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Royal Gold, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGLD)

Q3 2014 Earnings Conference Call

May 1, 2014 12:00 PM ET

Executives

Karli Anderson – Vice President-Investor Relations

Tony Jensen – President and Chief Executive Officer

Stefan L. Wenger – Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Karli Anderson – Vice President-Investor Relations

William Heissenbuttel – Vice President-Corporate Development

William M. Zisch – Vice President-Operations

Bruce Kirchhoff – Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Analysts

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

Alex Terentiew – Raymond James Ltd.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

Jamie Kasprowicz – RBC Capital Markets LLC

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Royal Gold Fiscal 2014 Third Quarter Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Karli Anderson, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Karli Anderson

Thank you, Denise. Good morning and welcome to our discussion of Royal Gold’s third quarter fiscal 2014 results. This event is being webcast live and you will be able to access a replay of this call on our website.

Participating on the call today are Tony Jensen, President and CEO; Stefan Wenger, CFO and Treasurer; Bill Heissenbuttel, Vice President, Corporate Development; Bill Zisch, Vice President, Operations; Bruce Kirchhoff, Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary; and Stan Dempsey, Chairman.

Tony will open with an overview of the quarter, followed by Bill with an operational review and then Stefan will discuss our financial performance. After management completes their openings remarks, we’ll open the line for Q&A session.

This discussion falls under the Safe Harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. A discussion of the company’s current risks and uncertainties is included in the Safe Harbor statement in today’s press release and is presented in greater detail in our filings with the SEC.

I’ll now turn the call over to Tony.

Tony Jensen

Good morning, and thank you for taking time to join us. We have some slides to go along with today’s presentation and I’ll begin on Slide 4. Royal Gold’s third quarter results demonstrate that our next phase of growth is well underway, as our largest investment Mt. Milligan began to generate meaningful revenue for us. We congratulate the Mt. Milligan team on achieving commercial production in February.

From an operating standpoint, there were no significant surprises in the third quarter. On our last earnings calls, I have told you that we expected to see initial deliveries of gold from Mt. Milligan, and an increased production at Peñasquito and Zacatecas, and we estimated the growth of those properties would offset the expected decline in grades in that gold production at Andacollo.

Our expectations thus far in 2014 approved accurate, and while the gold price was down 21% of that prior year quarter, production volume was down just 2%. Bill Zisch will just review our operating result in just few moments. Our financial results were driven by the strong production and lower taxes in SG&A, specifically, earnings of $20 million, or a $0.31 per share are derived from revenues of nearly $58 million, operating cash flow was nearly $45 million or $0.69 per share and we paid dividends of $0.21 per share.

Stefan will go over our financial results in more detail later in the call. Apart from Mt. Milligan’s ramp up, the most notable event during the third quarter was a $75 million transaction with Rubicon Minerals to help fund construction underway at its phoenix gold project.

I just return from my second trip to Red Lake and the Rubicon team is making good progress towards their projected mid-2015 startup. The Phoenix construction is events with more civil works and structural concrete works complete. No building is erected, major components like the ball and SAG mill are on site, the shaft is sunk and the inner ground development is well underway.

Mike Milan and his team are very experienced with project developments in mining in the Red Lake District, a region known for high grade deposits and along with the assets. We are also pleased and we have added to a royalty interest at Cortez during the quarter. We increased our interest in the pipeline complex by acquiring additional present value partnership interest. In addition to our other three royalties at pipeline, we now own the equivalent of 1% royalty through our partnership interest.

We also acquired a1% royalty in the southern end of the Goldrush deposit from a private party as we wanted to gain exposure to this significant discovery. Both of these transactions happened early in the quarter, as I was able to give you f full description of them on the last call. We showed some explanatory graphics that will help you locate these royalties and I’d refer you to our website to access that presentation.

Combining Rubicon in these two Cortez transactions resulted in investment commitments of nearly $95 million during the quarter of which about one third was funded. I’ll provide more specifics on the Rubicon transaction before I wrap up the call.

For now, though, I’d like to turn the call over to Bill Zisch for commentary on our operating results.

William M. Zisch

Thank you, Tony. Slide 5 provides for Red Lake production and revenue waterfall comparing the current March 2014 quarter with the December 2013 quarter. I’ll focus my comments on operational performance from our 10 essential properties and will include comments regarding the calendar year 2014 guidance that the operators of our producing properties have provided. After that, I will summarize results over 2013 year-end reserve statement that was released today.

