3 Reasons Why Gold ETFs Are on a Rush 14 comments
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Gold prices are on the climb again toward that all-important psychological barrier of $1,000 per ounce. Fears of inflation and market uncertainty could continue to push ETF higher.
3 factors are driving the latest run-up in gold prices:
- The concerns over inflation are dominating investors’ actions.
- Investors may be feeling bearish over a possible decrease in equity stocks.
- Inflation concerns may not be the major reason investors are turning to the safe haven metal. Yields on the 10-year treasury note are still heading lower, so investors are still buying government debt and therefore not overly concerned that interest rates are going to eat into their returns, explains Matt Phillips for The Wall Street Journal.
Tennille Tracey for The Wall Street Journal reports that the price of gold jumped nearly $22 to close at $977 per ounce, its highest close since June 4.
While the U.S. dollar has slipped, one strategist notes that it hasn’t lost enough value to trigger a gold shopping spree. Speculation rests with the possibility that some investors are bracing themselves for a slide in stock prices.
- SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): up 8.5% year-to-date
- PowerShares DB Gold (DGL): up 9.8% year-to-date
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remember what paul volcker said about gold in the early 70's?
<<In looking back at the rise of gold from $35 to $850 during the 1970s', Paul Volcker said, "It was probably a mistake to allow gold to rise so high.">> from gold-eagle.com
do u think they will make the same mistake again?
i'm bullish on gold and hold physical gold.
i don't hold paper gold, e.g. GLD etf, anymore.
if i do, i will be selling them soon.
TPTB (not TPBT) = The Powers That Be
On Sep 07 08:36 AM Geezer Bela in Exile wrote:
> Two questions:
>
> 1. What is the TPBT?
The Powers That Be
> 2. What is the method used to control gold prices?
Google GATA
Gold will require a black swan along the lines of:
1. massive bank failures
2. iran gets attacked
3. dollar collapses
4. china actually defaults on derivative positions
5. h1n1 goes berserk, or mutates into something really scary
to really get going. Inflation is not a near term risk but it is a long term inevitability.
I'm looking to establish a position in AGQ, the silver 2x, on the likely pull-back. In the long run any any position in silver or gold at these levels will likely be richly rewarded, I just believe another dip is coming early this week.
> With all the "excitement" about gold getting to the record $1,000
> mark, note that in inflation adjusted dollars, gold hit around $2,700/oz.
> in 1980.
This is actually pretty meaningless because in 1980 gold really WAS in a bubble. To determine if gold is in a bubble now, you need to look at the longer term picture. Pick your own (reasonable) historical date and you will see that gold returns have pretty much equalled inflation. So, to me, gold is not in a bubble now. However, if I was asked to pick the most likely asset class for the next bubble, I would pick precious metals.
At least in the short run, I would be surprised if we get by this major resistance level.