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A graph of the U.S. dollar against currencies of some of the U.S.’s largest trading partners since 1971. The bifurcation is the interesting thing.

dollar-1971-2009

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  •  
    isn It’s all about the dollar, which I have despised all year like the red headed stepchild it has become (click here for my initial recommendation). The assured onslaught of federal debt issuance headed our way will be the overriding investment consideration for traders and portfolio managers for the next decade. That will knock the stuffing out of the greenback against every currency except the Zimbabwean dollar, and even that will rally when you get a long overdue regime change. As the new currencies of barrels of crude oil, 100 pound ingots of copper, or rail cars of iron ore won’t fit into your wallets or purses, foreign currencies offer a great dollar alternative. There was once an argument that foreigners piled into these currencies to capture a huge yield pickup, but even that advantage is now gone, with almost everything now yielding nothing. The soggy buck also explains a lot of what is going on in our stock market, with companies earning most of their revenues from increasingly wealthy foreigners, like those in technology, energy, and commodities. As I write this, I am looking at new one year highs for my favorite picks of the former British crown colony currencies of the Canadian dollar (FXC), up 28% YTD, Australian dollars (FXA) up 49% , and New Zealand dollars (BNZ), up 80% dollars (for my C$report click here ). Their bounteous natural resources, Anglo-Saxon contract law, a semi common language, and vibrant ports make them the safe bet of choice. Sure, they are all overheated and way overdue for a short term pull back. But over the long haul, you can count on the loony to hit parity, to be eagerly followed by the Aussie dollar, and then the kiwi.
    Oct 26 06:17 PM | Link | Reply
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    Here is a website with some amazing charts on the Dollar;

    bespokeinvest.typepad..../

    Disclosure; Have no business relationship with Bespoke Invest.

    The Fine Print: As Registered Investment Advisors, we see it as our responsibility to advise the following: We do not know your personal financial situation, so the information contained in this communiqué represents the opinions of Peter “Mycroft” Psaras, and should not be construed as personalized investment advice.

    It should not be assumed that investing in any securities we are investing in will always be profitable. We take our research seriously, we do our best to get it right, and we “eat our own cooking,” but we could be wrong, hence our full disclosure as to whether we own or are buying the investments we write about.
    Oct 26 06:43 PM | Link | Reply
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    The Dollar is initiating a technical bounce here. Notice the volume under the Monday 10/26 price increase. Longer term it is likely to have further to go downward.

    stockcharts.com/h-sc/u...

    For now the Dollar's value correlates inversely with the stock market in a very clear way.
    Oct 27 10:17 AM | Link | Reply