Finally, I’ll now discuss Mt. Milligan’s ramp up and timing of shipments. Compared to the December 2013 quarter, the gold price was up about 1%, with silver down 2% and copper virtually unchanged, the difference in our portfolio of revenue from the preceding quarter was driven primarily by production changes. The 8% increase in production was realized through the continued ramp up of Mt. Milligan, I returned the mining and shipping of materials from our area of interest of Cortez, an increased production at the gold mine following the December quarter, when the planned outages were completed. These increases more than offset reductions in production at Robinson and El Toqui.

On slide six, we summarize the operator production guidance from calendar year 2014, compared to the actuals to March 31st. At Teck and the Andacollo mine, recorded production was 17% lower than the previous quarter as mining progressed into lower grade area of the pit as planned.

The gold rate is forecast to improve slightly for the second half of 2014, based on tax operating guidance, we expect Andacollo to produce 38,500 ounces of payable gold subject to our interest during calendar year 2014. Osisko reported production from our royalty area at Canadian Malartic mine that was 5% higher than the previous quarter.

The mine overcame an unscheduled four-day shutdown to repair loose liners in the SAG mill with overall gold production setting a new record in the March quarter. Osisko’s overall guidance for the Canadian Malartic mine during calendar 2014 is 525,000 ounces to 575,000 ounces with production from all area of interest expected to be front end weighted at 344,000 ounces.

As most of you are aware, Osisko has been partied to recent merger and acquisition discussions. Royal Gold's 1.5% NSR on Canadian Malartic is unaffected by the potential changes of control. At Cortez, production from our area of interest increased almost three-fold over the December quarter, as Barrick continue to return its surface mining activities to the pipeline and gap readings that are covered by our royalty interest.

Additionally, after deferrals in the third and fourth calendar quarter of 2013, Barrick resumed shipments of roaster ore stockpiled at Cortez to Goldstrike for processing. For calendar 2014, Barrick’s forecast for production from our area of interest, including stockpiled ore, will total about 276,000 ounces from our GSR3 royalty, 125,000 ounces from GSR1, 151,000 ounces from GSR2, and 228,000 ounces from our NVR1 royalty.

Reported production at Holt increased 36% over the previous quarter at St Andrew ramped up production from the Holt mine. Holt tonnage process increased 38%, head rates were down slightly and bill recoveries were at expected levels of approximately 95%. For calendar year 2014, St Andrew expects production from the Holt mine to be about 66,000 ounces.

Las Cruces reported production increase of 11% over the December quarter. Efforts have been underway to test and debottleneck the plant for higher throughput rates to offset the lower grades, which are expected in late 2014. Commissioning of a second leach pre-reactor in 2013 along with several other 2014 initiatives including improved tailings, filtration and the addition of new pressure filters are expected to properly cover about 3%.

For the calendar year 2014, First Quantum expects production at Las Cruces to total 152 million to 159 million pounds of copper. Reported production at Alamos Gold and Mulatos mine decreased 14% over the preceding quarter, as the mine experienced lower grades as planned from the Escondida Deposit. Alamos began underground mining of the Escondida Deep deposit in the March quarter and expect to transition to production in the San Carlos deposit in the second half of 2014. Underground throughput rates of San Carlos are expected to gradually ramp up to an expanded mill capacity of 800 tonnes per day. Full year guidance of Mulatos is set between 150,000 ounces and 170,000 ounces.

Reported gold and silver production at Peñasquito decreased 19% and increased 15% respectively over the previous quarter. Our production of lead and zinc decreased 4% and increased 28% respectively. Peñasquito is now in the high grade portion of Phase 4 and mining in this phase will continue throughout 2014.

We also completed a new life-of-mine plan at Peñasquito that positively affected the 2014 and five-year production profile of the mine. Goldcorp guidance for Peñasquito drilled in calendar year 2014 cost per production of between 530,000 and 560,000 ounces of gold.

2014 guidance for Peñasquito and other metals are shown in the table in Slide 6. Reported gold and copper production at Robinson was down 55% and 52% respectively over the previous quarter as the planned mine sequence continued in the Liberty pit, which has lower grade copper. We expect that mining will return to the higher grade Ruth pit in the second half of fiscal 2014.

