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In looking at the percentage of S&P 500 Index stocks trading above their 50 day moving average, the market looks to be near a short term oversold position.

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In looking at the 150 day moving average, 80% of S&P 500 stocks are trading above the 150 day M.A. This is down from 97% in September.

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    adi The scariest costume I saw on Halloween worn by a kid dressed as the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Listening to all of the gnashing of teeth and hand wringing after the Friday close about broken trend lines, accelerating downside volume, and crisscrossing moving averages, you would think that a time machine had just magically transported us back to the dark days of March, 2009. The volatility index (VIX) has popped from 20% to 30% in a week. Impressive. A new CNBC poll says that two thirds of investors are now expecting a “W” shaped recession, and that the next big move in the market is down. Once all of the performance chasers finally got the equity weightings they should have had last March, the market could only go down. We cut through support in the S&P 500 at 1050 like a hot knife through butter. Next stop: 980. Then hold your breath.
    Nov 02 02:13 PM | Link | Reply