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By Brandon Matthews

In a report issued Monday by Barrington Research Associates, Senior Investment Analyst Jim Goss maintained his OUTPERFORM rating on Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) while upgrading his 2010 and 2011 price targets following the company’s third quarter earnings report.

Mr. Goss raised estimates on better than expected revenue and improving metrics going forward, such as improving subscriber numbers due in part to the cash for clunkers program, increased ARPU and continued cost consolidation. Increased EBITDA projections and faster implementation of the royalty recovery fee were the main drivers of his raised 2010 base target price to 1.25 and his 2011 base target price to 1.50.

Barrington Research Associates provides information intended for institutional investment firms. As such, the suitability of any analysis should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell shares of Sirius XM Radio on an individual basis. Investors should seek the advice of a professional before acting on any recommendation, to determine the suitability of a particular investment for their own individual needs.

Position: Long SIRI

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  • Good news. Now watch MF and The Street start bashing with 10 more bad articles. Maybe we can get some upward movement today!!
    2009 Nov 11 06:20 AM Reply
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  • I hope so. I am tired of the bad articles. I am still going to buy more SIRI.


    On Nov 11 06:20 AM JOBOCOP wrote:

    > Good news. Now watch MF and The Street start bashing with 10 more
    > bad articles. Maybe we can get some upward movement today!!
    2009 Nov 11 06:59 AM Reply
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  • Where is Siri Doom now? I do not mind hearing constructive suggestions. But Siri Doom is a "Pendejo". Thanks Brandon! good article. RAF Keep analyzing information for us. I learn alot from yours & Brandon's post.
    2009 Nov 11 07:00 AM Reply
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  • This market is so broken and manipulated, nothing matters that much anymore.
    2009 Nov 11 07:03 AM Reply
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  • R.M.@ Motley Fool has been changing his tune about Sirius Xm. He seems to be seeing the positive light by coming out w/ a more positive outlook recently. He may becoming a believer. He definitely is a WITNESS to all the positives coming out of the reports coming from within Sirius Xm. His blinders must be slipping off his face. He has said that he thinks Sirius Xm is poised to be one of the big winners when the economy turns around. If he's coming over to the Sirius Xm side I would like to welcome him aboard!


    On Nov 11 06:20 AM JOBOCOP wrote:

    > Good news. Now watch MF and The Street start bashing with 10 more
    > bad articles. Maybe we can get some upward movement today!!
    2009 Nov 11 08:18 AM Reply
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  • We the people should file a class action lawsuit against Cramer and the Street if they continue their phony manipulation of this stock.
    Siri should do the same....They need to make a stand on their product then maybe the stock wont be shorted as much. A salute to all the veterans out there who protect and serve.
    2009 Nov 11 08:44 AM Reply
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  • Although SIRI is still subject to massive manipulation in its daily trading - by institutions employing high speed computer executions effectively painting the tape by running phantom volume from one in house desk to the next - in the end the truth of Sirius XM's recovery will prevail and gradual upside should be anticipated into 2010. As far as the manipulation goes - it is a travesty that the SEC has not yet gotten control of this, and SIRI is the number one prime example of all they need to know to take effective action by checking all the records of institutions capable of this type activity and determining the amount of fraudulent volume within. As far as what this means for legitimate investors in SIRI - I would recommend staying the course, as even the manipulation now seems biased toward the upside - which is not too surprising, as substantial short covering has been going on over the last few months and should continue through yearend. On a risk/reward basis, upside potential from current levels (low .60's) appears to be considerably greater than downside exposure and this alone should keep sentiment favorable. Technically - SIRI is trading from strength - support building on normal pullbacks and recoveries tending to follow. This type of buoyant and resilient action usually leads to gradual upside shifting of lateral bands over time. Fundamentals are now favorable for Sirius XM going forward and SIRI is trading from technical strength; this is the combination all traders should look for. When you couple this with a risk/reward ratio heavily balanced toward the upside - I would bet on that direction over time.

    As the old saying goes: "The race does not always go to the swift and the strong - but that is the way to bet!"
    2009 Nov 11 08:51 AM Reply
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  • sorry neal. i have buying this stock for a year now and MF has been bashing it the whole time. they put the siri symbol in any chance they get just for clicks. with 99% bash rate, you can have him. i stopped reading their blogs because of all the negitivity. i would be affraid if he came over to our side, thats when i am selling. next thing siri-doom will stop his rants too. if you dont like the stock, dont buy it!!!
    siri long!!!!


