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Summary

  • CVX is among stocks with a high yield and low volatility suitable as an alternative to bonds.
  • CVX valuation is highly attractive trading at a discount to both the S&P 500 and energy sector.
  • CVX’s dividend stability is highly attractive given a conservative balance sheet an payout.

Recently Citi Equity Research released an updated list of global bond refugee stocks. Stocks with higher dividends ands lower volatility as an alternative to bond investments. Among companies making the cut is Chevron (NYSE:CVX) with a current dividend yield of 3.4%. Below we continue our review of CVX in Part XII of this series.

Bond Refugee Recommend Actions:

Overall Bond Refugee Rating: Buy

Valuation: Highly Attractive

Dividend Stability: Highly Stable

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Background

CVX is a global integrated energy company that engages is exploration, transportation, and marketing of petroleum products.

Valuation

CVX has a market capitalization of $239.1 billion, enterprise value of $240.6 billion with a current trailing PE of 13.3. CVX PE on projected earnings is 11.1. CVX trades at a discount to the S&P 500 and the energy sector on both a trailing and forward basis. On an enterprise basis CVX trades at only 5.8 times trailing EBITDA.

CVX's earnings are expected to grow by 5.2% annually over the next five years, slower than both the S&P 500 and energy sector.

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We rate CVX as highly attractive based on bond refugee criteria that stresses relative value and stability of income.

  • CVX's earnings multiples are at a 27% discount to the S&P 500 and 15% forward earnings discount to the energy sector. Given the discounts CVX shares have significant upside.

Dividend Stability

CVX has a long track record of increasing dividends. Looking at the slides below from CVX company presentation, CVX dividend growth has exceeded both the S&P 500 and their peer group. Further management has identified growing dividends and returning capital to shareholders as a top priority. In fact CVX announced a 7% increase in their quarterly dividend to $1.07 per share. (4$.28 annualized)

From a financial view, CVX balance sheet is very conservative, with debt ½ of annual EBITDA. CVX pays out only 35% of earnings leaving substantial room for increases even before earnings growth is considered.

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We rate CVX dividend stability as highly attractive based on:

  • CVX history and commitment to growing dividends.
  • CVX balance sheet an payout ratio is very conservative.

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Sources:

Yahoo Finance

Wall Street Journal

S&P

Source: High Yield Dividend Stocks As Bond Alternatives: Evaluating Chevron