Reported nickel production was up 40% and copper production was down 63% due to variability of shipment timing and seasonality at Voisey's Bay. For calendar year 2014, there is limited forward-looking information publicly provided by the operator. But we know that 2013 calendar year production at Voisey's Bay totaled 138 million pounds of payable nickel and 88 million pounds of copper.

As stated in our reserve release this morning, net gold reserves attributable to Royal Gold at the end of 2013 totaled about 5.3 million ounces versus year-end 2012 reserves of 5.7 million ounces.

On Slide 7, we put together a table to illustrate the Mt. Milligan gold deliveries and sales to Royal Gold. During the March quarter, Thompson Creek made three shipments of copper and gold concentrate under its sales agreement and received provisional payments for the two of our shipments. Due to timing of provisional payments from the smelters to Thompson Creek, we have received deliveries of gold ounces from one of the three shipments for 4,080 ounces in the quarter, and as delivery related to final settlement on the first purchase from the December quarter of 700 ounces. Thompson Creek reported that the third and fourth shipments were also made in March.

Subsequent to quarter end, Royal Gold received delivery of 10,700 ounces of gold associated with provisional payments for these shipments. I should point out that Thompson Creek reports metal production on a payable basis, and we’re paid on a contained basis, so the gold (indiscernible) will be slightly different in their production figure.

The Mt. Milligan mine reached commercial production defined as operation of another 60% of design capacity throughput, 30 days on March 18. Thompson Creek’s most recent public statements indicate that they expect the mill throughput will achieve 75% to 85% design capacity by the end of 2014.

Annual calendar year 2014 gold production guidance for Mt. Milligan is 165,000 ounces to 175,000 ounces. Applying 97% payable factor and our stream interest of 2.25%, ounces that are expected to be delivered to Royal Gold are between 83,000 and 688,700 ounces of gold, with the timing of the purchase and sale of these ounces subject to concentrate shipments schedule.

Now, I will turn the call over to Stefan to discuss the financial results.

Stefan L. Wenger

Thank you, Bill, and good morning, everyone. Moving to Slide 8, I'll briefly go over our third quarter financial highlights. In Q3, we generated $57.8 million in revenue, compared with $74.2 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2013. The average gold price was $1,293 per ounce in the third quarter, down 21% from the prior year quarter and the primary driver of the revenue differential.

Net income totaled $20.1 million, or $0.31 per share, compared with $6.5 million or $0.10 per share a year-ago. As you may recall, our year-ago quarterly results were impacted by one-time items. We booked $6 million in revenue from sales of gold from Mt. Milligan in the quarter. Thus we have about $1.9 million in cost of sales on the income statement related to our $435 per ounce payment to Thompson Creek.

This is where you will see all our streaming payments back to the operators is cash costs. So when that Phoenix project is in production, we will also see our streaming payments here. Our adjusted EBITDA was $49.7 million, or 86% of revenue as our Mt. Milligan shipments commenced. Long-term, we continue to expect that adjusted EBITDA will range from 80% to 85% of revenue. We paid cash dividends in the second quarter of $13.7 million, which is the payout ratio of about 30% of our operating cash flow of $44.9 million.

For the third quarter, income tax expense was $4 million, primarily due to the ongoing contributions from Mt. Milligan, a decrease in taxable foreign currency gains, and foreign tax credit benefits recorded in the current quarter related to the filing of our June 30, 2013 tax returns. This resulted an effective tax rate of 16% for the quarter.

DD&A for the quarter was $21.6 million, or $484 per GEO. The lower rate per GEO this quarter is attributable to new production at Mt. Milligan and a production increase at Peñasquito. We now expect our full-year DD&A rate to be between $500 per GEO and $525 per GEO with fiscal Q4 DD&A expected to be between $425 per GEO and $475 per GEO.

Slide 9 shows our continued strong balance sheet. With working capital of $687 million, our expanded available credit line of $450 million and over $150 million in operating cash flow over the past 12 months. We have just three commitments on our capital that currently total about $100 million.

As a reminder from our prior quarterly call, we expanded our credit facility during the quarter and now have $450 million of undrawn and available debt capacity, which adds to our liquidity. We are pleased to be in the strong financial position at a time when the market conditions are favorable for new opportunities.

Now, I would like to turn the call back over to Tony.

