Eating out is a preferred method to honor and celebrate a significant event. A pay raise for example might rate a night out; or just a lunch; or take-out. Feast your eyes on these five high-dividend paying restaurant stocks whose prices were predicted to jump.
Results from ycharts.com tallied as of market closing prices August 6, compared five restaurant industry stock prices with analyst mean target price results one year hence from Yahoo Finance. Einstein Noah Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:BAGL), a Colorado-based bagel restaurant firm, exhibited a 16.4 % price upside to lead the field. McDonald's Corp. (NYSE:MCD) showed a 6.7% upside to take fourth place out of five.
The chart above used the one-year mean target price set by brokerage analysts matched against the August 6, closing price to compare five restaurant stocks showing the highest upside price potential into 2014. Others on the list beside the Einstein bagel boys and big Mac were DineEquity, Inc. (NYSE:DIN) with 13.8%; Bob Evans Farms (NASDAQ:BOBE) showed 8.8% upside; Dr Pepper Snapple Group (NYSE:DPS) showed a 6.5% price upside.
The number of analysts providing price estimates was noted after the name for each stock. Three to nine analysts were considered optimal for a valid mean target price estimate.
Wall Street Wizards Will A 12% Average Net Gain from 5 Restaurant Dogs By 2014
Five YCharts picks were graphed below to show relative strengths by dividend and price as of August 6, 2013, and those projected by Yahoo Finance analyst mean 1-year target estimates to the same date in 2014.
A hypothetical $1000 investment in each stock was divided by the current share price to find the number of shares purchased. The shares number was then multiplied by projected annual per share dividend amounts to find the dividend return. Thereafter the analyst mean target price was used to gauge the stock price upsides and net gains including dividends less broker fees as of 2014.
Historic prices and actual dividends paid from $1000 invested in the five stocks and the aggregate single share prices of those stocks created data points for 2013. Projections based on estimated dividend amounts from $1000 invested in each of the five highest-yielding stocks and aggregate one-year analyst target share prices from Yahoo Finance created the 2014 data points. The green line showed price and blue showed dividend.
YCharts projected a 9.5% lower dividend from $10K invested in this group while aggregate single share price was projected to increase over 9.4% in the coming year. The number of analysts contributing to the mean target price estimate for each stock was noted in the next to the last column on the chart. Three to nine analysts was considered best for a valid projection estimate.
A beta (risk) ranking for each analyst rated stock was provided in the far right column on the chart above. A beta of 1 meant the stock's price would move with the market. Less than 1 showed less than market movement. Higher than 1 showed greater than market movement. Negative numbers show movement the opposite of market direction.
Five Restaurant Dogs Net 7.8% to 18.6% by July 2014
Five possible profit generating stock trades from $1k invested in each revealed by YCharts and Yahoo Finance for 2014 were:
Einstein Noah Restaurant Group netted $186.14, based on dividends plus a mean target price estimate by 13 analysts less $20 in broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 7% less than the market as a whole.
DineEquity, Inc. netted $160.33 based on dividends plus a mean target price estimate from six analysts less $20 in broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 54% greater than the market as a whole.
Bob Evans Farms netted $89.78 based on a mean target price estimate from five analysts combined with projected annual dividend less $20 in estimated broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 19% less than the market as a whole.
Darden Restaurants netted $89.10, based on dividend plus mean target price estimates from 15 analysts less the usual broker fee. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 41% less than the market as a whole.
McDonald's Corp. netted $78.14 based on dividends plus a mean target price estimate from 11 analysts less the broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 80% less than the market as a whole.
The average net gain in dividend and price was 12% on $5k invested ($1k each) in these five stocks. This gain estimate was subject to average volatility 18% less than the market as a whole.
The stocks listed above were suggested only as decent starting points for your stock purchase research process. These were not recommendations.
Disclosure: I am long MCD. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to constitute investment advice. Nothing contained herein shall constitute a solicitation, recommendation or endorsement to buy or sell any security. Prices and returns on equities in this article except as noted are listed without consideration of fees, commissions, taxes, penalties, or interest payable due to purchasing, holding, or selling same.