The Price Points I'm Watching to Re-Enter a Long Australian Dollar Position
October 29, 2009
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Below is the AUDUSD weekly chart I'm watching closely. I'll re-evaluate if we can get a break above the two week high of .9327, or if we get a pullback on the hammer down to around .9050, where the 5 EMA on the weekly chart is.
I'm also watching $1050 price level on gold. When AUDUSD breaks above 9327, I'd like to see gold above $1,050.
Fundamentally, the argument is the same as always; the dollar is in trouble and current monetary policy is reinforcing those woes, and the carry trade with the higher yielding Australian dollar is on. See my blog for more on those arguments.
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