Tony Jensen

Thank you, Stefan. On Slide 10, I’ll provide an overview of the Phoenix investment. The total consideration is $75 million and thus far we have funded $30 million. We expect to pay the final $45 million over the next few months as development activities progress.

On Slide 12, we summarized some of the basic mechanics of the Phoenix Stream. This is a stream where Rubicon delivered 6.3% of the gold at Phoenix, twice and thresholds of 135,000 ounces are delivered, after which time the stream steps down to 3.15%. We will pay Rubicon 25% of the spot gold price on each ounce that’s delivered to us, which gives both companies flexibility and leverage to the gold price. Opportunity in ounces are expected to be produced over a 13-year mine life. And we also like the exploration potential and anticipate success in that area to add to the mine life.

I move to Slide 12. Before I wrap up, I would like to take a moment to recognize some of the changes in board leadership that we announced today. Stanley Dempsey, our Chairman and Founder has elected to retire after 31 years of service to the company and over 50 years of service to this industry.

Stan became involved with our predecessor company Royal Resources and recommended to the company that the company get out of the oil and gas business and move into the gold in the mid 1980s and changed its name to Royal Gold. Through trial in area and mainly persistence, Stan help to create the royalty business model that is so valuable and immolated by many others today.

We thank him for taking the risk, and even financing this company lot of the zone while at times and passing on the privilege of operating this company to the current management team. As we did farewell to Stan, our board leadership will remain solid with Bill Hayes, who is assuming the role as Chairman of the board.

Bill’s role with international operating and financial experience with Placer Dome and Exxon, Governors experienced with the Gasol plc and his keen understanding of our business is well placed to lead Royal Gold forward. Earlier during the quarter, we were pleased to add Kevin McArthur to our board. Kevin is the former CEO of Glamis Gold and Goldcorp and is the current CEO, Vice Chair and Director of Tahoe Resources.

Kevin’s leadership and operating skills will be important contributions as we consider future opportunities for Royal Gold. In May, we will welcome Chris Thompson to our board and look forward to his depth as mining and finance experience. Chris is the former CEO and Chairman of Gold Fields Ltd., and earlier led Castle Group, which managed three venture capital funds to finance new gold operations. It is an honor to attract these individuals to the company.

To conclude, I’ll make just a few comments regarding trends in business development. We are starting to see primary gold producers carefully evaluate the cost of capital associated with Royal teams stream financing versus raising equity capital. We welcome this analysis since in many cases streaming products can offer developers and producers several advantages over raising equity financing by preserving equity value and protecting the shareholders against success of dilution. In excess of due diligence, we undertake, consider as an important endorsement of project potential and quality.

Operators are beginning to appreciate the value we can provide and each transaction helps to validate our model and build industry confidence. This in turn provides more opportunity. So, we begin 2014 by delivering on the growth objectives we said out several years-ago. And we are now starting to demonstrate Mt. Milligan’s potential. Royal Gold’s current phase of growth is already bought and paid for it. However, we believe that recognition of that growth is not yet been fully appreciated. While we look to Mt. Milligan to continue to execute, we also turn our attention to new opportunities that could further enhanced our growth profile.

We have over $1 billion of liquidity to invest in strong and growing cash flow. With those resources and the industry need for our product I am encouraged that we will continue to add quality assets to Royal Gold.

Operator that concludes our prepared remarks and we’ll be happy to entertain any questions of they were so.

Question-and-Answer Session

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Our first question will come from Andrew Quail of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Hi, Tony, thank you very much for the update and congratulations on a strong quarter. Couple of questions, first, maybe stepping on tax obviously, how are it is effective tax rate was around 16%. Can you give us any guidance what that would be into Q4 and then maybe 2015 going forward?

Tony A. Jensen

Sure, I’m happy to take your question and thanks for joining the call. For the nine months ended March 31, our effective tax rate for that whole period was 25%. And as I look ahead for the rest of the year, taking into considerations is one time items. Our tax rate for the full year assuming a normal quarter in Q4 should be around 30% or less. As I look ahead, our tax rate will continue to be primarily impacted by the timing and the magnitude of Mt. Milligan’s contribution, because it does committed to lower tax rate. So, I am not providing anymore specific guidance at this time, but that gives you an idea of the full year for 2014.

