Team Alpha Portfolio Updates: 2014 Could Be The Year Of The Dividend Champs

by: Regarded Solutions

In this previous article, I wrote about what I believe to be the best opportunities for 2014. The companies with the most cash, continual modest growth, and a record of increasing dividends year after year without missing a beat, are poised to outpace the major indices. Why? Because they will not need to borrow money at higher interest rates. All of these companies are enormous blue chip stocks with deep pockets and tend to churn out revenues seemingly endlessly.

While this will be the final 2013 update for two of our retirement portfolios, the Team Alpha Retirement Portfolio and Team Alpha Growth And Income Portfolio, it could very well be the beginning of expansive capital appreciation for many of the stocks within each portfolio.

Let's Get Right To It

The Team Alpha Retirement Portfolio currently consists of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), AT&T (NYSE:T), Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO), CSX Corp. (NYSE:CSX), Chevron (NYSE:CVX), Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), Ford (NYSE:F), General Electric (NYSE:GE), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), Realty Income (NYSE:O), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), Franklin Street Properties (NYSEMKT:FSP), Omega Healthcare Investments, Inc. (NYSE:OHI) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT).

Allocation Stock #Shares 12/27/2013 TotValue Orig. Price div rcvd
7.00% XOM 125 102/shr 12750 75
7.00% JNJ 105 92/shr 9660 63
9% T 400 35/shr 14000 28
8.00% GE 500 28/shr 14000 15 110
2.00% FSP 200 12/shr 2400 13
7.00% AAPL 20 560/shr 11200 436
6.00% PG 100 82/shr 8200 61
3.00% KO 100 41/shr 4100 34
2.00% OHI 100 30/shr 3000 31
6.00% WFC 200 45/shr 9000 40
9.00% O 300 38/shr 11400 34 54
7.00% CSCO 400 22/shr 8800 18
5.00% CVX 65 125/shr 8125 116
7.00% MCD 110 97shr 10670 86
4.00% CSX 200 28/shr 5600 19
4.00% F 300 15/shr 4500 13
5.00% MSFT 200 37/shr 7400 37
2.00% Cash Rsvs x x 3635
100.00% Tot Value x x 148440
Click to enlarge

The total value of this portfolio has increased by nearly 49% in 25 months. More importantly, we have gone from a yield on cost of 4.10% to 5.04% as of today.

Keep in mind that we began with $100k invested, and now we have $144.8k invested, working hard to create our income. We achieved the increase by having several dividend opportunity stocks (Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY), BlackRock (NASDAQ:BKCC), etc.) with high yields, for periods of time until we could invest those dollars into the dividend winners.

We also bought just about every dip in some of the higher yielding stocks like AT&T, Realty Income, and General Electric. While only AT&T is currently a dividend champion, GE is on its way to becoming one again, and Realty Income has a very healthy and steady 5.7% yield with over 550 consecutive months of payments and over 70 increases.

The Team Alpha Growth And Income Portfolio consists of Apple, Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA), Cisco, CSX Corp., Chevron, Ford, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Galena (NASDAQ:GALE), General Electric , Altria (NYSE:MO), Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola, McDonald's, Realty Income, Procter & Gamble, AT&T, Wells Fargo, Exxon Mobil, Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO), Mid-America Apartments (NYSE:MAA) Franklin Street Properties, Omega Healthcare Investments, Inc. and Microsoft.

Stock Shares Price Now Total Value Cost Basis
AAPL 10 560 5600 $475
AMBA 350 32 10200 $19
CSCO 125 22 2750 $23
CSX 125 28 3500 $26
CVX 30 125 3750 $120
F 200 15 3000 $17
FB 100 55 5500 $50
GALE 3500 4.25 14875 $2
GE 175 28 4900 $24
MO 175 38 6650 $34
JNJ 40 92 3680 $86
KO 75 41 3075 $38
MCD 40 97 3880 $97
O 150 38 5700 $40
PG 50 82 4250 $76
T 175 35 6300 $34
WFC 100 45 4500 $41
XOM 50 102 5100 $86
YHOO 175 41 7175 $33
MAA 100 61 6100 $62
FSP 200 12 2400 $13
OHI 100 30 3000 $31
MSFT 30 37 1110 $37
Cash Rsvs x x 480
Tot.Value x x 117,475
Click to enlarge

In less than 4 months, our new portfolio has increased in value by almost 18%. While this portfolio has just a 3.93% yield on cost, I feel confident that 2014 will show a significant increase just by the dividend champions continuing their increases.

Since this portfolio also has only several specific growth stocks, the value of the portfolio has been driven higher by terrific increases in Ambarella, Galena BioPharma, Facebook, and Yahoo. All have done extremely well, and 2014 could bring similar results, although with some temporary pullbacks due to valuations.

The only issue I see right now with this portfolio is the lack of cash to take advantage of buying opportunities. To address that, I am considering selling all of Cisco, and skimming some profits in Ambarella and Facebook. If these moves are made it will be sometime in the 1st quarter of 2014, not before.

Several Key Stocks For 2014

The makeup of both portfolios fills several requirements; solid current income, and strong opportunities for growth. That being said there are several standout companies that more than fit the description of those that I believe will outperform.

Exxon Mobil

The largest company on the planet also has an enormous amount of cash and cash equivalents that can be deployed by the company at any time for any purpose. The fundamentals also show great ability to return even more shareholder value in 2014.

  • Forward PE of only 12.90
  • Operating cash of more than $48 billion with an 8:1 ratio to debts.
  • A dividend payout ratio of just 31%
  • A price to book value of 2.60 and a very low price to sales ratio of just 1.11
  • A bullish ESS rating.

Click to enlarge


The second largest company on the planet is a cash cow that has been vacillating between being a growth company again, as well as a future dividend champion. I believe that this one company can achieve both, and to me that means everyone should own shares of this company right now.

  • Over $200 billion in cash and cash equivalents (assets) with only $17 billion in debt, which was used for the company share buy back plan.
  • A ridiculously low forward PE of 11.70.
  • A dividend payout ratio of just 29%.
  • A bullish ESS rating

Click to enlarge

These two stocks typify what I believe will be the superior performers in 2014, and while I can point out a handful more that are similar, these are the two big guns I feel.

The Bottom Line

2013 is just about over and while we could finally see some sort of correction in the first quarter of 2014, I feel good about these two portfolios for next year.

The bigger the better, the more cash available and the better will get bigger.

Disclaimer: The opinions of the author are not recommendations to either buy or sell any security. Please remember to do your own research prior to making any investment decisions.

Disclosure: I am long AAPL, AMBA, CSCO, CSX, CVX, F, FB, FSP, GALE, GE, JNJ, KO, MCD, MAA, O, OHI, T, WFC, XOM, YHOO. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.