    On Nov 11 08:18 AM Neal Barkett wrote:

    > R.M.@ Motley Fool has been changing his tune about Sirius Xm. He
    > seems to be seeing the positive light by coming out w/ a more positive
    > outlook recently. He may becoming a believer. He definitely is a
    > WITNESS to all the positives coming out of the reports coming from
    > within Sirius Xm. His blinders must be slipping off his face. He
    > has said that he thinks Sirius Xm is poised to be one of the big
    > winners when the economy turns around. If he's coming over to the
    > Sirius Xm side I would like to welcome him aboard!
    2009 Nov 11 08:51 AM Reply
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  • The baseless bashing articles are sickening. What is more sickening is this Comapny's silence. Does Sirius/XM have a public relations dept? After the merger, did Siri fire the XM PR folks and XM fired the SIRI PR folks and they haven't yet noticed that no one is home? No retorts to Street, no comebacks to MF, no full page ads, no big store promotions. Yes, I know, big ad campaign coming - I will believe it when I see it. In the meantime, sign me up for the class action against the bashers.
    2009 Nov 11 08:58 AM Reply
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  • Sirius has greatly improved the user interface and is always trying to provide it's subscribers with more. I am a happy subscriber and am long Sirius. With the new geostationary satellites that are being launched, they will have the technical ability to go Global. Now that is exciting!
    2009 Nov 11 10:23 AM Reply
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  • What is he basis for investing in SIRI that will drive the p/s higher.
    Is it based on the projection of auto sale conversion growth? Is that a guaranteed rise in the number of subs? Is it possible consumers might not go that way? Is the investor guaranteed there will be sub growth and listner's will want the talent on SIR? Sure there are technical plays but will institutional investors buy based on the technicals? What is the fundamental that makes this a solid and not a very speculative buy? What is also on the horizon is a r/s, 40% leverage to Liberty, debt, and always a possible change in what the fickle consumer will want? They may go to smartphones or change what talent they want to hear. So explain what is the fundamental reason SIRI is now a solid good buy for the investor?
    2009 Nov 11 10:26 AM Reply
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  • Dayworker, it is simple.

    You had two healthy satellite companies fighting over who was going to save SIRIXM from bankruptcy. Liberty and Dish. I'll bet they weren't fighting over a worthless out of date company in a very competitive market. They wanted the inside track to buy a company at a great price.

    On the stockholders side you have a ruthless, ego driven negotiator Mel. He will no let this company go for peanuts but also understands it can only thrive with deep pockets behind it. He knows that SIRIXM has value. And again they aren't not competing with smart phone, I have no idea how you draw that conclusion. SiriXM is like have cable in your home but it is in your car. It offers superior programming. Yes it is tied (For now) to the auto industry and yes it made its way through like Ford did, but happened to sign contracts to offer their product in new and used cars, strengthening the position of having the radio installed as a non-upgrade item. Autos will all come with SIRIXM access whether they are luxury or low end. And with the deep pockets of Liberty i believe a mobile SIRIXM radio will eventually be released.

    Its obvious Liberty is taking current steps to get ready for some M&A action by consolidating "simplifying their corporate structure.

    Finally, and I don't mean this as an insult but you must be too young to remember TV without cable. For us who do remember noone wanted to pay for TV until you got a taste of it over a neighbor's house. Then you were sold quickly on the idea. So when regular every day Joes buy a $15M auto and get a free 3 month sub to SiriXM, I'm betting they make the simple phone call to sign up.


    On Nov 11 10:26 AM dayworker wrote:

    > What is he basis for investing in SIRI that will drive the p/s higher.
    >
    > Is it based on the projection of auto sale conversion growth? Is
    > that a guaranteed rise in the number of subs? Is it possible consumers
    > might not go that way? Is the investor guaranteed there will be sub
    > growth and listner's will want the talent on SIR? Sure there are
    > technical plays but will institutional investors buy based on the
    > technicals? What is the fundamental that makes this a solid and not
    > a very speculative buy? What is also on the horizon is a r/s, 40%
    > leverage to Liberty, debt, and always a possible change in what the
    > fickle consumer will want? They may go to smartphones or change what
    > talent they want to hear. So explain what is the fundamental reason
    > SIRI is now a solid good buy for the investor?
    2009 Nov 11 11:10 AM Reply
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  • And RAF stop trying to pawn off your thoughts in high speed trading as a form of manipulation when you previously stated the opposite by stating it only affected the volume and did not effect the stock price.

    This was my point over and over again weeks ago that I received thumbs down. Its embarrassing to those who follow this blog.

    In fact as others may remember I had to provide you with the correct definition of high speed trading.

    I don't understand how others can't see through your obvious attempts of "going where the wind" brings you mentality.

    Stop commiting plagiarism of other commentators thoughts as your own.
    2009 Nov 11 11:18 AM Reply
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  • So basically you are saying it's all tied to the growth in auto and that the conversion will be the revenue growth. This in turn, with budget,
    cash and debt restructuring will make SIRI more profitable and then the p/s will rise based on each quarters rise in profit. Therefore, an investor should count on the auto sub growth as money in the bank and not worry it won't happen. I'm just trying to get a perspective on what the investor can see as to why a buy is a solid investment. It's basically a confirmation that there will be subs growth for sure. There is no speculation. As far as recovery, we know for sure that the consumer will spend money on sat rad instead of smartphones. They will have that much money to spread around.
    2009 Nov 11 11:31 AM Reply
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  • The street.com and Jim Cramer are all COWARDS!! They use there bogus articles as a way to hide behind all the hatred they have for SIRI.
    I am so glad I cancelled all my accounts with the street.com and will try to get everybody to do the same. Hopefully one day I can make a toast when they go into bankruptcy.