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Great, thanks. Tony, when you went on Robinson obviously is sort of came off a little bit this quarter or maybe this quarter. Can you sort of give me guidance on consider regaining going forward?

Tony A. Jensen

Let me turn that question to Bill Zisch, Andrew.

William M. Zisch

Yes. Andrew. See in rebounding from where they were last quarter a little bit, but the primary driver some of the difference is right now or also their shipping schedules. So, we do see a little bit of warping is this there, but right now. They do not provide guidance. So, we not providing that on a forward-looking basis. But, their operations have been running about what they had expected this year.

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Great. And then maybe last one on Mt. Milligan, obviously pretty solid quarter with cost do you sort of, I know you guys sort of and provided a little bit by that, what sort of DC in the trends going forward and can you just remind us what the structure is do you guys into 2015?

Tony A. Jensen

Okay. And let me understand the question a little more you said, which regard to costs you’re talking about operating cost or…

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Yes, sorry, operating cost, yes. Just you guys, what you guys are walked in and then, if there any questions sort of measures in there?

Tony A. Jensen

Okay. And then, the second part of that question is how is that production performing and what we are going to look forward to this…

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Yes. Maybe just cost per ton trends that for the operator there.

Tony A. Jensen

Okay. On your first question regarding cost, we are not going to be able to provide any of that detailed information with you. Before you and comes quick reports in the middle of next week, I believe so, the 15 Cortez. So, we would certainly guide you to their public release is there. With regard to the operation it’s absolutely ramping up as we would expect it would. At this stage in production is coming along just find them both Bill and I mentioned that they didn’t reach that commercial production threshold, which is 60%.

And they have guided just make sure that you heard this they have guided between 75% and 85% of full production by the end of the year. And so I think you can just expect reaching up point or 2 per quarter, sorry per month. Until we get up to that 75% to 85% so that’s extremely powerful royalty for Royal Gold even at the current production level and certainly at these higher levels are just continue to build revenue for us. So, Andrew I don’t know if I hit your questions to the degree I could, but if I’m at least, please follow-up.

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

No, that’s great Tony, I mean just on that is that for that 435, where do you see that obviously going? You locked it is there any sort of inflationary China?

Tony A. Jensen

I am sorry I miss that part of your question. No, the 435 has locked in for the life of our remitters. So, we have no inflation build into that. Thanks for the clarification.

Andrew C. Quail – Goldman Sachs & Co.

Thanks very much, Tony.

Tony A. Jensen

All the best Andrew thanks for the call.

Operator

The next question will comes from Patrick Chidley of HSBC. Please go ahead.

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

Hi, good afternoon everybody thanks for taking my question. On the quarter or obviously that’s ramping up a little bit now, can you give us a view of how much of the contributions going from or is that going to gold strike and how much is it coming from the (indiscernible)?

William M. Zisch

Patrick, I’m sorry off the top of my head, I cannot give you that I can’t say that majority of their guidance from 2014 that we put on the slide on table 6, a majority of that does come from production from the mine, from pipeline and gap and I’ll get back you with regard to the proportion of that’s expected to common stockpile.

Tony A. Jensen

Patrick, maybe just in a generality if I could add to what Bill had said there. In the last several years, last two or three year most of our production was derived from just the carbonaceous treatment of ore up that gold strike. And that gives you a sense of probably the base load that would be continuing to go out there, but you can see the numbers that Bill gave on guidance for Cortez are up sharply for the year. So, most of that growth is build on back of fresh production that the pipeline complex both pipeline and gap.

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

By that you mean (indiscernible).

William M. Zisch

And perhaps even little bit of an help or going into the mill as well,

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

Upside mill, okay. And none of this in terms any contribution from crosswords and is there is any plan if not to get into the growth rates?

Tony A. Jensen

Surely, the crossword still stays in reserves, so there is plan for that development that some point down the road, but I think if you at the reserve profile that’s probably one of the lower quality reserves deposit that. So, we would expected to be close for the end of the mine life?

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

Okay, thanks. And then how it seems to be a better ramp up in activity there and they are not really outside with what the operators doing. Is that something we should continue or expect to continue or their sort of getting to a new level?

William M. Zisch

Patrick, the ramp up actually is the function of them processing more material from the whole mine than from some of their other mines that also get processed at that facility at the (indiscernible). Now what you’re seeing is that they are finishing off this lot and they are mining more of the whole materials, so you’re seeing percent of whole material which is were our royalty applies increasing.

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

All right, okay. Good and thanks. And looking at your acquisitions in the future, with a $1 billion in liquidity, and some political risk elements in Latin America should have increased in the last sort of the year or two. Is there or buyers towards North America versus Latin America in terms of what you looking at or not really.

Tony Jensen

That’s regarding this, we won’t want to just limit ourselves to North America, there’s still great investment opportunities in South America and elsewhere around the world So we’re still looking at that on a wide basis and we don’t want to rule a lot of different places out. Of course, there’s some that we’ve talked about in the past that we continue to see as no-go areas for us at present time. But our traditional areas of North and South America, West Africa and Australia, Asia Pacific are still areas that are very much of interest to us.

Patrick T. J. Chidley – HSBC Securities USA, Inc.

Great. Okay. Thanks very much.

Tony Jensen

Thanks to the call Patrick.

Operator

The next question will come from Alex Terentiew of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Alex Terentiew – Raymond James Ltd.

Excuse me, hi guys. I tried to clarify something, I think earlier in the call one of you mentioned you have about $100 million of commitment ahead of you. I think accountable $45 million left of Phoenix is there, is something else that I’m missing there. I just wondered if you’re accounting may be [cheap] (ph) in that one as well.

Stefan L. Wenger

We are Alex, see we’ve got the $50 million at that we totally achieved that’s on schedule at the present time. We do, as I mentioned anticipate investing that other $45 million that really kind over the coming months and quarters. And then the other thing there that I just want to call your attention to is, when we purchased Goldrush royalty we have a payment plan of over seven years, there is a $7 million payment associated with that. That would make up of the about the $100 million figure we’re talking about.

Alex Terentiew – Raymond James Ltd.

Okay. Thank you, that’s great. Next couple just more on corporate development growth going forward, copper is balancing around $3 level. Are you guys seeing more interest from base metal operations to sell precious metal streams here, or are you still getting a lot of interest from the gold projects, gold focus projects.

Stefan L. Wenger

Hi. Let’s let me introduce Bill Heissenbuttel our Vice President of Corporate Development to address the question.

William Heissenbuttel

Hey. Alex, how are you?

Alex Terentiew – Raymond James Ltd.

Good. Thank you.

William Heissenbuttel

We continue to see on the part of the base metal producers obviously with cover price processing around. There might be a bit more sensitive to the cash cost of production after we take out the stream. So I think there might be a bit more sensitivity, but I also think you hit the nail on the head we’re actually seeing interest from the primary gold producers. So I actually see the market expanding as supposed to just being limited to the base metal companies.

Alex Terentiew – Raymond James Ltd.

Okay, excellent just a last question here, obviously because you guys have mentioned several times you’ve strong balance sheet over $1 billion in liquidity. So you are capable obviously of doing more transactions, are you looking at some smaller transactions going it’s not even that small, but the Rubicon Phoenix deal or is another large scale cornerstone investment, cornerstone deal or something that you’re in stead [ramping] (ph) or you would rather like to see instead or the size really matter? I just would be interested in hearing your views on that.

William Heissenbuttel

Yeah. Alex, sorry. I think it’s in all of the above kind of thing for us. We recognize the probability of doing smaller deals as higher, so we’re always going to be working in those areas. And you might see more frequency of those kinds of deals. But at the same time we’re always looking for a material transaction like Mt. Milligan type deal that came to us. And so expect us to be active in all of the different ranges and I think this quarter in the three new pieces of business that we brought on or reflective of that.

Alex Terentiew – Raymond James Ltd.

Okay. Great, thank you.

William Heissenbuttel

Thanks. Alex.

Operator

The next question will come from Shane Nagle of National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

Thanks. Good morning guys. Tony or may be Bill, just I wonder if you’ve gone through the shipment schedules with Mt. Milligan. And may be how much you would expect in terms of sales relative to their production guidance? Or if you haven’t really run the numbers yourself may be how much in terms of how many shipments you expect just trying to get a good sense of how your sales are going to come in for the year relative to Thompson Creek’s production numbers.

