AutoNation: Upbeat on Q1 Earnings

Apr. 7.10 | About: AutoNation Inc (AN)

AutoNation Inc. (NYSE:AN) has upgraded its earnings per share (EPS) guidance for the first quarter of 2010 ended March 31, 2010. The company now expects to earn 32 cents–35 cents per share, up from the previous estimate of 29 cents–32 cents announced last week. The compant reported EPS of 22 cents in the first quarter of 2009.

While providing the previous estimate, AutoNation had revealed that it expected EPS to increase due to a gradual recovery in the industry. It also expects new vehicle sales to increase 18% to 45,000 units, and used vehicle sales to rise 12% to 38,000 units during the quarter. Consequently, the retailer anticipates its revenue to go up to $2.8 billion from $2.4 billion in the prior-year quarter.

AutoNation has posted a profit of $50 million or 29 cents per share (before special items) in the fourth quarter of 2009, which is more than double the $23 million or 13 cents per share (before special items) posted in the prior-year period.

The automotive retailer also drove past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 27 cents per share. This was attributed to lower structural costs and debt levels as well as an efficient inventory management.

Consolidated revenue scaled up 8% to $2.8 billion during the quarter. This was driven by a strong 7.3% rise in new vehicle sales to 46,532 units. However, used vehicle sales dipped 3.6% to 32,528 units. Same-store sales increased 9% to $2.81 billion.

AutoNation continues to improve margins by altering its product mix and increasing its focus on selling parts and services, such as insurance, finance and aftermarket product services, in order to improve profitability.

AutoNation has been increasing its proportion of luxury cars due to their higher margins than the domestic models. The luxury segment constituted 17.4% of the mix in 2009, up from 16.4% in the previous year. On the other hand, domestic models occupy 29.1% of the mix, down from 29.2% in the prior year.

However, AutoNation has a high exposure to bankrupt automakers General Motors and Chrysler, who together represent 35% of the company’s new vehicle sales. As a result, we maintain our Zacks #3 Rank for the stock and continue to recommend the shares as Neutral for the long term.