    LONG LIVE SIRI !!!
    2009 Nov 11 11:47 AM Reply
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  • Pell - Your constantly mistaken use of the term "daytrading" reflects your lack of understanding about the entire realm of trading. High speed manipulation by sophisticated institutions is a totally different tactic than the term "daytrading" - which you have persistently and mistakenly used in the same context. You are obviously a rookie, Pell - there was a saying in the Airborne about this: "I have more time in the blast than you have in the chow line!" Assume this refers to you, Pell, in the world of trading.

    You are dismissed, Pell - Have a good day. Conversation is over.

    On Nov 11 11:18 AM Pell wrote:

    > And RAF stop trying to pawn off your thoughts in high speed trading
    > as a form of manipulation when you previously stated the opposite
    > by stating it only affected the volume and did not effect the stock
    > price.
    >
    > This was my point over and over again weeks ago that I received thumbs
    > down. Its embarrassing to those who follow this blog.
    >
    > In fact as others may remember I had to provide you with the correct
    > definition of high speed trading.
    >
    > I don't understand how others can't see through your obvious attempts
    > of "going where the wind" brings you mentality.
    >
    > Stop commiting plagiarism of other commentators thoughts as your
    > own.
    2009 Nov 11 11:47 AM Reply
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  • Once again dayworker smartphones and SiriXM are not competitors.

    With your logic why have a TV if you can download applications on smartphones to watch your preferred programing like sports. Why have a computer in you home if you can get internet access from a smartphone. Why use an IPOD? In fact why even have a radio in your car at all? There is no comparison.

    The only flaw in SIRIXM DOES NOT HAVING A CARRY (MOBILE) PRODUCT YET. And I believe that technology will eventually come about. There are satellite phones, right? Its just a matter of time. In fact in speaking with some SIRIXM fence sitters that is their only issue. SIRI should be entering the smartphone era as A SIRIXM PRODUCT, not a piggy back product. But as previously stated that R&D takes money and Liberty might be the one to supply it.


    On Nov 11 11:36 AM between the hedges_ wrote:

    > Good news from FED EX. Retail shipping UP UP UP. So good that 2010
    > rates going UP UP UP. Looks like consumer may be coming back. Likely
    > story as 401ks are almost back to where they were. Good news for
    > Sirius, especially for Sky Dock sales. Would not want to be short
    > especially with Tuna Amobi discussing the stock tonight!
    2009 Nov 11 11:52 AM Reply
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  • Hooah RAF. Private Pell: Shut your freakin suck hole for a while; RAF is not your dentist. If you freakin just read and listen for a while, you will get some high speed low drag trading training. You are clearly a butter bar or a mere private when it comes to understanding business and trading. Tuck your freakin chin in, roll your shoulders back and brace knob. Keep your eyeballs off us, are you queer for our steer? :-) Pell, seriously though, think about things before you email them. You have a decent thought on merger with Direct TV. You need to get me the research on the poison pill however. Also, please no more talk on reverse split. It is approved and will only be used by Mel if 1. he doesn't get a waiver due to market cap, 2. stock is below $1.00 and no waiver, and 3. it is absolutely necessary to keep from delisting. Enough Said Knob. Now take your freaking tooth brush and clean the toilets!
    2009 Nov 11 11:56 AM Reply
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  • All the way, between the hedges! Had to set this leg straight.

    Semper Fi! and Happy Birthday to all my brothers!


    On Nov 11 11:56 AM between the hedges_ wrote:

    > Hooah RAF. Private Pell: Shut your freakin suck hole for a while;
    > RAF is not your dentist. If you freakin just read and listen for
    > a while, you will get some high speed low drag trading training.
    > You are clearly a butter bar or a mere private when it comes to understanding
    > business and trading. Tuck your freakin chin in, roll your shoulders
    > back and brace knob. Keep your eyeballs off us, are you queer for
    > our steer? :-) Pell, seriously though, think about things
    > before you email them. You have a decent thought on merger with
    > Direct TV. You need to get me the research on the poison pill however.
    > Also, please no more talk on reverse split. It is approved and will
    > only be used by Mel if 1. he doesn't get a waiver due to market
    > cap, 2. stock is below $1.00 and no waiver, and 3. it is absolutely
    > necessary to keep from delisting. Enough Said Knob. Now take your
    > freaking tooth brush and clean the toilets!
    2009 Nov 11 12:01 PM Reply
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  • CRAMER IS SIRI-DOOM, I AM CONVINCED CRAMER IS SIRIDOOM , OR HAS SOMETHING TO DO WITH IT................
    2009 Nov 11 12:08 PM Reply
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