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Editor's notes: An accretive deal and slowdown in the housing recovery trade form a nice entry point for LPX. 20% upside to fair value, with strong growth prospects unlocking more value in the long term.

The housing recovery trade seems to have hit a bit of a snag recently, as even hot trades like Home Depot (HD) and Mohawk (MHK) have cooled a bit recently. With mortgage rates heading higher and new construction activity still not that strong relatively to long-term averages, timber, lumber, and wood products companies have gotten dinged. While I had already been planning to write on Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) and point out that it seemed as though the market was pricing in too much skepticism about the OSB, siding, and engineered wood markets, the company did a deal that only makes the story more interesting.

In buying Canada's Ainsworth Lumber (...

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