I am a member of AAII (American Association of Individual Investors) and was recently reading one of their more popular screens, the Shadow Stock Screen. I decided to run my own test of the screen with a few small twists. This is a very simple screen that seeks out small/microcap value stocks. The screen criteria I used are below:
- No over-the-counter stocks
- No financial stocks
- Market cap > $20 Million and < $200 million
- Previous EBITDA quarter and trailing twelve months are positive
- Share price > $4
- Price/book < .80
- Price/sales < 1.2
- Top 10 stocks are selected based on highest 52 week returns
This is the fifth month of performing the screen. The first month's list performed poorly, returning -15.35% versus -13.2% on VBR, the small cap value ETF. The second month beat the benchmark, returning .50% vs .04% on VBR. Last month's list returned an average of -4.38% versus -2.26% for VBR over the same period.
I would describe this as a high beta strategy; it performs very well in bullish markets and underperforms in bear markets. I said previously that "this is not a strategy I am investing in. However, if an investor was looking to add some risk to his or her portfolio, this one could certainly add some 'juice'." One additional option which I have mentioned on other screens is to abandon this type of strategy when an underlying index such as the Russell 2000 is trading below a long term moving average such as the 200 day moving average. Currently the Russell 2000 is below its 200 day moving average.
| Ticker | Name | Last | Rank |
| ESCA | Escalade, Inc. | 5.05 | 98.46 |
| HAST | Hastings Entertainment, Inc. | 7.37 | 94.35 |
| SGMA | SigmaTron International | 5.69 | 92.63 |
| AHC | A. H. Belo Corporation | 6.62 | 92.11 |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 7.67 | 89.93 |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries, Inc. | 13.4 | 89.43 |
| PTSI | P.A.M. Transportation Service | 11.29 | 84.34 |
| CGL.A | Cagle's, Inc. | 6.55 | 81.28 |
| GRB | Gerber Scientific, Inc. | 5.03 | 79.82 |
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of America, In | 6.94 | 78.89 |
Disclosure: None

