETF has between 0.15%-0.25% in weighting. The fund is rebalanced quarterly to adjust for stocks that underperform or outperform to bring each allocation back into equal balance. It may seem like the differences between these two strategies are minor, however the disparity in performance returns have been quite significant over time.
If you look at a one-year chart of SPY vs. RSP below you will see that the equal weight fund has outperformed its peer by over 7%. That is a noteworthy difference in total return over a one-year time frame.
Another stark example of equal weight outperformance over the last year has been the difference between the PowerShares QQQ (NASDAQ:QQQ) and the First Trust NASDAQ-100 Equal Weight Index Fund (NASDAQ:QQEW). QQEW has outperformed QQQ by nearly 12% over the last 12 months.
This performance gap is clearly the result of larger companies having underperformed, while the stocks of relatively smaller companies have continued to strengthen. If this trend continues, the difference between market cap and equal weight can mean a big boost to your returns.
It should be noted that while equal weight ETFs act as a more balanced representation of an index, they can also underperform during periods when larger stocks are flying. In addition, you should be aware that the expenses for equal weight ETFs are typically higher than their market weight counterparts. These factors should all be evaluated when choosing a core holding for your equity portfolio.
In addition, you should compare the performance of equal weight ETFs versus other index strategies such as low volatility, fundamentals, active management and more. This will allow you to screen and select the best position to achieve your portfolio objectives given the future expectations of the market.
I think that both RSP and QQEW should be added to your watch list for buying decisions with additional money down the road. However, given the lofty levels that the market is sitting at, I would not be purchasing these ETFs right now. I believe the risk-to-reward of higher stock prices vs. the potential for a correction make this a perfect opportunity to exercise patience. By purchasing these ETFs on a pullback and averaging into an attractive cost basis you will be increasing your odds of success for a long-term core holding.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Additional disclosure: David Fabian, Fabian Capital Management, and/or its clients may hold positions in the ETFs and mutual funds mentioned above. The commentary does not constitute individualized investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities.