It has been awhile since I covered one of the more unusual yield plays within my income portfolio, offshore driller Transocean (RIG). However, the company has garnered some positive catalysts of late, pays a 5% yield and is cheap on a valuation basis.
- Credit Suisse upgraded the shares on Thursday. The investment bank went to "Outperform" from "Neutral" citing Carl Icahn's ~6% ownership stake and possible dividend increases, buybacks or a move to a MLP structure as positives. It has a $60 price target on the stock. This move comes after several downgrades from other analyst firms that hurt the shares.
- Speaking of Mr. Icahn, it was divulged that the noted activist and one-time "corporate raider" has upped his stake in this oil services firm to a significant 6% stake in mid-August.
- In early August the company announced it has added $2B to its enormous backlog that now stands at $28B by extending a couple of offshore drilling contracts.
- Oil prices are strong with WTI approaching $110/barrel.
- Finally, Mexico is pushing through energy reforms that BAML believes will result in an annual increase of $2.5B in spending on oil services, most of which will move to major players like Transocean.
RIG is cheap at just over 8x next year's projected earnings and less than 10% above book value. Revenue growth is expected to accelerate to over 10% in 2014 from gains of around 4% this fiscal year. The stock has a minuscule five-year projected PEG (.5) and is selling for approximately 7.5x operating cash flow.
Even with the recent downgrades, the median price target of the 32 analysts on RIG is $55 a share, some 20% above its current price. On top of the five percent dividend yield, this is an attractive capital appreciation play. I would look for Mr. Icahn to ratchet up pressure for increasing the company dividend payout and/or other shareholder friendly moves.
Finally, the stock is right above solid technical support levels (see chart).