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How much is too much? Someone is stealing from you! Every week you are overpaying for gasoline, and I can prove it in a way that is so simple even Congress can understand.

When oil was $30 a barrel (way back in 2003—when dinosaurs still roamed the earth) gas was $1.52 (avg), and ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) made $21b in profits on $246b in sales—not too shabby!

So since they were doing OK financially, we can assume they knew what they were doing price-wise and, as an “integrated oil company,” they were able to process that oil and deliver it right to your gas tank all under one great corporate umbrella. The same corporate umbrella, by the way, that the Supreme Court of 1911 dissolved into 34 companies in order to protect the American people from this sort of price gouging.

Now I’m not going to pretend to know all of Exxon’s costs, but obviously they were able to refine and deliver oil for a nice profit by charging you just $1.52 a gallon. We do know that a barrel of oil in 2003 cost an average of $28, and there are 42 gallons in a barrel, so that’s $0.66 per gallon that we will say is something they can’t control (forgetting the fact that they own or lease the land, the equipment, the people and the production facilities that get oil out of the ground for an average of $8 per barrel).

Now here’s where I’ll start going slow so our legislators can follow. If oil, the main ingredient in gasoline, cost $0.66, and gasoline can be profitably delivered for $1.52, then that means all of Exxon’s costs were less than $0.86. In fact, that $0.86 they charged included an operating income (pre-tax) of $32b, or 13%.

That profit, by the way, is after paying salaries. Take Lee Raymond, the ex-CEO for example. He was paid an average of '$50m a year for running Exxon, but, when it came time to retire, all the company could do for him was give him a check for $140m—not even a gold watch!

Now when oil goes up to $64 a barrel, like it is today, and Exxon, Chevron Corp. (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), BP PLC (BP) testify and swear (oh sorry, they refused to be sworn in) to you that gas prices are not their fault, ask this very simple question:

When oil costs $0.66 a gallon, you add $0.86 and gas is $1.52. But now oil is $1.52 a gallon, and gas is selling for $2.60. Did refining and distribution costs increase to $1.08?

The truthful answer is—apparently not. Exxon’s operating income last quarter was $18.5b on $99b in sales, or 18.6%, a 43% increase in margins at the expense of the American consumer.

There is a reason the Supreme Court broke up Standard Oil in 1911; not only is it back together now, but it is part of an oligopoly, a cartel, that controls the lifeblood of this country with virtually no oversight (as the BP debacle clearly demonstrates).

So when you are filling up at the pump this weekend, think about how much you SHOULD be paying for gas versus how much you ARE paying for gas and thank your Congressmen, especially Energy Chairman Senator Stevens of Alaska and our own beloved Vice President Cheney for the excellent work done by his apparently secret energy task force, which first met in 2001, when oil averaged $20 a barrel.

There can be no doubt as to the task force’s effect (even though we are not allowed to know who was on it or what was said), as oil climbed 25% in 2002 to average $25 for the year. Our Vice-President (former Halliburton Co. (HAL) CEO) found this to be unacceptable and sprang into action, reconvening the secret society in 2002.

That must have really done the trick, because oil averaged just $27 in 2003. But by the end of that year we were well on our way to $35, and the rest is history! Having done their jobs to defend Americans right to make a decent living, free from the tyranny of taxes and regulations (providing, of course, you use the broad definition of Americans to include Oil companies, because the rest of us just got screwed), the committee did not seem to feel it necessary to meet again as oil hit $45 and $55 in ’04, $65 and $70 in ’05 and $79 in ’06.

“What’s the big deal?” you might say. “It’s just an extra 20 or 30 cents a gallon.” That’s the beauty of this kind of theft. Like credit card thieves (or credit card companies), they can get away with overcharging tens of millions of people a few dollars each day. It’s not enough for you to complain about, but for them... Well, Exxon earned $10b last quarter alone, more money than they earned in all of 1999 when those pesky democrats were in office!

Even if you don't need the money, don't you think that the extra $292b we are spending on oil every year could be put to better use in other parts of the economy? And that's just America. On a global scale, Cheney and Bush's circle of friends are raking in $1 trillion more per year than they did in 2000—Mission Accomplished for sure!

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This article has 13 comments:

  •  
    Good morning America! You finally woke up, great! Phil, you’ve just confirmed what we have been saying all along but from a totally different perspective. You took the consumers viewpoint. We approached this from the investor’s point of view. XOM’s profits will continue to climb even at $51 a barrel. See Seeking Alpha articles;

    7/17/2006 energy.seekingalpha.co...
    8/20/2006 energy.seekingalpha.co...
    8/28/2006 energy.seekingalpha.co...

    All the oil companies are working on a percentage basis and not on a cost plus basis! XOM stock may dip to 61/62, but as soon as Q3 earnings are in its back to 70. Have you noticed that XOM continues to buy back its shares below 65?

