Europe ETFs: Cautiously Accessing the Recovery

With some countries on the continent posting growth, Europe and its related ETF could be on the way to a recovery.

Germany and France both reported increases in growth and the numbers have convinced some analysts that Europe’s economy is recovering, perhaps even faster than that of the United States’, reports Charlie Parker for Citywire.

There are some risks, though:

• Some economists think that the improved numbers may not be a show of overall economic strength but rather a fall in imports as exports remain the same, which would come up as a stronger net trade.

• The unemployment rates in Germany and France may also be misleading because of the larger public sector. The fall in production in Europe did not reflect an equal fall in unemployment. The economies could suffer later from the excess weight.

• The European Central Bank has cut its benchmark interest rate to a record 1% low and begun a $86 billion program of buying assets, writes Simon Kennedy for Bloomberg. Officials regard the economic recovery with caution and won’t be reversing their policies any time soon.

• The ECB projected that the European economy may contract 4.6% this year and contract 0.3% in 2010. Deutsche Bank estimates a 1.3% contraction next year and UBS AG predicts 2.1%.

One way to access the European market is through the PowerShares FTSE RAFI Europe (PEF) ETF. PEF, currently up 42% year-to-date, tracks the performance of the largest European equities in the FTSE RAFI Europe Index, which normally invest 90% of its total assets in securities that comprise the Index and ADRs based on securities in the Index, as stated by InvescoPowerShares. The ETF has 526 holdings with an expense ratio of 0.75%.

• Country allocations: United Kingdom 30.6%, France 14.7%, Germany 13.3%, Italy 7.6%, Switzerland 6.4%, Netherlands 5.8%, Spain 5.3%, Sweden 4.0%, Ireland 2.6%, Belgium 2.5%

Max Chen contributed to this article.