William M. Zisch

All right. So this generally I ask a bit or your patience as the project ramps-up because it’s going to take a little time to get in steady state. But generally I would suggest that we have about a shipment a quarter, sorry a shipment a month. And that’s probably going in the 10,000 ton a day, ton lot kind of size. So the full production that Thompson Creek guided, 165,000 ounces to 175,000 ounces, we would expect there might be a couple of shipments on the back end of that schedule, that we would not receive payment for during this calendar year, just because we get paid when they get paid for the first 12 lots.

So we don’t have any specific guidance for you as to how much of that 165,000 ounces to 175,000 ounces would be in the payable side of [our both] (ph) books at the end of the year, but that’s probably something probably we should probably look out and try to find a little more clear guidance on sharing things for the comment.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

And just to be clear, you had to provide the guidance before that the first payment that you get when Thompson Creek receives their first provisional payment. That happens a few days after they’re paid and then the final settlement is that tracking in an around that eight to 12 months timeframe after shipment.

Unidentified Company Representative

Yeah. It’s probably – It’s probably a little, it’s probably about three months afterwards on generally speaking. So remember Shane that we get paid on provisional payments for the first 12 shipments first 12 a lot spare. And then during that period of time we transitioned from heavier provisional payments to heavier final payments. And after the 12 shipments then we’re all paid on final shipments. And that can be a little bit confusing we try to provide that detail in our disclosure but the extent that it still is confusing, please give us call we’ll walk you through it.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

Okay. Now that the shipments make sense, I’m just trying to get an idea of how much you going to have on your front end of those payments or the back end as those percentages shifts through time. And then may be just a last one for us, I think you previously guided 3% to 4% break on the effective tax rate with Mt. Milligan fully ramped-up. If we were to take your effective tax rate in Q3 here, how much would it have been net of those 2013 tax benefits or in a sense of how much did the Thompson Creek Mt. Milligan reduce the effective tax in the quarter.

Unidentified Company Representative

Yeah. That the Thompson Creek or the Mt. Milligan impact on our effective tax rate was about 3% for the quarter. And that’s pretty consistent for the full-year Thompson Creek’s or Mt. Milligan’s impact on our full tax rate.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

Okay. And just a quick one.

Unidentified Company Representative

I wouldn’t say that’s long-term, as Mt. Milligan has a larger impact in fiscal 2015, I would expect that impact to benefit from that structure to be larger. But at this time, I’m not going to provide any more specific guidance there.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

Right, Right of course and it’s relatively smooth credit that get and you effectively pay the lower tax rate, you don’t pay a full tax rate and then get refunded?

Unidentified Company Representative

That’s correct.

Shane Nagle – National Bank Financial

Okay. That’s great thanks a lot guys.

Unidentified Company Representative

Thanks Shane.

Operator

The next question will come from Jamie Kasprowicz of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jamie Kasprowicz – RBC Capital Markets LLC

Great, thanks for taking my question guys. Just a quick follow-up question on Cortez, do you have a sense or work of an indication of how long that will be in larger royalty footprint pipeline?

Tony Jensen

Bill, do you have any generality?

William M. Zisch

Jamie, right now what we’ve got is this one-year look and that’s what we’re focusing on the future will certainly depend upon how their overall mine plan incorporated in Cortez field surface and underground and pipeline plays out. and we’ll have to wait and see where they’re going to longer-term plan, I don’t have much to healthier on that future right now, now the fact that come back into the pipeline side, the right way to stay there for a while, they are not going to be moving around and forth a lot.

Tony Jensen

Jamie, I think what I would add to that is that we have been kind of on the sidelines in the open pit mining as they have focused on the higher grade at Cortez elsewhere, which has been four years or so. And now they have moved that fleet in a lot of the open pit surface reserves are over on the pipeline mining complex where we have our royalty interest. so we would expect them to be over there for quite some time now.

Jamie Kasprowicz – RBC Capital Markets LLC

That’s great. And just one quick question on Mt. Milligan, the first four shipments, the split for provisional versus settlement 75% to 25% and just wondering the shipments five to 13, could you just remind me what that split was before you go to full settlement after it marks their shipment 2013 already?

Tony Jensen

Sure. so 1 through 4 as you said were 75% on the provisional and 25% on the final, you’re with me there. and then we go through five through eight and it’s 50% is paid on the provisional, 50% on the final and then nine through 12 will be 25%, provisional 75% final and then after that all 100% on the final.

