Friday's Labor Report: Employment Slowing Fast

by: William Trent, CFA

Friday morning the market found the jobs data somewhat disappointing. Labor Secretary Carlos Gutierrez just appeared on CNBC to give the administration’s spin, which is that the positive revisions to August data make up for the weaker than expected September headline number.

As we have said before:

We think the seasonally-adjusted employment numbers are essentially bunk. We think whether or not the seasonally-adjusted estimate (it will be revised at least three times) from the labor department is approximately equal to what the economists were expecting it to be is irrelevant.

We do think that the unadjusted year/year change, in terms of growth in the labor force, gives us important information about the state of the economy and consumers’ ability to spend.

Right now, it is telling us things are slowing down. Fast.

employment
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

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