Weekly ETF Rewind: Bullish but Overbought

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Includes: DBA, DBC, DBE, DBP, DIA, EEM, EFA, IWM, IYR, IYT, PWB, PWV, PXMG, PXMV, PXSG, PXSV, QQQ, SPY, TLT, UUP, XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY
by: ETF Prophet

By Jeff Pietsch

Markets continued their march higher on falling volatility with a growing slate of tracking indices recapturing their ten-month moving averages. In fact, the week's action left the S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) higher by +2.4%.

(Click Image to Enlarge/ ETF Rewind Glossary)


While this has been a very nice recovery, the number of short-term overbought readings has also increased and those falling fifty-day moving averages may be tempting for short-sellers to re-initiate positions just overhead. Lastly, looking at the ranks underlying our rotation models, I see that the current US Dollar (NYSEARCA:UUP) safety position just merely missed being eclipsed by small-caps (NYSEARCA:IWM). That would be a bullish development indeed -- but we aren't quite there yet.

Nearing the mid-point of the year, Week Twenty-Five of 2010 brings housing, durable goods and a Wednesday Federal Open Market Committee Rate Statement, as follows:

Click to enlarge:

I hope you have a terrific weekend!

Disclaimer: Never Investment Advice