Jamie Kasprowicz – RBC Capital Markets LLC

Okay, great, that’s prefect. That’s it from me. thanks.

Tony Jensen

Thanks, Jamie.

Operator

The next question will come from Adam Graf of Cowen & Company. Please go ahead.

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

Thanks guys for taking my questions, just quickly how much of the March quarter results at Cortez reflect the new deal there?

Tony Jensen

Adam, I would say very little we had just a partial, no I guess we had the full year or full quarter with that new interest, but it’s not the main driver compared to all the other revenue that we received there.

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

Okay, good, good. and then at Peñasquito, I’m a little confused are the royalties that you guys receive based on the contained or payable production at Peñasquito, because the payable number that you’re calling for your full year seem to be more in line with the contained numbers that Goldcorp is forecasting?

Tony Jensen

Bill, can you answer that?

William M. Zisch

Yes, Adam. Our payment is on there, as an NSR, it’s on the payable amount and the guidance that we should hear on the 530 to 560 is payable gold.

Stefan L. Wenger

Because that doesn’t – because I can’t find, I was looking back on the Gold Corp numbers to verify that if those numbers, the same numbers that I saw Gold Corp were explicitly record or explicitly given that’s payable or contains and so, there’s a little confusion there. But I’ll try to dig in a little more and may be find what they’ve said. But you (indiscernible).

Unidentified Company Representative

Yes. Adam more upon that – we’ve actually have some of those discussions ourselves. And we will go back and confirm that as well if something is a not as I mentioned it we will make that clear.

Unidentified Company Representative

Yes. I mean, clearly with the precious metals at Peñasquito those are largely contained and concentrates where the payables are substantially lower than the contained.

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

Okay.

Unidentified Company Representative

That’s an important point.

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

Right. And then, may be a bit more of a conceptual question with your new royalty at Gold Rush, what conceptually did you guys think about for when that asset could start? And had you given some thought to the overall ability or the overall capacity in Nevada to accept the 80% of that ore, which is refractory and if it have to build a roaster/autoclave new roster/autoclave facility and the timeline to permit and build that.

Tony Jensen

So Adam, look we, first of all, you might remember that I was the mine manager at Cortez before years and so, very much liked that asset in every respect and to the extent that we can ever get more interest there. We’re always keen to do that. This is a on the southern Goldrush royalty that we acquired is on the Southern end of the Goldrush deposit. And interestingly, we still have nice land position for that deposit to continue to extend at the south, if there is mineral endowment that allows that to happen. So, we like our position there.

I think we bought this royal right as far as the timing and then the discount that we put into it. We recognize it’s going to take sometime, some of the permitting that I did at Cortez, who would take somewhere between two and four years to do new EISs and the likes. So two years is pretty quick anymore, some times we could get environmental assessment done in that timeframe. But this is going to be a new project and I think, Erik is assessing it as a new project. And they are probably looking at synergies in the area, but it might be a new capital as well.

So, we don’t have those details, but again I think we acquired this at a reasonable price given the uncertainty on time.

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

And maybe Tony, I don’t want to take anymore time, but giving your experience in Nevada and new guys are, quite involvement in number of assets there. What can you say about that general roasting and autoclave capacity on a consolidated basis in Nevada versus what’s going to be needed in the future?

Tony Jensen

Well. That’s a pretty difficult question there is what three or four rosters in the state currently. And what the plans are for each company will those rosters, I’m not in a position to be able to say. But there has been a lot of reserves that have been developed and put through rosters overtime. And I don’t know that the reserves, new reserves have kept up with completion and generally speaking in the states. So, I think there’s certainly going to be some capacity for the likes of the Goldrush and existing facilities. But again, when you have as Barrick announced yesterday, a resource that’s in the 16 million ounce range, it can support its own facilities and capitals. This is just associated with that, above that if the synergies in the area are so much the better.

Adam P. Graf – Cowen & Co. LLC

Very good. Thanks for taking my questions, guys.

Tony Jensen

Thanks, Adam.

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, that is all the time allotted for questions. I would like to turn the conference back over to Tony Jensen for closing remarks.

Tony Jensen

Well, thank you very much for joining us today and your keen interest in Royal Gold, excellent questions as always. Now we appreciate your interest and we will continue to keep you updated on Royal Gold as the weeks go forward here and look forward to speaking with you on the next quarterly call. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now concluded. We thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.

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