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I love this guy. In the clip below, he dishes out his patently-straightforward analysis of the Greek debt problem. He demands accountability from the Greeks (and anybody else asking for a bailout), and dismisses concerns that sovereign CDS traders are the problem – “Were they the ones who increased deficits to 12% of GDP?”

Other talking points:

  • Will China let their currency float?
  • U.S. equities are “overdue” for a correction
  • He’s been long the dollar for 5-6 months and it’s still working.
  • Calls himself a “horrible stock market timer and trader”. This, from the guy who co-founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros, which saw returns of 4200% over the first 10 years.

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hat tip Dollar Collapse.

About the author: Adam Sharp
Adam Sharp picture
Areas of interest include financial regulation, monetary policy, debt, corruption, and taxes. I lean libertarian on most issues, political and financial. I briefly worked as a Financial Advisor (series 6 and 7), and handle my own investments. Check out www.bearishnews.com for more.
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8
Comments on this article
  •  
    If Greece( more accurately the Greek Regime and the Greek Parasitic Economy, not the entire polity and people) is not allowed to fail and then renew itself via discipline, work and a resetting of priorities and values then the entire European Project and its symbol the Euro will crumble and crash into ruin.

    The decision is, effectively, up to Germany and the German middle class and family owned and medium sized enterprises. If Germany keeps bribing and coddling Greece then it will, inevitably, have to do the same for Spain, Portugal and Italy.
    Germany does not have the resources to do so. Consequently either Greece is severed from the EU or Germany itself will descend into economic uncompetitiveness, civic disorder and social fragmentation.

    A disease cannot be bribed or rationalized into non existence; it must be treated. The more threatening the disease the more rigorous, prolonged and painful the treatment. Sometimes the treatment entails surgery and even removal of the diseased organ or amputation of a diseased or badly maimed limb.

    The choice for Germany is to either face the Greek disease with honesty and resolve or itself be infected and crippled.
    Mar 11 07:50 AM Reply
  •  
    Complaints about CDS traders are just an attempt to defer attention away from the real problem. Whether you're Jimmy Cayne, Dick Fuld, or Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou, its an excuse, nothing more. Besides, if CDS prices to insure your debt are going up, its likely that is happening because of a problem you created yourself, no?

    I am interested in his comparison of China to Japan, if you look at the situation leading up to the 1985 Plaza accords, there are many parallels. The US under Paul Volcker's Fed aimed to balance the trade deficit with Japan via devaluing the US Dollar against the Yen and Deutsche Mark. The Japanese resisted for several years, as the Chinese are resisting now, then agreed to a planned devaluation. The ensuing Japanese slowdown sparked the low interest rates and expansionary fiscal policy that led to its own massive bubble at the end of that decade.

    He's hilarious: "Betty, Betty, come on, you know I'm not that smart."
    Mar 11 08:28 AM Reply
  •  
    Roubini IS NOT A INVESTOR AND ROGERS IS !!
    Mar 11 02:46 PM Reply
  •  
    greece is done.the problem is just being kicked down the road as most politicians will do."not on my time" is the same all over.eventually the chickens come home to roost.would you invest in greece?
    Mar 11 04:01 PM Reply
  •  
    It's funny that you US taxpayers see things Germany's way when US taxpayers sent $20+ billion to Germany last year to bail out German banks (including state-owned KfW that gave $300 million to lehman exactly one hour before collapse). Germany, I guess, has a history of taking American bailouts. And stealing money from other countries.
    Mar 12 02:14 PM Reply
  •  
    When will Americans accept the fact that they are the greatest "Greece" ??
    Living in a denial is a happy mental state !!
    Mar 15 02:14 PM Reply
  •  
    I say Fuc# them let those SOBs fail we can not bail out everybody. The rich are just scamming all of us, lets all say NO MORE!!!!! it must stop.
    May 09 09:56 PM Reply
  •  
    German people work your ass off so people in Greece can retire and laugh all the way to bank.
    May 09 10:08 PM Reply