Seeking Alpha
About this author:
Submit
an article to

In an economic slowdown and a time of uncertainty, gold and its exchange traded funds (ETFs) offer an attractive alternative to investors. Let’s take a look at six factors that could push the metal’s price even higher.

What’s driving gold prices today isn’t necessarily what drove them 40 or 100 years ago.

  • Today, wealth preservation is the key driver for gold investment. Investors want to protect their assets, and gold holds its value, reports Eric Lam for the National Post.
  • For most of the last decade, gold has performed well between September and December. Some investors may be considering these seasonal factors.
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) sold 403 tonnes in September, and rumor has it that China is interested in it.
  • India is also stepping up its gold holdings to 558 tonnes, up from 358 tonnes, as it seeks to diversify away from the U.S. dollar.
  • In an attempt to revitalize the U.S. economy, the federal government has turned to printing massive amounts of money. The dollar has lost ground against its counterpart currencies, which has led many to believe that inflation is on the horizon. As we all know, a good hedge against inflation is gold. (Other ways to hedge against inflation).
  • Supply is becoming constrained. Of the world’s three biggest gold producers (China, Australia and South Africa), only China has increased production.

What’s the appeal of gold for the average investor? Lakshmi Iyer of Kotak Mahindra Mutual Funds states:

  • Gold offers diversity, liquidity, safety and security to investors.
  • Gold reduces the risk of losing money in the event that a preferred asset underperforms or when a specific sector is not doing well. (How to utilize precious metals).

For more stories on gold, visit our gold category.

Gaining access to gold is easy through the use of the following ETFs:

  • SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca: GLD): up 20.2% year-to-date

  • iShares COMEX Gold Trust (NYSEArca: IAU): up 20% year-to-date

  • PowerShares DB Gold Fund (NYSEArca: DGL): up 18.4% year-to-date

  • ETFS Physical Swiss Gold Shares (NYSEArca: SGOL): up 7.1% since its inception

Disclosure: Tom Lydon’s clients own shares of GLD.

Kevin Grewal contributed to this article.
Print this article with comments
Comments
2
Comments 1 - 2 out of 2
You are viewing the latest 20 comments
  •  
    vge ) News broke this morning that, out of the blue, the Reserve Bank of India bought 200 metric tonnes of gold from the IMF for a handy $6.8 billion. The news set the gold market on fire, boosting the December futures $40 to an all time high of $1,088. It is the largest transaction in the barbaric relic since the Alaric’s Visigoths sacked Rome in 410 AD. It has been public knowledge for some time that the IMF was looking to unload 403 tonnes of the yellow metal in order to fund lending to poor countries. Many traders say this threatening overhang is why gold failed to definitively break out to the upside this year, despite six attempts. The expectation was that China would take this hoard as part of a broader diversification away from the dollar. Bringing India into the fray, which had no prior history of stockpiling gold, is a whole new plate of basmati rice. Not only does this raise the prospect of a bidding war with China for more gold reserves, other cash rich emerging market central banks are likely to join the mosh pit as well, no doubt panicked by the ominously rising whirr of printing presses in the developed countries. My short term goal for gold was $1,200, but I now have to raise that to the $1,300 favored by some chartists in view of the new dynamics. If you want to see my long term target, take a look at the chart below, which has gold zeroing in on its inflation adjusted all time high of $2,358. For those who prefer holding the barbaric relic of the physical kind, visit the tightest spreads in town on American Eagles and bullion at www.millenniummetals.net/ . And while you’re there, sign up for their free research product on precious metals.
    Nov 04 02:08 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Hey, Mr. Baldheaded - can't you think outside of the box - how about reasons why gold will go up and GOLD ETFs will go DOWN?!?

    I will tell you why - when the 1000 trillion (QUADRILLION) derivative mountain implodes on itself, every financial company around is going to be VAPORIZED and GLD holders will be BAGHOLDERS who were TOO STUPID to secure their own gold.
    Nov 05 01:38 AM | Link | Reply
Viewing Comments 1-2 out of 2