Healthcare reform appears dead to your editor. There are two ways for supporters of healthcare reform to accomplish their goal. The House could pass the Senate version as is, which would then go to the President and become law. The House will not pass the Senate bill because it has language in it that members do not agree with. The popular alternative is to use the “reconciliation” process.
This process still requires the House pass the current Senate bill; then the House Budget Committee will report an Omnibus Reconciliation bill to the House floor. The key to this process is that the House must pass the Senate version of healthcare reform. Once the Senate version is passed, it can go to the President with or without the reconciliation bill passing.
This makes the discussion over reconciliation a red herring. If House members approve the Senate bill they have no control over the outcome. The Senate may ignore their reconciliation bill which will leave them hanging.
Members of the House have “deal breaking” problems with the Senate bill. The most contentious issue is abortion funding, but the most liberal representatives have said they will not support a bill without a public option. Deals were made with each of these groups in the House bill, which are not included in the Senate bill.
You have no doubt heard the talk about “reconciliation” in the Senate. It might be helpful to understand what this is. The Reconciliation Process was created by the 1974 Congressional Budget Act. It was intended to be used in the Budget process, to avoid filibusters when the congress was reconciling spending with revenue. By including reconciliation instructions in a bill in a budget resolution, leadership of the congress limits debate, amendments and use of a filibuster to delay or kill the measure. Reconciliation rules concerning amendments and debate apply in the House and Senate.
Reconciliation was intended to apply to a single fiscal year. Since 1980, reconciliation has been used 23 times. President Clinton wanted to use reconciliation to pass healthcare in 1993, but Senator Robert Byrd objected because healthcare reform was outside the bounds of budget reconciliation.
Here is a list of every Reconciliation bill:
Name of Bill (Senate Majority) Vote, if available President
Omnibus Reconciliation Act 1980 (D) Carter
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1981 (R) Reagan
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1982 (R) 80-15 Reagan
Tax Equity & Fiscal Responsibility Act 1982 (R) Reagan
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1983 (R) Reagan
Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 (R) Reagan
Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1985 (R) Reagan
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1986 (R) Reagan
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1987 (D) Reagan
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1989 (D) Reagan
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1990 (D) 54-45 (35 Democrats & 19 Republicans voting Yea, 20 Democrats & 25 Republicans voting Nay) Bush
Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act 1993 (D) 51-50 (50 Democrats voted Yea, 45 Republicans & 5 Democrats voted Nay.) Al Gore broke the tie as Vice President Clinton
Balanced Budget Act of 1995 (R) 52-47 52 Republicans voted Yea, 46 Democrats & 1 Republican voted Nay) Clinton veto
Personal Responsibility & Work Opportunity Act 1996 (R) 78-21 (54 Republicans & 25 Democrats voting Yea, 21 Democrats voting Nay) Clinton
Balanced Budget Act of 1997 (R) 85-15 (12 Republicans & 3 Democrats voting Nay) Clinton
Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 (R) 92-8 (8 Democrats voting Nay) Clinton
Taxpayer Refund and Relief Act 1999 (R) 54-46 (54 Republicans voted Yea, 43 Democrats & 3 Republicans voted Nay) Clinton veto
Marriage Tax Relief Reconciliation Act 2000 (R) 60-34 (53 Republicans & 7 Democrats voting Yea, 1 Republican & 33 Democrats voting Nay) Clinton veto
Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation 2001 (D) 58-34 (12 Democrats & 46 Republicans voted Yea, 31 Democrats & 2 Republicans Nay) Bush
Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act 2003 (R) 51-50 (48 Republicans & 2 Democrats Yea, 3 Republicans & 47 Democrats Nay) Vice President Cheney Broke Tie Bush
Deficit Reduction Act 2005 (R) 51-50 (50 Republicans Yea, 4 Republicans & 46 Democrats Nay) Vice-President Cheney Broke Tie Bush
Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act 2005 (R) 54-43 (51 Republicans & 3 Democrats Yea, 2 Republicans & 41 Democrats Nay) Bush
College Cost Reduction and Access Act 2007 (D) 79-12 (50 Democrats & 38 Republicans voting Yea, 12 Republicans voting Nay) Bush
The above information may help you understand and give you more knowledge than 90% of the blowhards that don’t know “reconciliation” from “repo man.” Not one close vote was strictly along party lines. Many votes were not close, the process was used to force through tough decisions on budget and taxes (as intended). The process has wondered from the original intent to balance planned spending with actual revenue, but congress does not worry about that anymore.
I have spent some time researching, but cannot find the votes for most bills prior to 1990 on the internet. Given more time and unlimited resources, this could be overcome, I do not have either.
Recapping the healthcare reform legislation currently pushed by the White House, it would be very difficult to push it across first base in the House of Representatives. The Senate bill has been attacked by many house members, so its approval to start the process is dead. Members' public announcements combined with public anger over approval of sweeping healthcare legislation present insurmountable obstacles.
Have a great weekend. Buy healthcare stocks next week. We like UNH.
Disclosure: Author holds a long position UNH