    Disclosure: This personal comment by a CrossProfit analyst reflects the opinion of CrossProfit.com.
    www.crossprofit.com
    2006 Sep 15 06:31 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Good analysis, Phil..... but I am not entirely sure you are right when you say Congress can understand. Perhaps we should test you hypothesis by having many of us forward the e-mail to our favorite Congressman!
    2006 Sep 15 09:38 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Ok why is everyone missing this obvious point????? I the article in mentions that it cost .66 a gallon of gas. and they were selling it for 1.52 which by the way is .76 diffence not the .86 stated. So Mr. Phil is saying that the oil company is making a .76 profit..... Sorry wrong. You forget the most obvious the TAXES that are added to every gallon of gas. There are Federal taxes, State Taxes, County Taxes and in some places a City tax and since that varies from place to place its hard to say exactly how much is paid. So before you all keep jumping up and down that the Oil Companies are making obsene profits get all your fact straight.
    2006 Sep 15 10:56 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    it is 0.86, not 0.76
    2006 Dec 06 06:49 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    your comments are right on. if 1 gal of oil equals or close to 1 gal of gas, then 1 bbl of oil equals approx 42 gals of gas. bbl of oil in equals 42 gals gas out. this is the basis of your math. any refining experts out there. we get close to 100 % recovery or conversion 1 to 1. any comments out there
    2006 Sep 15 12:57 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Your analysis makes no sense. Of course the refining and distribution costs will increase when oil prices increase. Refining requires energy, which comes from the oil itself. as does distribution (i.e. transportation costs). I suggest you stick to subjects about which you know something, if there is such a subject.
    2006 Sep 15 06:19 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    First, you conveniently left state and federal taxes (for road improvement, etc.), which is added to the base price of gas, out of your kindergarten math. Second, you act like oil companies just pick what the oil and gasoline prices are going to be each day. Gasoline is a traded commodity just like oil, gold, copper, orange juice, etc… In my opinion, oil companies are mostly innocent, yet highly profitable, bystanders of high commodity prices. Oil companies don’t set this, speculators like you do. You post trading suggestions on your blog, which you already own or short, and profit off of naïve readers that actually do your bidding. Who profits off the little man? Phil Davis does!!! I am disappointed at Yahoo Finance for qualifying you as real news.
    2006 Sep 15 08:45 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    OK, I see we are getting caught up on math which was just an example...

    Here's an even easier way to look at it.

    When gas was $1.55 per gallon, XOM made a 13% profit - so every gallon you purchased included a .20 profit for XOM - this is an audited fact!

    Now gas is $2.50 a gallon (forgetting the past 6 months) and XOM is making an 18% profit. That means you are now giving XOM (or whoever) .45 for each gallon you purchase.

    Just like with any utility (most of which are sensibly regulated), your demand is inflexible so they can charge any rate of profit they wish. You can say the money went here or this expense or that expense or tax or terror or speculators or any BS you wish to use but the absolute mathematical fact is that Exxon is making 38% more profits while you are paying 66% more for energy.

    They could have maintained their margins or even let them drift up a few points but instead, they found you mugged and beaten on the street and they stopped to bend over and go through you wallet to get your last couple of bucks. Yeah God bless 'em, they're just patriotic Americans trying to scrape by as best they can...
    2006 Sep 15 09:51 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    I think the key point is that they are earning huge margins in what is supposed to be a commodity business. That is not supposed to be likely or even possible according to basic economics.

    Maybe they are just brilliant traders and make a lot of money that way, and just scrape by selling their petroleum based products.

    Banks typically are squeezed when the price of their raw material (money) is going up, and make money as it is going down. Exxon is making more as prices go up... you've got to hand it to them, they are brilliant at recovering cost!

    Disclosure: I am long XOM. I don't have to agree with it to profit from it.
    2006 Sep 15 11:17 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    In your own company, do you "maintain margins" or do you charge what the market is willing to support? I am sure it is option #2. As the president, you could probably answer this, but I doubt that Accu-Title was founded to help bring prosperity to the little man. How many people have you "mugged and bent over" to pay for that $80,000 and 14 mpg Range Rover?

    From alta.org:
    Philip R. Davis was the founder and president of Accu-Search, Inc., and is now the president of Accu-Title, LLC, a software provider and IT consultant to the title industry. He can be reached at: phil@accutitle.com.
    2006 Sep 15 11:21 PM | Link | Reply
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    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    2006 Sep 16 07:35 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Phil Davis must be flying at high altitude outside a pressurized cabin. His views on the price of oil shows he knows nothing about the subject or economics 101. His views are close to those of Marx or Lenin.
    2006 Sep 16 07:15 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Reading this in 2008 I see the point...our government has regressed back to 1910 by allowing the mergers...forming the "cartel". We; as simple buyers of goods ;are at their mercy. They manipulated the laws prohibiting the formation of monopolies.
    2008 Apr 28 03:09 PM | Link | Reply